🤔 Do surveys exaggerate democratic support due to social desirability bias (SDB)? ➡️ Using survey-mode variation & list experiments in 24 countries, @pcmagalhaes.bsky.social & @aarslew.bsky.social find no evidence that SDB inflates democratic attitudes www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

yes

Americans are most likely to encounter people from different economic classes in gas stations, restaurants and hotels. This mixing is least likely to happen in elementary and secondary schools, while exercising, and in supermarkets. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

I am beyond excited to announce that ggplot2 4.0.0 has just landed on CRAN. It's not every day we have a new major #ggplot2 release but it is a fitting 18 year birthday present for the package. Get an overview of the release in this blog post and be on the lookout for more in-depth posts #rstats

The weird and wonderful history of British voter segmentations: the names, the ideas, the myths! From how "the man on the Clapham omnibus" changed English common law to how "Gail's Voter" helped the Lib Dems gain 64 seats in 2024 to what works well when doing segmentation (and what doesn't)

Remember, if you encounter what seems like an implausible survey finding, ask: 1. Were survey respondents selected randomly or was this an opt-in poll? 2. Could the results, especially for young adults, be driven by bogus respondents? Keep this post in mind: www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/... 🧪

Full (and fun!) days at #ECPR2025 @ecpr.bsky.social last week, presenting and catching great panels with work from our @datisproject.bsky.social s and @eupoplink.bsky.social teams.

Large partisan differences on the effect of tariffs on the economy, though relatively little change over time. >50% of Reps say tariffs help. Those saying hurt the economy up slightly across partisanship; help economy down a bit with independents. @MULawPoll national surveys.

"Black cities were at the epicenter of fraud dialogue... electoral confidence deteriorated most for racially-resentful Whites post-election in 2020.... racially resentful White Americans are especially likely to believe accusations of fraud when...racialized" link.springer.com/article/10.1...

Ever stared at a table of regression coefficients & wondered what you're doing with your life? Very excited to share this gentle introduction to another way of making sense of statistical models (w @vincentab.bsky.social) Preprint: doi.org/10.31234/osf... Website: j-rohrer.github.io/marginal-psy...

🇬🇷 @gotinakos.bsky.social presented Greece’s Country Report on Populism and Euroscepticism. Focus on party strategies, public attitudes, and the Greek case in comparative perspective.

The problem with 'average over different coding or modelling decisions' is often we will find that different decisions aren't even targeting the same estimand, in ways that may not be clear from the outset

Our project's conference is taking place later this week ⬇️⬇️

Join us on Monday!

Pleased to share the latest version of my paper with Arthur Spirling and @lexipalmer.bsky.social on replication using LMs We show: 1. current applications of LMs in political science research *don't* meet basic standards of reproducibility...

DATIS project, funded by ELIDEK, participated with a presentation by @efteperoglou.bsky.social at EEPE & EKKE event on European Elections 2024, Political and Electoral Analysis, in Athens, on June 14.

The presentation was about the research results of DATIS (Deliverables 4.1, 4.2, 5.1) using @isspsurvey.bsky.social data with the title: “Sequential Mixed Mode Surveys with Mobile Phone Numbers for Increased Coverage”.

DATIS project, funded by ELIDEK, participated at the 78th Annual WAPOR Conference 2025, St. Louis, Missouri, USA, May 12-15, 2025, with a presentation by Professor @andreadis.bsky.social

Meta ends political ads on their platforms in the EU by October because they don't want to comply with new transparency and targeting regulations. The reasons given here are really weak. And if you do *not* allow these ads, you still need to define what they are. about.fb.com/news/2025/07...

Interesting article on the (strong) relationship between political ideology and sport preferences in the U.S.

New article out in World Politcs. We analyze how different groups react to varying programs of social democratic parties. We find less trade-offs than often assumed. Generally, more left-progressive programs increase support among social democratic potentials muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/articl...

In "An Ideology by Any Other Name," Andrew Trexler & Christopher Johnson find that many Americans identify with ideological labels beyond “liberal” or “conservative.” They show these alternative labels shape political attitudes and vote choice. Read more: link.springer.com/article/10.1...

"It's the economy, stupid" Voters vote based on the economy. But there are many economic performance indicators. Which matter the most? This new paper shows voters react to growth, unemployment, inflation, & stock markets. But the inflation plays the biggest role. www.ifau.se/globalassets...

Online first: "Partisan cueing and preferences for fiscal integration in the European Union" by @mauritsmeijers.bsky.social @bjoernbremer.bsky.social @theresakuhn.bsky.social & @francesconicoli.bsky.social doi.org/10.1080/0140... #Academicsky #Polisky

political scientists democratising their institutions in the age of backsliding, talk about leading by example

Yesterday EPSS was founded, today we answer members’ questions. A 🧵 1. Who formed EPSS? EPSS was founded by a supermajority vote of the EPSA Council, made up of 3 EPSAL shareholders & 9 elected, appointed, or ex officio members. 1/

🚨 Big News for European Political Science 🚨 We’re thrilled to announce the launch of the European Political Science Society (EPSS): a new, member-led, not-for-profit association built to support our scholarly community. 🔗 epssnet.org Here’s a thread with everything you need to know. 🧵

People tend to underestimate just how much public opinion is shaped by elite cue following. #Zaller

Some clear leftist and rightist traits (based on current political science) do not resonate with a large proportion of European citizens. The cultural elements of the left–right concept are not perceived in the same way across Europe link.springer.com/article/10.1...

England is experiencing a churchgoing revival, according to a recent report based on nonprobability polls. David Voas is skeptical. He explains that probability-based survey data doesn't point to a revival. Nor does data from Christian denominations. theconversation.com/is-there-rea...

ALWAYS PLOT YOUR DATA. ALWAYS PLOT YOUR DATA. ALWAYS PLOT YOUR DATA. (Yes I just found a mistake in some code that I would have caught by plotting my data)

Not all teens feel equally confident in democracy. Between ages 12–16, internal political efficacy grows steadily, while external fluctuates. Early inequalities fade over time—peer and parent talks help boost confidence, but teachers have little impact link.springer.com/article/10.1...

🖤Are emotions in surveys shaped by social desirability? ➡️Marzia Oceno finds that respondents underreport negative emotions like anger & fear—and even positive ones like hope & pride are not immune to social desirability bias www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

Also available in Greek and Spanish now🇬🇧🇬🇷🇪🇸

Check this infographic and our report below ⬇️

If you encounter what seems like an implausible survey finding, ask: 1. Were survey respondents selected randomly or was this an opt-in poll? 2. Could the results, especially for young adults, be driven by bogus respondents? Keep this post in mind: www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...

How has non-electoral participation in politics evolved over the last 2 decades in Europe? This @tepsa.bsky.social infographic will give you a peek of our #ActEU comparative exploration. And there's our full report too!

Fascinating substack post by @laurenleek.eu on the problem of declining humans and increasing AI agents in survey responses. This is going to become a huge issue in survey research! open.substack.com/pub/laurenle...

Delighted that my paper with @kevincunning.bsky.social on "Still second-order national elections? Evaluating the classic model after the 2024 European elections" has just been published by @wepsocial.bsky.social doi.org/10.1080/0140... 1/

Tornado warning? @aapor.bsky.social goes on! We just moved everyone away from the windows. @jennagiesta.bsky.social

📈 Citizens who are dissatisfied with the political system may introduce bias into a survey by opting for 'acceptable' rather than true answers. Alexandros Christos Gkotinakos & @cwengstr.bsky.social examine the impact of this behavior & report on their findings myumi.ch/y1p44 #AAPOR2025

Join us on the last session of @aapor.bsky.social's last day for a discussion on the differences between Probability and Non-Probability samples, and its implications for survey research!

absolutely incredible things happening at #aapor25

🚨 “Good Description” with @annagbusse.bsky.social 🚨 What sets 'good' description apart from 'mere' description? We develop a framework for evaluating descriptive research, whether we are doing it as scholars or assessing it as readers. Two main contributions... 🔗📄 tinyurl.com/gooddesc

🏦When do people report their true views on the economy? ➡️ @janzilinsky.bsky.social & J.Bisbee find that less-politicized survey questions better capture actual public welfare—beyond partisan bias www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

Great time during the #ActEU Youth Democracy Lab last week! Keep up with #ActEU and our activities all around the EU ⏬

⌨️Do you need a sample from the Global South—fast and on a budget? ➡️ L. R. Rosenzweig P. Bergquist K. H. Pham @francescorampazzo.com @mattomildenberger.bsky.social: survey sampling in the Global South using Facebook advertisements www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

The most 1990s logo I have ever seen.

Tens of thousands of psychological measures have been created, but 79% are not reused more than twice. In a new article in NHB lead by @faridanvari.bsky.social and @ruben.the100.ci we quantify this fragmentation in psychology's measures and propose solutions. www.nature.com/articles/s41...