Minnesotans should be able to hedge climate risk just like Wall Street does. From hurricanes to record heat, from Arctic sea ice extent to Lake Mead water levels, we should all be able to "bet" against climate deniers and do good with money they would've done evil with. kalshi.com/markets/kxme...

Shorter Tim Walz: Wall St can hedge all the risk it wants but you peons have to suck it up and suffer.

A lot of that extent was pretty thin mush, too. The market @kalshiofficial.bsky.social will settle at the daily high which was 14.358 on 3/13. Rapid switch to super Nino will likely not be good for the minimum this fall.

Finally got to see Central Park in the snow.

This is right across...

Globally, no single day in 2025 was cooler than its 1991-2020 average. climate.copernicus.eu/global-clima...

Going to be a lot more this year. Market @kalshiofficial.bsky.social is predicting over 3000 already. kalshi.com/markets/kxme...

Mamdani, increasingly exasperated, takes his fourth 1am phone call from Trump this week. He asks who the main guy from Night Moves was and then they briefly discuss fondue. Trump recommends manhattan steakhouse that closed in 1998 and says goodnight.

Well well well if it isnt the Blowjob Brothers

Donny had a 48% approval rating from his personal ass lickers at Spazmussen on Tuesday, and that's up to 51% today. Calling it the dead Kirk bounce.

This gets to something that as a former stand-up I recognized but couldn’t name. A 31 year old professional content creator baiting 19 year old amateurs into the format of his choice isn’t debate, it’s crowd work. It’s debate-shaped crowd work farmed for content.

Look, folks, SNEAKERS is in the LEVERAGE ancestors list. it’s a must see, and a true pleasure, unlike some influences that are necessary for context but haven’t aged well.

Charlie Kirk’s shooter was a 22 year old white cis man & 4chan groyper. Charlie Kirk’s last words were “gang violence”. he was claiming Black people were inherently violent right before his life was ended by another white man. Here is a description of Kirk’s terrorism by one of his many victims:

He's so sad about his friend but only on one side of his face. The other side is all business.

"3,000 kids basically watched somebody shot right in front of them, it's really traumatic."--Phil Lyman, Former Utah state representative On average, ~500 people have been killed in non-college school shootings per decade since 2000, Phil, you insensitive sack of gun-worshipping shit.

Just when I was about to give up on karma...

Climate skeptics have long been obsessed with corrections to temperature records for changes in measurement techniques and instruments over time. But it turns out that if we just used the raw data we'd see more warming. My latest at The Climate Brink: www.theclimatebrink....

"Among those detained were South Korean employees on business travel.... "The raid could raise concerns for South Korean companies that are sending personnel to the US and hiring locally." It comes weeks after Hyundai pledged $26 billion in US investments. Gift link ⬇️ www.wsj.com/us-news/u-s-...

NEW RESULT: Democrats have flipped a state Senate in Iowa. This was a seat Trump carried by 11%, but Democratic nominee Catherine Drey has just won it by 10.4%. This is the second legislative flip by Dems in Iowa this year. It also means the GOP loses its supermajority in Iowa’s senate.

Imagine firing an Emmy-award-winning team of data journalists. smdh

I'm putting together a team

"People take statistical agencies for granted. So they're easy to cut because there's no lobby or special interest group that's powerful enough to protect them." - Ethan Harris, former head of global economic research at Bank of America www.reuters.com/business/us-...

In prediction market parlance, Trump hired 3 chickenshit bullshitters who won't put money where their mouths are. I challenged Spencer to make a bet years ago, during the "plateau" that never happened, and he wouldn't do it.

The Republican effort to cut spending by killing people continues unabated.

Apparently Texas sends mass “Blue Alerts” to phones every time a cop is in danger. And a lot of people are so understandably sick of it that they’ve *turned emergency alerts off entirely*, meaning that they aren’t getting actually-useful notifications. www.cbsnews.com/texas/news/f...

To build further on Matt's excellent point, not all floods are created equal - yesterday's situation was an inherently low-predictability mesoscale flood, which is in stark contrast to higher predictability synoptically-forced floods. How do you explain that to the average person & elected official?

Reality is now so internet poisoned you cannot say true things without appearing insane. “The New York Times ran a hit piece on Zohran purely so a minor race science blogger could place insider trades on Polymarket” sounds like you are a schizophrenic but it is straightforwardly factual!

Blow, winds, and crack your cheeks! rage! blow! You cataracts and hurricanoes, spout Till you have drench’d our steeples, drown’d the cocks! --King Lear: Act 3, Scene 2

Learned some more about a few of these dangerous new ACIP people

us forces mired in two-front war with a nuclear-capable iran and [squinting] los angeles

Quinn Trump approval 38, lmao, stick that in your parade. poll.qu.edu/poll-release...

Market says 56% chance of Denver reaching 90° today. kalshi.com/markets/kxhi...

+0.05 in revisions to NASA Jan 136 to 138 = +2 Feb 125 to 127 = +2 March 136 = no change April 123 to 124 = +1 NASA hottest year: 1.29 Current NASA avg: 1.264 IDK, might be my long-shot bias, but 9c seems kinda cheap!

Shorter Portnoy: "I don't really want to force women to give birth but I will if they don't let me say 'pussification.'"

Kalshi market says there's a 12% chance 2025 will be the hottest year on record in the NASA data. kalshi.com/markets/kxgt...

Reminds me of that great Ross Douthat column where he loudly proclaimed that Americans don't want to drive electric cars and then said that if we didn't impose massive tariffs on the Chinese EVs it would wipe out our auto industry.

The plan to kill Americans so rich people don't have to pay taxes is proceeding unabated.

Ok, it's a parody, and a damn funny one, so I'm leaving it up.

Going to break my never-quote-the-motherfucker rule here to say, wtf? He thinks white people invented rock and roll???

You can see how much black carbon from these fires winds up in the arctic (and eventually lands on the sea ice, which causes it to melt faster): aerosol-alerts.atmosphere.copernicus.eu?lat=68.06146...

"Early Career Recruitment" and "STEM Recruitment" - after you just randomly fired them all And be sure to check out the "four short, free-response essay questions"

#ThingsIWishICouldBetOn @kalshiofficial.bsky.social

Don't feel bad @kalshiofficial.bsky.social, Elon screws everyone.