This is, ultimately, a data-driven argument:

Celebrating @professormusgrave.bsky.social's return with the classic:

Er det grunn til å frykte at Trump faktisk ønsker seg en krig med NATO over Grønland, slik at han får påskudd til å også annektere Canada? Dette bildet har han lagt ut selv, uten tekst. Fullstendig galskap, ja, men også illustrerende på hva han ønsker seg, og dermed faktisk har til intensjon?

Instead of having to travel to various capitals to reassure foreign leaders, these US lawmakers could just impeach the mofo.

I miss the days where Borgen seemed fiction and The West Wing seemed real, instead of the other way around.

Dette var en drøy og alt for generaliserende måte å avskrive statsvitenskapen på, men likevel lesverdig og tankevekkende. Som én som har jobbet mye med politisk atferd ut fra rational-choice teori, og som etter 30 års reiser blant amerikanere fremdeles ikke forstår seg på dem, treffer den hardt!

Ikke bruk KI når du skriver jobbsøknad! Ikke én gang til struktur! Når man sitter med 70 kliss like, generiske og tamme – men korrekt disponerte søknader, som alle hevder at kandidaten kan alt som står i stillingsutlysningen, så er det de menneskelige, sårbare og ukorrekte som skiller seg ut!

Congrats again to everyone who treated “Which 🇺🇸 political party has moved further from the political center in the 21st century?” as a serious topic of debate & a prelude to piles of articles about how <checks notes> The Democrats needed to moderate their increasingly extreme policy positions

Again, I’m going to keep banging the lonely drum that the fact that we are threatening the territorial sovereignty of our closest allies is a gross violation of our UN & NATO treaty obligations, poses a massive threat to national security & world order, & should immediately end this presidency.

Det er helt sprøtt at måten man nå prøver å få Trump til å droppe sine grønlandsambisjoner på er å forsøke å ta fra ham budsjettmidler i stedet for å simpelthen si "Nei! Det er uaktuelt!"

Not preregistered, but I only checked this term, because in moderating hundreds of papers a month on SocArXiv, I saw the phrase "proposed framework" appearing in a lot of AI slop, short, data-free, superficially written papers with dramatic claims to originality and importance. Voila.

Nordic governments are rejecting U.S. President Donald Trump’s assertions that Russian and Chinese vessels are operating near Greenland, warning that the claims are not supported by intelligence and are fueling destabilizing rhetoric.

The Norwegian Nobel Prize committee has been forced to make a statement, declaring that the prize cannot be transferred. It's hard even to comprehend how stupid this has become

I'm sure there are a few native Americans who will be interested in his opinions on boats and land owning......🤨

"The fact that they landed a boat there 500 years ago doesn't mean they own the land" is a helluva take for any european-descent american

Marine traffic around Greenland vs. Danmark right now. I'm pretty sure the US Navy is needed to handle this *MASSIVE* traffic - NOT!

It's also wild that this hasn't ended Trump's presidency immediately. We used to be a serious country, where things mattered. Or maybe we never were, & it's just the mask being fully ripped off. Hard to tell, frankly. Observationally equivalent. bsky.app/profile/mcop...

Venezuela har 17,5 % av verdens oljereserver. Til sammenligning har Norge 0,5.

These freaks want territorial expansion and they know Trump will do everything he can to deliver. This isn’t just a tweet from some random asshole either. This is Stephen Miller’s wife. Miller was in the room with Trump during the kidnapping of Maduro.

Turned out accurate (though guess it wasn't JD, but Rubio/Hegseth?). Seems like placing the Situation Room in Palm Beach is an intel risk.

Ettersom år 0 ikke finnes i vår tidsregning, er rett angivelse (men uansett neppe historisk korrekt) at Jesus ble født i år -1.

This is not Trump being stupid, tho Trump is a very stupid person. This is not Trump being played, tho Trump is one of the most easily manipulated people who’s ever lived. No, the truth is scarier. This is Trump working for & siding with Putin. This is Trump, the Russian asset.

Make a Bond movie academic Casino Royale: Election Forensics of High Stakes Presidential Contests using Monte Carlo Simulations

- Danmarks sak er vår, skriver Aftonbladet på lederplass. #Trump

Har du mot til å starte karrieren din innan eit tenestefelt som det er stort politisk og offentleg engasjement og merksemd rundt, og som står ovanfor stor kostnadsauke og harde prioriteringar i åra som kjem? Da kan du bli trainee hos oss! 240010.webcruiter.no/Main2/Recrui...

I am ratcheting down my social media, but let me just say that all European leaders except on the far Right should note that the U.S. now seeks regime change in their country; basically seeks to depose them. US strategy is to support the political forces that threaten liberal democracy in Europe.

The Nobel Prize committee should announce the World Cup winner tomorrow

Trenger ikke konto for å gå inn og se. Jeg må ofte også sjekke om det ekte, og 10 av 10 ganger er det det 🙈

Trump, being in the process of sun downing, probably hates all the miserable people around him, because they're all evil, and he's losing grip with reality. Then a real human being comes around and is warm and friendly, and grandpa is just beside himself. He needs to be in a home.

The way to do this.

Flere år før Obamas mann stilte, sa jeg at USA ville før velge en farget mann enn en kvinne til president. Som hvit mannlig skandinav skal jeg være ytterst forsiktig her, men min oppfatning etter å ha tilbragt tilsammen halvannet år i USA er at misogynien er mer utbredt enn rasismen.

Trump's campaign to kill an industry where America runs a massive trade surplus is succeeding

Engasjerende, artig og litt rørende multimedia-dypdykk i Take On Me. Sett av litt tid til artikkelen! Første gang jeg har sammenliknet original-floppen med hiten side-om-side wapo.st/4oobhco

If you had told me twenty years ago that I'd have even the slightest twinge of nostalgia or remorse for the passing of one Richard (Dick) Cheney, I'd have laughed you out of the room And yet here we are

I am looking for a post-doc working on behavioral/environmental/urban/energy economics to join my group at the University of Copenhagen. Position is 2 years (possibly 3), good salary, free health insurance, one of the most livable cities in the world. Apply here: jobportal.ku.dk/videnskabeli...

Anyway, we need some joy, so here's the Egyptian foreign minister being given a Lego Pyramid by the Danish foreign minister.

I deleted the thread since it’s misleading now. Israeli Chief JAG went missing after becoming target of public scrutiny and right wing attacks over her leak of investigation video of abuse of Hamas prisoners. She has since been found healthy following report of note left behind in her car.

If anyone needs me I will be in the museum, lying down next to the bog bodies.

Bare i går kveld har Trump re-truthet fire kommentarer om at han fortjener fredsprisen. Én av dem mener fredsprisen til og med bør oppkalles etter ham. Det er bare å stålsette seg.

🇺🇦✌🏻

Called it! bsky.app/profile/stia...

There’s an article to be written about how leading data-focused analysts (Silver, Klein, Yglesias, Leonhardt) have become vibes-focused pontificators. I expect it was undue self-confidence that led them to become the former & that overrode the data orientation for them to become the latter.

Last little whimper of the American democracy. R.I.P.

Speaking of things making themselves irrelevant and shrinking their audience, how are things at the Washington Post?

Så middagstalen til Kong Charles nå, og leksen han gav Trump i historie, demokrati, frihet, fred, diplomati, handel, vitenskap, klima, naturvern og en bedre verden i fremtiden er fenomenal! Hvert stikk er subtilt, men i sum var dette en lekse av de sjeldne.

The worse feeling in the world is seeing your support disappear mid-way through your PhD journey. Working towards the degree & being a scientist already requires mental and emotional fortitude. What is happening now is another beast, at another level. 🧪 musgrave.substack.com/p/dont-do-a-...

/7 So I question the proposition that just because Charlie Kirk didn't go around killing people, but went around belittling and demeaning and dehumanizing them instead, that he's inherently admirable. Would I be a hero if I said I will debate ANYONE about whether black people are human? No.

Obviously, there's bigger news happening right now, but Senate Republicans just voted against releasing the Epstein files. Every Democrat voted to release them. Susan Collins was the deciding vote to protect Trump and others named in the files.

The AI authorship issue is real. We've caught papers that looked OK but had references to works by the *journal editors* that *do not exist*. Like, don't send us papers citing papers we know we didn't write, right?