🚨 Publication alert! Very happy to see our paper "Unlocking the benefits of transparent and reusable science for climate risk management" out in PNAS today. With @crispapoll.bsky.social @jdossgollin.bsky.social @bobkopp.net and many others. www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

“Hand wave”? I believe the point Adam (and I) are trying to make is that empirical evidence doesn’t back up yield increases as a necessary or sufficient condition to decrease deforestation.

Fully support this: "We maintain that cultivating situated engagement, with researchers from different disciplines becoming part of and explicitly involved in the water problems they are jointly studying and aspire to help solve, is one promising approach to advance socio-hydrology."

Another example - from just today - of excellent and essential climate and weather research from @ncar-ucar.bsky.social with clear impacts on flood-prone communities doi.org/10.1038/s432... #NCAR

Another example - from just today - of excellent and essential climate and weather research from @ncar-ucar.bsky.social with clear impacts on flood-prone communities doi.org/10.1038/s432... #NCAR

Purdue's "plan" to have AI competencies, including "projects" for assessment in place by Fall of 2026 is absurd, impossible, and counterproductive. We have good models for addressing the challenge and this ain't it. www.insidehighered.com/opinion/colu...

Zillow’s climate score rollback is a wake-up call: build open, future‑conditions federal flood maps -- gold‑standard, trustworthy data for building codes, mortgages, and our future. Column today: open.substack.com/pub/susanpcr...

Always appreciate introspection from the hydrologic modeling community. Reflecting and acting on the social aspects of modeling doi.org/10.5194/hess...

The NWS Chicago area forecast discussion is WILD

Super excited to hear this!!

Insurers plan for 1-in-200-year storms. Why don’t governments? If a Melissa-level hurricane hit the Northeast, would we be ready? New column looks at climate whiplash, risk, and what real preparedness means. open.substack.com/pub/susanpcr...

You VERY rarely ever see a satellite presentation like this anywhere in the world. And you certainly don't expect to see it this close to a mountainous island. As of 5am EDT on Tuesday, #Melissa is the 8th strongest Atlantic hurricane on record by central pressure (901 mb).

Beautiful autumn morning light today at Parfrey's Glen near Merrimac #wisconsin

I’ve got a short piece up in The Conversation on the catastrophic flooding in Southwest Alaska from ex-typhoon Halong and the challenges of recovery work. #akwx #ExtremeWeather #Alaska #AlaskaSky theconversation.com/typhoon-leav...

OpenAI's VP for education recently said the company wanted to become "core infrastructure" for schools and universities. Any infrastructure, though, always depends on habituating users to its technical affordances - so I've been trying to track how it's doing that 🧵 www.nytimes.com/2025/06/07/t...

My latest column for the Chronicle of Higher Ed is now live. It's an argument for including AI-critical voices in campus conversations and policymaking workgroups, and I'm proud to get this dissenting piece into the mainstream genAI/higher ed discourse. Please read and share if you're so inclined 🙂

Just like NOAA provides weather info for communities, NOAA should provide free, credible, & actionable information about a range climate impacts. For some climate hazards, they do. But not yet for future rainfall. Our new paper provides a workaround until they do. iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...

I'm very excited and honored to lead this year's Water Resources Management practicum @uwmadison.bsky.social on the 60th anniversary of this excellent MS program nelson.wisc.edu/the-commons/...

Finally! 🤩 Our position piece: Against the Uncritical Adoption of 'AI' Technologies in Academia: doi.org/10.5281/zeno... We unpick the tech industry’s marketing, hype, & harm; and we argue for safeguarding higher education, critical thinking, expertise, academic freedom, & scientific integrity. 1/n

This piece from @vauhinivara.bsky.social is an object example of what journalists should be doing with these questions unlike the Hard Fork infomercialists. (Might need to sign in to read.) www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...

Wonderful article about my friend and colleague @creekthinker.bsky.social , her research, and her amazing students! news.wisc.edu/uw-madison-s...

Good news: bipartisan legislation to reauthorize Sea Grant programs around the country (including the Great Lake states), due to the high value generated compared to the cost ecomagazine.com/news/policy/...

Annual flood series for the Milwaukee River at Milwaukee, just downstream of I-43 bridge, 1915-2023. Top of the scale is 20,000 cfs, flood of record was 18,200 cfs. At 2:30 AM this morning it was at 19700 cfs, at 9AM, 19300 cfs, off-scale (too high for the gage?) in between.

Here’s the USGS chart.

The official state 24-hour rainfall record is 11.72” from Mellon in 1946. It will have to be decided if the MPS - Madison High School gauge/rain total gets investigated for a possible new record.

Saturday and Sunday August 9-10 are Critical Weather Days for Wisconet because of the Moderate Risk (Level 3/4) of Excessive Rainfall. Stay weather aware this weekend and don't attempt to drive through flooded roadways. 57% of flood fatalities occur on moderate/high risk days.

Counterpoint: no we don't.

Nothing like a Friday afternoon to drop a big graphics projects! If you're still online, check out our new @propublica.org story "The Drying Planet" -- you'll learn that groundwater depletion has become a bigger & bigger part of sea level rise (among other things!) www.propublica.org/article/wate...

Today, the AAUP released a new report, "Artificial Intelligence & Academic Professions." The report calls for policies that prioritize economic security, faculty working & student learning conditions as AI tech accelerates. www.aaup.org/news/new-rep... 🧵1/9

Back on track: Scientists restart work on next-gen rainfall project to defend against worsening flooding #DefendDemocracy #TeamTrident floridatrident.org/back-on-trac...

The discourse surrounding precipitation changes in a warming climate (both public discussion and even scientific one at times) is complicated by widespread conflation of changes in averages vs extremes (and also actual vs *potential* evaporation/evaporative demand). [Thread]

Really proud of this piece pushing back against renewed enthusiasm for “land sparing” (i.e. industrial ag boosterism), written with some brilliant colleagues. Check it out!

The 28th st station is built on top of an ancient stream that drains the slightly higher ground to the east. (1865 Viele map via davidrumsey.com)

#Flood modelers: lots of chatter RE soil profiles in "flash flood alley". Do we really think floods would have been meaningfully different if you dropped that much rain on those hills, but they had more/deeper topsoils? Of course the effect is not zero, but not convinced it's big.

It's the last mile stuff that we really have to work on. How do we make sure that people are getting the warnings (including making sure they have emergency alerts turned on) and to respond appropriately to the warnings (don't just ignore it!). www.cbsnews.com/texas/news/t...

Why #Texas Hill Country, where a devastating flood killed dozens, is one of the deadliest places in the US for flash flooding theconversation.com/why-texas-hi... via @us.theconversation.com #science

Absolutely insane hydrograph. Storm over central TX, Guadalupe river cresting over 34' when it was 3' just hours earlier. Friends have sent images/videos and it is wild. Stay safe out there y'all

NEW PAPER ALERT! We looked at the impact of increasing and decreasing riparian shading on a Wisconsin trout stream - accounting for the observed concurrent change in stream width - using a process-based model

Great post from project colleagues on the nuanced role of modeling in planning for the future. fewscapes.wisc.edu/blog/can-mod... @monicagturner.bsky.social

Wild how the Fed chair saying that *entire regions of the United States* won’t be able to get a mortgage in the next decade barely registered as a news event

Rainfall can vary significantly over short distances, as these maps from our Wisconet data and CoCoRaHS show. Even with dense measurement networks, you can't capture all of the variability, but you can do better by continuing to collect more measurements. Want to help? Join CoCoRaHS!

FL homeowners are "sweating their assets" with HELOCs, hoping to beat the "Great Repricing" of climate risk. There's rising mortgage distress. Without FEMA, the state faces tough financial strain. Not just Florida's problem, but a national economic threat. susanpcrawford.substack.com/p/a-perfect-...

Vernon County removes first dam as local officials wait for federal funding. Federal officials have recommended removing nearly 2 dozen flood-control dams in the region. But Vernon County is pursuing other ways to remove the high-risk structures.

I'm a bit late to notice it from last February...but this is a really important Perspective piece from @rlmuenich.bsky.social et al. iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...

This is very interesting work. It's worth noting that Bill Gartner of UW Madison Geography has been studying and mapping raised beds like this across Wisconsin for decades. He has also done lots of work with the College of the Menominee Nation on reconstruction of ancient agricultural sites.

I had a great conversation with Sydney Widell of the Coon Creek Community Watershed Council, a true grassroots organization doing some great work with land & water management in the Driftless Area. Excited to join their meeting next week! @uncpress.bsky.social

Excellent interview with @joshuanygren.bsky.social on his amazing new book and connections with the Coon Creek Watershed. cooncreekwatershed.org/cccwc-june-m...

How Do We Know What We Grow? Interrogating the Datafication of Agricultural Landscapes in the United States doi.org/10.1002/sea2...

Note : Floodplain mapping

Without indirect costs from agencies like the NIH, potentially life-saving research would become slower and less ambitious. Here is an incredible explainer about "indirects" from @uwmadison.bsky.social science writer @will-cushman.bsky.social and art director Danielle Lamberson Philipp. 🧪