The AI industry has a problem that’s very similar to the one faced by political parties. The message that’s attractive to capital — “We’ll disrupt everything!“ — is scary to the marginal consumer, who is largely comfortable with the status quo.

the overwhelming message the AI industry has sent to young people is “this will ruin any chance you have at a stable career”, of course college grads are booing it regardless of the reality of the claims, the way this technology has been sold is one of the greatest self-inflicted PR disasters ever

South Korean scientists successfully #3D printed a living cornea aimed at restoring vision in blind patients scienceaim.com/south-korean...

👏

We need some way to make the stakes of this more clear. People have a finite amount of time in their life to spend on education. If you delay what they learn, they aren't just learning it later. They are learning less in total in their life.

Hi, Waymo expert here. This isn’t funny. Waymos only do this when they’re in extreme distress.

Jay Powell faced a pandemic that nearly broke markets, the worst inflation in 40 years, and a sustained presidential assault on Fed independence. Few Fed chairs have faced one of those. He faced all three. A reflection on what he leaves behind: www.wsj.com/economy/cent...

Plenty of people in this category do advocate for platforms to take down more speech. Including speech that is legal. That doesn’t make them censors. It makes them SPEAKERS advocating for their own moral or policy beliefs. Censorship is what the GOVERNMENT is trying to do to them.

Hearing today in super important case about the First Amendment chill (and a half dozen other legal problems) from the Trump administration’s attacks on information researchers as “agents of censorship,” brought by @knightcolumbia.org www.politifact.com/article/2026...

Interesting theory for why oil prices still aren’t that high compared to 2022. Gas prices are destroying demand, so oil doesn’t have to. www.wsj.com/livecoverage...

Interesting theory for why oil prices still aren’t that high compared to 2022. Gas prices are destroying demand, so oil doesn’t have to. www.wsj.com/livecoverage...

The market is learning www.wsj.com/finance/stoc...

bluesky app feature idea: “select mode” where you can scroll through a thread and tap the posts that you want to hide, block the author of, mute the author of, or other actions like report post right now it’s way too hard to detach quotes or hide posts in your thread en masse

US gasoline crack spread (i.e., refining margin) continues to ratchet higher. WAY above the norm, currently tracking 2022's trajectory.

Again, this seems crazy during a self made oil crisis.

And this includes the surge in ICE activity in Minnesota earlier this year

in terms of divine intervention in our favour, oil shock and GPU gold rush at the same time is about as good as we're going to get to add more lines and make renewables a better deal

Trump was always very explicitly an Iran hawk, vocally critical of Obama and Biden on this score.

I do think labs still feed twitter into the models as much as they can, but bluesky’s discoverability is much better at this point

My strategy, so pure and yet so degenerate at the same time.

existence of stochastic parrots implies existence of degenerate parrots

On this day 70 years ago-May 1, 1956-the polio vaccine was first made widely available to the public. The vaccine’s developer, Dr. Jonas Salk, did not patent the vaccine so that it would remain available to as many people as possible in the US and internationally. Image: Harvey Georges/AP.

This is interesting

How it started vs how it’s going — agentic server edition @astrra.space @kira.pds.witchcraft.systems

Unfortunately, I can't read the rest of the article (not a subscriber to FT), but the statistic quoted below is not strong evidence of insider trading. There are many reasons why markets on military strikes might be more miscalibrated than other markets.

It is pretty incredible that we’re doing this during a self-made energy crisis.

Sigh www.wsj.com/world/middle...

This ⬇️, but also… this is what makes the Straight of Hormuz crisis so interesting by comparison. Voters felt no immediate, tangible impact to NoKo continuing to have nukes. But, a large majority of voters do feel pain as long as Trump fails to resolve this crisis.

People are playing this game again on Twitter and it is making me a bit cranky that people are calling others “irrational” for playing a strategy that is merely weakly dominated. * also people might care about more than their own survival, which could change things further.

A win for local news reporting: Yesterday, the Merced Sun-Star broke the news that UC Merced police were sharing license plate data with US Border Patrol, against CA state law. www.mercedsunstar.com/news/local/e... One day later, UCM PD announced that they’ve stopped this.

If you’re the NYT or JStor, yes they want your data. If you’re just an individual sharing unvetted files of unknown provenance, other modes of corporate aggression should worry you more than “being trained on.”

Honestly, we (political scientists on Bluesky) deserve this dunk.

This won't work because persuadable swing voters are fake, if anything it will only demoralize her base.

Two different ways of seeing how an election is going as the votes are being counted.

I put together this "experiment checklist" for the grad students in my experiments class -- practical advice for experimental design. www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/lwbco...

🧵 New paper w/ Guillaume Cheikbossian: "Evolutionary branching of social preferences in a public good provision game" (ideas.repec.org/p/tse/wpaper...). Can behavioural heterogeneity in cooperation be an adaptive outcome? We think the answer is yes.

The Behavioral Lab at the UCLA Anderson School of Management is looking to hire its next Lab Manager! Applications will be reviewed starting April 30th. jobs.ucla.edu/jobs/10354?l...

Reminds me of this paper: www.jstor.org/stable/21183...

🚨 I have an article out at APR titled “Educational Polarization in American Politics: More than Just a Diploma Divide” in which i look at how educational attainment shapes public opinion and political behavior across the entire education spectrum, not just the across the degree/no degree binary 1/x

blockade = function(x = c(US, Iran)){ blockade(c(x[2], x[1])) }

A week later, I’m still thinking about this. Yes, a strong, fighting, anti-corruption message was part of it, but that alone wasn’t enough. Hungarian progressives knew they needed a supermajority to undo Orban’s regime, and accepted the costs needed to achieve it.

Yeah. I think it’s uncertain how much this actually sours people on the Democratic Party brand (vs holding substantive positions that are too leftwing), but it’s nonsense to say it “doesn’t happen.”

A lot of people, myself included, have written about youth unemployment over the past year, so it’s worth pointing out that age 20-24 unemployment has plunged over the last 6 months:

you will never guess why Aumann was initially invoked

From one of the best quant ed researchers in the field bsky.app/profile/tomd...

New paper in PBR: "Working memory’s pointer system is governed by physical objecthood, not spatiotemporal information" rdcu.be/fd2tY Without valid WM pointers, we miss OBVIOUS changes in visible items; the study shows that this "resetting" process is all about objects and not spatiotemporal change!

People in computer science or cognitive science seeing emergent behavior from a simple system treat that as a point in favor of the design of the system being on the right track. The public seems to treat emergent behavior from a simple system as grounds for reductive dismissal.