Sounds fascinating! press.princeton.edu/books/hardco...

Day 2 of the #30DayChartChallenge: Pictogram 📊 ⛷️ Pictogram made with {ggimage} 📸 in #RStats looking frequency of four-leaf clovers 🍀 Can you find it? #30DayChartChallenge2026 #Day2

New website is up! eurosky.tech Englishs only atm. German, French, Dutch, Polish, Spanish and Italian coming soon!

My takeaway from Atmosphere: it needs to be WAY easier for builders to get paid So I built at.fund at.fund detects the tools you use, and tells you how to fund the builders who make those tools. And if you're a builder, it takes seconds to add records to that tell your users how to fund you 👍

Any science people interested in us integrating with @orcid.org to automatically show you publications on your profile? How would you expect this to work and/or look like? Happy to have a chat about this!

How did the whole #preprint thing start? 🤔 In my #OA article, I look closely at how the #library at @cern.bsky.social formalized preprint #communication in #physics in the 1960s; while my Comment in @natrevphys.nature.com gives a general overview: doi.org/10.1038/s422... doi.org/10.1007/s110...

🗳️ Sarah Knafo a été la 2e tête de liste la plus mentionnée à la radio et à la télé avant le premier tour. La vice-présidente de Reconquête! avait annoncé sa candidature à la mairie de Paris le 7 janvier, au JT de 20 heures de TF1. Un cas unique. Notre étude data est à lire ici. 👇

@kcl-spe.bsky.social is hosting a Junior International Political Economy Researchers Workshop on 28 April and we have a great line-up of papers by early-career researchers. @adreher.bsky.social will also share expertise on publishing in the field. Register here: forms.office.com/e/q7rUFAVg21

With Gulf supplies drying up, discounts on Iranian oil are evaporating • Chinese teapot refineries used to get discounts of $18-24/barrel of Iranian Light against Brent • Factoring in freight costs, Iranian Light delivered to China is now more expensive than Brent www.economist.com/finance-and-...

The EU's confederal and national reaction to the energy crisis shows Europe has learned nothing from the past two crises, argues Oliver @grimmse.bsky.social. Whatever the experts have advised, our leaders are doing the opposite. europemorningpost.substack.com/p/we-have-le...

Thrilled that my paper (w/@sarahobolt.bsky.social,@catherinedevries.bsky.social,@simonecremaschi.bsky.social) was accepted at the American Political Science Review! We find that declining public services fuel support for the populist right — and show why the right benefits more than other parties 🧵

Does public service deprivation boost support for the populist right? New evidence in our paper, conditionally accepted at APSR 🥳, where we study how GP closures shape voting intentions in England. 👇

Largely true but I can think of policies, for example the decision of the Cameron administration not to support gas storage facilities, that don’t look great with hindsight.

🪚🐣Easter DIY project🐣🔧 I've refreshed the interface on my "car sales" webpage. ▸URL arguments ▸Translations ▸Faster operation ▸Easier multi-country selection Check it out! robbieandrew.github.io/carsales/?co...

Please gird yourself for months of shameless self-promotion, mute me on socials, feel free to avoid me in public etc, because my next book — A Fabulous Debt: The Epic Story of How Bonds Built the Modern World — is now available for pre-orders. www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/750210...

NYT: "Multiple U.S. intelligence agencies have assessed in recent days that Tehran is not willing to engage in serious negotiations, because it believes that Mr. Trump himself is not serious about talks."

I can name quite a few banks and central banks where economists work extra hours whenever he tweets.

And Brent oil futures spiked back up over $105 bbl

@adamtooze.bsky.social has a list of five things China should do to gain hegemony. I agree with all of them and ideally would add a pledge to not use force against Taiwan. The problem is I’m not sure China wants to be a hegemon.

Leading indicator of inflation starts showing impacts of Iran war. Overall prices up, but less so when you exclude energy and food (Called “core”). All are above Fed’s 2% target (and generally trending up, not down).

🧵1/ Our first meta-science paper (with 350+ coauthors) is published today in Nature. It presents one of the largest-ever reproducibility projects in economics & political science. Here’s what we found 👇

The only suprising aspect is the speed at which this is happening.

An ONLYOFFICE fork has sparked controversy. itsfoss.com/news/onlyoff...

EU energy commissioner Dan Jørgensen tried to convince EU ministers not to respond to a looming fuel shortage by subsidising fuel consumption. Bottom line: this isn't 2022. Europe needs fossil fuel limits, and not try to subsidise its way out @euobserver.com euobserver.com/209324/europ...

Today in unexpected revolutionaries: The minister of digitisation in the tiny German state that is the leading laboratory for public administration decoupling from US software dominance – a CDU member who cites Hayek and Baumol and wants to “break monopolistic strangleholds and unleash competition.”

Hats off to Starmer for choosing April Fool's Day to say the unspeakable words "Brexit did deep damage to our economy".

To understand better how it came to be that private equity has its fingers in everything from childcare to housing and media, get yourself a copy of @hettieobrien.bsky.social book out next week! www.waterstones.com/book/the-ass...

The war in Iran is not translating into a financial bonanza for Moscow • Russian oil revenues have jumped, but they remain below recent records • Kremlin still plans budget cuts this year to save at least US$25bn amid huge military expenses www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

When the G7 price cap was being negotiated in 2022, one US bank had an oil forecast of $380. That was the oil sector talking. It hates interference in its business. It's the same now. $150 or $200 forecasts are industry lobbying. They're not realistic... robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/how-much-d...

I don't think people realise that this industry is built on the premise of unlimited, infinitely abundant data centre construction and energy supply *just to maintain* current performance. That's before we get to needing more and more energy for each shrinking implement 'improvement'

As a Jewish historian who works at a university, I think it’s great that an administration committed to destroying “the internal globalist enemy” which is staffed by groyper antisemites is collecting lists of Jews. Can’t see any potential downside here at all.

New at Hutchins Center @brookings.edu: Michael Bauer, Diego Känzig & Glenn Rudebusch find carbon pricing shocks in Europe raise inflation expectations, but markets don't anticipate the ECB will raise rates in response. www.brookings.edu/articles/car...

2/2 It is less than anticipated but it’s only but the beginning. Inflation has not yet spread to other sectors •The energy annual rate is expected to be 4.9e%, up from -3.1e% in Feb in the euro area If confirmed, it would be the highest annual rate in March •Monthly rate is expected to average 6.8e%

🔥1/2 #inflation l According to today’s Eurostat estimate, the euro area annual HICP inflation is expected to average 2.5% in March , up from 1.9% in Feb. The surge is quasi entirely "fueled' by the "energy" component, reflecting the ongoing oil/gas supply shock

This is nice! #rstats #econsky macrowithr.com

Want to talk to the past? Here' an LLM "trained entirely from scratch on a corpus of over 28,000 Victorian-era British texts published between 1837 & 1899, drawn from a dataset made available by the British Library" Quite different from an LLM roleplaying a Victorian. huggingface.co/spaces/tvent...

Un internaute a imaginé une carte chronologique de l'abolition du servage, en utilisant les dates de wikipedia C'est sans doute imparfait dans le détail (la Bosnie 1919 vraiment?) mais hyper suggestif dans l'ensemble pour penser le gradient E/O et N/S de la modernité politique et sociale

Just finished reading Herbert Simon's autobiography and he has _excellent_ advice on how public administration scholars can make this happen. Just make sure to become a founding member of the "econometrics mafia" in the 1940s and the world of citations (and Nobel prizes) will open up to you.

The ECB should avoid rushing into rate hikes in response to surging energy costs unless there is clear evidence of second-round effects that could make inflation more persistent. Otherwise, it risks jumping the gun, weakening growth, and doing little to address the underlying problem.

I explored this issue at greater length in a Substack post that revisits the current shock through the lens of the 2021 to 2023 #inflation debate: open.substack.com/pub/outsampl...

59/"Reflecting this,investors have rushed into the country’s green energy stocks in anticipation of rising global demand for renewables.China’s top battery makers have gained more than $70bn in market capitalisation since US & Israel attacked Iran" www.ft.com/content/47ed... bsky.app/profile/laur...

77/ "Demand destruction won’t fix this. The world cannot function with 10–15% less energy... During Covid, when OECD, China,& most major economies briefly shut down (Chinese literally locked people up in their apts), demand fell by 16.5mbpd at peak, and only for a few weeks" x.com/BurggrabenH/...

the juxtaposition of crude prices (white, Brent) and the S&P 500 (blue) last week is a great snapshot of the current macro moment

Through 2024 and 2025, euro area spreads narrowed steadily as ECB easing cumulated and confidence in euro area convergence improved. By late 2025, spreads had narrowed considerably. Now that is beginning to change.

How those suspicious oil market moves 15 minutes before Trump’s Iran TACO post - and wider suspicions of a Trump Syndicate profiting from administration’s policies - are deeply corrosive of trust in US financial assets. My latest

75/ "Which country is the biggest loser from the energy shock? We rank the...world’s exposure and buffers" www.economist.com/finance-and-...

76/ The amount of pain and misery that the US is heaping upon the world is staggering. Everyone knows that fuel fertilizer food shocks are coming. While millions go hungry & governments are destabilized www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/war... bsky.app/profile/bloo...

72/ @katemac.bsky.social and I argue: The reaction illustrates a market consensus that over-indexes on the power of finance and US military power, and under-indexes on Iran’s resolve and asymmetric chokepoint power, and the vulnerability of production. www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/war...

Birth of a Nation had (and still has!) effects on racial hate and violence. Also side note, Desmond Ang is a shining example of how academic economics changed for the better in recent decades. Most Improved Discipline. gated: www.aeaweb.org/articles/pdf...

🚨 80% of Nobel Prizes go to folx in 5 countries. Why? We analyzed 75 years of prize committees, nominators, nominees, and laureates... a network of 500k edges. Turns out nominators choose compatriots at 5x the expected rate — amplifying geographic bias. Read: osf.io/preprints/so... #AcademicSky