Indian democracy takes another giant step toward failure. And it is failure. One thinks of India's founding fathers -- Nehru, Patel, Gandhi, Ambedkar, Azad -- They would be horrified at this mass disenfranchisement. www.theguardian.com/world/2026/a... #India #elections

New paper with @bjoernbremer.bsky.social and @catherinedevries.bsky.social out! The Limits of Public Support for Fiscal Consolidation: Survey Evidence From Great Britain (1/7) journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

🚨 I have an article out at APR titled “Educational Polarization in American Politics: More than Just a Diploma Divide” in which i look at how educational attainment shapes public opinion and political behavior across the entire education spectrum, not just the across the degree/no degree binary 1/x

📯One month left to apply 📯If you want to join our team @au.dk to study young people's beliefs about political power, this is your chance! Two 2-year postdocs in my ERC-funded project YOPOW: international.au.dk/about/profil...

✍️ Apply to our ESRC Postdoctoral Fellowship! The European Institute is looking to support a Postdoctoral Fellow for the 2026/27 academic year. 🗓️ Deadline: Monday 1 June, 23.59 (UK time) 👉 Find out more: https://www.lse.ac.uk/european-institute/research/postdoctoral-fellowship-opportunity

🚨New Paper in PNAS: "Refugee Labor Market Integration at Scale: Evidence from Germany’s Fast-Track Employment Program" www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/... Ungated preprint osf.io/preprints/socarxiv/px9ew_v3 w/ J Hainmueller, D Hangartner, @niklas-harder.bsky.social & E Vallizadeh #econtwitter #econsky

Elections like yesterday reinforce my belief that researching the political and economic conditions under which democratic mobilization is unleashed (in the world of energy and climate, and beyond) are crucial to the current moment, and do not need to be only depressing

I am looking for a postdoc to join my team at the University of Bremen. 5-year-contract, top-up to 100% possible for most of the contract period. Apply by 04 May 2026. If you have questions about the position, send me an email! www.uni-bremen.de/en/universit...

Perhaps Magyar's most important promise, and the one that certainly resonates with voters: "never again a country without consequences!" The crowd chants: "To prison! To prison!" [with the corrupt officials of the outgoing government]

Hungarians deserve every congratulations for giving Peter Magyar a bigger margin than Orban has ever gotten in all of his rigged elections - and this within the system that Orban rigged. Magyar now has a constitutional majority to undo Orban's constitutional prison and govern as a democratic leader.

Péter Magyar FB: “Prime Minister Viktor Orbán just called to congratulate us on our victory.” IT'S DONE. IT'S DONE.

“The young are mobilising” says a friend in Hungary. 12 point higher turnout than 2022 at 11 am.

#polisky share far and wide: @apsa.bsky.social Statement on the Proposed Elimination of the Social, Behavioral, and Economic Sciences Directorate at the National Science Foundation apsanet.org/wp-content/u...

It's often said that politics is about hard tradeoffs. "There's no such thing as a free lunch." But particularly in highly unequal societies, the substantive trade-offs are often not actually tough. Sometimes it's power, not the Iron-Laws-of-Econ-101™️ that explain a lack of political supply.

Three 2-year full-time postdoctoral positions in autocratic politics at the Department of Political Science at Aarhus University (in connection to projects headed by Jakob Tolstrup and Alexander Baturo). Flexible start date. Application deadline: June 1, 2026. international.au.dk/about/profil...

We wrote a blog post about our recent paper in @polbehavior.bsky.social, where we discuss whether political participation is associated with better policy representation #polisky

We didn't deserve this day.

There are lessons to be learned from history, comparative public policy, and heterodox economics about the distributional effects of energy crises and potential policy responses. Handwaving away questions of distribution with "POPULISM!" is lazy. It will only speed up the destruction of the center.

Thrilled that my paper (w/@sarahobolt.bsky.social,@catherinedevries.bsky.social,@simonecremaschi.bsky.social) was accepted at the American Political Science Review! We find that declining public services fuel support for the populist right — and show why the right benefits more than other parties 🧵

🆕 Beyond Policy: Identity in Party Competition 🗳️ Christina Zuber, of @ecprsgpp.bsky.social, @drphilipjhowe.bsky.social & Edina Szöcsik rethink how parties win #Elections arguing that success depends not only on policy preferences, but on linking preferences to #GroupIdentities

Between 1979–2019, top pay (90th pct.) climbed 53%, middle only 23%, bottom (10th pct.) even lower 7%. (Productivity per hour climbed much more at 73%.) But since 2019, fast gains at the bottom have already reversed about 1/3 of the rise in pay inequality. A 🧵 about my book: The Wage Standard.

I’ve been thinking about how inequality in the UK has if anything declined in recent years and yet the perception seems to be that it’s going up. This IFS charts offers a clue as to why ifs.org.uk/living-stand...

By now, likely over 1 M Finns - 18 % - are at risk of poverty and exclusion. A growth of some 160 000 since 2019. COVID, war in Ukraine and economic malaise are contributing. But a major reason is the massive #austerity cuts from the poor. While the rich get tax breaks. And more cuts are incoming.

Well, I am not sure what my analysis here is worth, but here is my 7,500 word primal scream of a military historian's take on the War in Iran. My best summary: this war is dumb as hell. acoup.blog/2026/03/25/m...

Since the narrative of “young right-wing men” persists so — here are some findings/patterns from the representative election statistics of the various German federal states. Spoiler: *IN NO GERMAN STATE DO MEN AGED 18–24 VOTE FOR THE AfD MORE THAN MEN AGED 35–60.*

Do we understand the politics of this kind of cost-shock inflation (and the policies that might help address it)? I think not so much: www.annualreviews.org/content/jour...

Today is my first national election since moving to Denmark! A few off-the-cuff personal observations about the campaign and Danish political culture from an American/British perspective. 🧵

It’s been quite some time, but it still isn’t easy to grasp. I worked for Leo as a research assistant and found him to be a great scholar, but much more importantly a very inspiring and kind person. Please consider taking a moment to read this remembrance. www.polsoz.fu-berlin.de/polwiss/fors...

This chart goes a long way in explaining why Orbán’s system is under real pressure for the first time. The growth that sustained it has stalled—and with it, the political bargain that kept voters on board. I tried to unpack what that means. 👉 brettoninthewoods.substack.com/p/can-hungar...

Le Pen arriving in Budapest, Trump endorsing Orbán, Vance on his way, Netanyahu also calling for a pro-Orbán vote. I have never seen the European and wider (ironically) global far-right publicly uniting to swing behind a candidate in a national election in Europe so far:

Lots of speculation rn (such as this FT article) on what war in the Middle East means for the future of oil. What do we know about the conditions under which we reach tipping points in clean energy adoption? Political science can tell us a lot! 🧵

We are hiring! The Department of Inequality, Transformation and Conflict is looking for Postdoc & Doc Researchers (m/f/d). Find out more & apply via www.ips.mpg.de #MaxPlanck #Postdoc #PhD #Sociology #SocialScience #PoliticalScience #Inequality #Conflict www.ips.mpg.de/13135/stelle...

The world energy shock is coming — it will deepen inequality in ways we've seen before. Our new @newstatesman1913.bsky.social piece argues that without urgent government action, the Strait of Hormuz crisis will ripple through our economies and rip apart our societies. Here's why. 1/

Yes, central banks cannot print oil, but the Bank of England can and should shield gilt yields from a combo of speculative positions and commodity shocks - it's part of the toolkit, the market maker of last resort for gilts.

What a brilliantly-timed moment in world history for Gov. Hochul to argue that slowing down the green transition is necessary to keep energy prices low and stable... 🫠

"Our study’s policy recommendation is straightforward: a permanent excess profit tax on oil and gas, defined as returns above a specified threshold. ... taxing only the 2022 incremental US profits would have yielded $225bn ... enough to nearly double American clean energy investment that year."

In this piece, @nspmartin.bsky.social, @rolandkappe.bsky.social and I summarise our @wepsocial.bsky.social paper, finding that GCSE choices inform political party support into later life

New, at Can We Still Govern?: Christian Gläßel and @ascharpf.bsky.social have studied the formation of secret police in other countries. They explain the parallels with Trump's immigration enforcement. The key factor is career incentives not ideology. 🧵 donmoynihan.substack.com/p/the-secret...

Worse, in comparative perspective, UK govts have an extraordinary concentration of political power to deal with its growth crisis. Instead, long-term economic planning is displaced by headless-chicken month-to-month headline chasing about fiscal headroom, borrowing costs, and inflation.

Excited to present ongoing work with Koen Damhuis, @mlamont.bsky.social and @stephanieternullo.bsky.social at the @weatherheadcenter.bsky.social tonight. We map the cultural dynamics underpinning core trends in contemporary working class politics. Get in touch if you want to talk about these themes.

Very happy that this article with Samir Negash and Lorenzo Piccoli has just been accepted at the European Political Science Review. In it we show that "welfare chauvinism" is much more nuanced than many assume.

On Sunday, one of Germany’s largest states went to the polls in a closely contested election. What can we learn from the results & how do they relate to looming deindustrialization in one of Germany’s industrial heartlands? A thread with some decriptive patterns from data on 1,101 municipalities. 🧵

🔥 POSTDOC POSITIONS ON CHILDREN'S POLITICAL SOCIALIZATION 🔥 Wanna understand young people's beliefs about political leadership, politics, and power? Then this is your chance! I'm looking for two 2-year postdocs to join my ERC-funded research project @au.dk international.au.dk/about/profil...

Non-migrants? You can view the number of 'home grown' billionaires by hovering over a city. Around 23% of all billionaires represented here live in the same city they were born in, 82% in the same country. For NYC: around 37% were born there. Chances of them leaving due to a 2% tax hike? Slim. 4/5

I'm very excited to see our paper on group appeals finally formatted and published online with the JoP! www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10....

Includes panel analysis that links within person changes in Fox viewership to changes in GRT belief.

If after reading @gelliottmorris.com's excellent piece on how most voters are non-ideologues you want to know how these non-ideologues still reason about politics in a halfway predictable way - we have a paper on that: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

"The YouGov weekly voting intention poll puts Reform UK on 23%, down one, Greens on 21%, up four, Labour and the Tories tied on 16, both down two, and the Lib Dems unchanged on 14."