One of the strangest charts in the UK tax system More taxpayers are earning just under £100k than around £83k Why? Crossing £100k triggers a series of tax and benefit cliff edges. Many people respond rationally: reduce hours, reject promotions or boost pension contributions

Excited to see this project out there — the product of a huge amount of hard work, fantastic (secure access) administrative data, resulting in a paper with real relevance for some of the biggest challenges facing the criminal justice system today. Please share!

Panel session II: Frontiers in nowcasting Chaired by @stuartgmcintyre.bsky.social, with Raffaella Giacomini @ucl.ac.uk, Michele Lenza @ecb.europa.eu & Giulia Mantoan @bankofengland.bsky.social discussing real-time forecasting, machine learning, and the challenges involved.

Read more about the work in this ESCoE blog: tinyurl.com/5t353dm9 @fraserofallander.org

Bridging the micro–macro divide: A new paper by Gary Koop, @stuartgmcintyre.bsky.social, James Mitchell and Ping Wu sets out a method for embedding detailed microdata directly within macroeconomic time-series models: tinyurl.com/5t353dm9 @fraserofallander.org @unistrathclyde.bsky.social

New research paper! We often know how macro shocks affect the income distribution. But we usually cannot see who within that distribution gains or loses. In a new @clevelandfed.bsky.social paper with Gary Koop, James Mitchell and Ping Wu, we propose a way to open that black box...

Real-time indicator of #Eurozone economy rose slightly in December 2025; positive indications for the performance of services continued to support #Eurocoin, which also benefited from signs of recovery in the construction sector, @cepr.org @voxeu.org cepr.org/about/news/e...

"I was struck by the openness of the discussions, and the willingness of experts from around the world to share the challenges they face and potential solutions to meet them." ESCoE Engagement Director Darren Morgan reflects on the recent UNSW-ESCoE Conference: tinyurl.com/yc7wbh8b

Fascinating new analysis by the ONS on UK #business #dynamism and #productivity. Firms employing a third of workers in the non-financial business economy contributed negatively, and the next third only marginally, to productivity #growth. Full ONS analysis: bit.ly/48Yhqqn

We're recruiting for a Research Assistant We're looking for someone interested in one or more of the following - institutions; governance; devolution; place-based policy; and public administration. 📆 Apply by 5 January 2026 🔗https://www.cam.ac.uk/jobs/research-assistant-fixed-term-jb48083

📘New report from David Waite, Graeme Roy, Stuart McIntyre and Niall G MacKenzie sets out new options for Scotland’s city region policy. Read more: www.gla.ac.uk/research/az/...

Great to host a workshop for ESCoE PhD students and Early Career Researchers @kingsbschool.bsky.social, @kingscollegelondon.bsky.social earlier this month. Find out more about ESCoE's research programme: escoe.ac.uk/research

NEW Policy Insights: Next steps for city-region policy in Scotland 💡📝 Where does policy need to go next and what opportunities are there to strengthen regional working? @davidwglasgow.bsky.social @graemeroy.bsky.social @stuartgmcintyre.bsky.social, Niall MacKenzie 🔗 www.gla.ac.uk/research/az/...

What kinds of careers can you build in and around research, and how do you get started? Career stories from ESCoE researchers and staff members. @joshmartinecon.bsky.social @stuartgmcintyre.bsky.social

ONS has taken a lot of stick recently over problems with core economic statistics, but its response today on the public finance stats - setting out what happened and a path forward - is a frank and useful explainer from the new team that's to be welcomed. blog.ons.gov.uk/2025/10/08/a...

What does this mean for how we understand jobs, unemployment, and the labour market? Read @stuartgmcintyre.bsky.social on what’s been going wrong with labour market statistics – and what’s at stake. 👇 🔗 buff.ly/sfvLfFo

The quality & trustworthiness of economic statistics have been in the news on both sides of the Atlantic - what's been going on? @stuartgmcintyre.bsky.social @econ-observatory.bsky.social www.economicsobservatory.com/labour-marke...

@stuartgmcintyre.bsky.social presents ESCoE work with @fraserofallander.org using innovative time-series methods to assess how UK regions respond to business cycle & monetary policy shocks.
  #EconStats2025

Finally @stuartgmcintyre.bsky.social presents preliminary work on measuring regional resilience to economic shocks. Finding measures for resistance, recovery, renewal and reorientation.

Two days to go to apply for a Lectureship (Teaching and Research) at @uniofstandrews.bsky.social economics! www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DMM015/l...

The long shortlist for the 2024 Enlightened Economist book of the year www.enlightenmenteconomics.com/blog/index.p... (NB my entirely arbitrary and personal choice)

Lots of political arguments in the weeks ahead about plans to remove the UC two-child limit in Scotland, but those aside an important process point - this is a £200m+ a year commitment which has not been costed because it was added too late... #scotbudget fiscalcommission.scot/wp-content/u...

And now @econ-observatory.bsky.social is here too!

🤖New working paper🤖 Those from low SES backgrounds are less likely to enter "elite" occupations than their high SES peers, even when they have the same qualifications. But are low SES individuals less likely to enter high quality jobs in general? repec-cepeo.ucl.ac.uk/cepeow/cepeowp24…

New report from @theifs.bsky.social highlighting new disability claimants are: a) younger b) more likely to claim due to mental health problems c) women Really worrying trend here with longer term implications ifs.org.uk/publications...

A literature review on the impact of minimum wages on low-wage labor markets, from Arindrajit Dube and Attila S. Lindner https://www.nber.org/papers/w32878

🚨Job alert!🚨 Our group (@buwheelock.bsky.social @wheelockpolicybu.bsky.social) is hiring an Assistant Professor of Education Policy. Description below, along with a link to apply. I'm chairing the search, so reach out and spread the word. Come work with us! academicjobsonline.org/ajo/jobs/28451