Excited that "Race, Gender, and Nascent Political Ambition" is now out in @bjpols.bsky.social. W/ survey of white, Hispanic, and Black American respondents, we show primary gap in nascent political ambition is not between men and women but between white men and the majority of the polity.

Just say women. This is taking forever.

i also work in a "bespoke concrete chamber" (office building)

New paper in PNAS: Your homicide risk follows you around the country. If you’re born in the historically violent Wild West, Appalachian Highlands, or Deep South, a higher risk of violent death trails you wherever you go. 🧵1/14

You just know that “Did Women Ruin the Workplace?” bit would have done NUMBERS in this little clique

motion to use this as a crosstab more frequently article: apnews.com/article/dayl... data: apnorc.org/projects/few...

Aside from losing many Democratic seats, Black representation in Congress will probably drop from around 14% of seats (nationally representative) to maybe 7 or 8% (not representative)? www.nytimes.com/2025/10/15/u...

Of all the news in this NYT survey of sitting federal judges - incl 47 of them think the SCt is mishandling its emergency docket - maybe the biggest is that 65 sitting fed judges (37D, 28R), folks circumspect for a living, responded to a NYT survey. Stunning. And a sign that something is very wrong.

if all games were like this I would be better at games (try it! it's a nice way of testing the reliability of your conceptions about the electorate)

The MSNBC commentator saying that most political violence has historically come from the left just once again showed how we suffer from failing to learn history. Lynching, pogroms, race riots, the political violence that ended Reconstruction, and against the Civil Rights Movement. Come on.

Just in time for federalism week. Ugh.

Someone please kill me right now.

The White House is taking new steps to undermine every international student at our universities. It has approved a new rule restricting student visas to 4 years max. That's not long enough for PhD students, or about half of undergrads, to finish their degree. Likely to enter force within days.

What is required for someone to be an American? 30% of Republicans say being White is very or somewhat important. www.pbump.net/o/what-makes...

historical comparison: in my 2004 survey, 10% of respondents said being white was very or somewhat important for being American vs. 18% in this YouGov survey. also, please keep putting these questions on your surveys! www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...

New paper. What happens when a presidential candidate steps way out of line, not only with the public, but even with his own voters? And on a highly salient issue? Candidates typically don’t do that—they’re too strategic. But Trump isn’t. He’s good for social science. 🧵

This error keeps popping up, this time in NYT In reality (Fig. 1), the US has ~1.1 times the police officers per capita of the OECD median The error stems from the fact that the US has uniquely decentralized federalism (you need to count multiple levels of govt) and much more private contracting

Love @goodauth.bsky.social generally and this fantastic writeup by @egojunk.bsky.social specifically! What a perfect resource on descriptive representation for my REP students — simultaneously an approachable introduction and a cornucopia of links for those who want to dive deeper 🤩

If you pay attention: everything they say they don’t like for Black people: affirmative action, diversity hires, quotas, identity politics, ideological litmus tests, they are trying to mandate and enforce for white people.

We have had nearly two decades of panic about Free Speech on Campus and not a single case, not even the ones they made up, were as bad as what's happening now

Students at CSU are losing their student visas for participating in protests supporting human rights in Gaza. The national headlines may be all about the ivies, but the Trump administration is violating students' First Amendment rights everywhere.