Its now 6 months since the release of the Government's first ever National Climate Risk Assessment (NCRA). The climate risks to the nation outlined in the NCRA were sobering. Government action since? Five new coal & gas projects approved, all beyond 2050. www.climatecouncil.org.au/resources/al...

👀 This is amazing to watch!! The flow of moist air immediately around the cyclone is obvious. But look how tropical moisture is delivered into the central arids parts of Australia, and how connected systems dump rain on the east coast. These teleconnections are incredible to see

The big lap. Severe TC Narelle. www.bom.gov.au/warning/trop...

Editorial in The Saturday Paper on the BoM paying Accenture $96m for its new website, copping stick about it, then going back to pay them another $16m for an ACS platform. Accenture says it targets people to give them government projects. www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/comment/edit... archive.md/JHUp4

A reminder that gas is NOT a vital industry to Australia – if anything, it COSTS the Australian economy. Australia Institute research shows a 25% tax on gas exports could solve the gas crisis – and raise $17 billion every year. ✍ Sign the petition: https://theaus.in/4uTyGWX

Just over a foot of additional sea level above the tide height as TC Narelle passed Cape Cuvier, NW of Carnarvon, around high tide. With waves on top of that, expect some coastal damage. www.bom.gov.au/cosppac/rtdd...

Almost-global-average sea-surface temperatures are creeping up to record levels again and we’re still in La Niña (according to NOAA). There’s some uncertainty though as you can see from these two datasets..

Between 6:30am and 8:30am (for 2 hours) Learmonth in W.A has had 100mm of rain and means winds of just under 140km/h with gusts consistently above 170kmh (peak 200kmh). www.bom.gov.au/products/IDW...

Learmonth W.A just had a 200kmh wind gust in the last 10 minutes, as Severe TC Narelle passes nearby. Stay safe please. www.bom.gov.au/wa/observati...

First mainland Australia snow of 2026!! Yeehaw! www.mthotham.com.au/mountain/con...

New APRA insurance vulnerability report shows 25% of Aus households may have no home insurance by 2050; one million households more than today. That’s ~40,000 households losing insurance protection every year for 25 years. Biggest cause: more climate change extremes www.apra.gov.au/mind-gap-an-...

Phillipines Met Agency goes to El Niño WATCH, with 50% chances of a moderate strength event in southern spring bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/climate/el-n...

A reminder that La Niña isn’t quite over, and predictions right now have low skill. I also really struggle with this view that El Niño acts alone. It’s the combination of climate change and El Niño with other climate drivers & even economic pressures, that creates impacts. Don’t believe the hype.

A very good mini podcast from SBS about the WMO State of the Climate report, Australian context, and what we can do about it. Includes some snippets from me www.sbs.com.au/news/podcast...

#ridetoworkmelb #melbweather

Yesterday I had the privilege of appearing on ABC's Behind the News (aka BTN) - the dedicated news program for school age kids and young people. Talking about climate change and the things young people can do to make a difference. My interview with Tatenda Chibika at: www.abc.net.au/btn/classroo...

"Scientists are going to be devastated if they hear that tens of millions of dollars are being spent on new web services when they're being told there's no money to pay for their salaries and for the critical science that they do." @senatorsurfer.bsky.social

Accenture gets another contract for a BoM website. The Australian Climate Service hub initial cost is $16 million, to add to Accenture’s $78 million for the full BoM website rebuild. @tynelogan.bsky.social www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03...

The latest State of the Climate report paints a grim picture of global warming. But by reducing our emissions and fossil fuel use, we can still slow it down.

#ridetoworkmelb #melbweather

This is the scary one. The earth’s energy imbalance has never been so out of whack. And it’s increasing. The only way it can balance again without stopping emissions is for the globe to get hotter. (BTW: It’s also the empirical evidence some climate sceptics bang on about that it doesn’t exist)

John Kennedy was the Lead Author of the 2025 WMO State of the Climate report (and also a nice bloke / gentleman). Read this thread, or jump to his website. There is no global climate indicator that fails to scare me now. www.jkclimate.fr/InteractiveD...

Not a forecast you see every day... Sunday 2am W.A time, TC Narelle <100km from Perth. (Take with a rather large grain of salt this far out) www.bom.gov.au/australia/me...

Seems there is a non zero chance that Tropical Cyclone Narelle could make landfall again south of the main tropical cyclone building code areas. Important to watch official forecasts and warnings carefully. charts.ecmwf.int/products/cyc...

#ridetoworkmelb #melbweather

With diesel being almost $3/litre in Melbourne, I’m thinking about the paceometer idea more and more. Difference to drive 1km at 100kmh and 120kmh is only 6seconds. Great video explainer share.google/iUewnt2cuJ00...

Beating a 90 year temperature record by 0.28°C is impressive. Beating it by 2.8°C is scary.

January was the flip over in Australia's climate whiplash summer... from fire to flood. Scroll through the declared natural disasters dataset for 2025-26 at www.disasterassist.gov.au/find-a-disas...

Climate attribution research looking at 800 extreme events found 74% were made more likely or more severe because of climate change, with many cases virtually impossible without climate pollution. Important work by @carbonbrief.org

The current south western USA extreme heatwave - burning fossil fuels has added 2.6°C to these extremes, and increased their likelihood by a factor of about 800. “without climate change it would have been virtually impossible for the event to occur.” www.worldweatherattribution.org/record-shatt...

The NT has really copped it this wet season. This is a good read, though sad as well. Doesn’t mention 2025 bringing the biggest fire season since 2012 or hottest Oct on record, so I’d argue 7 crises in 7 months. (Feb 2026 was 3rd wettest Feb on record) www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

Looks as though Narelle hit the coast around 6:40am. Coen is in a bad spot, being to the south west of the eye where the winds are faster- both rotating speed plus forward speed of the cyclone add together.

I spoke last night with Fran Kelly ABC News Radio about Tropical cyclones and climate change. www.abc.net.au/listen/progr...

Sea surface temperatures are 1-2°C warmer than normal along the category 5 Severe Tropical Cyclone Narelle track areas. Warm water is cyclone fuel coralreefwatch.noaa.gov/product/5km/...

Monash Adjunct Professor Andrew Watkins (@windjunky.bsky.social) is a co‑author of the Climate Council’s new report on the 2025–26 “climate whiplash” summer - from catastrophic fire danger to flash flooding to record heat. Read more 👉 www.monash.edu/science/news...

Given February is the hottest month of the year for the Coral Sea (averages 28.8°C for 1991-2020), and it’s currently at an all time record of 29.5°C, you really don’t want tropical cyclones going overhead. Warm water = Tropical Cyclone fuel www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/clim...

The last thing that Katherine (N.T) needs after its biggest flood in 28 years is ex-Tropical Cyclone Narelle going straight overhead dropping more rain. Current ECMWF track does almost exactly that on Sunday. Keep safe, watch BoM warnings zoom.earth/storms/narel... reg.bom.gov.au/products/IDQ...

News clip with a bit of me talking about the whiplash summer and the seasonal forecast. It was a summer that was hard to predict, but that does not mean seasonal forecasts have lost value. They remain our best warning at monthly timescales. Video embedded in this article 7news.com.au/news/climate...

#ridetoworkmelb #melbweather

“Tropical Cyclone Narelle has developed in the Coral Sea, and is expected to bring severe impacts to Far North Queensland.” www.bom.gov.au/warning/trop...

The Thwaites Glacier collapse is really a ‘when’ question, not an ‘if’. Estimates had it collapsing by the 23rd century (within 200 years), but could be much sooner if its demise is accelerating.

Geez Louise.... Maree in South Australia copped another 119mm downpour overnight. Lake Eyre - Kati Thanda must be filling both fast from local SA rains and slow from Qld rains. www.bom.gov.au/climate/dwo/...

Talking about the whiplash summer report on ABC News Breakfast this morning. (Get well soon Nate) Report: www.climatecouncil.org.au/resources/br...

My first report as a member of the Climate Council - the Whiplash Summer of 2025-26. From heat and fire to rain and floods, supercharged by climate pollution. @climatecouncil.org.au #whiplashsummer www.climatecouncil.org.au/resources/br...

#ridetoworkmelb #melbweather

How have our Australian summers changed over our, our parents, and our grandparents lifetimes. A lot! Fantastic article by Tyne Logan from the @abcnewsbot.bsky.social www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03...

Message from Assistant Minister, Josh Wilson about Australia's first National Climate Risk Assessment, released September 2025. vimeo.com/1170922501/b...

Senate inquiry into CSIRO funding, including climate and weather research, on now at www.youtube.com/watch?v=mWPb...

Interesting news article and paper on the increase in heatwave->drought compound events (heatwaves leading into drought) since 2000. Effectively an increase in flash drought. Compound events like this bring greater impacts Article: apnews.com/article/heat... Paper: www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

People over 65 now have ~900 hrs each year of heat dangerous to health vs ~600 hours in 1950. "Results highlight that with just over 1 °C of historical global warming, liveability limitations are already widespread and growing, particularly for older adults." Paper: www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...