🆕 Formateur expectations & #VotingBehaviour Looking at #CSES and German 🇩🇪 pre-election surveys Reut Itzkovitch-Malka, @liranharsgor.bsky.social & @ortuttnauer.com discuss "formateur optimization" – when voters back parties likely to lead. 📖

💻 Attending the @ecpr.bsky.social webinar on #Israel's domestic political landscape after the #Gaza war tomorrow? 📘 Get up to speed on Israel's political developments + data in the latest report for PDY from @liranharsgor.bsky.social and @roizur.bsky.social. ➡️ bit.ly/48uS83v

Writing about Israel is emotionally challenging, but equally important to me. Thanks, @liranharsgor.bsky.social for inviting me to collaborate on this @pdyearbook.bsky.social report. Hopefully, next year's report won't have such a somber tone. ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

Writing a report about Israeli politics in 2024 for @pdyearbook.bsky.social was quite a challenge. Luckily, I had @roizur.bsky.social as a collaborator. We hope this report helps make sense of an extremely difficult period in the country’s history. ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

🚨New #polisky publication 🚨 In @ejprjournal.bsky.social, Reut Itzkovitch-Malka, @liranharsgor.bsky.social and I ask: when do voters back a party that's not their top pick, but has a real shot at being the the next PM's party? The answer is a mix of preferences, expectations, and uncertainty 1/4

Do voters strategically attempt to affect the identity of the next prime minister? In a new paper at @ejprjournal.bsky.social, we show they do! Using @cses.bsky.social and German surveys, we find when and how "formateur optimization" is more likely to occur @ortuttnauer.com doi.org/10.1017/S147...

Looking forward to have your submissions of gender-related papers to our section on elections, parties and voters at the #ECPG26. Deadline: November 7 💪

#OpenAccess from July 2025 - Disentangling the Relationship Between Prospective Expectations and Policy Preferences in Violent Conflicts - cup.org/3IUnTrV - ‪@ayakter.bsky.social & @liranharsgor.bsky.social#OpenAccess

Delighted to say I'm chairing a section at ECPG 2026 with @jess-smith.bsky.social @rosieshorrocks.bsky.social @gefjonoff.bsky.social and @liranharsgor.bsky.social on Elections, Parties, and Voters! Please send your abstracts in - full info here: ecpr.eu/Events/Event... @ecprgender.bsky.social

My 12yo in the protests today, calling for a deal for the release of the hostages and ending the war in Gaza. I'm so proud of her.

Peacemaking public sentiment can be bootstrapped. Evidence from a hopeful study by @liranharsgor.bsky.social and @ayakter.bsky.social

The Oct 7 events & heartbreaking devastation in Gaza have deepened pessimism in the region. While it’s hard to imagine a way out now, our new @bjpols.bsky.social letter (w/ @liranharsgor.bsky.social) reaffirms that improving expectations for an agreement could raise support for compromises ▶️🧵1/10

NEW - Disentangling the Relationship Between Prospective Expectations and Policy Preferences in Violent Conflicts - cup.org/3IUnTrV "...changes in prospective expectations do predict subsequent shifts in support for compromise" - ‪@ayakter.bsky.social & @liranharsgor.bsky.social #OpenAccess

I have a new article out at @polstudies.bsky.social. In "Electoral Hope", I make the case that supposedly irrational "wishful thinking" is actually a crucial part of how voters make rational sense of their role in democracies. OA link: doi.org/10.1177/0032...

Yesterday I presented a new paper with Maria Grasso and @rosieshorrocks.bsky.social at #EPSA25 in the beautiful (and hot) city of Madrid. Great panel, lovely place, and nice people around. See you next year at EPSS!

🚨 Big News for European Political Science 🚨 We’re thrilled to announce the launch of the European Political Science Society (EPSS): a new, member-led, not-for-profit association built to support our scholarly community. 🔗 epssnet.org Here’s a thread with everything you need to know. 🧵

Delighted to organize and chair this panel tomorrow. Promising research on cohorts, voting for radical right parties and satisfaction with democracy, with some really fascinating findings. ecpr.eu/Events/Event...

Back to London after four days full of inspiring discussions on gender and generational gaps (and lots of coffee...) Thank you to all the participants! It's been a pleasure directing this workshop 🤓 #ecprjs25 @ecpr.bsky.social

Having a paper accepted to @bjpols.bsky.social while in London is a perfect match 🎉

Summarizing Israeli politics in 2024 feels less like covering a year and more like telling the story of a decade, just in fast forward... @roizur.bsky.social

Party switching is one of the most impactful things MKs do, sometimes reshaping Israeli politics (hi Idit Silman). Csaba Nikolenyi's book dives into this fascinating topic, and I had the pleasure of reviewing it for Israel Studies Review. www.berghahnjournals.com/view/journal...

מאמר חדש בספר ה"בחירות בישראל" עם @yanivshapi.bsky.social @ayakter.bsky.social תומכי אילו מפלגות מסכימים ביניהם, ועל אילו נושאים? אילו מהנושאים השפיעו יותר על ההצבעה בבחירות 2022? והאם בעשור האחרון ניכרת מגמה של קיטוב אידאולוגי גובר בין המפלגות או דווקא יציבות יחסית?

מאמר מעניין על המעטפות הכפולות בבחירות וכיצד הן מתפלגות בין ישובים וסקטורים שונים בישראל. אלה נתונים ייחודיים ששופכים אור על שיעור ההצבעה בישראל

My kids are supposed to dress up like scientists for school. I've tried to convince them that political scientists are scientists too. No luck so far 🤷‍♀️

The editorial team of Research & Politics is excited to share the editors' collection of 2024:

זה היה מטופש להעלות את אחוז החסימה. @razeiz.bsky.social ואני כתבנו על זה ב2013: העלאה של אחוז חסימה יוצרת תמריץ ליצירה מלאכותית של גושי ומערכי מפלגות בינוניות... לאחר הבחירות מפלגות אלו יכולות לחזור ולהתפצל, להיעלם בבחירות עוקבות >>

Thank you to the editors of Research & Politics for selecting my article for your 2024 collection! This paper has inspired much of my current research and has significant implications for the region’s future. It’s nice to see it acknowledged in this way.

Four review requests in three days. Are editors clearing their desks before holidays?🤔

On my way back from Oxford... I had a great time participating in the @genelectnet.bsky.social conference. I heard about very inspiring research today. Thank you 🙏

We (@lisazanottiphd.bsky.social & Noam Titelman) are organising a workshop on polarisation and democratic decline in March/April at @qmpoliticsir.bsky.social. Please share and apply! www.qmul.ac.uk/politics/res... @qmpoliticsir.bsky.social @qmulhss.bsky.social

📢Excited to invite you to our new interactive ERC webinar series on Participation & Representation! 1st up: Anne Rasmussen ‪@annerasmussen.bsky.social‬ Wed Dec 4 (16:30 Israel, 15:30 CET, 14:30 London, 9:30 ET), an in-press APSR article✨ Zoom link & additional info: prd-erc.eu/events

#OpenAccess - The Weight on Her Shoulders: Marginalization of Women Legislators in Parliaments and Substantive Representation of Women - cup.org/4eNXRky - Reut Itzkovitch-Malka & Odelia Oshri #FirstView

With attention on Gaza and the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire, don’t forget: the future of the region lies in the West Bank. Extreme religious right-wing groups push for settlement expansion, while Israeli politicians and the public largely avoid confronting them. This is where the focus must be.

מה הבעיה בשיח הציבורי בישראל? הסכמים תמיד נתפסים כבחירה של ישראל. יש דיון, בעד ונגד, צריך לשכנע במטרות ובנחיצות, צריך להעביר בכנסת ובממשלה (נניח). מלחמה? היא תמיד מלחמת אין ברירה. היא נכפית עלינו. לא צריך לשכנע את הציבור שצריך לצאת למלחמה. לא צריך לשכנע שצריך להמשיך בה.

🔔New paper on party surrogation! What does it mean to feel represented by a party you didn’t vote for? In Party Politics with Liron Lavi, we explore the concept of Party Surrogation through a cross-country and individual-level analysis using @cses.bsky.social doi.org/10.1177/1354...

Four days to go! We’re looking for research on gender gaps in political behaviour with a focus on temporal perspectives. Whether your work examines changes or trends over time, across the lifecycle, between generations—or all of the above—we’d love to see it. Please submit!

📣Cfp: Gender Gaps in Political Behaviour: Unravelling Age, Period, and Cohort Dynamics ECPR Joint Sessions | 20-23 May 2025 | Prague Workshop directors: Maria Grasso & myself We’re looking forward to your submission on this important topic! ecpr.eu/Events/Event... Deadline: November 21

Where not #OpenAccess, the articles in our April 2023 issue are free to read until the end of 2024 - cup.org/4eP06Vm With papers by @lottehargrave.bsky.social, @jdoucette.bsky.social, @philipjcowley.bsky.social, @resulumit.bsky.social, @liranharsgor.bsky.social, @austinsmatthews.bsky.social & more

The Young and the Hawkish: My new article in Research & Politics analyzes generational trends in public opinion in Israel Key finding: Young cohorts have significantly lower support for a Palestinian state and identify as right-wing more than older cohorts journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.... polsky

AJPS has published a virtual issue with their 2023 top-cited articles, which interestingly includes my not-so-top-cited but still very interesting article with Odelia Oshri, @liranharsgor.bsky.social, and Reut Itzkovitch-Malka. Best of all, it's free to read! onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/toc/10.1...

Finally the people in Israel were comforted, but by the president of the US, not by their own government

For months, we've been fighting for Israeli democracy. Yesterday, the extent of the destruction of the state's institutions and the damage to its ability to effectively protect its citizens became clear. A democratic state needs to be a functioning state, first.

A new paper online! At the onset of the COVID outbreak, there was a sense that the world was transforming significantly. @ayakter.bsky.social and I wondered: Could the pandemic influence the dynamics of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict? >>

I like the Jewish holidays but I hate their coming right after summer vacation. Many people are asking for my attention - students, journal editors, colleagues and more, but I have just too few working hours these days to get to them all. Frustrating.

I have created behavoursky (or behavorsky, both work). It is a subfeed under polisky for folks working on political behavior broadly construed. Please tag the feed when you discuss work on political behavior, so that we keep it alive and kicking! 1/2