On July 9, join us online for an important conversation with Senior Fellow @michaelkofman.bsky.social on Russia's military power after Ukraine, moderated by The Economist's @shashj.bsky.social. RSVP here: carnegieendowment.org/events/2026/...

In a new piece for @foreignaffairs.com, Senior Fellow @michaelkofman.bsky.social argues that poor Russian performance in Ukraine should not be a "cause for complacency" among NATO countries: www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/next-...

May 27 | Space, Nuclear Weapons, and U.S.-Russia Relations After the Cold War Join @andrewsweiss.bsky.social for a conversation with Rose Gottemoeller on U.S.-Russia cooperation in the '90s—drawing from her new book, Security Through Cooperation. carnegieendowment.org/events/2026/...

“This myth that the Kremlin would like us to believe— that somehow Ukraine is losing badly—is just not borne out by the facts on the battlefield.” Senior Fellow @massdara.bsky.social, in conversation with Francis Fukuyama, on where the Russia-Ukraine war stands today: youtu.be/d5UTTAFpg4Q?...

With @kennaninstitute.bsky.social's Michael Kimmage, Senior Fellow and Ukraine Initiative Director Eric Ciaramella discusses the long arc of U.S. policy toward Ukraine: www.youtube.com/watch?v=s1iW...

We hope you can join us tomorrow at 9:00 a.m. for this important reflection on Chernobyl's legacy. ⬇️

Join us May 7th for a discussion on Chernobyl's legacy featuring Adam Higginbotham, Mariana Budjeryn, and Carnegie's Corey Hinderstein. Ukraine's Ambassador to the U.S. Olga Stefanishyna will deliver opening remarks. RSVP here: carnegieendowment.org/events/2026/...

EVENT | Chernobyl's Legacy 40 Years On Join us May 7th for a discussion with Adam Higginbotham, Mariana Budjeryn, and Carnegie's Corey Hinderstein. Ukraine's Ambassador to the U.S. Olga Stefanishyna will deliver opening remarks. RSVP: carnegieendowment.org/events/2026/...

In Ukraine, drones have become “a standard instrument of warfare.” The consequences will shape conflicts far beyond Europe. @andriypzag.bsky.social on how Ukraine is driving doctrinal change in modern warfare: carnegieendowment.org/research/202...

What kind of threat will Russia pose over the next decade? Join us online Wednesday 4/15 at 1:15 pm EDT for a panel discussion to launch @carnegieendowment.org's new initiative on The Future of Russian Power: carnegieendowment.org/events/2026/...

In a Q&A with Carnegie Emissary, Senior Fellow Eugene Rumer explains why Russia will emerge from its quagmire in Ukraine as more of a threat to Europe—no matter how the war ends: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...

Eric Green explores how reimagining the Poland-Ukraine partnership could accelerate Kyiv’s westward alignment and improve the security of both countries: carnegieendowment.org/research/202...

Centre for Defence Strategies experts Alina Frolova and Stepan Yakymiak assess how Ukraine can expand asymmetric advantages in the Black Sea, deny Russia operational freedom, and establish a stable maritime order: carnegieendowment.org/research/202...

In a new article, Viktor Kevliuk, Olesya Favorska, and @andriypzag.bsky.social examine how Ukraine can address its persistent military manpower challenge through strategy and force design: carnegieendowment.org/research/202...

"For the Kremlin, showing too much support for Iran would be to openly side with Trump’s enemies, thereby risking incurring his wrath and becoming a party in a conflict against the United States." Read Alexander Baunov's latest in @foreignpolicy.com: foreignpolicy.com/2026/03/04/p...

Latest Russia Contingency is out. I join @oajonsson.bsky.social and Maria Engqvist to talk about how the Russian military see the future of war, their lessons learned, gaps between theory and practice, and what to make of Russian military thought. @WarOnTheRocks warontherocks.com/episode/ther...

"If the regime in Tehran survives, it could be obliged to hand Moscow significant political influence in exchange for supplies of weapons and humanitarian aid." Read Nikita Smagin's analysis:

Senior Fellow @massdara.bsky.social on drone use in the Iran war and what the United States can learn from Ukraine: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...

As Russia looks for opportunities to build inroads, African governments are identifying new ways to promote their goals—and facing new risks. Our latest publication unpacks Moscow's role, its appeal, and its limitations: carnegieendowment.org/research/202...

On the fourth anniversary of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Eric Ciaramella, @andriypzag.bsky.social, and Alexandra Prokopenko joined Aaron David Miller on Carnegie Connects to discuss the war’s impacts and what might come next: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...

The latest RC is out with @massdara.bsky.social We go through some of the current myths, arguments, and assumptions about the war. From judging offensives to attrition ratios & my rant on how CENTCOM is about to spend everyone’s munitions. @warontherocks.bsky.social warontherocks.com/episode/ther...

"Today, the war is not merely a tool of Russian policy; it has become foundational to the regime itself." @andriypzag.bsky.social in @foreignpolicy.com on why Ukrainians doubt that painful concessions will achieve a lasting peace: foreignpolicy.com/2026/02/20/u...

After four years of grinding conflict, Russia’s war on Ukraine is increasingly defined by adaptation, endurance, and exhaustion. Senior Fellow @michaelkofman.bsky.social gives his latest assessment of battlefield dynamics in @foreignaffairs.com: www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/ukrai...

"For all intents and purposes traditional arms control between the United States and Russia is done. The question is what now?" Senior Fellow @michaelkofman.bsky.social in @warontherocks.bsky.social on Russian nuclear modernization after the end of New START: warontherocks.com/2026/02/runn...

As Ukrainian and Russian delegations meet in Geneva today for another round of talks, Senior Fellow Eric Ciaramella explores how Putin could come to see a peace deal as tactically advantageous, even if his goal of subjugating Ukraine remains unchanged: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...

If Prime Minister Takaichi wins snap elections, will Japan soon be threatening the Russian Far East and preparing to seize the disputed Southern Kuril Islands by force? Nothing could be further from the truth, writes @jamesdjbrown.bsky.social: carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...

The main aim of upgrading Russia’s nuclear forces for Putin was to gain an advantage over the West, including by strengthening the nuclear threat on all fronts, and that made a new arms race inevitable, argues Maxim Starchak: carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...

Senior Fellow @massdara.bsky.social joins @cnn.com to explain why there is strong reason to doubt that the Kremlin is negotiating in good faith on a Ukraine peace deal: www.cnn.com/2026/02/09/t...

With or without a cease-fire, "Europe must now help Ukraine shift from survival to long-term force regeneration." Read Eric Ciaramella and @sophiabesch.bsky.social's proposal for how Europe can rearm Kyiv without Washington in @foreignaffairs.com: www.foreignaffairs.com/guest-pass/r...

TOMORROW: @massdara.bsky.social, @kschake.bsky.social, and William Greenwalt discuss how the war in Ukraine is transforming defense industrial production. Register here: carnegieendowment.org/events/2025/...

How has Russia's full-scale invasion transformed the distribution of people, capital, infrastructure, and political influence within Ukraine? Mariya Levonova and Balázs Jarábik unpack what regional disparities mean for postwar reconstruction: carnegieendowment.org/research/202...

In @thehill.com, Eric Green and Alexander Joel argue that the US-Ukraine Reconstruction Investment Fund should prioritize early investments in infrastructure projects that support both Ukraine's present wartime resilience and future growth prospects: thehill.com/opinion/inte...

A new paper I co-authored with Philip Gamaghelyan is out. It looks at practical steps toward lasting peace between Azerbaijan and Armenia, and how different actors can support long-term stability.Any feedback is welcome. carnegieendowment.org/research/202...

carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat... Should Europe be negotiating directly with Russia? Seven scholars respond to our latest @carnegieeurope.bsky.social (deliberately provocative) question

“Never before has the U.S. been so successful in its attempts to convince Central Asia that cooperation with Washington is worth the irritation from China and Russia.” Temur Umarov on the possible future of the region: carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...

The White House wants to take advantage of Kyiv’s mounting problems to impose a peace agreement that is more favorable to Russia. But the Kremlin may still believe the battlefield is a more reliable way of achieving its goals, writes Tatiana Stanovaya: carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...

What went wrong in Russia? Was thrilled to discuss the sources of Russia's conduct with German Ambassador to Moscow Alexander Graf Lambsdorff & my colleague Ekaterina Schulmann in the newest episode of "Politika." This time with @koerber-ip.bsky.social . carnegieendowment.org/podcasts/car...

How has Iran’s twelve-day war pushed Tehran even closer to Moscow and led to new cooperation agreements, including in the nuclear sector? Nikita Smagin explains: carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...

After several turbulent weeks in Russia-Ukraine diplomacy, where do peace prospects actually stand? Eric Ciaramella joins Anastasiia Lapatina and Benjamin Wittes on the Lawfare Daily podcast to discuss: www.lawfaremedia.org/article/lawf...

Armenia's election, like it or not, is being fought by outside actors as well. Russia and parts of the US diaspora have a new candidate to unseat Nikol Pashinyan. Pashinyan needs help to demonstrate progress in his Real Armenia agenda. My latest for @carnegieeurope.bsky.social

Syria’s new leadership faces no shortage of immediate problems, not least holding onto power and restoring order. Moscow is willing to assist it in those tasks to further its own ends, argues Ruslan Suleymanov: carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...

Central Asia is adapting its entire ideological agenda to impress one man: Donald Trump. The recent C5+1 summit was a new high point in US-Central Asian ties. But is this rapprochement real, or just risk? 🧵🧵🧵

What’s behind the arrest of Ramiz Mehdiyev, who was for decades one of Azerbaijan’s most influential politicians, and why has President Aliyev accused him of plotting a Russia-backed coup d’état? Read Bashir Kitachaev's analysis here:

Check out the latest Russia Contingency. I join the head of Lasar’s Group, one of Ukraine’s best and lesser known drone units to talk about their experience, how drone use is evolving, adaptation on both sides, and what the future holds. @WarOnTheRocks warontherocks.com/episode/ther...

"The main audience for proposals from the Russian elite is not in fact Trump, but Putin, who still seeks a landmark agreement with Washington." Andrey Pertsev on why figures close to Putin are trying to earn Trump's approval: carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...

Ultimately, the adoption of some scheme to appropriate Russia's frozen assets seems almost inevitable. Otherwise, it will not just be Ukraine that is at risk, but the very raison d’être of the EU, argues Alexander Kolyandr: carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...

[email protected] joined the American Prestige podcast (@amprestigepod.bsky.social) to discuss the state of Russia's war on Ukraine, the future of European security, and more. Listen here:

Will Trump's sanctions against Russian oil finally force Putin to abandon his war against Ukraine? We've dissected this issue with Eddie Fishman, author of "Chokepoints: American Power in the Age of Economic Warfare." Tune in! carnegieendowment.org/podcasts/car...

"While martial law has suspended formal democratic processes, it has not extinguished Ukraine’s democratic ambitions and track record of competitive politics and media freedom." Anatolii Oktysiuk and Balazs Jarabik on Ukraine's thawing political landscape:

Six months since its establishment, the U.S.-Ukraine Reconstruction Investment Fund is taking shape as an institutional partnership in the natural resources sector. Eric Green suggests it could be used to meet Kyiv's pressing defense needs as well: