Thank you to @slair.bsky.social and @bcfinucane.bsky.social for taking the time to provide their expertise for this piece.

The damage to Shahroud is extensive More or less every building in the solid motor production lines was damaged, many destroyed. Several mixing & casting buildings, along with what might be non-destructive testing & premix buildings. Thanks to our partners @airbus.com for the image

More strikes at Kashan Tunnel entrances hit, along with more support buildings. Looks like the base has been pretty extensively damaged. Thanks as always to our friends @planet.com for the imagery.

Shiraz north missile base struck. Tunnel entrances extensively targeted, and scorch marks along the roads indicate damaged vehicles, probably more TEL plinking. No real damage to support buildings. Thanks to our friends @planet.com for the imagery!

Confirmed first damage to the Iranian solid propellant missile plant at Shahroud Casting and mixing buildings were damaged, along with parts of what the IDF alleges is a warhead production line. Thanks to our friends @planet.com for the imagery!

More damage at Garmdareh Lots of support buildings hit, with some big explosions. More scorch marks indicative of TEL plinking. Thanks to our friends @planet.com for the images.

More damage to Shiraz west Two tunnel entrances attacked, covers destroyed. Additional support buildings destroyed as well. Thanks to our friends @planet.com for the images.

Lar missile base struck Ejecta from targeted tunnel entrances visible. Many support buildings damaged or destroyed. Scorch marks in the roads are further evidence the TEL plinking campaign continues Thanks to our friends @planet for the imagery!

Our friends @planet.com got an excellent image of the missile base at Jam Lots of damage across the site, but a few things are worth looking at closer

We are watching in real time the destruction of Iranian ballistic missile capabilities. Two things can be true at the same time. This remains an incredibly challenging thing for pilots to do. It is also being done incredibly well.

The explosions tell only part of the story. The real contest in this war is unfolding in missile factories, command rooms, and underground tunnels. (Members Only) Listen here: warontherocks.com/pr...

One of the Iranian air defense sites where I spotted S-300 launchers before the war was hit hard. Emplacements for radars and SAM launchers were struck, and many support buildings destroyed. Thanks to our friends at Planet Labs for the imagery.

Shortly before the war I looked at Iranian air defenses & found some weird bedfellows at the former S-300 site in Isfahan: A SA-5 & an Iranian domestic SAM launcher. I joked about not wanting to find out how well this jank-AD integration would be. Well, we did find out. The answer: not well at all.

Yazd missile base hit Tunnel entrances targeted. Support buildings destroyed. Craters along the road suggest efforts at TEL plinking, but its hard to say whether they were successful. Thanks as always to our friends at Planet Labs

Khorgu was hit again. This time it looks like the tunnel entrances were targeted. Unclear whether ground-penetrating munitions were used, but the site is certainly more damaged now. Evidence of TEL plinking as well from scorch marks. Thanks to our friends at Planet Labs for the images

Better images of the Shahid Bakeri solid propellant plant show extensive damage. Thanks to our friends at Planet Labs for the imagery.

More damage at Khojir The new solid propellant production line to the east was extensively damaged. Buildings housing planetary mixers and casting buildings were destroyed. A large number of uncertain function buildings hit too Thanks to our friends at Planet Labs for the imagery

More TEL plinking at Isfahan north At least two more launchers caught out. One spilled propellant along a field, and the other left a large scorch mark on an interior road in the base. Thanks to our friends at Planet Labs for the imagery.

Missile base at Bid Kaneh hit Tunnel entrances appeared to have been hit with bunker busters. Support and checkout buildings destroyed as well. Scattered craters suggest some TEL plinking happening too. Thanks to our friends at Planet Labs for the imagery.

Again, only one Arrow-3 launch over the night of March 5, this time from Tel Aviv. Brings the total Arrow-3s recorded since the war started to 16. That is still below the number used during the first night of the 12-Day War alone

More remarkable shots of the Iranian cluster munitions warhead courtesy of Zaid M. Al-Abbadi

Experts from the @fpri.bsky.social analyze the latest military developments from the Third Gulf War @slair.bsky.social @dexeve.bsky.social @michaelbpetersen.bsky.social @salisbot.bsky.social & Guy Plopsky www.fpri.org/article/2026...

The Khojir complex run by Shahid Hemmat Industrial Group was hit Shahid Cheragi industries, which makes nitric acid, oxidizer for Iranian liquid fueled missiles was struck, along with the older solid propellant motor production facility. Thanks again to our friends @planet.com

Tabriz south missile base struck Recently built radome and support buildings destroyed, and tunnel entrances damaged. Lots of craters along the roads as well. Thanks to our friends @planet.com for the images

Missile base north of Kermanshah hit All the buildings were destroyed, looks like explosions along the road, and possible damage to tunnel entrances as well. Looks like ejecta near the tunnel entrances, perhaps from bunker busters. Thanks to @planet.com for the images!

So much good information and anlaysis coming from up and coming scholars like @slair.bsky.social during this operation.

Confirmed the AN/FPS-132 phased array radar in Qatar was damaged by Iran, thanks to an incredible image from our friends @planet.com Debris from the damaged face has fallen on the roof of the main building and there is water runoff from the firefighting effort

Kashan missile base hit At least two vehicles damaged leaving scorch marks, one support building destroyed. This is one of the regional-range bases used during True Promise II to target Israel. Unsurprising it got hit early Thanks to our friends @planet.com for the imagery

More strikes on Isfahan south missile base Ejecta from bunker buster munitions can be seen around both sets of tunnel entrances. Whether the entrances collapsed is unclear Thanks to our friends @planet.com for the imagery

Only a single Arrow-3 interceptor launch recorded last night, coming from Sdot Micha. Really remarkable shot of cluster munitions, likely from a Ghadr, starting at 00:32

Video also indicates at least 7 Arrow-3s were used night of March 1

I think the Ghaem armed with cluster munitions used yesterday can be seen in this video

Three vehicles destroyed at Hajiabad missile base Unclear if the cavern launch sites were targeted. What looks like another launcher is also present on-site. Thanks to our partners @airbus.com for the image

Panj Pelleh missile base in Kermanshah hit Either on Feb 28 or Mar 1, four vehicles were damaged. Scorch marks from the strikes are clear along an internal road. Continues the trend of targeting launchers while leaving buildings & tunnels undamaged Thanks @planet.com for the images

Shiraz west missile base struck A missile checkout building was destroyed. No other damage at the site visible in the 3m imagery. Thanks to our friends @planet.com for the imagery.

Shiraz south missile base targeted and several launchers destroyed One missile was damaged and leaking propellant. Several other launchers were destroyed, exploding and lighting a fire which spread throughout the canyon Thanks again to our friends @planet.com

Another missile launcher was caught at Isfahan north A second scorch mark is visible in @planet.com imagery from today. The strike may have been shortly after the March 1 image was taken since there was a vehicle there However, still no hits on the tunnel entrances

Looks like that launcher didn't make it! Scorch mark where that missile launcher was set up is visible in 3 meter imagery from our friends @planet.com today, suggests it was destroyed in a U.S. or Israeli strike

Khorgu missile base hit Two likely missile checkout buildings destroyed, along with others in the admin/support area. Interestingly, neither the tunnel entrances nor what look like silos were targeted. Thanks to our friends @planet.com for the essential daily 3 meter images.

Garmdareh missile base near Tehran struck Scorch marks from damaged or destroyed vehicles are visible in the 3 meter imagery from our friends @planet.com Its unclear but the tunnel entrances don't appear to have been attacked. My guess is long-endurance drones loitering over the base

Isfahan north missile base struck A big explosion from a launcher caught on the move, and a missile checkout building damaged Thanks to our friends @planet.com for the image

Launcher ready to fire caught at Isfahan South missile base! Thanks to our friends @planet.com for the beautiful image. The base had been attacked, crater along the road suggests it was an attempt to hit a launcher on the move.

Bunker buster impacts at Imam Ali missile base Thanks to our friends @planet.com we can see tunnel entrances being bombed in 3m Might have been the B-2 flights reported this morning

Looks like a Spoon Rest derived radar buys it around 00:24 in the video. Could be the Matla-ul-fajr-3, not clear.

Looks like 7 Arrow-3 launches captured last night. For comparison, the 12-Day War peaked at 20 Arrow-3s launched during the night of June 13-14

You can see a near miss exo intercept attempt by an Arrow-3 around 1:00

My GOAT is back!

Looks like a Khordad-15 or Bavar-373 with a Sayyad-4 destroyed per video from CENTCOM

Kermanshah, Karaj, and reported strikes on Khorramabad, are probably missile bases. Qom could be Fordow though there's also an air base nearby. Isfahan has many nuclear and missile targets. Christian Triebert had been doing great geolocations in Tehran and it looks like leadership targets

The "debate" in the run-up to this makes Iraq 2003 look like the Athenian polis.