Iran Public Opinion Update: Republicans and Independents became more pro-war. Democrats did not become more anti-war. Our new Vantage Data House poll shows how public opinion changed after the war began. More on Substack: open.substack.com/pub/philippb...

New Vantage Data House poll: How did groups like Barstool Conservatives view Iran policy? Explore demographic breakdowns, crosstabs, state rankings, and voter archetypes here: iran-policy.vantage.philippbroniecki.com More from Vantage Data House: www.vantagedatahouse.com

Many say polls are broken. I disagree. My piece on when and how polling works. open.substack.com/pub/philippb...

📢 New article 👥 @philippbroniecki.bsky.social , Lukas Obholzer & Christine Reh 🔎 Legislation Against the Odds: Overcoming Ideological Gridlock in EU Decision-Making. 📖 Open access in Legislative Studies Quarterly 🔗 doi.org/10.1111/lsq....

📢 New article 👥 @philippbroniecki.bsky.social & @bjornhoyland.bsky.social land 🔎 What Unites the Right in the European Parliament? 📖 Open access In European Union Politics. 🔗 doi.org/10.1177/1465...

Our letter @philippbroniecki.bsky.social on what unites the right in the European Parliament is out in @eupthejournal.bsky.social , journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

This is another fabulous Substack by @laurenleek.eu, on the challenges of survey sampling. A must-read for survey industry specialists and academic users of surveys. Eg. I’m sure you’ll love this @kevincunning.bsky.social open.substack.com/pub/laurenle...

Delighted that my paper with @kevincunning.bsky.social on "Still second-order national elections? Evaluating the classic model after the 2024 European elections" has just been published by @wepsocial.bsky.social doi.org/10.1080/0140... 1/

Hi! I would just like to share that the first paper in my PhD has been accepted for publication in @thejop.bsky.social and you can read the "ahead of print" version here: www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1... This is a very big day for me!! Now I am a real PUBLISHED researcher!

What effect do ideologically extreme candidates have? "We show that in-party voters, out-party voters, and independent voters are more likely to turnout to vote and partisans are more likely to support their party’s candidate in elections with ideologically extreme candidates" tinyurl.com/ycxz3v8m

The Berlin government wants to deport 4 long time residents, 3 of them EU citizens b/c they protested Israel's conduct in Gaza: p.dw.com/p/4seq1 Seems Vance was right to criticize us for lack of free speech afterall.

Does Mainstream Populism Work❓ I answer this question in a new paper officially out at @psrm.bsky.social❗ Check out the paper here: doi.org/10.1017/psrm... Key take-aways in the thread below 🧵⬇️:

Deutsche im Ausland, habt ihr eure Wahlbenachrichtigungen schon? Ich warte noch (Norwegen). Am 13.1. sollten die rausgegangen sein. Antrag auf Eintragung ins Wahlregister habe ich rechtzeitig gestellt.

📢 We are hiring: 4-year PhD position at the Department of Government @univie.ac.at 👇

Are you (or your Masters students) puzzled by why polling misses happen in elections worldwide? Curious to uncover when, why, and how to fix it? Interested? Then apply for a fully-funded PhD w/ me, @robfordmancs.bsky.social @martinboon.bsky.social @deltapoll.bsky.social to help solve this puzzle👇

Interested in pursuing a PhD in comparative politics (institutions, behaviour, representation, parties)? We have a four-year position at our department, with great conditions, lots of freedom and a reasonable teaching load. Get in touch if you have questions! jobs.univie.ac.at/job/Universi...

🚨 You are looking for a PhD position in political science & your planned research broadly fits into comparative politics or political behavior? Then join us in Vienna! We offer a 4-year position to pursue your own topic👇. Benefits include good salary & supervision. jobs.univie.ac.at/job/Universi...

🦜New Pub Alert! 🦜 In our new article @psrm.bsky.social, @joeornstein.bsky.social @jaketruscott.bsky.social and I demonstrate how LLMs (like ChaptGPT) can be used to process large text-as-data projects, like sentiment analysis, document scaling, and topic modeling. #polisky doi.org/10.1017/psrm...

After the 2024 #EU elections, parties on the right now hold 52% of the seats ➡🗳 But should we expect that to translate into right-wing policies? @philippbroniecki.bsky.social and Bjørn Høyland (University of Oslo) look at coalitions and common ground on @lseeuroppblog.bsky.social 👇

AfD ist ekelhaft.

Do you consider yourself an expert on #FarRight or #Populism and are you interested in speaking to the media? I will make a similar thread as I did on Twitter, based only on self-nominations. Here a short thread of things to consider before you email me your details. 🧵

I'm hiring RAs to work on data analysis for projects on education, infrastructure, and political economy in Latin America. Spanish/Portuguese language helpful; remote work possible. Please share, and/or apply! Links in next tweet. #econra #econ_ra #EconSky

What unites the right in the European Parliament? Bjørn Høyland and I wrote a blog post about the potential for right EU policies in 2024-2029.

💥 New: What unites the right in the European Parliament? ✍️ @philippbroniecki.bsky.social & Bjørn Høyland @statsvitenskap.bsky.social blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2...

Are football fans holding stronger European identities than non-fans? That was the question we investigated in our latest paper from the FANZinE project which has just been published in Contemporary European Politics (open access). The short answer is Yes: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...

New PhD position on my UKRI Future Leaders Fellowship project on political polarization: fully funded + ~20k tax free yearly stipend. Deadline: Feb 14th! Link to apply: www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DLI246/p...

PLEASE SHARE! Thread on EITM Europe where I will teach this summer with my brilliant friend @dzobrien.bsky.social as well as Thomas Bräuninger and Richard Traunmüller. There is NO TUITION FEE, but students must find funding for travel and accommodation. June 9-20 www.sowi.uni-mannheim.de/eitm/

I’m excited to share my new ROIO article on voting at the UN. Building on data by @erikvoeten.bsky.social and others, we’ve created the first complete database of all UN votes and decisions. We show that using more complete roll-call data can really matter. link.springer.com/article/10.1...