Sam Mitchell of Collapse Chronicles is moving to Substack. If you're a fan, follow him there: substack.com/@samhambonem...

With 4 days of data to go, November, 2025, will likely end up as the third warmest November on record and third warmest November in the last 120,000+ years. November will also mark the second consecutive month breaking 1.5°C over the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline. Stay tuned!

Your 'moment of doom' for Nov. 28, 2025 ~ The enemy "Human activity is the primary cause of the problem. Farmers are clearing more land for food production. Infrastructure projects and mining are exacerbating the loss of vegetation and global heating... " www.theguardian.com/environment/...

Your 'doom quote' for today: “we humans have made a mess of our civilization and our planet, and not enough of us seem to care enough to change deeply enough or quickly enough to save ourselves.” www.amazon.com/Life-After-D...

Your 'moment of doom' for Nov. 27, 2025 ~ Thankstaking in Murica. "Raising and processing a four-ounce turkey serving is the equivalent of nearly three miles’ worth of tailpipe emissions." evrimagaci.org/gpt/thanksgi...

Meanwhile, while the Arctic sets new record daily lows, the global surface temperature continues setting new record daily highs.

Your 'doom quote' for today: "We'll look for almost any reason not to change our attitudes; the inertia of the established order is powerful. If we can think of a plausible, or even implausible, reason to discount environmental warnings, we will." www.goodreads.com/book/show/19...

Is Bill McKibben now a doomer? Did Rupert Read take the blue pill? I just signed up for this. eldersaction.org/event/podcas...

Breaking News! Code Yikes! As of November 25th, Arctic sea-ice extent just hit a new record daily low and is now more than 32,000 km² below the previous record low for the date, set in 2016. Current extent is more than 1,360,000 km² below the 1991-2020 average.

I ran a little poll over on X/Twitter. And just as I suspected, over 10% of X/Twitter users who are climate deniers, idiots or disinformation trolls are, in fact, lobotomized hamsters.

Arctic sea-ice extent current ranks 2nd lowest for the day since record began in 1979, and are on track to set a new daily record low in the next few days. Is this the real life? Is this just fantasy? The Climate 8-ball says there's no escape from reality.

Your 'moment of doom' for Nov. 26, 2025 ~ Have an ice day! "This area in the Canadian Archipelago is expected to be the last place on the planet to have sea ice intact. Scientists predict this final melting could happen as early as the coming decade." news.umanitoba.ca/the-last-ice/

Your 'doom quote' for today: "Fossil fules—oil, coal, and gas—are all that remain of organisms that, many millions of years ago, drew carbon from the atmosphere ... Digging up the dead in this way is a particularly bad thing for the living to do." www.goodreads.com/book/show/48...

CERES has been catching up after the end of the US government shutdown. Many thanks to all the CERES folks for their working overtime to get us this info. What info? For example, that the Earth energy imbalance is back up to 10.4 Hiroshimas per second. ceres-tool.larc.nasa.gov/ord-tool/jsp...

Breaking News! Code UFB!!! y-axis Alert! Data just dropped from CERES for September, 2025, and yet another record low for Earth albedo was set, with the 36-month reaching below 28.70% for the first time, coming in at 28.693%. Everything is not fine.

Earlier in 2025, the Arctic saw a record low sea-ice maximum. As of yesterday, Arctic sea-ice was 2nd lowest for the date on record. Are we headed for an even lower sea-ice maximum in 2026? The Climate 8-ball is busy training its brain weasels.

Your 'moment of doom' for Nov. 25, 2025 ~ and he is us "the species extinction rate is estimated to be between 1 000 and 10 000 times higher than natural extinction rates – the rate of species extinctions that would occur if we humans were not around.” www.2oceansvibe.com/environment-...

Your 'doom quote' for today: "what lies between us and extinction is horrifying enough, and we have not yet begun to contemplate what it means to live under those conditions..." www.barnesandnoble.com/w/the-uninha...

The Climate 8-ball is considering its options.

Your 'doom quote' for today: "Industrial countries have a moral and practical responsibility to lead. After all, they largely created the climate problem, and they have the technology and money needed to solve it." www.amazon.com/Climate-Hope...

Your 'moment of doom' for Nov. 24, 2025 ~ There goes the sun. "Stardust could be capable of significantly altering the climate of the entire world in only a few years — and potentially wreaking unforeseeable environmental and geopolitical turmoil." www.politico.com/news/magazin...

Breaking News! Code UFB!!! On November 22nd, the planet hit 1.81°C above the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline, making it the warmest November 22nd on record, and likely the warmest November 22nd in the last 120,000 years. Hot times ahead.

This graphic predicts future temperatures, based on continued accelerated warming: 1.50°C by 2026 2.00°C by 2036 2.50°C by 2045 2.85°C by 2050 Of course, a lot of non-linearities are possible before 2050. Like a net-zero, carbon-free, sustainable vegan utopia. Or the other ...

This overview takes you inside the COP30 rooms where it happened ... I found the 'fossil-fuel roadmap' discussion to be the most chilling. "On Saturday morning, a new mutirão text appeared – this one also without any reference to a fossil-fuel roadmap." www.carbonbrief.org/cop30-key-ou...

Cherry picking at its finest -- the Climate 8-ball's bullshit meter has officially risen to 11. unfccc.int/sites/defaul...

The final agreement from COP30 doesn't mention fossil fuels, argues we are only 80% of the way to 1.5C, sets out an insane timeline of GHG reductions, and mentions 'a rapidly narrowing window.' The COP is dead and burried. And COP30 was the final nail. unfccc.int/sites/defaul...

Your 'bonus moment of doom' for today: "Iran’s capital must be moved because the country 'no longer has a choice,' President Masoud Pezeshkian said on Thursday ... warning that severe ecological strain has made Tehran impossible to sustain." www.iranintl.com/en/202511209...

The latest data point (for November 21, 2025) was 1.79°C over pre-industrial, just 0.02°C below the record for the day set in 2023. Will tomorrow bring a new daily record? The Climate 8-ball is optimistic. Stay tuned!

Your 'doom quote' for today: "One day the AIs are going to look back on us the same way we look at fossil skeletons on the plains of Africa. An upright ape living in dust with crude language and tools, all set for extinction." www.imdb.com/title/tt0470...

Your 'moment of doom' for Nov. 23, 2025 ~ Both sides now. "the decreased cloud cover in the Spring ... can help to accelerate sea ice melt and ocean warming through increased solar heating reaching the ocean surface" alaskaclimate.substack.com/p/arctic-clo...

Your 'bonus moment of doom' for today: "Countries meeting in Brazil for two weeks could manage only a voluntary agreement to begin discussions on a roadmap to an eventual phase out of fossil fuels ..." www.theguardian.com/environment/...

This year will end with about 150-160 days at or above the Paris limit of 1.50°C, down from a record 271 days in 2024. These are the days, my friend.

Your 'doom quote' for today: "As bright, white surfaces like sea ice and snow shrink, less of the sun's energy is reflected back into space; instead it is absorbed into the climate system, which in turn melts even more ice and snow." www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/709837...

Your 'moment of doom' for Nov. 22, 2025 ~ And I am telling you. "This translates to existential risks for billions of people. Not far in the future, but within the next few years for extreme events, and within decades for tipping points." theconversation.com/the-world-lo...

This graphic shows the rate of heating of Earth since January, 2002, expressed as Hiroshimas per Year. The linear trendline has the current rate of heating just under 350 million Hiroshimas per year.

Your 'bonus moment of doom' for today: "Despite great progress in clean energy development (solar, wind, geothermal), global warming has accelerated, as the growth rate of the human-made climate forcing is increasing, not declining (Fig. 1)." www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailin...

Breaking News! Code Yikes! It's official, 2025 recorded the second lowest sea-ice extent maximum on record, with only 2024 seeing a lower maximum. And 2016 holds third place, with a maximum about 17,000 km² more than 2025. Will 2026 see a new record low maximum? Stay tuned!

Your 'doom quote' for today: "it [doomism] may constitute the greatest threat of all to climate action thee days, because it targets not climate deniers or delayers, but those most likely to support action." www.hachettebookgroup.com/titles/micha...

Your 'moment of doom' for Nov. 21, 2025 ~ No exit. "Brazil faced pressure from some petrostates – including Saudi Arabia, Russia and some large fossil fuel consumers including India – to omit the potential resolution." www.theguardian.com/environment/...

Your 'bonus moment of doom' for today: "It was climbing the walls and onto the ceiling. People were screaming...Hundreds of people are now sitting on the floor or on plastic chairs outside in high temperatures and humidity." www.bbc.com/news/article...

The latest, from November 18, has the planet at 1.61°C above pre-industrial. Will the planet reach an anomaly of 1.80°C above pre-industrial over the coming few days, as forecast? The Climate 8-ball is busy eating gobsmacking bananas.

Your 'moment of doom' for Nov. 20, 2025 ~ Bright green truths. "A global pandemic, competing existential crises and the sinister spread of right-wing populism have exhausted so many of us, rendering us either too shell-shocked or cynical to engag with something so painful."

Your 'doom quote' for today: "we offer this stark warning: if humanity fails to combat the great global crises we face today, there won't be an Earth--at least not one that we'd recognize." www.hachettebookgroup.com/titles/micha...

Your 'bonus moment of doom' for today: "When the planet heats up beyond 1.5 degrees, the impacts don't get just slightly worse. Scientists warn that massive, self-reinforcing changes could be set off, having devastating impacts around the world." www.npr.org/2025/11/19/n...

This graphic shows the difference from the 1981-2010 baseline. Add about 0.60°C to get the anomaly above the 1850-1900 IPCC pre-industrial baseline. In other words, an anomaly over pre-industrial above 1.80°C is likely in the next few days. www.karstenhaustein.com/climate

The Earth energy imbalance (EEI) is best looked at over longer periods, as short-term impacts from ENSO, volcanoes, solar cycle, cloud cover and aerosols can create a lot of volatility. Here is a graph showing the 36-month running average for the EEI, currently at 11.2 HpS.

Your 'doom quote' for today: "Doomism produces viral social media content--what's been termed 'climate doom porn,' marked by dramatic but unsupported claims of collapsing ice sheets, runaway warming, and imminent extinction." michaelmann.net/books/scienc...

Your 'moment of doom' for Nov. 19, 2025 ~ Losing ourselves. "This fragmentation isn’t just a social concern – it’s a risk multiplier. Divided societies struggle to mount coordinated responses to threats, from climate adaptation to pandemic preparedness." riskandinsurance.com/the-fragment...

Sabine the doomer? "And I guess that’s the thing that’s so frustrating about this. That it’s all so obvious. We were obviously never going to do anything about this until it’s way too late." www.youtube.com/watch?v=p5Gh...

For those rooting for 600%, we made it! As of November 18, Santa Barbara has seen 622% of normal rainfall to date. This is the most November rain in Santa Barbara in over 127 years. www.independent.com/2025/11/17/s...