not only was this predictable from the moment he took office, it should have been expected. and yet a constellation of “serious” and “savvy” observers insisted that we were living through a realignment

a year in and trump is in free fall with the public across every conceivable issue

i guess i have a medium account, maybe i should write something that will piss everyone off

circling back to this (i meant to do this before but forgot) i think the primary dividing lines in the 2028 primary will be: - proven vs. unproven - fighter vs. folder secondary to these: party loyalist vs. independent/newcomer/turncoat

Remember - DHS wants a full week notice now before congress conducts oversight in these facilities

i am either meant to live in Alaska or in New York, not here, and i'm not sure which it is

It feels a little shady! I'm not familiar with him personally. He's working with a campaign consulting firm that is generally left-leaning and has a good reputation for winning (maybe a little inflated in my opinion). He's running as an independent but seems to have a fairly progressive background.

Right. Alaska Dems have a long track record of being very pragmatic about stuff like this.

this is also just empirically true in context. DHS does not get to just stop people in the street and ask their immigration status. they must seek a warrant from a judge for a detention

@jsamdrolet.bsky.social there's this post going around Twitter talking about a guy named Bill Hill looking at running for AK-AL ... wonder how much to make of this seeing as I can't find an alternate source besides 'The Alaska Landmine'?

People who are confident in their power don't act like this. They don't have the resources or manpower to control us directly. They need us to get so scared, we control ourselves. That's how propaganda works. Time is running out on their plan, and they know it.

the wildest thing is right-wingers acting like minnesotans in videos must be outside agitators when we can all hear their accents. i don't think i could do that accent convincingly if i spent a year practicing. and neither would i wish to. have you heard that shit? craziest american accent

there is no such thing as an official "platform" and even if there was, Chuck Schumer would sure as hell not be the one dictating it. why even bother following politics if you don't know anything about it?

Evelyn: “I have seen Him in the watch-fires of a hundred circling camps”

so here's food for thought, including for myself: early primary polls and perceptions of Newsom being a strong candidate are almost completely at odds with where we are seeing Democrats go in terms of issue polling. these are two different (and incompatible!) stories that data is telling us

Pat Ryan is not exactly a raging wokist, guys, if this is a thing he's saying it's *going to happen*

Miller has no more legal protections than anyone else. He's just an adviser. No reason to not make his life hell.

simply amazing that Kathleen Kennedy stuck up for Andor but refused to do so for The Acolyte

even setting this aside, his record as governor is complete trash and his argument for why he should get it is that he's a powerful white guy this should be treated as disqualifying

i think the expectation for this should be that Democrats should attend, and then all get up and walk out after like 5 minutes

y'all still gonna whine and cry about Walz?

One of the stories that makes me the saddest out of this ICE invasion is one out of the Minnesota Star Tribune today about ICE agents eating at a little Mexican restaurant in the small town of Willmar, Minn, —and then, when they were done, arresting some of the workers.

Nydia Velázquez Time in NYC: Approximately 3 years before her first local run; 11 years before her congressional run Claire Valdez Time in NYC: Approximately 9 years before her first local run; 11 years before her congressional run

There are places where Trump, as president, has broad freedom of action. And there are places where Trump, as president, has been able to act unilaterally because the main point of opposition, Congress (and SCOTUS), support his program. (1/?)

do any New Yorkers here have any opinions of any of these no-names Hochul is considering for Lieutenant Governor?

social media is so wild, man, you got people in your mentions who are immediately hostile despite being 2 degrees away from you politically like you wouldn't shout at me for ordering a slightly different coffee to you in the cafe, right? and if you did, everyone would look at you like you're crazy

The ACLU has a Mobile Justice app that will automatically record video and send it to your local ACLU affiliate if you get attacked by ICE and they try to delete your video or steal your phone. It’s now available in 17 states and Washington D.C. www.cnet.com/tech/mobile/...

wikipedia turns 25 today! the last unenshittified major website! backbone of online info! triumph of humanity! powered by urge of unpaid randos to correct each other! somehow mostly reliable! "good thing wikipedia works in practice, because it sure doesn't work in theory" - old wiki adage

they’re not gonna do any of this lol

I've said it before, I'll say it again: today is the best day the Trump administration will have until this is over. the peak of their popularity, the apex of their invulnerability, the highest point from which they command the media.

did she really think this was a winning response

When will the Union County Commission commit to not selling the county jail to ICE? When will the Union County Commission commit to noncooperation with ICE?

Enough quibbling about congressional authorization and proper process. Democrats should stand on the principle of the thing: no war with Venezuela, no regime change, no "nation-building," no Iraq 2.0. We've been down this road before, and we know it ends badly for us and for ordinary Venezuelans.

this was a very obvious outcome the very day the shutdown ended - legitimacy of that decision and the ensuing political battle aside, this sucks!

WANTED FOR KIDNAPPING / ASSAULT - Michael B. Sveum of Las Cruces, NM: BORTAC agent with Customs and Border Protection. He is in Minneapolis now and he was in Los Angeles in June and July. Insignia "EZ-2" and "BTC". Witness to the murder of Renee Nicole Good. #OneOfOursAllOfYours #ICEList #UnmaskICE

.... it is actually possible this gets junked by SCOTUS somehow, i feel like

hmmm this is mostly fine but maybe up the energy/zeal level a little bit Amy

Friends in or near Annapolis, ICE is messing about in AACo.

dawg they are gonna die in Maine

yeah that's going to be a dud, it also involves actual work, which they are incapable of

I've seen enough: Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan (D-MN) will win the Democratic nomination for US Senate in Minnesota

If I hear one more “why don’t libruls protest when other people get murdered [and the suspects are arrested and put on trial]” I’m gonna lose it man

the question to ask about this is, okay, he wants to cancel the midterms. how does he get the VA state board of elections to cancel the midterms? how does he get the georgia board of elections to do it? how does he convince republican house members to quit their jobs and give up their paychecks?

ICE can't even deal with irate middle-aged midwesterners. how does he occupy hundreds, if not thousands, of polling cites and precincts? trump v. illinois clarified that he has no legal authority to unilaterally commandeer national guards, how does he move forward from there?

when the current term of the 119th congress ends on january 2 (or 3, i forget) 227, mike johnson ceases to be speaker of the house bsky.app/profile/gran...

now, of course, when you point out the practical obstacles to "canceling the elections" people move the goal posts to "voter suppression and various shenanigans." yeah, those things exist and they always have. but the other thing is that those things work *at the margins*

you can't actually suppress away a wave of discontent. (relatedly, i think a lot of you have no idea how large this country is and how small its various military and security forces are relative to its population)

anyway i already see people with undiagnosed anxiety replying to this with lurid fantasies of trump's god like powers so i'll end it here

i think an Attempt is within the realm of possibility for 2028 (not saying it will be successful or even logically viable, for several reasons including the ones on this thread, but that something undemocratic will be tried is a safe bet imo) but i mostly can't imagine it for the midterms at all