My dad, who has worn the same pair of tan New Balances for 30 years, arrived to this wedding location wearing *black* New Balances. When questioned, he explained that these were his dress New Balances, for special occasions. Of course.

The president certainly just wants 1 to 1 flight testing, which is not the same thing as nuclear explosions (and flight testing DOES live within the DoW).

Most of the takes I see on Russia-US nuclear issues over the past 48 hours are well reasoned but may fall victim to overthinking. Putin likes Brevestnik because its his pet project. Trump wants to do 1 to 1 flight testing to match.

This is with no exaggeration how it feels sometimes to read FOIA documents.

In our latest, @dexeve.bsky.social and I change it up by combining an analysis of satellite imagery and military writings to assess what the deployment of Russian nuclear weapons in Belarus means for Russia's escalation management strategy. 1/? www.cna.org/analyses/202...

More terrific work from @gabrielairosa.bsky.social, @dexeve.bsky.social & the CNA team. Come for smart analysis on what nuke infrastructure is/not in Belarus & what signals Moscow & Minsk are trying to send. Stay for Russians grappling with realities of war not matching theories of war.

Another related problem is that while GW continues to claim the setting is a satire, none of the current main line writers treat the setting like that, so the main line plot now takes itself way too seriously and has lost all hint of satire or irony. Case in point: the new Terra books.

respectfully, you could not be further from the mark 😂

The new DLC for Rogue Trader looks rad, but the idea of spending another 50 hours playing the Rogue Trader combat system makes me want to blow my brains out

I think we count every new PM France gets as a new republic simply because it would be funny.

Tom Clancy would have been just an incredible poster. He'd have 500k followers and a name like "TomCatOSINT" or something. He'd have 100 tweet threads on Russian carrier tactics that end with recommendations on the best places in the Barents to place tactical nuclear mines.

Behind the pageantry are clues about China’s nuclear and strategic ambitions. @dexeve.bsky.social sits down with @nktpnd.bsky.social to discuss. Listen here: warontherocks.com/ep...

If I had a nickel for each time my undergraduate institution contributed to getting an entire city filled with DHS/national guard, I'd have two nickels. Which isn't a lot, but its weird it happened twice

Intentionally giving your child autism is a very high risk high reward scenario. On the one hand, he could grow up to be Richard Nixon. On the other hand, he could grow up to be Richard Nixon

open.substack.com/pub/horsdoeu... Folks, some thoughts on missile defense defeat strategies in other countries, with Pakistan as an example.

I have written some thoughts on why we're suddenly obsessed with counting craters. horsdoeuvresofbattle.substack.com/p/who-won-ke...

I have written some thoughts on why we're suddenly obsessed with counting craters. horsdoeuvresofbattle.substack.com/p/who-won-ke...

Me reading your tweets

There is absolutely no reason to pretend that people on the left wing of the political spectrum are for any reason incapable of violence.

I wrote on the death of MIIS, American cultural apathy, and why we can't have a healthy nuclear community. open.substack.com/pub/horsdoeu...

I wrote on the death of MIIS, American cultural apathy, and why we can't have a healthy nuclear community. open.substack.com/pub/horsdoeu...

Just realized: the J is probably for 井

B for upgraded (probably huge guidence overhaul) and J for silo, I imagine. Calling it the BJ is...unfortunate.

Note the mechanized silo loader. Its probably prefueled and therefore too heavy for their usual cranes.

That was some bumper cars shit

Middlebury Institute of International Studies will be closing down most of its programs by June 2027.

This is true.

Alex is amazing partly because every single time I look into the Starsector forum with a complaint, Alex already knows about it and has tested several solutions to the problem.

@iwriteok.bsky.social look at what you have done to my Youtube recommendations

If I were any of the 3 airmen who did the carpet unrolling I would put that front and center in my promotion packages going forward. "Supported high-level diplomatic event with highly responsive carpet unrolling efforts"

Folks, I have begun cross posting my blog to Substack and will also be writing some shorter pieces for that platform. Here is my latest very short post, for the 80th anniversary of the atomic age. open.substack.com/pub/horsdoeu...

While Trump gets ready ready to meet Putin in Alaska, Putin is getting ready to test a nuclear-powered cruise missile intended to defeat the Golden Dome.

horsdoeuvresofbattle.blog/2025/07/22/t... I may have written 12K words on the war, Iran's missile performance, and where we go from here. I hope it is illuminating.

horsdoeuvresofbattle.blog/2025/07/22/t... I may have written 12K words on the war, Iran's missile performance, and where we go from here. I hope it is illuminating.

AOS models look so good recently I'm struggling to resist.

By far my favorite piece of new 40K lore is that while the Emperor and Horus fought their duel aboard the Vengeful Spirit, they also played a psychic game of Yu-Gi-Oh! and Horus cheats by just making up new cards

I have this theory that 4X games have permanently warped a lot of people's opinions on state action-reaction loops and arms racing as their opinions have been shaped by games like HOI where states act on preprogrammed paths

I know where not supposed to take Syril seriously, thats the point, but they keep dressing him up in haircuts and outfits that make him look like Rimmer from Red Dwarf, so whenever he's on the screen I have the urge to shout "GAZPATCHO SOUP!"

A lot of technical assessments of Iran’s nuclear program feel rushed. There’s an overreliance on fuel cycle basics and projections built on major unknowns while overlooking domestic factors eg institutional disruption, procurement challenges, and acute paranoia.

First blog post in a series about the 12-Day War, this first one on Iranian breakout, and why I think people are a little too eager to assume the worst on Iranian breakout speed: horsdoeuvresofbattle.blog/2025/06/27/t...

For everyone being supremely confident that we can definitely detect and strike any future clandestine enrichment hall, let me remind you that North Korea built an entire enrichment cascade at Yongbyon and the IC completely missed it.

Wrote this thread on X before the ceasefire. Not much has changed, so here we go:

At the Godspeed You! Black Emperor concert and the clientele is precisely what you would expect: anarcho-communists and people who play Warhammer: 40,000

Okay I will take the L on this one - I genuinely did not think it would work out that we would declare victory and go home, but I also didn't think we would be apparently ambivalent to 400 kg of loose 60% enriched uranium.

Everyone is now an expert in earth penetrating weapon debris patterns. We don't know, please shut up

Okay so I know this is very serious but can we just stop and marvel at the fact that they called the op MIDNIGHT HAMMER and no one said anything

My proposed solution to the problem of CENTCOM shooting all our missiles and to get them to conserve for the Pacific fight:

In lighter news, someone reminded me of that time in the 60s when we did a nuclear test in the middle of Mississippi and left some cows over ground zero to see what would happen. I do not recall ever seeing a BDA on the cows. www.youtube.com/watch?v=QuWD...