We don't lack plans. We lack plans designed for the actual problem we face. brianenevoldsen.substack.com/p/we-stopped...

1/ Why is atmospheric CO₂ accelerating faster than fossil fuel emissions are growing? The answer is buried in the data, and it's more worrying than most people realise. A thread. 🧵👇

The % of renewables is irrelevant to climate change. Only the actual fossil fuel emissions count (not %). So it's great that solar is growing rapidly in Pakistan, but the question is how fast are fossil fuels dropping, if at all? bsky.app/profile/clim...

1/ For those of us keeping an eye on systemic #climate risks, these aren’t difficult dots to connect. I find it downright frightening. We need to brace for impacts and spring into preparedness now. This thread outlines 6 key papers and what we can do in response. ⬇️🧵

I see ClimateSky is doing another round of “does focusing on reducing methane emissions distract from reducing CO2 emissions” and I would just like to say emissions of both gases are still going up and emissions of both gases urgently need to come down

We must not risk replacing one reduction target with another, methane instead of carbon dioxide. We must do both, with separate targets. On a personal note, these targets must be radical and fast, our current situation demands it.

BIG, EXCITING NEWS! Dr. Kate Marvel @drkatemarvel.bsky.social -- world-leading climate scientist and author -- is coming to Project Drawdown after leaving NASA. She will be a Senior Scientist, leading an exciting new initiative on "Emergency Brake" climate solutions. drawdown.org/news/world-r...

We model the average. Reality delivers the extremes… Low-probability, high-impact scenarios at 2C can rival typical impacts at 3–4C Key risks: Crop failures, extreme rainfall and flooding, increased wildfires Key lesson: plan for the extremes, not the mean www.nature.com/articles/d41...

(1/ Climate change is accelereting, and a growing body of evidence indicates, that even the acceleration itself is accelereting. We must act with radical urgency no matter the costs.

Danmark har erklæret et rungende nej tak til grøn omstilling. Det er mere end klart efter sidste valg. Her i landet er de politikere der aktivt søger klimakoas, klart de foretrukne. Fandes også at man naivt håber, at demokrati kan sikre en beboelig planet.

1/ Yesterday @wmo-global.bsky.social made Earth's Energy Imbalance a headline #climate indicator for the first time. I think this could be a significant reframing of climate discourse, and it's worth paying close attention to why. 🧵

*Earth is falling out of balance faster than ever* That’s a main takeaway from the WMO State of the Global Climate Report 2025. I want to highlight a figure and to be clear, I annotated it. This figure shows the amount of energy being retained by the Earth system… 1/

Those greenhouse gas concentrations are affecting the energy balance of the Earth and trapping energy in the Earth system. Fundamentally, it's this imbalance that is driving climate change and the rate is increasing.

A great analysis. That said, we do not need surprises like runaway feedbacks or acceleration to be fucked on a huge scale. Even on our current trajectory, ecological collapse, tipping points, and feedbacks will set in with a high degree of certainty. That will make us lose time and control.

On which online platforms do you see the most mis- and disinformation? And on which topics? This and other questions are answered in a major analysis of 3.3 million posts by Science Feedback. Be aware and vigilant - don't get fooled by misinformation! science.feedback.org/second-measu...

🌊🌡📈 BREAKING 🚨 March 18 shows a new daily record high global Sea Surface Temperature. Without an El Niño. The next two years will be something to behold. Unprecedented for hundreds of thousands of years!

Bill's Climate Catch-up #7 Subscribe to read this week's paid content in my #CoolEarth newsletter Lot's of free stuff too 🙂

This is a stumper! www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...

I've created a new dashboard for The Climate Brink that is updated daily with ERA5 global mean surface temperature data. It includes daily anomalies, monthly and annual forecasts, and a bunch of interactive data visualizations: dashboard.theclimate...

The real insanity isn’t how much oil prices have spiked, it’s that we’re still burning oil for energy.

Don't rely on conservative scientists to inform you about existential risks!

Uncertainty have not been on our side so far.

Stability isn’t restored by reassurance. It’s restored when response speed matches system change.

Read this graph carefully. If it makes you uneasy, you’re reading it correctly. We need to act now!

Short-term stabilization can amplify long-term instability. Reactive systems consume their own buffers.

Revealed: 10 new insights in climate science (and they are not good) www.esa.int/Applications...

Conveniently forgotten. @ipcc.bsky.social AR6 SPM C.3 : "Hard limits to adaptation have been reached in some ecosystems (high confidence). With increasing global warming, losses and damages will increase and additional human and natural systems will reach adaptation limits (high confidence)."

🧵 If warming continues to 3°C above pre-industrial we will have crossed a number of tipping points. Droughts in some regions and extreme rainfall in others will result in widespread crop failures and global food shortages. www.theguardian.com/environment/...

As trust erodes, long-term planning becomes harder to sustain. Governance turns reactive.

My professional opinion as an ecologist: 3°C heating takes out most biodiversity on planet Earth Most species live in less than a 2°C range of climate zones A brief explainer bsky.app/profile/prof...

Between 1.5–2°C we do not meet a cliff, but a rapidly steepening risk landscape — where extremes intensify, adaptation pressure rises, and the probability of “awakening dragons” increases.

Repeated failure erodes trust. Not because action is rejected — but because outcomes diverge from expectations.

Emails Show Epstein Scheming That Environmental Destruction Could Solve “Overpopulation” | Article by Joe Wilkins (@joeonhere.bsky.social) for @futurism.com: futurism.com/science-ener...

When conditions destabilize, averages lose meaning. Variability, not trends, begins to govern outcomes.

Plans rarely fail from lack of intent. They fail when underlying conditions shift faster than institutions can adapt.

Governance depends on predictability. As volatility rises, control becomes harder to sustain.

Updated climate indicators graphics, now including 2025 ed-hawkins.github.io/climate-visu...

I’m unconvinced (and @ccallahan45.bsky.social’s has analysis that supports this) this can’t be explained by the rate of greenhouse gas emissions. But anyways, striking article in the same issue in which the editorial board supports EPA’s repeal of the funding that GHGs endanger health and welfare

We don't know what's happening, but there's no good news here. As long as we keep burning fossil fuels, the world will continue to become more dangerous and chaotic.

Ignoring necessity doesn’t preserve choice. It shifts decisions from deliberation to emergency.

Wonderful talk. The best of the maybe 10 I saw over the years. Some slides are made for beginners. Emotion and ethics r pointed out. Attention pulled to experts in lying, eg 🇨🇦Carney and the now-IPCC chair Skea. And calls for self-empowerment: push for progress within your radius so it can spread🕸️💪

The worst people in the world doing evil and stupid things.

The combined direct economic toll from the recent clustering of strong windstorms in Portugal and Spain now tops €8bn ($9.5bn). This total will increase as this primarily accounts for wind and flood damage to agriculture and infrastructure. Storm Kristin Storm Leonardo (Stephie) Storm Marta

Nature's 'engine is grinding to a halt' as climate change gains pace, says study phys.org/news/2026-02...