I’d like to introduce you to the Searchlight Institute. We believe that a realignment is not just possible, but necessary – and we are here to make it happen.

A good time to say, since we're talking about the Biden years, that @samrosenfeld.bsky.social and I wrote a paper for APSA, to be presented Sat. at noon, about why the Biden-era Democrats turned to policy as their salvation, and why it didn't work out. Here's the first paragraph.

On the GEM/Yglesias spat. Morris is right: cong'l election outcomes are shaped by factors far more important the candidate moderation. Old news. But issue positioning is one of the few things that could affect the outcome that can be controlled by a candidate or party in an election year.

Gallego on Mamdani: "It's okay to say 'I disagree with this, this, and this, but I agree with that.' But the idea that we're just gonna throw out people that are really bringing in new ideas to the fold, exciting people, just because they're slightly to the right or to the left of us is dumb."

Ya small results = null result is pretty unpersuasive in this context. If the claim is "it doesn't matter if you put up a moderate or a non moderate in a purple district" , that claim seems to be dubious. If the claim is "putting up a moderate doesn't guarantee a win".. fair enough I guess?

Whispers: budget is there for a lot more officers and could not add more officers and give a raise and ask Jess Tisch to stay on and buy a lot of good will. And then focus on collective bargaining reform. There are ways to do this like Bernie did.

Kathy Hochul doing public nuclear power generation is pretty cool. She's been kinda great the last few months? www.wsj.com/business/ene...

Walz announces that Rep. Melissa Hortman is dead as a result of a "politically motivated assassination"

I know Yglesias isn't everyone's favorite, but it's amazing how angry many people -often with PhDs-get at a suggestion that there are tradeoffs in politics. Remarkably, many who purport to believe the republic is hanging by a thread are in the "no compromise with the voters!" camp.

This is why I emphasized "study public opinion accurately." Progressives have invested huge sums of money in misleading polls to convince people that all of their ideas are popular when it isn't true and it's been very damaging. bsky.app/profile/jere...

It shouldn't take a recession for Democrats to win over people who we're helping afford healthcare, food, and housing -- no more sticking our heads in the sand, please!! Also: finding was replicated by the NYT

I think trade protectionism has historically been essentially a cross-cutting culture war shibboleth that you aren't a certain kind of elite than a policy view based in a materialist analysis.

Dave Chappelle nailed it 🤣🎯

We’re setting ourselves up for part of the 2028 Dem primary being anti-establishment bro energy that’s rabidly pro-free trade against ideological leftists running back part of Bernie 2016.

A historic show of strength from Senator Booker.

forming a theory that the cringier the memes become, the more a story is genuinely breaking through to normal people

I'm going to stake out the apparently-edgy-onhere position that the voter shifts described by David Shor here are real, & should be cause for genuinely difficult rethinking of strategies based on no-longer-accurate assumptions about the 'rising American electorate' www.nytimes.com/2025/03/18/o...

Hi

oh, uh, it turns out that the guy who is accessing your social security right now did cybersecurity for, uh, a Satanic neo-Nazi child porn extortion cult www.justice.gov/archives/opa...

JD Vance will really be like "you believe in loving thy neighbor? That pales in comparison to my strategy, loving my family first" and then not love his family.

One day I will convince liberal friends to just make one minute of video content complaining about Republicans in the time they spend complaining about Democratic inability to stop Republicans from making the world worse. The problem is the Republicans!

Democratic opposition is in fact effective.

BROWN: Would you support getting rid of school lunch for vulnerable kids and getting rid of childhood cancer research? REP. MCCORMICK: Philanthropy is where you get most of your money for childhood cancer research. When you talk about school lunches, hey, I worked my way through high school.

The story of the Harris campaign is pretty simple: her polls rose during her honeymoon. Then the Trump campaign spent millions hitting her for far-left positions and her polls went down. This is consistent with the data and the logic of being alive. Let’s not fool ourselves.

Net expectations for improvement in business conditions, jobs growth, and income growth all bounced in the Conference Board's November reading but over the last two months they've reversed all of it.

Came home yesterday with plenty of time for baby snuggles all around + treats from Sweet Teez & Sugar bakeries! Best birthday ever 💕

If RFK gets confirmed (chances well better than even) we’re going to have to figure out how to get the H5N1 vaccine approved and taken by lots of people. If and when that happens, the wisdom in this piece and podcast will be very helpful. Throwing tantrums online doesn’t help with vaccine uptake!

Fascinating thread and replies. At a time when everything gets polarized, should our goal be maximizing vaccine uptake - especially with H5N1 bearing down? If so, wouldn’t it be better to find a way for RFK to bless the next wave of vaccines?

Happy new year! One of my resolutions is to post here more.

First post: so wait how does this work, do i have to redo what i wrote in twitter here or is that a faster way?