Breaking News! Code Yikes! This last August saw a record low for average August Arctic sea-ice thickness, the first time below 1 meter, with data going back to 1979. Still waiting for September data. Will we see a new all-time record low? The Climate 8-ball is drunk again.

Back over 1.5°C again and on the way up. Coral has tipped. AMOC, Amazon, boreal forests, Antarctica, Greenland, permafrost, etc., are tipping. The Climate 8-ball says, "Not to be!"

Your 'moment of doom' for Oct. 13, 2025 ~ The end of coral. "We are rapidly approaching multiple Earth system tipping points that could transform our world, with devastating consequences for people and nature..." www.cnn.com/2025/10/13/c...

Your 'doom quote' for today: "Barring a miracle, the next twenty years are going to see increasingly chaotic systemic transformations in global climate patterns ..." sohopress.com/books/were-d...

Your 'moment of doom' for Oct. 12, 2025 ~ The end of bees. "Fifteen species of bumblebee, which play a crucial role in pollinating peas, beans, peanuts and clover ... are now classified as threatened." www.theguardian.com/environment/...

Your 'doom quote' for today: "Only a massive shock that is both severe and durable can open the window of opportunity wide enough that we will achieve the systemic changes that are needed to attain sufficient climate action." cup.columbia.edu/book/saving-...

Your 'moment of neo-fascist kakistocracy' for today: "CDC has no leadership across multiple centers and offices... CDC cannot respond to this threat, which has the potential to kill hundreds of millions of people." rasmussenretorts.substack.com/p/the-death-...

Your 'moment of doom' for Oct. 11, 2025 ~ Everything is fine. "The invisible gas can be seen in streams of bubbles originating on the seafloor of Antarctica's Ross Sea ... describing the mechanism as 'seemingly widespread' throughout the region... " abcnews.go.com/Internationa...

Your 'doom quote' for today: "Even with years of valiant efforts by countless people and groups, and important reductions in some areas, overall, we are not reducing CO2 emissions." www.amazon.com/Waking-Up-Co...

Your 'moment of doom' for Oct. 10, 2025 ~ Joining the party. "We have now seen three of the five worst harvests on record this decade... This is what farming with climate change looks like, as extreme weather wrecks harvests..." www.independent.co.uk/climate-chan...

Your 'doom quote' for today: "we are close to a tipping point in the Arctic sea-ice system, from the state where there has been year-round sea ice for tens of thousands of years to one where there isn't." newsociety.com/book/a-brief...

I has been a very long time since I posted this list of 40 consequences of climate change. But, it's important to take note of item number 40. I truly wish things were going to get better, but sadly, it's all just going to get more f&%ked from here. climatecasino.net/2021/10/top-...

Whether it's minimum extent, thickness or volume, there is no evidence that Arctic sea-ice is in rapid decline at the moment. All three variables have been stable for about the last 15 years. Then again, Arctic sea-ice f&%kery could always get going again next year. Or the year after that.

Your 'bonus moment of doom' for today ~ remembering the halcyon days of the 2013-2015 pacific ocean blob. "It is, based on experts’ descriptions of it, the blob to end all blobs." www.cnn.com/2025/10/09/w...

Your 'moment of doom' for Oct. 9, 2025 ~ Arctic FUBAR "If orange rivers are the first sign, what comes next could redefine the planet’s climate system, and faster than anyone imagined. What began as an aesthetic anomaly has become a planetary alarm..." www.ecoticias.com/en/arctic-tu...

Your 'doom quote' for today: "Modernity is post-apocalyptic. It's been that way from the start. It is born out of devastation: the destruction of the fabric of the living world and the destruction of the weave of culture." www.chelseagreen.com/product/at-w...

I was at UCSB 1998-2009. It was amazing then to see Nobel prize winners walking across campus (previous winners in 1998/2000/2004/2014), and it's amazing now to have it happen again. www.noozhawk.com/ucsb-profess...

My latest animation of the global surface temperature anomaly, 1851 - 2025 (current through September).

The final data for 2025 is in, and the planet saw 152 days with the global 2m surface temperature at or above the pre-industrial maximum of 15.5°C. This is just short of 154 days in 2023 and the record 160 days in 2024. Next year? The Climate 8-ball is temporarily furloughed.

Your 'moment of doom' for Oct. 8, 2025 ~ The other overshoot. "This is a bigger concern that I have – that we are pushing the habitability in our societies on this planet above that limit and towards maybe existential limits." www.carbonbrief.org/experts-the-...

Your 'doom quote' for today: "To repeat, humanity should be realizing that unlike any other problem that we face, the outcome of climate destabilization, whatever it is, would be irreversible." www.amazon.com/Denial-Self-...

This graphic shows average Arctic sea-ice thickness (average monthly volume divided by average monthly extent, 12-month running average). October, 2017, saw the minimum, at 1.228 meters. Current is 1.267 meters and falling fast. What's next? The Climate 8-ball is frozen solid.

Sad and tired ... businessinsider.com/how-luxury-d...

Your 'doom quote' for today: "The current extinction has its own novel cause: not an asteroid or a massive volcanic eruption, but one weedy species... We're seeing right now that a mass extinction can be caused by human beings." us.macmillan.com/books/978125...

Your 'moment of doom' for Oct. 7, 2025 ~ our yesterdays have lighted fools. "The failure of carbon offsets to cut planet-heating pollution is 'not due to a few bad apples', ... but down to deep-seated systemic problems that incremental change will not solve." www.theguardian.com/environment/...

Your 'doom quote' for today: "Perhaps the most forgivable reason why scientists have not gotten more involved is because they love science, and believe that truth wins out in the end." www.bloomsbury.com/us/merchants...

Your 'moment of doom' for Oct. 6, 2025 ~ Uninhabitable. "...these large, flowing bodies of ice can take decades to fully adjust to the rapidly warming climate... even if global temperatures stabilised tomorrow, glaciers would continue to retreat." www.bbc.com/news/article...

I find little to distinguish between the near-term human extinction folks, who for nearly a decade preached there would be no humans left on Earth by 2026, and those who believed the rapture would happen last month. Unfortunately, there is no easy way out of this predicament.

I mean, who isn't on tenterhooks waiting to see if September, 2025, gives a new record low for total Arctic sea-ice volume, beating 2012's record low? I know I am! psc.apl.uw.edu/wordpress/wp...

Your 'bonus moment of doom' for today: “We were literally forced to word search our own website and take down articles because they didn’t want to read the word ‘equity’, or other related terms.” www.motherjones.com/politics/202...

The latest Copernicus data from October 3rd put the planet at a daily surface temperature anomaly of 1.51°C over the 1850-1900 IPCC pre-industrial baseline. And it looks like the anomaly will be heading back over 1.60°C in the next few days. Stay tuned! www.karstenhaustein.com/climate

And I am telling you ...

Your 'doom quote' for today: "Then there is the third possibility, the one that I as a scientist believe is most likely: the ice sheets melt rapidly, the sea rises ferociously, and all the scenarios set forth in this book come to pass." www.biblio.com/book/flooded...

Your 'moment of doom' for Oct. 5, 2025 ~ In other words. "The study warns that previous approaches, which relied on observed trends over limited timeframes, may have underestimated future warming due to their inability to capture systemic changes..." www.eurasiareview.com/05102025-ant...

It looks like I chose the wrong month to stop sniffing glue. gml.noaa.gov/ccgg/trends_...

Your 'doom quote' for today: "So why isn't anybody doing anything? How can everybody ignore so vast a problem? Doesn't anybody care?" www.amazon.com/How-Prepare-...

How fast is the planet warming right now? By looking at daily decadal differences in temperature we get a rate of about 0.35°C per decade. However, the rate of warming itself is increasing and is forecast to reach 0.40°C per decade by the early 2030's.

Your 'moment of doom' for Oct. 4, 2025 ~ Forever. "Advocates are particularly concerned over the facilities’ use of Pfas gas, or f-gas, which can be potent greenhouse gases, and may mean datacenters’ climate impact is worse than previously thought." www.theguardian.com/environment/...

2025 is at 108 days above the Paris Limit and counting ... Graphic suggested by @BritpolInRussia on Twitter.

Your 'moment of doom' for Oct. 3, 2025 ~ Yes, and? "As the world’s climate gets hotter, warming ocean waters combine with warmer air that can hold much more moisture, to create stronger and more destructive precipitation events." news.mongabay.com/2025/10/clim...

The maximum global mean surface temperature (GMST) was 15.48°C for the 1850-1900 pre-industrial period. In other words, the GMST never broke 15.50°C. This graphic shows the number of times per year the GMST broke 15.50°C, from 1940 to 2024. 2025 is at 149 and counting.

Your 'doom quote' for today: "From pole to pole, our demands on the environment are causing irreversible destruction. Few now doubt that changes to our way of life are necessary if we are to avert a global catastrophe." www.goodreads.com/book/show/20...

Your 'doom quote' for today: "Global warming is in actuality the least of our problems (though, yes, it is indeed a problem). In fact, all that focus on global warming obscures just how bad the situation really is." www.powells.com/book/earth-g...

Your 'moment of doom' for Oct. 2, 2025 ~ The end of ice. “It is only a matter of time before summertime melt accelerates again. This is not a good news story, especially since in many other months we still see a clear downward trend…" www.carbonbrief.org/antarctic-se...

Breaking News! Code Yikes! September averaged 1.47°C above the 1850-1900 IPCC pre-industrial baseline, snapping a three-month "cool" streak. Will this heat continue? The Climate 8-ball is consulting the I Ching.

Beware of those who misuse "exponential" in their misunderstanding and false explanations of climate data. It's a big word, lots of syllables, but I'm telling you straight out, they are misuing it over and over again. And "acceleration" is bad enough.

There is a lot of misinformation out there about Arctic sea-ice volume. No, volume is not at an all-time low or even an all-time monthly August low. Yes, volume is 3rd lowest on record for the month of August, behind 2012 & 2019. September data will be out in about a week.

Your 'doom quote' for today: "Many scientists believe that anything more than an increase of 0.1°C per decade -- 1.0°C over the next century -- would present unacceptable risks to natural systems as well as to the human economy." www.amazon.com/Climate-Hope...

Another must watch from Sabine: youtu.be/5UsKzOkOn-c?...

Your 'moment of doom' for Oct. 1, 2025 ~ The moronocene. "We can no longer pretend that we are sleepwalking into climate catastrophe. We are doing it consciously, with our eyes wide open, and hang the consequences." www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...