Happy to see this in print!

for this good friday please enjoy esther's latest ted talk saying essentially that the one good thing about having all the wealth concentrated in the hands of like 900 individuals globally is that we know where to go to get the climate reparations youtu.be/OtSwoGuz8sk

With Jake Carlson (jscarlson.github.io) I have written "When are time series predictions causal? The potential system and dynamic causal effects." You can read it at shephard.scholars.harvard.edu/sites/g/file... Comments welcome. It is an epic read.

The conference was fantastic, highly recommend!

Very happy to see this paper on estimating dynamic treatments over time in print in Biometrika, joint work with Jelena Bradic link: academic.oup.com/biomet/advan...

Looking forward to this!

As Homeland Security’s siege on Minneapolis enters its third week, locals are volunteering for patrol shifts, protesting in the streets, and keeping one another up to date in group texts. Read more from @scottmeslow.bsky.social in Minneapolis:

I would, I think, normally have dismissed or at least shrugged at the Governor’s invocation of MN as a special place with its own ethos and distinct moral identity. But I lived there. And it’s true.

Thanks @paulgp.com !

New paper on analytic filtering, prediction and smoothing for a class of exponential family models. Interested in comments. We continue to work on this abstract setup with more general weight functions and loss functions --- hope to report results soon. tinbergen.nl/discussion-p...

Interesting paper highlight that binning can be misspecified in panel settings - this drives misinterpretation of extreme temperature shocks. #linkoftheday www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/1ya6z...

New working paper below!

⏰ We are hiring on the junior market! ⏰ Multiple open positions at the Oxford Department of Economics: econjobmarket.org/positions?sh... 2 positions associate professor open field, 1 position development econ. cc @oxfordecondept.bsky.social

New Working Paper w/ Aristotelis Epanomeritakis Applications often use experiments with other evidence to estimate counterfactuals hard to identify with a single experiment. Examples include GE effects or external validity. Which experiments to run (and how) in these contexts?

New paper: Triply Robust Panel Estimators (TROP) by @susanathey.bsky.social @guidoimbens.bsky.social Zhaonan Qu @vivianodavide.bsky.social. arxiv.org/pdf/2508.21536

Looking forward to this week’s booktalks and discussions! Sep 23: MIT Knight Science Journalism program ksj.mit.edu/events/ Sep 24: Harvard Kennedy School (including discussion with Dani Rodrik) www.hks.harvard.edu/events/book-... Sep 25: Yale Law School law.yale.edu/centers-work...

The full order: www.whitehouse.gov/presidential... Because this cam out of the blue and sudden: other, similar orders could come out of the blue and sudden. So those on visas will surely consider international travel a potential risk, and opt for zoom calls over flying when possible

i just want to convey the depth of my appreciation to our colleagues, in the broad sense, in the american and UK university systems, for continuing to teach the fact that trans people exist even though you are all going to be ceaselessly punished alongside us for it. thank you.

🆕 Macroeconomics and climate change 📢 Today on VoxDevTalks, @adrienbilal.bsky.social (@stanford.edu) discusses the research on macroeconomics and climate change – highlighting evidence gaps in mitigation, adaptation, and labour transitions: voxdev.org/topic/macroe...

We're hiring an Assistant Professor in Computational Social Science ❗ 📚 jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/... Apply before 26 October and join an internationally outstanding group of social science methodologists 🌎

I'm hiring a predoc to work w/ me on empirical IO/applied micro projects starting in Fall '26! Details below and instructions here: shoshanavasserman.com/call_for_pre... International students (who need J1) are welcome & non-econ bgs are fine given interest + curiosity. Please apply :)

#econsky www.thebanker.com/content/38c3...

Are you on the economics job market this year? Consider applying for the Nuffield postdoc at Oxford: econjobmarket.org/positions/11... It's an excellent opportunity for some extra research time in a great environment! (Econometrics and econ/ML applications particularly encouraged!)

I was the AEA's President Elect as the first Trump term began. We worried about government statistics then, and appointed a committee that included members (such as Google's Chief Economist) who might be in a position to help make reliable statistics available if the government went dark. #econsky

Independent reliable statistics are crucial in all modern democracies — and under attack in many parts of the world…

Dr. Erika McEntarfer has devoted her career to public service. She has conducted herself as BLS Commissioner with great integrity. There is no evidence whatsoever that BLS data are politically biased. #econsky

Very exciting and opens up many questions on how we evaluate these sources of data!

Looking forward to the NBER SI Thursday metrics session next week where we will be presenting work on remote sensed outcomes with Rahul Singh and Ashesh Rambachan. Here is the program www.nber.org/conferences/... and preview dviviano.github.io/projects/pre... Drop by if you are around!

insights.som.yale.edu/insights/whe... "The countries that succeed are the ones that are able to create institutions that attract talent from wherever it happens to be born."

🔥New #basicincome paper just posted:🔥 "Basic income and labor supply: Evidence from an RCT in Germany" (maybe not the wittiest title, but descriptive...) maxkasy.github.io/home/files/p... Feedback welcome, this is still subject to revisions!

Starting to look like I might not be able to work at Harvard anymore due to recent funding cuts. If you know of any open statistical consulting positions that support remote work or are NYC-based, please reach out! 😅

Sharing here the slides for the talks given this week: dviviano.github.io/projects/pre... (on using remote sensed outcomes for program evaluation) and dviviano.github.io/projects/val... (on learning generalizability/evidence aggregation)

Harvard's past international students include incubator of Moderna, co-founder of Facebook, at least 11 Nobel Prize winners, and 14 heads of state.

Fun project on formulating experimentation as an optimisation problem led by Tim Sudijono, who we were lucky to have as an intern this year.

How to design scientific communication when researchers have private incentives in how to conduct a research study (and/or in which statistics to report)? Exciting new project with Ravi Jagadeesan: dviviano.github.io/projects/pub...

Deeply honored and humbled by this recognition from the @aeainformation.bsky.social. I owe so much to my co-authors, colleagues, mentors, students & many others: support, inspiration, generosity. Endlessly grateful for all I have learned from you & hope to continue contributing to our field

How can we design algorithms that maximize social welfare, rather than profits? This paper merges multi-armed bandits and adversarial learning with optimal tax theory and welfare economics. @maxkasy @NicoloCB @Rcolomboni buff.ly/pxPY8nj

Congratulations @s-stantcheva.bsky.social !

Hi all, Emily Breza and I are currently hiring a full time research assistant for the next a.y. to work at the intersection of econometric methods and development economics. Some topics include meta-analysis, unstructured data and social networks! academicpositions.harvard.edu/postings/14839

Really enjoying the Network Science in Economics Conference at Stanford. Spoke about network experiments, including regarding manipulating social contagion and social connection. Hanging with @jacksonmatthewo.bsky.social and Mark Granovetter. :-)

US students. Looking to apply to graduate school? Had an offer rescinded recently? The University of British Columbia in Canada will re-open the application portal in some departments for US students from April 14-18. Details: www.grad.ubc.ca/us-applicant... #ubc #AcademicSky #PhDSky #ScienceSky

Important null results in development economics Despite the bias against publishing null results, they are important for policy, helping to kill bad ideas. I've highlighted some key examples we have featured on @voxdev.bsky.social: voxdev.org/topic/import...

We from @emoryeconomics.bsky.social are excited to host the "Econometrics in Emory: Causal Inference with Panel Data." 📅 May 2–3, 2025 🔗 econometricsatemory.com We aim to strengthen the relationship between academia and industry researchers so we all learn from each other!

The zero-sum mindset seems more and more relevant in the current environment. Thank you @harvardmagazine.bsky.social for the video where I explain our research on why zero-sum thinking is so important and where it comes from. www.youtube.com/watch?v=e16o...

👀

Last chance to apply to this year's Machine Learning in Economics Summer Institute, our AI/ML summer school for graduate students, co-organized with @sendhil.bsky.social @asheshrambachan.bsky.social @aleximas.bsky.social @lindseyraymond.bsky.social: www.chicagobooth.edu/research/cen... #econsky

For no particular reason, it might be a good time to repost my Starter pack of academic economists who study international trade go.bsky.app/G3dqAYg

Happy to receive an NSF grant on studying external validity in RCTs (joint with Emily and Arun). Many thanks to the excellent work of the program coordinators and reviewers. Crossing fingers for us all