EU Leaders meet tomorrow to discuss measures to lift Europe's anaemic growth rate. But the summit risks turning into a nothing burger. EU Leaders have cherry-picked a macroeconomically meaningless simplification agenda from the Draghi report New oped. 1/ www.politico.eu/article/euro...

Greenland PM: "If we have to choose between the US and Denmark at this moment, we choose Denmark. We choose NATO, the Kingdom of Denmark, and the EU" www.dr.dk/nyheder/indl...

European Union Defense Commissioner Andrius Kubilius has said the bloc should consider establishing a standing military force of 100,000 troops and overhaul the political processes governing defense.

It's like someone saying "the only flights linking New York and Brussels are on US airlines. We must therefore invent space rockets to break this monopoly!" No, you could just... get a European airline to launch a New York-Brussels route. It would be enormously simpler.

It seems to have become a regular holiday feature in the Swedish newspaper SvD to publish long and dreamy articles about a Nordic union (they even got a name for it: Norden). Among the nice things we could have they list Jens Stoltenberg as a federal chancellor

It's a totally unfair acronym because the fault will lie squarely with the member-states, not the EU. But then again Brussels does fit in some ways....

Spot on. Moment of truth for Paris and Rome. Is France serious about strategic autonomy or is it just a vacuous talking point once Europe hits real trade-offs? And is Italy with Europe and Ukraine or Moscow and Washington?

Impressive analysis by @csis.org (from Washington D.C.) of the challenges to European defence: “How Europe can defend itself with less America”. 1/3 ⬇️ www.csis.org/analysis/how...

27 years ago to the day, 4 December 1998, France and the UK signed the St Malo Declaration. Its aims are as noble today as they were back in the relative calm of the late 90s. What have we done to truly strengthen European defence since 1998? www.cvce.eu/content/publ...

Today at 5 p.m. ET, CSIS president and CEO John Hamre hosts a fireside chat with NVIDIA founder and CEO Jensen Huang on securing U.S. leadership in AI. Register here to watch the discussion: www.csis.org/events/nvidi...

Swedish foreign minister on the disproportionate amount of Nordic support given to Ukraine, vs rest of NATO.

Must-read 👉🏻 A new CSIS report by @maxbergmann.bsky.social & Otto Hastrup Svendsen outlines 5 key tasks #Europeans should undertake to defend themselves with less #America & deter further #Russian aggression www.csis.org/analysis/how...

Watch | @maxbergmann.bsky.social discusses the current role of the U.S. military in Europe’s ability to defend itself, the vulnerabilities that could result from a significant reduction of U.S. forces, and what must be done to address them. www.youtube.com/watch?v=RhQj... 

As usual, @maxbergmann.bsky.social and @ottosvendsen.bsky.social are asking all the right questions! Give this new report by them for @csis.org on “How Europe Can Defend Itself with Less America”. Timely stuff! Read: www.csis.org/analysis/how...

Eurobonds for Ukraine, say we. www.economist.com/leaders/2025...

A significant reduction of US forces in Europe could leave the continent exposed to Russian aggression. @maxbergmann.bsky.social @ottosvendsen.bsky.social offer a bold plan to close capability gaps and sustain deterrence with limited US involvement. Learn more below: www.csis.org/analysis/how...

🚨New report ahead of US force posture review. There needs to be a revolution in European military affairs. It's great Europeans are spending more. But they are neglecting the deeper reforms needed for Europe to defend itself with (potentially much) less America. We offer some ideas... 1/

Danish Prime Minister Frederiksen: "We do not want either a conflict or a war with Russia. No one in Europe wants that. There is only one aggressive party, and that is Russia… If we do not dare to stand up for ourselves&do what needs to be done,we will simply be too easy a target at some point”

On a recent podcast with @maxbergmann.bsky.social, the CSIS crew discusses Europe's efforts to rig up a trade grand strategy as the US and China smash the global trading order. "It's Complicated: A Status Update on EU Trade, Mercosur, and The State of the Union" www.csis.org/podcasts/eur...

Turns out, threatening allies is bad for business. www.politico.eu/article/denm...

This evening, @korea.csis.org hosted His Excellency Lee Jae Myung, President of the Republic of Korea, for an address on foreign policy and U.S.-Korea relations following his White House meeting with President Donald J. Trump. Read his remarks here: www.csis.org/analysis/sta...

Have burning questions about the #EU, #NATO, or what’s going on in European politics? ✍️ We want to hear from YOU on #Eurofile! 📤 Send your Questions to [email protected] or reply below 🎙️ Hosts @maxbergmann.bsky.social & @donatienneruy.bsky.social are ready

Truly unnecessary and unfortunate. NATO setting itself up for another major effort to avoid a Trump blowup. Earlier alliance history did not have annual summits. Let’s go back to that.

🌐 NEW: As the dust settles in Scotland, what stands out about the EU-US trade deal? @maxbergmann.bsky.social & @donatienneruy.bsky.social discuss: 🔹 What's next for transatlantic trade? 🔹 Has Brussels dodged the worst of US tariffs? 🎧 Tune in to #TheEurofile below: www.csis.org/podcasts/eur...

A test: if the bad trade deal was a necessary evil in order to maintain the US security guarantee, then, in order to ensure that Europe is stronger moving forward, member states will have zero problems in implementing ALL of the “#Draghi” and “#Letta” conclusions and agreeing to the next MFF?

Enjoyed talking EU-China relations in the Trump era with @maxbergmann.bsky.social www.csis.org/podcasts/eur...

CSIS mourns the loss of our Chief Communications Officer, Andrew Schwartz. For 20 years, he led with vision and integrity, shaping how CSIS engaged the world. His leadership, mentorship, and legacy in strategic communications will have a lasting impact Full Statement: www.csis.org/analysis/mem...

Wrote a little love letter to Denmark 🫶🇩🇰 In good Nordic style, I of course had to dunk on them a little. But the main point is: if all European countries were more like Denmark, Ukraine and Europe would be in a very different place now. On the Europe Dispatch with @phillipspobrien.bsky.social

Very good example of EU budget-related cheap talk by the Swedish PM: First, here are all the things I want more money for. Second, I am not ready to pay more. Third, this means other things become less important - but I won’t tell you which ones and where I would cut.

@ottosvendsen.bsky.social and @maxbergmann.bsky.social with a solid debate on whether the Hague summit was a success on the most recent edition of the Eurofile www.csis.org/podcasts/eur...

Denmark, that just started its presidency of the European Union, is getting serious. Buy-European, at scale. Could not have thought of a better country to take the rotating presidency of the EU at this moment in time.

It was thanks to the Nordic group pressure that also Sweden and Norway put much more money on the table last and this year, thanks to Denmark’s massive aid making them look ridiculous. And the one thing that’s important among us in the Nordics is not to look worse than the others…

There’s one country in Europe that really sticks out in its leadership by example and by punching above its weight: Denmark.

🎧 NEW: #NATO met in The Hague—and European allies opened their wallets. 🎙️@maxbergmann.bsky.social & special guest co-host @ottosvendsen.bsky.social break down the 5% spending target + Max's commentary, "NATO's 'Brain Death' in the Hague." Tune in HERE: www.csis.org/podcasts/eur...

On Tuesday, July 8th, at 12:00 PM ET @erep.csis.org will be hosting an in-person discussion on Denmark's role in European and Transatlantic security. Link to register below: www.csis.org/events/denma...

Time for us, as a continent, to drink from the poisoned chalice and admit that the Americans were right all along about air-conditioning.

NEW COLUMN: I got a bunch of SCOOPy details about the effect of the Trump-Rubio changes at the National Security Council. So if you were surprised by that Pentagon AUKUS review, well, there's a reason: www.politico.com/news/magazin...

EVENT: Please join the @CSIS Europe, Russia, and Eurasia program on Tuesday, July 8th, at 12:00 PM EDT for an in-person discussion on Denmark's role in European and Transatlantic security. Link to register👉 www.csis.org/events/denma...

My take on the NATO summit. Lots of unintended consequences with Europeans agreeing to something that few intend to deliver on. NATO ignoring its major challenge, fighting together as Europe with less US. That requires deep reforms, not vague spending pledges. www.csis.org/analysis/nat...

Check out the new report from me, @msnegovaya.bsky.social, Tina Dolbaia, and @maxbergmann.bsky.social on the Russian wartime economy, out now from @erep.csis.org at @csis.org. We do a deep dive on the Russian economy, and outline 3 scenarios for where it could be headed www.csis.org/analysis/rus...

Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen today confirmed Denmark’s willingness to reach 5% of GDP for defence, security and resilience with 3.5% for defence and 1.5% for other security-related areas. www.dr.dk/nyheder/poli...

The gist of the problem here is that the US is not looking for a deal that works for both parties. They are looking for a tribute, an offering from the EU. From the White House perspective, the EU isn't getting it. This is a shake down. Not a negotiation. Trade war coming.

Macron, Merz, Starmer and Tusk, together, en route tonight for Kyiv ⬇️

Some very different takes on Merz's remarks on eurobonds for defence in Brussels today. Some reckon he said "nein", others (like me) think he left the door open. Partly because he spoke a bit differently on the same topic in two different pressers. But also a matter of interpretation... (1/3)

ICYMI check out the recent piece by me and Alexander Kolyandr on the impact of sanctions on Russia's economy, and lessons learned for policymakers from the last 3 years. A quick thread on some of our key takeaways...(1/x) www.csis.org/analysis/dow...

After 3 years of brutal warfare, Russia’s economy has avoided collapse under the weight of Western sanctions. ERE's @nicholasfenton.bsky.social and Alexander Kolyandr explore how the Kremlin has sustained its economy through the war and next steps for the West. www.csis.org/analysis/dow...

The last grand strategists: what Brzezinski and Kissinger could teach Trump https://www.ft.com/content/84d6ba6b-2898-4aa5-aa27-c0151b56a339

New paper by me and Alexander Kolyandr at @erep.csis.org. We do a deep dive on the impact of Western sanctions on the Russian economy, and discuss the lessons for policymakers trying to refine their sanctions strategy amidst negotiations to end the war in Ukraine. www.csis.org/analysis/dow...

The thing about Europe: it's the actual land of the free now. Whatever problems Europe has - and it has plenty - it is looking pretty damn good by comparison these days. My Charlemagne this week www.economist.com/europe/2025/...

The EU’s ReArm Europe Plan promises €150 billion in loans to boost defense spending, but will fragmented procurement and political hurdles undermine its impact? warontherocks.com/2025/04/in-b...