12/ Responding to a recent War on the Rocks article by @sambendett and @KofmanMichael on the problems of Russia's 'People's Military-Industrial Complex', the 'Russian Engineer' Telegram channel essentially agrees with the authors and the complaints of 'Forge of Mordor':

Excellent analysis of the rise and fall of Russian volunteer-driven efforts to provide drones and other supplies to the front in the war in Ukraine from @sambendett.bsky.social and @michaelkofman.bsky.social - warontherocks.com/the-strange-...

I tend to come down w/Kofman; I think it's not so much talking past each other as it is trying to figure out how to slice two fundamentally different analytical questions: - what is the military assessment of a force performing a task - what is the political assessment inside a leader's head

A new episode of Russia Contingency is out. I talk to Sergey Vakulenko about Russia’s energy sector. We cover declining production, how the Russian state receives revenue, impact of strikes and the war with Iran. @WarOnTheRocks warontherocks.com/episode/ther...

Listening to @michaelkofman.bsky.social on the WOTR podcast. Ru-Ukr at drone parity. "most of the fight is not between infantry or soldiers on the ground. It's about the drone units of one side ... being able to displace the drone units of the other side." podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/u...

Weekend listen: @warontherocks.bsky.social update on the war in Ukraine with @michaelkofman.bsky.social & @ryanevans.bsky.social. An invaluable resource since Russia launched its invasion over four years ago. This week: grey zones, Wagnerization, and drones. podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/w...

Part 2 of the Russia Contingency episode is out with Rob Lee. We cover insights from the latest field study, situation at the front, drone enabled assault and other issues. @WarOnTheRocks warontherocks.com/episode/ther...

Back from a recent field study to Ukraine. New Russia Contingency episode is out with Rob Lee talking about our insights from the recent trip, the changing battlefield dynamics, with a focus on long range strike in part 1. @warontherocks.bsky.social warontherocks.com/episode/ther...

Latest Russia Contingency is out. I join @oajonsson.bsky.social and Maria Engqvist to talk about how the Russian military see the future of war, their lessons learned, gaps between theory and practice, and what to make of Russian military thought. @WarOnTheRocks warontherocks.com/episode/ther...

What are the Russian visions of future war? How should they solve the problems of the war in Ukraine and prepare for the future? And what does studies in military theory tell us anyway? Happy to discuss with Maria and @michaelkofman.bsky.social in the Russia Contingency @warontherocks.bsky.social

I talked to Michael Kofman, a voice I truly trust, on the course of the Russian invasion. The war is grim, but there are seeds of hope: www.nytimes.com/2026/02/26/o...

Good discussion with Meduza here. meduza.io/en/brief/202...

Good discussion on how the war evolved, the role of drones, what is novel or perhaps new. www.svoboda.org/a/ot-fpv-do-...

Happy to talk to David French for this Q&A. www.nytimes.com/2026/02/26/o...

The latest RC is out with @massdara.bsky.social We go through some of the current myths, arguments, and assumptions about the war. From judging offensives to attrition ratios & my rant on how CENTCOM is about to spend everyone’s munitions. @warontherocks.bsky.social warontherocks.com/episode/ther...

After four years of grinding conflict, Russia’s war on Ukraine is increasingly defined by adaptation, endurance, and exhaustion. Senior Fellow @michaelkofman.bsky.social gives his latest assessment of battlefield dynamics in @foreignaffairs.com: www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/ukrai...

"For all intents and purposes traditional arms control between the United States and Russia is done. The question is what now?" Senior Fellow @michaelkofman.bsky.social in @warontherocks.bsky.social on Russian nuclear modernization after the end of New START: warontherocks.com/2026/02/runn...

Happy to share the latest. My views on the current battlefield dynamics and where the war stands in 2026. Happy to share the latest. www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/ukrai...

Some thoughts here to add to the conversation on post New START. warontherocks.com/2026/02/runn...

The latest Russia contingency episode is out. I sat down with @ryanevans.bsky.social to talk about the Russia-Ukraine war, looking at the key issues, insights gained, and questions answered over the course of 2025. @warontherocks.bsky.social warontherocks.com/episode/ther...

Still plenty of reasons to be skeptical about the Trump administration's latest push for an end to the war in Ukraine. Thanks @ivodaalder.bsky.social and @michaelkofman.bsky.social for speaking with me -- theworld.org/segments/202...

Latest Russia Contingency is out. Rob Lee and I talk about our recent impressions from a field study in Ukraine. We discuss what’s changed since July, key trends, and look at different parts of the front. @WarOnTheRocks warontherocks.com/episode/ther...

On The Power Vertical Podcast this week, I speak to the always insightful Michael Kofman @michaelkofman.bsky.social about the battle for Pokrovsk and what it means for the broader trajectory of Russia's war against Ukraine. www.powervertical.org/2025/11/07/t...

As the situation in Pokrovsk becomes critical, and AFU reinforces the pocket to stabilize the flanks, there's considerable attention now to how this battle is unfolding. A few thoughts on the situation. 1/ (DeepStateMap)

Check out the latest Russia Contingency. I join the head of Lasar’s Group, one of Ukraine’s best and lesser known drone units to talk about their experience, how drone use is evolving, adaptation on both sides, and what the future holds. @WarOnTheRocks warontherocks.com/episode/ther...

Latest WOTR podcast is out. I join @massdara.bsky.social and @ryanevans.bsky.social to talk about the current course of the war, recent developments, and policy trajectory here in DC. @warontherocks.bsky.social warontherocks.com/2025/10/hold...

Latest Russia Contingency is out. I’m joined by Austin Long and Pranay Vaddi to talk about the fall 2022 nuclear crisis. Was it a crisis? What do we think happened? Three years on, do we know now that can shed more light on this period? warontherocks.com/episode/ther... @warontherocks.bsky.social

Pour le plaisir, un autre extrait de l’émission avec @michaelkofman.bsky.social, où l’on parle du grand coup de génie des Russes qu’est l’emploi de motocross, et de ce que ça nous apprend.

The latest Russia Contingency is out. I join BG Jyri Raitasalo to talk about how Finnish Defense Forces are changing training, perspectives on lessons learned from the Russia-Ukraine war, deterrence/defense l as part of NATO, and more. @WarOnTheRocks t.co/wnKrcOxLug

Very much looking forward to welcoming @michaelkofman.bsky.social at @irsem.bsky.social, to his keynote on the strategic lessons of the Russia-Ukraine war, and to discussing implications for European security with @elietenenbaum.bsky.social and Maud Quessard! October 6 www.irsem.fr/agenda/strat...

Security guarantees looked one way in Alaska, and another in Washington. @massdara.bsky.social and @michaelkofman.bsky.social join Ryan to break down which version Ukraine might get. Listen here: warontherocks.com/20...

New post from @ldfreedman.bsky.social "Half-Baked Alaska" On the failed Trump-Putin summit and what changes about the prospects of peace as a result. (£/free to read) samf.substack.com/p/half-baked...

Since security guarantees are back in discussion, for those interested in the requirements, tasks, and what a European deterrence force might look like - check out this piece from back in March with Jack Watling. warontherocks.com/2025/03/will...

On The Power Vertical Podcast this week, I speak with the always insightful Michael Kofman @michaelkofman.bsky.social about the state of the front lines in Ukraine. www.powervertical.org/2025/08/01/t...

Recently met this great UA customs inspector

Uh oh. Scoop: Scores of Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s MPs are potentially refusing to vote to restore the independence of Ukraine’s anti-corruption agencies, fearing the regained powers will be used to take revenge against them. www.ft.com/content/d8c2... via @financialtimes.com

Latest WOTR podcast is out. I join @ryanevans.bsky.social to talk about the state of the front, manpower, drones, and the recent disruption of aid from the United States. Open to all. @WarOnTheRocks open.spotify.com/episode/11Cb...

Some things here may be dated but I still found it useful. If you follow drone use in Ukraine then you likely know a lot of what’s in this piece. Yet the perspective is nonetheless helpful. warontherocks.com/2025/06/i-fo...

Important. "The US military strikes on three of Iran’s nuclear facilities last weekend did not destroy the core components of the country’s nuclear program and likely only set it back by months, according to an early US [DIA] intelligence assessment" edition.cnn.com/2025/06/24/p...

NYT on the decision to strike Iran. www.nytimes.com/2025/06/22/u...

[email protected] and I had a great conversation with the always insightful @michaelkofman.bsky.social about the current state of the war in Ukraine. Mike shared his assessment of the frontline situation, how things are going for each side, & what he’s watching closely in the months ahead.

Latest RC is out. I join @justin-br0nk.bsky.social and Guy Plopsky to talk about the Israeli vs Russian air campaign. Why one succeed and the other failed. How can these different wars be usefully compared? What are observations or lessons learned. @WarOnTheRocks warontherocks.com/episode/ther...

Assuming 40% operational readiness in Russian LRA the confirmed impact of damaged and destroyed aircraft is 25-30% of the fleet. If readiness is lower then this goes to 35%+. These are rough estimates.

For folks who missed it. I sat down with the head of Estonian Military Intelligence for a conversation on the Russia-Ukraine war, how he sees the future Russia threat, and the security dynamic in the Baltic. @WarOnTheRocks warontherocks.com/episode/ther...

Another Russia Contingency episode is out. Rob Lee and @massdara.bsky.social join me for a good discussion on the SBU operation, what we know, implications, and exchange views on the current course of the war. @WarOnTheRocks warontherocks.com/episode/ther...

With interviews featuring Leon Panetta, Frank Kendall, Michael A. Brown, @spettyjohn.bsky.social, Paul Scharre, @mchorowitz.bsky.social @aaronbateman.bsky.social, @michaelkofman.bsky.social, Kate Epstein, Thomas G. Mahnken, Benjamin Jensen, Jack Shanahan, James Roche and many more

Rob Lee, @michaelkofman.bsky.social and I share our views on drone strikes on Russian bombers, and views on the frontlines in Ukraine below @warontherocks.bsky.social warontherocks.com/episode/ther...

Where different BDA assessments seem to converge. Destroyed: 7 Tu-95MS, 4 Tu-22M3, 1 An-12. Damaged: 1 Tu-95MS, 2 Tu-22M3 , 2 A-50s (probably non-operational). Additionally attacked & possibly damaged: 4 Tu-22M3 (status unclear), and 1 Tu-95MS.

The second part of our Russia contingency episode with Richard Connolly and Alexandra Prokopenko is out. We continue the discussion on Russia’s economic outlook, debates about how Moscow is financing the war, defense spending, and more. @warontherocks.bsky.social warontherocks.com/episode/ther...

Interesting investigative piece. danwatch.dk/en/serious-s...