🎉 New publication 🎉 Why do #youngpeople vote for the #AfD? This question has kept our research project busy for quite some time, so I'm beyond excited that our first article - co-authored with @timonscheuer.bsky.social - is now out in #GermanPolitics! 🤩 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

AI presents a fundamental threat to our ability to use polls to assess public opinion. Bad actors who are able to infiltrate panels can flip close election polls for less than the cost of a Starbucks coffee. Models will also infer and confirm hypotheses in experiments. Current quality checks fail

Now out @apsrjournal.bsky.social with page numbers! 🫒 We advance a new argument on how economic crises fuel support for far-right parties in left-behind places by tapping into long-standing community narratives shorturl.at/bA55v @catherinedevries.bsky.social

Parents exhibiting greater ideological constraint are more successful at passing along their political views to their children than are less ideologically constrained parents link.springer.com/article/10.1...

🚨 New paper with Maria Grasso on generational shifts in political values. Despite talk of rising age polarisation, we show that gaps in attitudes are stable or even narrowing. Economic attitudes move in cycles, while social values have become more liberal – mainly due to generational replacement.

Aika yllättävä veto, että vaalidataa laitetaan AWS pilveen (Ruotsin servereille). Kyse kuitenkin kriittisestä infrastruktuurista. Vaalitietojen näyttäminen ei ole enää ns. omissa käsissä. Olisi kiva kuulla kyber-osaajien mietteitä tästä. yle.fi/a/74-20191502

Ukraine may be repeating a costly mistake in Pokrovsk. It’s a recurring pattern, seen for example in Vuhledar and Kursk – a reluctance to conduct a controlled, militarily justified withdrawal from a threatened salient when the situation no longer favors the defender. 1/

Ennen: Mannerheim-linja Nyt: Linkola-linja

💫💫💫 Great News: We are over the moon that our paper "Election Pledges in Multiparty Governments: When do Voters Accept Non-Fulfillment?" is now published in BJPS @bjpols.bsky.social 🍾 🤗 👉🏻 doi.org/10.1017/S000... w/ Juha Ylisalo, Katrin Praprotnik & @laurenzennser.bsky.social 🧵1/5

The amount is meaningless — less than one day of salary. But the principle is important: once the armed services are paid by the oligarchs, they become a private militia, and we no longer have a country. www.nytimes.com/live/2025/10...

Now out in Party Politics 🎉 Our study (@jbpilet.bsky.social)suggests that when a mainstream right-wing party signals willingness to rule with the radical right, support for the radical right rises — while the mainstream gains nothing. 👉 A legitimisation effect. journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

Chatbots offer explicit vote advice ahead of elections. A simple prompt leads to receiving an advice for the Dutch October 29 elections ⬇️ The Dutch Data Protection Authority concluded: AI chatbots are not transparent, they are not auditable, and providers should prevent use as vote advice.

...in contrast to the study above, @miroslavnemcok.bsky.social @hannawass.bsky.social and Johanna Peltoniemi find that in Finland, the implementation of postal voting had a negligible effect on turnout across low-participation areas www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Great paper on the state of political science osf.io/preprints/os... by @guygrossman.bsky.social et. al. We have become more diverse, more quantitative, and more collaborative.

Online first: "Women’s descriptive representation in multi-level political systems: (almost) no pyramids found" The new research note by @adamgendzwill.bsky.social & Stanislaw Mazur doi.org/10.1080/0140...

New paper with @hjghassell.bsky.social and @michaelheseltine.bsky.social out in @bjpols.bsky.social. We develop measures of voter perceptions of candidate ideology and candidate messaging ideology and find that perception's are related to what candidates say www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

All EU countries appear to be gone in the Google political ad library By @lizcarolan.com

Now out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social. In our new article, @denis-cohen.bsky.social @thmskrr.bsky.social and I show that where local rent prices increase more, residents with lower incomes become more likely to support the radical right AfD. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

Depolarization is not "a scalable solution for reducing societal-level conflict.... achieving lasting depolarization will likely require....moving beyond individual-level treatments to address the elite behaviors and structural incentives that fuel partisan conflict" www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

Happy to see our study out! Our main takeaway is that while poor voters vote less often, are less ideologically aligned with their preferred party, and see their preferred party less often in government - voting still does not seem to explain unequal representation.

Millaista oli vaalijulkisuus viime presidentinvaaleissa? Mikä selittää presidentin korkeaa kansansuosiota? Tuore kokoomateos Presidentinvaalit 2024 avaa mm. näitä kysymyksiä. www.tuni.fi/fi/ajankohta... @pisotalus.bsky.social @elinakk.bsky.social @asavschoultz.bsky.social @isoveikko.bsky.social

🚨🚨🚨 Survey Researchers! WE HAVE A HUGE PROBLEM!🚨🚨🚨 I have access to the Comet browser by Perplexity. I asked it to pretend to be a human, take the survey, and give me feedback. IT DID!

Like this! sessioninfo::session_info() can now (or will after review) output to LaTeX #rstats github.com/r-lib/sessio...

📢 New paper alert: How does war shape democratic values? Conflict exposure and democratic values: Evidence from wartime Ukraine by @kristinmbakke.bsky.social, Marianne Dahl & Kit Rickard. 📖 Published in the @jpeaceresearch.bsky.social special issue on Political Violence in Democracies. 👇🧵

Map of Russian drones currently found in Poland:

Russia dropped a 250kg guided bomb on pensioners waiting in line for their monthly payments in the frontline Yarova village At least 24 civilians killed, 19 wounded in what officials call a deliberate act of terrorism euromaidanpress.com/2025/09/09/r...

Radical right accommodation really does not work. New paper out with this exceptionally talented team @katharinalawall.bsky.social @robjohns75.bsky.social @drjennings.bsky.social @sarahobolt.bsky.social @zachdickson.bsky.social @danjdevine.bsky.social & @jack-bailey.co.uk doi.org/10.31235/osf...

That’s two reported ChatGPT suicides in one week, plus the grandpa who died trying to meet Meta’s chatbot which had arranged an in-person meeting All going really well

Highly recommend giving it a read! What a fun and insightful writing journey. Also, I’m new here on Bluesky, excited to connect!

{tinytable} 0.13.0 for #RStats can now draw interactive tables with sorting, filtering & pages! And the 📦 is still an ultra-simple, powerful, and 0-dep way to create beautiful tables in basically any format: tex, typ, docx, pdf, png, md, etc Gallery & Docs: vincentarelbundock.github.io/tinytable/

"Plans are in the works to send at least one of Trump’s favorite interlocutors, Finnish President Alexander Stubb, along with Zelenskyy when he comes to Washington Monday to meet with Trump, according to two European diplomats and a person familiar with the matter."

Ukrainian forces are decimating the Russian battle group north of Pokrovsk. In the process substantial part of that latest incursion was liberated. A portion of the Russian army, probably parts of the 132nd Brigade, are encircled Kucheriv Yar.

🎉 Delighted to share new research out today: The Political Consequences of the Mental Load 📄 European Sociological Review doi.org/10.1093/esr/jcaf019 @europeansocreview.bsky.social What happens to political engagement when the “mental load” of running a household gets too heavy? 🧵

Grad programs often don't teach folks how to write good reviewer reports. Here are some resources: 1. @brendannyhan.bsky.social review checklist: thepoliticalmethodologist.files.wordpress.com/2016/02/tpm_... 2. "How to Write an Effective Referee Report": aeaweb.org/articles?id=... What else?

Bohdan Krotevych, former chief of staff of the Azov national guard brigade: “Mr President, I sincerely don’t know what exactly is being reported to you, but I’m informing you: on the Pokrovsk-Kostyantynivka line, without exaggeration, it’s complete chaos.” on.ft.com/47t4pF1

Look at how exercising close to bedtime can destroy your sleep quality.

Do the rich ditch politics? In their newest article, Anton Brännlund and Rafael Ahlskog examine how individual wealth affects political participation using evidence from Sweden: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Why do parties do what they do? Excited to share my 2nd dissertation paper, just published in @jeppjournal.bsky.social In the paper, I argue that parties seek internal unity and try to keep the team together: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... 1/11 🧵

#AcademicLife in Ukraine: preparing for lectures at night during a massive missile attack on Kyiv in an overcrowded underground station #EconSky #UkrainianView #RStats

Even in times of sociocultural conflict, a progressive left electorate is more averse to sociocultural *and* socioeconomic inequalities than (far) right voters. New paper with @siljahausermann.bsky.social Palmtag @tabouchadi.bsky.social @stefwalter.bsky.social Berkinshaw tinyurl.com/d42wyb79 1/n

💥New paper💥 1)LLMs achieve superb accuracy detecting negative campaigning ACROSS languages and countries - enabling a new paradigm of comparative political research 2)We use this to carry out the largest cross-country study to date: 18M tweets from MPs across 19 countries arxiv.org/abs/2507.17636

Intergenerational occupational mobility influences far-right support across both countries and time but only downward mobility matters in a correctly estimated model. Happy to see this work with @alanjacobs.bsky.social appearing in @cpsjournal.bsky.social. journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

To understand what triggered the protests and the unexpected reaction in Ukraine, it’s essential to know the context - especially for those who don’t follow Ukraine’s internal politics. 🧵Thread: 1/ First, the protest isn’t aimed at the President personally, but at a specific law passed yesterday.

Kävin tänään puhumassa äänestysikärajan laskusta. Tämä on yksi omista lempiaiheista, joita olen opiskelijoille opettanut Poliittisen osallistumisen -kurssilla. Kuuntele Yle Areenassa: areena.yle.fi/1-75691807

Voice is one of the most talked-about, and least explained, aspects of academic writing. We’re told to “find it,” but rarely taught how to build it. I wrote up some reflections here: 👉 open.substack.com/pub/catherin... A 🧵 about why so much academic writing feels voiceless & what to do about it.

Voting age for UK general elections to be lowered to 16. 👏 Hopefully this will strengthen the power of younger voters. Also, getting people to vote when they are school age increases the probability of voting in their first election, which sets a “voting habit” early. www.bbc.com/news/article...

Why do people support policies that go against their interests? Miroslav Nemčok and coauthors show that voters shift their views to match their party, even when that means supporting painful welfare cuts. Out now in POQ: doi.org/10.1093/poq/... @miroslavnemcok.bsky.social @hannawass.bsky.social

📣 NEW PAPER ALERT! 🚨 "School subject choices in adolescence affect political party support" Just published in @wepsocial.bsky.social with @nspmartin.bsky.social and @rolandkappe.bsky.social. doi.org/10.1080/0140... 🧵👇

1/ New working paper out (w/ Love Christensen & Jana Schwenk @janaschwenk.bsky.social @lchristensen.bsky.social): "Processing Macroeconomic Signals: Voter Responses to Growth, Unemployment, Inflation and Stock Markets" 🧵