You can read find more about details at www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/... Thanks to all that helped along the way!

Met @annaleen.bsky.social and got to spend some good time talking science and spec-fic and they were even more amazing and brilliant than I expected. They had just thought deeply about such interesting and important things and knew how to say things in exactly the right way.

If your research involves RD designs, check out this important new working paper from Ghosh, Imbens, and Wager: "PLRD: Partially Linear Regression Discontinuity Inference" arxiv.org/pdf/2503.09907

Watching Jurassic Park, where a computer nerd with a debt problem and delusions of grandeur tears down all the safety systems, with no understanding of the consequences, so he can better facilitate his planned espionage and theft.

If Vladimir Putin had a plan to foul our air and water, wreck public health and drive America over the cliff of irreversible lethal climate change, it would look exactly like Lee Zeldin’s plan. This is a plan for self-inflicted environmental disaster. www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...

@jonproctor.bsky.social @vivianodavide.bsky.social @bstewart.bsky.social and others I can't find tags for

#css #econometrics #EconSky #poli-sci #eo #remotesensing

1/9 We are excited to share our new working paper: arxiv.org/abs/2502.12323 If you use ML predictions (like remote-sensed data) as outcomes, the resulting regression coefficients can be biased by measurement error. With @megan-ayers.bsky.social @mdgordo.bsky.social @eliana-stone.bsky.social

Trump's enthusiasm for evil vastly exceed his competence at it.

Every person on Bluesky should know: * Every post on Bluesky is PUBLIC forever * Every post on Bluesky is archived by ICE, NSA, and many other agencies * Even if you delete a post, it’s already been captured * Judges don’t care if you were “kidding” or being ironic www.404media.co/the-200-site...

Chuck Schumer Helps Pull Democrats Back From Brink Of Courage

My undergrad institution, grad institution, and current employer are all on this list

Still: From www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...

5yo: “what’s a Nigerian prince scam?”

I already had lots of respect for Mad River Glen skiers from when a few of them showed up and stomped the competition at the Crested Butte extreme freeskiing comp. Now it’s at the top of my list of ski areas to visit

It wasn't a "crisis" when women were earning less than men.

My students on Fulbright fellowships are dealing with this right now. Another on a USAID fellowship just told me their fellowship was terminated yesterday. A “guarantee” from the USFG means nothing

He’s weirdly stuck on “the cards”

What’s the Grok prompt that will be used to “analyze” these replies?

Want to go visit the national parks this year? Sorry. The reservation system is shut down, EMT personnel are gone, so don't get hurt or lost. No one can clean the bathrooms or cabins, so they'll be closed. Rangers are fired. www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/arti...

Exactly, we're always "wanting one weird trick" for causality but I think that's usually (RCTs actually are one weird trick) going to be at odds with the reality that you need to understand the system you're studying in a lot of detail to do good inference

Just finished the book Migrations by Charlotte McConaghy, narrated by Barrie Kreinik. Easily top 3 among the ~50 cli-fi books I’ve now read.

Guess what - our Science Moms climate ad made this top ten best (upcoming) Super Bowl ads list! The only nonprofit ad on the list! Warning: do not watch without a tissue www.nytimes.com/2025/02/07/a...

On changes to #NIH indirect rates, there is a law in place that prohibits NIH from making such changes without the approval of Congress. See Division D, Title II Section 224 of The Further Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2024 (Public Law No: 118-47) grants.nih.gov/grants/guide...

What can you do about the assault on USAID? Share this far and wide. Do your part! Please do retweet 🙏🏼🙏🏼🙏🏼

Conservatives warning about George Soros but make the footage Elon Musk

OpenAI Furious DeepSeek Might Have Stolen All the Data OpenAI Stole From Us

Just donated, New Haven Folks: www.newhavenindependent.org/article/trum...

This was so cool—like our own miniature version of the Alaska phenomenon where people go for 20 mile skates on frozen rivers

PhD students consider submitting to our annual conference run by and focused on doctoral students in economics. April is a nice time to visit Paris docs.google.com/forms/d/1u7v...

Flora is a great follow for #GreenSky environmental politics, climate politics, climate solutions

There are many visions for the future of agriculture & food systems. The world is a big place. But my plea is, when advocating for major shifts in agriculture or land use, please consider the math of how the shifts fit into a world needing to feed 9-10B people by 2050 while ending deforestation. 7/7

Perfect Christmas Eve: ice skating in the snow on the neighborhood pond

Wrapped up fall teaching in a semester where we had a second baby. Ready for winter break and parental leave in the spring when I can take care of the baby without mentally prepping my lecture for the next day

Sourdough turkeys over the last 4 years, most recent to oldest: #PolisciBakes

Remember when "Ferris Bueller's Day Off" tried to teach us about tariffs and no one was paying attention

Me: “I don’t study animal things like echolocation, I study why… some people cut down trees and others don’t.” 4 year old: (thinks for 2 minutes) “it’s because some people need houses and things so they have to cut down trees, but some people already have houses so they don’t.” 1/2

Testing some new winter designs #poliscibakes

Chat GPT prompt: “Based on what you know about me make an image about what you think my life looks like” 🤨

Are remote sensing people on here yet?

Back to working only when the (new) tiny human allows it

Yale is hiring remote sensing scientists! The new Yale Center for Geospatial Solutions is hiring a lead Remote Sensing Scientist and a Geospatial Lab Manager. Apply by Oct. 11. #gisjobs #GeospatialJobs #RemoteSensing #Climate #GIS #EarthSciences URL: geospatial.yale.edu/people/emplo...

Total solar eclipse exceeded my high expectations. So cool.

Last night at 2am: jet-lagged 4 year old is furious that nobody wants to play with her RIGHT NOW

Hey, it's another outbreak of the post-treatment variable conditioned policy panic that is bicycle helmet discourse. Totally resistant to causal reasoning since records began. Where else can you think of the children, blame the victim and pitch car brain as common sense, all at the same time?

Just spent 2 weeks in and around Chengdu China and did not see anyone else who appeared to be a foreigner. Things are different in China since the start of COVID

i'm a stats phd candidate and i'm looking for a job! - i have extensive #rstats package dev experience - i care a lot about writing and communicating clearly - i specialize in network data and causal inference #stats #datascience #jobs www.alexpghayes.com/resume/