This is one of the best illustrations of the economic damage from Brexit. Leavers used to boast we’d easily outgrow the EU – the reverse has proved the case.

Reform is the no-change party – Farage is recycling a failed consensus on housing and the triple lock, writes @marthadacombe.bsky.social. www.arguably.uk/p/reform-is-...

Something like this might fit; at least for a Conservative Party more confident in its own electoral coalition and in the durability of Brexit.

There are now more Tory supporters who backed Remain than Leave (47-43). Badenoch really needs an offer beyond ‘we can make a success of Brexit’.

“The challenge for the essay is that it doesn’t have a project that remotely fits the time and place we are living in: saying ‘AI’ is not the same as having a plan for Britain.” @torstenbell.bsky.social responds to Tony Blair’s essay on Labour. www.arguably.uk/p/tony-blair...

Tony Blair's missing project – @torstenbell.bsky.social writes for Arguably on how Blair has failed to grapple with the real choices on austerity, welfare, tax and energy. www.arguably.uk/p/tony-blair...

Tony Blair's missing project – @torstenbell.bsky.social writes for Arguably on how Blair has failed to grapple with the real choices on austerity, welfare, tax and energy. www.arguably.uk/p/tony-blair...

We shouldn’t get trapped in a false choice between higher growth and lower inequality. Most major western states are richer *and* more equal than the UK.

For more conversations and pieces focused on ideas and policy, subscribe to Arguably here: www.arguably.uk

Really interesting back and forth between James Meadway and @georgeeaton.bsky.social:

VG from @meadwaj.bsky.social on Green econ policy, eg this on wealth taxes: "The challenge politically, is this does not solve all your problems.. perhaps £10bn... The amount you want to spend on improving public services is an order of magnitude greater" www.arguably.uk/p/what-do-th...

This is sharp from James Meadway in his interview with Arguably on the “hard truths” that any left project must face. www.arguably.uk/p/what-do-th...

Where do the Greens go now? I interviewed @meadwaj.bsky.social on a Burnham premiership, his new think tank Verdant, public ownership and how Britain adapts to becoming a hot country. www.arguably.uk/p/what-do-th...

Really interesting interview

Where do the Greens go now? I interviewed @meadwaj.bsky.social on a Burnham premiership, his new think tank Verdant, public ownership and how Britain adapts to becoming a hot country. www.arguably.uk/p/what-do-th...

Don’t fall for the Brexiteer myth that the cost of rejoining the EU would be too high for the UK, writes @benjudah.bsky.social. www.arguably.uk/p/a-good-rej...

Reform is visibly terrified of Restore because it knows its electoral position is weaker than its bravado suggests.

I'm going to go out on a limb and say he isn't actually sorry.

Peter Murrell’s purchases included a £160 special edition of Hannah Arendt’s The Origins of Totalitarianism. www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/politic...

What’s the best way to tax wealth? Excellent from @davidlawrenceuk.bsky.social on why we should replace Stamp Duty with a new property tax. “A proportional property tax is a tax on wealth, but more importantly, it is a tax on passive, unproductive wealth.” www.arguably.uk/p/could-a-we...

What’s the best way to tax wealth? @davidlawrenceuk.bsky.social writes on why we should replace Stamp Duty with a new property tax. “A proportional property tax is a tax on wealth, but more importantly, it is a tax on passive, unproductive wealth.” www.arguably.uk/p/could-a-we...

What’s the best way to tax wealth? Excellent from @davidlawrenceuk.bsky.social on why we should replace Stamp Duty with a new property tax. “A proportional property tax is a tax on wealth, but more importantly, it is a tax on passive, unproductive wealth.” www.arguably.uk/p/could-a-we...

To fix the social care crisis, Labour needs a “big bang” for the state, writes @danmead.bsky.social. www.arguably.uk/p/how-to-fix...

The battle of ideas has started in Labour and social care is back on the news agenda. This is another area where "incremental change won't cut it". In @arguablymag.bsky.social I argue to unlock social care reform, only a "big bang" approach will work

Burnham understands the power of political theatre – smart from @marthadacombe.bsky.social on why the biggest difference with Starmer may be style rather than substance. www.arguably.uk/p/andy-burnh...

Good on Rachel Reeves, our elected politicians shouldn’t take abuse of this kind lying down.

A far better policy than capping food prices would be increasing Universal Credit and other direct cash payments. Avoids price distortions and gets money where it’s most needed. www.ft.com/content/8573...

The consequences of not acting are clear: the UK spent *£110bn* or 8.1% of total spending on debt interest last year. If you want to know why we're getting European-style taxes without European-style public services, this is a significant part of the answer. www.arguably.uk/p/britains-w...

How can Britain tame the bond markets? @georgeeaton.bsky.social on why it’s time to end outdated policies such as the triple lock. www.arguably.uk/p/britains-w...

How should Britain tame the bond markets? New piece by me for Arguably. - Get serious on spending reform (e.g. triple lock) and pro-growth supply-side reform. - Bank of England should pause its bond sell-offs. - Burnham right to stick with current fiscal rules. www.arguably.uk/p/britains-w...

How should Britain tame the bond markets? New piece by me for Arguably. - Get serious on spending reform (e.g. triple lock) and pro-growth supply-side reform. - Bank of England should pause its bond sell-offs. - Burnham right to stick with current fiscal rules. www.arguably.uk/p/britains-w...

It must be true given overall polling support for rejoin that most leave constitiencies now have a rejoin majority.

The theory that Streeting has backed Rejoin to undermine Burnham in the by-election is wrong – he’s long been pro-European and was calling Brexit “a problem” last Oct. www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/...

Backing Rejoin isn't odd when you consider that: - Brexit is estimated to have hit GDP per capita by 6-8% - The US has embraced protectionism and the UK is being squeezed between rival power blocs - 55% of voters back Rejoin, including 80% of Labour supporters, with just 33% opposed (YouGov)

Lots of (often very good) pieces about this weekend lamenting Britain being ungovernable/too fast turnover of PMs. I think “why do we keep getting ineffective/bad PMs?” is a better question than “why do we get rid of them?”

One fact Leave supporters never address is that Brexit has hit the “left behind” towns that depend most on manufacturing hardest.

There are many reasons to criticise Starmer's party, and it was certainly an incoherent project. But to describe the economic policy of a government that has increased borrowing by £100bn and passed the Employment + Renters Rights Acts in this way is risible. www.newstatesman.com/politics/lab...

The progressive case for welfare reform – excellent from @marthadacombe.bsky.social on how to make the system fiscally and politically sustainable. www.arguably.uk/p/to-save-we...

Wes Streeting correct on Labour not having had a battle of ideas for more than a decade – and why that has to change.

Wes Streeting calls for the UK to rejoin the EU in his speech to the Progress conference. “We need a new special relationship with the EU, because Britain’s future lies with Europe - and one day back in the European Union”.

*** Special Offer *** Subscribe to Arguably for just £3.60 a month and join the new home of progressive ideas and debate. www.arguably.uk/subscribe?co...

An agenda for Labour's next leader: pro-growth, pro-Europe, fiscally credible and unashamed in defence of progressive values. New piece from me for @arguablymag.bsky.social. www.arguably.uk/p/how-labour...

Andy Burnham isn’t going to do a Truss. He isn’t going to sack the permanent secretary of HMT or do a major fiscal event with no OBR forecast. He isn’t going to attempt the largest borrowing-funded tax cuts in years.

How can Labour’s next leader succeed? @georgeeaton.bsky.social explores the radical pro-growth agenda that could unite the party. www.arguably.uk/p/how-labour...

An agenda for Labour's next leader: pro-growth, pro-Europe, fiscally credible and unashamed in defence of progressive values. New piece from me for @arguablymag.bsky.social. www.arguably.uk/p/how-labour...

Upside for Burnham of Makerfield: if he can beat Reform here, he can claim proof he can win a general election.

GDP per capita rose by 0.6% in the first quarter of this year – confirmation that the economy was looking notably healthier pre-Iran.

Nice reference to @arguablymag.bsky.social from Andrew Marr in today’s NS. Subscribe here for more on the battle of ideas: www.arguably.uk

This is disturbingly similar to MAGA’s view that the maritime insurance markets weren’t being helpful on Hormuz out of some kind of surly obstinacy, rather than just maths.