You've often seen charts showing how the IEA's scenarios underestimate renewable energy - but they also tend *not* to overestimate fossil fuels. Eg: gas consumption is higher than the IEA's 'current policies' scenario from 2015 (and every other scenario they published)

As of August, do we know what fossil CO2 emissions will do in 2025? I made an estimate in July, using IEA projections of fossil fuel use, to estimate 0.8% growth in 2025. Carbon Monitor has an estimate based on Jan-Jun data, 0.7%. But what about countries? www.eenews.net/articles/in-... 1/

Old, inactive oil and gas wells emitting almost 7 times more methane than official estimates | CBC News share.google/f2JYswzsGVC3...

New paper. I wish this wasn't the case, but most progress on reducing US greenhouse gas emissions is likely spurious. Why? EPA underestimates methane emissions from oil and gas. Relevant today as Repubs vote to gut IRA's methane monitoring/mitigation program. 🧵 authors.elsevier.com/a/1lL4K_6se4...

National Energy and Climate Plans are crucial planning tools for EU energy, yet few countries provide complete data. High-quality data is essential for confident planning and investment around the energy transition. https://ember-energy.org/latest-insights/eu-national-targets-show-gas-in-decline

Updated 🇪🇺 Commission agenda is now online. 📅 2040 targets — with an interesting “s” — confirmed for 2/07. But no news on the Russian energy package expected in June.

Und das ist anscheinend das Ergebnis von zwei Jahren Lügenkampagne über Heizungen: Weniger als 0,1 % der Heizungen dürfen länger betrieben werden. Und Habecks Gesetz bleibt unverändert. www.volksverpetzer.de/aktuelles/re...

#DACSoufflé? www.swissinfo.ch/eng/emission...

The US EIA posts LNG export prices - and they are pretty different for different EU countries! (my first guess would be that age and length of the contracts play an important role) www.eia.gov/dnav/ng/ng_m...

It seems that much public debate on the Iberian blackout is still illustrated by a figure that is most probably wrong [see @lionhirth.bsky.social post: www.linkedin.com/posts/lionhi... ]. For properly monitoring energy security we need reliable data. Join us Thu: www.bruegel.org/event/europe...

Spain's power is slowly coming back, but situation still far from normal. Out of the 33 GW scheduled for this evening peak, only 18 GW is available. Nuclear and coal-fired power plants still offline.

Around one-third of new car sales in China are fully electric, and about one-half have a battery. Check out more interesting figures on China: robbieandrew.github.io/china/ via @robbieandrew.bsky.social

Here are the modelled implications of the IMO's draft Net-Zero framework by @transenv.bsky.social. Looks like a modest impact in the short-term with most of the deviation from BAU coming under the next US presidential term. www.transportenvironment.org/articles/is-...

NOAA is a $6.7B agency.

8) And this one is important. For all the talk about the powerful pro-Trump media ecosystem, the share of Americans who have heard negative business news coverage of the government has exploded. Evidently even the podcast bros can’t distract Americans from the realities of the stock market.

3) That was just the US version. What’s particularly impressive is that he’s managed this on a global scale. Starting to get the feeling that “Trump” annotation is going to be the chart equivalent of a layer of volcanic ash in the fossil record.

🚨 The IMO negotiations have reached a critical moment: The EU needs to stay on course to promote a global scale-up of renewable hydrogen and derivatives (e-fuels). 💰 The policy options on the table differ considerably, by a factor of 3 to 4 1/

In a new @forumenergii.bsky.social report @maciekjakubik.bsky.social, @zaniewicz.bsky.social, @keliauskaite.bsky.social , Szymon Kardas and I argue that Europe needs a profound rethink of its energy security strategy: www.forum-energii.eu/en/download/... Some highlights in the thread 1/14

The 🇪🇺 continues to OVERINVEST in gas as a short-term fix to secure fuel supply after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, despite alternative solutions 🚩 131 bcm of gas supply capacity will likely be underutilised by 2030, wasting public funds and driving up consumer costs 📈💶 ember-energy.org/lat...

🗳️ This makes the upcoming decision by the International Maritime Organisation (IMO) so important for the global #H2 ramp-up: It will either ↗️ provide much-needed demand for #renewablehydrogen and derived fuels, or ↘️ delay their use by promoting #LNG and #biomass in the early years. 2/x

🚢 🏭 Renewable #hydrogen & derivatives will be needed as industrial feedstocks and marine fuels on the path to achieving #climateneutrality. Agora Industry, @theicct.org & @regassistproj.bsky.social have examined where using hydrogen would be most effective to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. 1/x

Czechia was hit pretty badly by drought and bark beetles a few years ago, but the forest carbon uptake has recovered somewhat in the last couple of years.

Die volkswirtschaftliche Logik einer Wiedereröffnung von NordStream 2 erschließt sich mir einfach nicht. Durch diese Importe wird (marginaler) EU Gaspreis voraussichtlich nicht entscheidend vermindert. Dafür spülen wir ca. 10 Mrd. € in die russische Kriegskasse. Überschlagsrechnung:

Two unqualified-for-their-job freeloaders call Europe a freeloader. From Jonathan Goldberg of the Atlantic's story about their massive incompetent infodump.

#HydrogenLadder needs a new Row Z. www.theverge.com/news/633779/...

"Laut Portal soll ein neues Gesetz geschaffen werden, das einen Paradigmenwechsel weg von einer kurzfristigen Energieeffizienzberatung beim Einzelgebäude hin zu einer langfristigen Betrachtung der Emissionseffizienz vollzieht." www.tagesspiegel.de/politik/arbe...

Europeans' belief in the importance of the EU has surged to record levels, according to a survey released yesterday. 74% now say their country benefits from being in 🇪🇺 - up from 50% in 2010. And the biggest reason is about security, *not* the economy. europa.eu/eurobaromete...

"In China, coal demand grew by 1.2% in 2024, reaching a new all-time high. The country now consumes nearly 40% more coal than the rest of the world combined, largely for power generation. Over one-third of all the coal consumed globally is burned by power plants in China" www.iea.org/reports/glob...

Preliminary data suggests that the global average increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration in 2024 will be a record. Not just a little record, but 25% higher than the previous record. (This is the global average, as opposed to Moana Loa) gml.noaa.gov/ccgg/trends/... 1/

"Whatever changes are made to how the United States regulates methane, including the endangerment finding, the EU methane regulation remains unchanged" www.reuters.com/business/ene...

Always worth reading @rhodiumgroup.bsky.social's Clean Investment Monitor and its quarterly data. Important to note that manufacturing investment seems to have top-ticked for now. www.cleaninvestmentmonitor.org/reports/clea...

📢 Methane emissions are underreported - by a lot A new study finds that inconsistencies in carbon accounting standards lead to a massive underreporting of methane emissions - up to 3.3Gt CO₂ equivalent, depending on the metric used. 🔗 www.nature.com/articles/s41... #Climate #Methane #SciComm 🧪

👋 Goodbye CDR in the U.S. Department of Energy 🇺🇸 No government department in the world has done more for the growth of the carbon removal industry than the U.S. DoE. Unfortunately, that seems to have come to an abrupt and tragic end. 1/6 🧵

Wir haben ein Konzept zur Weiterentwicklung der Erneuerbaren-Förderung entwickelt: den „marktöffnenden CfD“. Er vereint die Vorteile staatlich abgesicherter CfDs mit den Vorteilen marktorientierter PPAs für einen effizienten EE-Ausbau. Link zur Studie: www.agora-energiewende.de/fileadmin/Pr...

In Germany using a basic electricity supplier comes at quite a premium these days.

So ... what's waiting in the queues? Ah. emp.lbl.gov/queues

"Because off-peak periods for electricity prices tend to last longer than peak periods each day, a heat pump normally uses most of its electricity in the cheaper periods. Overall, that means you can usually save money by being on a time-of-use tariff, even if you don’t flex."

We got a message from the university to remove any use of the "DEI", "diversity", "equity", or "inclusion" from all public-facing documents. They said that even "biodiversity" is being flagged by the federal government. We live in the dumbest timeline.

Despite (or thanks to?) its CEO's recurring statements criticising EU targets for 2035, announcements for licensed hydrogen cars in the distant future, BMW has been working steadily on its EV portfolio. Result: more successful than Tesla in Germany.

Interesting heat pump manufacturing figures in this article - e.g. China's dominance in compressors (95%!). Main driver of global manufacturing cost differences: component sourcing. Building in-house & economies of scale viable path for competitive European manufacturing.

Slovenia for the Eurovision win! youtu.be/qTS2L0VcaVI?...

🔥 NEW report: Europe’s #heating transition is at a critical crossroads. Without stronger policies, over 50 million fossil gas boilers could be installed in Europe by 2040 - threatening climate goals, #energysecurity & #cleantech leadership. 🏠⚡ Key findings ⬇️ 1/7

Dashboard EU energy prices ACER - updated data. 💡🔌 Interesting to check difference between countries. - ES vs. IT on electricity retail prices & components. - SV vs. BE on gas. Rebalancing taxes on power vs gas is crucial for electrification, climate & efficiency. tinyurl.com/4s9ymjwe

This is a great piece - and not just because it opens with @duncanrobinson.bsky.social participating in @nestauk.bsky.social’s Visit a Heat Pump

After years of being a laggard, the UK is bucking the trend for heat pump sales in Europe with a clear growth perspective. While largely driven by higher subsidies, it's encouraging news ahead of the introduction of the UK Clean Heat Market Mechanism this year.

➡️ January 20: FAA director fired ➡️ January 21: Air Traffic Controller hiring frozen ➡️ January 22: Aviation Safety Advisory Committee disbanded ➡️ January 28: Buyout/retirement demand sent to existing employees ➡️ January 29: First American mid-air collision in 16 years Making America Great Again!

Auf ~500 Tsd. Hektar werden 5% der Fahrleistung "angebaut" (Raps>Biodiesel>Pkw). ~150 Tsd. Hektar PV-Freifläche reichen eigentlich für 100% Fahrleistung (bilanziell vereinfacht, aber wahr). Günstigere Energiewende? Geht mit PV nicht zu schnell, sondern mit E-Mob zu langsam.

Event: How can market-based policies accelerate the decarbonisation of Europe’s heating market? Join us for an in-depth discussion! 📅 5 February 2025 | 10:00 – 12:30 📍 Residence Palace, Room: Maelbeek | Rue de la Loi 155 | 1040 Brussels 👉 Registration & program: bit.ly/4jDKW8c

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