New informative interview with @michaelkofman.bsky.social Some key points: - 🇷🇺 mil performance is worse, 🇺🇦 is better - importance of 🇺🇦 "middle strike" - estimates over 400K Russian fatalities - challenge of the 🇷🇺 campaign against critical infrastructure - 🇷🇺 demands unreasonable - war continues

DOL’s proposed rule to price H-1B and employment green card holders out of the US labor market is likely illegal. DOL invents facts and uses a questionable methodology to justify raising prevailing wages by up to 33%. @mclem.org @adamposen.bsky.social www.forbes.com/sites/stuart...

Stephen Miller's plan to get *legal* immigrants to self-deport en masse. open.substack.com/pub/thebulwa...

"I was terminated from my position several times in my career. Each time…I focused all of my energy to figure out what is next. This was the only thing I could control." Katalin Karikó, the powerhouse Nobel laureate who created the mRNA revolution, at @jhu.edu commencement yesterday.

“A new USCIS memo to restrict obtaining a green card in the US is likely aimed at reducing legal immigration by forcing individuals to endure long delays at understaffed US consulates & barring people from reentering the country.” @mclem.org @douglasrivlin.bsky.social www.forbes.com/sites/stuart...

The White House has undertaken mass exclusion of international students. It has slashed new F-1 visas circa 32% in the latest available State Dept. data. That stunning, destructive act says a thousand times more than any empty words uttered at a press conference.

“Donald Trump delivered a ringing defense of international students, but there is no evidence it signals a change in his administration’s policies. Analysts say Stephen Miller and other staff pursue their own immigration agenda.” @mclem.org @douglasrivlin.bsky.social www.forbes.com/sites/stuart...

As the US Supreme Court prepares to rule on the President's suspension of our Constitution's 14th Amendment, I highlight the research of myself and 95 colleagues on the economic consequences of that act —>

Thank you for covering my research. But more important than who authored the study is the fact that real people, real businesses, and real communities are being harmed by the current approach to immigration enforcement.

New Research: ICE arrests harm local economies by reducing consumer spending. @profzeke.bsky.social: “The economic damage done to local communities by this administration’s approach to immigration enforcement is widespread, indiscriminate and persistent.” @mclem.org www.forbes.com/sites/stuart...

Markets are now much more likely to believe interest rates will *rise* by end of year than fall. (current rate is 350-375bp)

“While businesses and economists believe America gains significantly from welcoming international students and allowing them to stay and work, the Trump admin’s immigration policy is run by individuals who believe the opposite.” @mclem.org @douglasrivlin.bsky.social www.forbes.com/sites/stuart...

How would you regulate int'l migration if it weren't optional? Faced with demographic & technological shocks, we have alternatives to denial, anger, bargaining, and depression: Acceptance and innovation. My new @cgdev.org blog with @helen-dempster.bsky.social and Italian Labor Minister Calderone—>

The Trump administration is using nonprofit status "as a lever of political control." Come to Cato's event on Thursday to see how to defend the freedom to give. www.cato.org/events/freed...

“While businesses and economists believe America gains significantly from welcoming international students and allowing them to stay and work, the Trump admin’s immigration policy is run by individuals who believe the opposite.” @mclem.org @douglasrivlin.bsky.social www.forbes.com/sites/stuart...

Trump's weaponization of government to hurt companies he dislikes get a lot of attention. Probably not enough coverage of how he also accidentally kills companies he likes because he doesn't understand economics www.thebulwark.com/p/the-americ...

Mass deportation is a poor economic policy. Economists Chloe East & Elizabeth Cox on effects of ICE arrests: “There is a negative and significant impact on employment of US-born male workers with at most a high-school education.” @mclem.org @douglasrivlin.bsky.social www.forbes.com/sites/stuart...

Why is Powell staying on the Fed Board, even after his term as chair ends? Because the DOJ's criminal investigation into him is only “closed” in the same sense that the Strait of Hormuz is officially “open.” Which is to say: Trust neither pronouncement, at least when coming from this administration

Curious how every time he talks to Putin he spouts Russian propaganda afterwards for days and days. (Total US aid to Ukraine since Feb 2022 is about $135 billion, not $350 billion)

Russia has less Ukrainian territory now than they did in the spring and summer of 2022.

This is so terrible. The third country removals are human rights catastrophes; South Americans fleeing persecution in their homes, then being dumped in Kinshasa and told they can’t stay and must go… somewhere. Preferably right back to where they fled.

In your name, US...

This woman, who also represented three J6 defendants and well as Roy Moore in one of his defamation suits, is one of the people they hired to be an immigration judge; a person who will have to decide on gender-based violence cases.

ICE wants to deport a 12-year-old boy, even though his attorney has provided evidence the boy is a US citizen. The father signed an affidavit but USCIS won’t recognize citizenship without a DNA swab, which the father won’t provide. @mclem.org @douglasrivlin.bsky.social www.forbes.com/sites/stuart...

The United States now has the most government restrictions on academic freedom of any high-income country. www.chemistryworld.com/news/academi... Raw data from @vdeminstitute.bsky.social —> academic-freedom-index.net/research/Aca...

Justice Dept. Targets Hundreds of Citizens in New Push for Denaturalization www.nytimes.com/2026/04/23/u...

Taiwan drone exports to Europe soar 40-fold as Ukraine war fuels demand asia.nikkei.com/business/aer...

Turning away the world’s best and brightest is shattering one our greatest national assets, one of the precious national treasures ensuring American children’s future.

The Trump admin has made it difficult for even the most highly skilled people in the world to work in America. The denial rate for a green card for an alien with extraordinary ability nearly doubled to 46.6% by the end of FY 2025. @mclem.org @erikbryn.bsky.social www.forbes.com/sites/stuart...

Head of @uscisgov.bsky.social: "We have a great relationship with ICE at our offices.... We work with ICE to pick up someone and to have them arrested." Understand: the criminals avoid USCIS offices. It's the law-abiding immigrants who he's after.

Putin signed a decree today renaming the FSB Academy in honor of Feliks Dzerzhinsky, the creator of the Cheka, responsible for political terror after the 1917 revolution and a predecessor of the KGB & FSB. The decree hails Dzerzhinsky's "outstanding contribution to state security."

A federal employee asked ICE to detain and deport a widow so he could gain the inheritance of her late husband’s house, per a probate judge. At 85 years old, the widow was not likely the “worst of the worst” ICE claims it targets. @mclem.org @douglasrivlin.bsky.social www.forbes.com/sites/stuart...

Fed governor Christopher Waller, who was one of the most dovish members of the FOMC, warned the impact of higher oil prices on top of Trump’s tariffs raised the prospect of a prolonged, pandemic-style inflation shock. www.ft.com/content/5a93...

Here is what the guy who made that “bad deal” said about it at the time

A federal judge in Illinois today ruled that the Trump administration improperly coerced Facebook and Apple to remove ICE-tracking apps in violation of the First Amendment. storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...

The US Administration has ended deportation protections for nationals of 13 countries so far. Writing as lead amicus, I join with three Nobel laureates and 16 other leading economists to assess the impact of these actions on the US economy, in a new brief for the Supreme Court. CC @piie.com

What a nightmare.

When you do something to knock supply and demand out of whack, and have no solutions, last refuge is to blame greedy firms

The US Administration is implementing its $100,000 tax on entry by high-skill foreign workers. It's by far the largest tariff on services trade in history. A single document has emerged to make the Administration's economic case for the tax. Incredibly, it is packed with basic, large errors. 🧵—>

Ukraine is now striking deep inside Russia with scale and precision. Mass drone launches and domestically produced long-range missiles are hitting military and oil targets—something unthinkable just four years ago. 🔗 united24media.com/war-in-ukrai...

A new lawsuit today asks a federal judge to end a recent policy shift at DHS, under which ICE agents have used their own administrative warrants to force entry into peoples’ homes without sign-off from a judge. It brings together three families whose homes were raided and claims clear 4A violations.

In more than 1,000 schools in almost every region of Russia, schoolchildren during class lessons are making supplies and equipment for the war: protective clothing, camouflage nets, trench candles, medical supplies, etc. From Verstka (Ru): verstka.media/detskie-shve...

In its new rule, DOL contrived a ‘gap’ between the wages of H-1B visa holders & average US workers in the same area/occupation to justify raising required minimum salaries by 21% to 33%. The goal is fewer high-skilled immigrants. @mclem.org @erikbryn.bsky.social www.forbes.com/sites/stuart...

A contradiction central to the current debate: While the White House highlights “historic lows” in illegal entry, DHS justifies broad law enforcement powers by finding a continued “mass influx of aliens.” @mclem.org @douglasrivlin.bsky.social www.forbes.com/sites/stuart...

Great news! Here's the full order. It blocks DHS from arresting and interrogating lawfully present refugees on the basis of a crazy argument that in 1980, without anyone noticing, Congress mandated that all refugees be detained on their 1-year anniversary in the U.S.

Trump admin policy of reducing immigration has slowed labor force growth, economic growth and job creation. According to the Fed Chair, the US has seen no growth in the US labor market and no net private-sector job creation over the past several months. @mclem.org www.forbes.com/sites/stuart...

Trump’s DOJ purged the Board of Immigration Appeals of anyone deemed too likely to vote in favor of an immigrant facing removal. The result has been a rubber stamp, one so obvious that the admin is actually trying to get rid of it almost entirely and just replace it with an automatic denial system.

A fair asylum system isn't just humane it's more efficient, more accurate, and stronger on rule of law. Read the full AILA brief: aila.org/library/policy-brief-modernizing-americas-asylum-system. More analysis at austinkocher.substack.com

Kate with the 🧾on Hegseth's flip flop on support for Ukraine.

Russia has for more than 4 years been committing the crimes against humanity of the deportation, forcible transfer, and enforced disappearance of Ukrainian children. From last week's report of the UN Independent Commission of Inquiry on Ukraine. news.un.org/en/story/202...