Agree. I would, however, argue that turning NATO, or what is left of it, into fully European should be Plan A while the US could opt in as Plan B. It is fine if they don’t want to, but Europe should not and cannot rely on this.

#OTD 9 April 1940 Colonel Bennike, commander of the 🇩🇰Danish 4th Regiment refused to follow the order to surrender. To him the only correct decision was to go to Elsinore and board ships to transport his men to Helsingborg, 🇸🇪Sweden to continue the fight against the Germans 1/5

#OTD 9 April 1848 at Bov a Danish Army Corps of 11,000 troops under major-general Hedemann defeated the army of the Schleswig and Holstein insurgents of 7,000 troops under the former Danish general Prince Friedrich of Augustenburg - Danish troops after the battle by FC Lund.

War risk insurance is not the problem, war risk is and war risk continues to exist even if there is a “ceasefire” or not. IRGC declares the central part of the strait a “danger zone” and their designated and toll-based lanes as only viable transit.

#OTD 6 April 1849 at Ullerup in Schleswig, the Danish 1st Infantry Brigade under Colonel Krabbe with 4 btns and 8 guns defeated and pushed back the 2nd German Confederation Division (Baden, Würtemberg and Hanover) under General Wynecken with 8 btns and 24 guns.

🇩🇰Danish Defence considering the 🇸🇪BAE Systems Mk 110 57mm “IKEA” gun for the 5 new Arctic frigates instead of the 76mm OTO Melara. www.dr.dk/nyheder/indl...

For all of the private data bases that did not trust even the 🇩🇰Danish Defence Aquisition Organisation stating back in 2024 that all of the almost 100 ex-Danish Leopard 1ADK were acquired and donated by Denmark to 🇺🇦Ukraine, then it might help to reference 🇩🇪Bundeswehr?

I sincerely hope that prudent leaders have been working fast to create the basis for a new NATO driven by a coalition of the willing and unrestricted by the US, Hungary, Slovakia or others, for continued defence of freedom, democracy and the rule of law.

#OTD 2 April 1801 the Battle of Copenhagen - Contrary to popular (British) belief the Danish-Norwegian Navy was not destroyed: Of 28 ships of the line 7 old hulls were engaged in the battle with 7 lost/captured (25%) Of 14 frigates 3 were engaged with 1 lost (7%) #Navalhistory

It took a week before NYT could “break” what was public elsewhere - that an re-expansion of 🇺🇸US presence in 🇬🇱Greenland under the 🇩🇰🇺🇸1951 Treaty is being negotiated with two former bases abandoned by the US in 1958 and 1992 at the forefront.

#OTD 30 March 1801 the Royal Navy under Admiral Parker passed Elsinore & Kronborg Castle. In the ensuing exchange of gun fire, the RN lost 9 killed vs Kronborg 2. The squadron continued towards Copenhagen and what was to become the Battle of Copenhagen 2 April 1801 #Navalhistory

NATO 2025 report published While defence expenditure as share of GDP for many people is hard to understand, then the expenditure per capita is a bit easier to grasp (USD) Top 10 🇳🇴 3,025 🇺🇸 2,460 🇩🇰 2,416 🇱🇺 1,750 🇳🇱 1,608 🇸🇪 1,531 🇫🇮 1,497 🇩🇪 1,250 🇬🇧 1,146 🇧🇪 1,085 www.nato.int/content/dam/...

#OTD 26 March 1943 the 🇩🇰Danish corporal Eli Knudsen of the Nordøstgrønlands Slædepatrulje (The Northeastern Greenland Sledge Patrol) was killed in combat at Eskimonæs on 🇬🇱Greenland. The patrol identified German military weather stations to be destroyed by the patrol & US forces

I know where I would be if I was in London on Thursday…. #navalhistory www.kcl.ac.uk/events/the-p...

General Guillot of US Northern Command, stated that it looks like 🇩🇰🇬🇱Denmark and 🇺🇸USA may have a solution coming for US re-expanded presence on 🇬🇱Greenland within the 1951 Treaty. Could be: Narsarsuaq (Bluie West-1 to 1958) Kangerlussuaq (Bluie West-8 to 1992) Pituffik (port)

#OTD 22 March 1808 the 🇩🇰Danish-🇳🇴Norwegian ship of the line PRINS CHRISTIAN FREDERIK (66 guns) was attacked and destroyed off Sjællands Odde by a 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿Royal Navy squadron of STATELY (68) & NASSAU (68), the frigate QUEBEC (32) and sloops FALCON (14) & LYNX (16) #NavalHistory

The joint statement from 20 countries on the Strait of Hormuz has an interesting sentence: “We express our readiness to contribute to appropriate efforts to ensure safe passage through the Strait.” This is obviously a wide & open declaration but could mean military operations.

Relieved to learn this morning that the country home is out of reach of Iranian missiles. On a more serious note thinking why the Danish BMD programme promised as part of NATO capability targets 10+ years ago never materialised. probably know the answer… (Map from @osinttechnical.bsky.social on X)

The Eilat-Ashkelon Pipeline Co started in 1968 to transport Iranian crude oil through Israel to Europe as a 50%-50% joint venture between Israel & Iran. It did not circumvent Hormuz but Suez (closed 1967-75). Connecting it at Eilat from Saudi Arabia & Kuwait may not be impossible. Also see the book👇🏻

Denmark is willing to defend its sovereign territory against any aggressor - including, potentially, the US. This is the conclusion of an excellent piece by Danish national broadcaster DR on the active defence set up by 🇩🇰Denmark to defend 🇬🇱Greenland against a US military operation. 1/4

Significant change in attitude towards nuclear weapons on Danish soil (in peacetime) - Asked if Denmark should change the policy against nuclear weapons on Danish soil 31.4% says yes against 44.2% no. Male population is pro nuclear weapons with 46.4% and 38.8% against (DR) www.dr.dk/nyheder/poli...

Så kom Forsvaret ind i valgkampen med Venstres oplæg til 13.000 værnepligtige i 2035 og kaserner til hæren på Fyn og til Flyvevåbnet i Østjylland. Kaserner andre steder i landet nævnes men næppe i Nordsjælland hvor der rent faktisk er en tom kaserne… www.venstre.dk/nyheder/vi-s...

As many analysts agree significant naval capacity is required for convoy/escort operations through the Strait of Hormuz. I have produced a short assessment on LinkedIn with comparison to the capacity available during Operation Ernest Will in the Persian Gulf in 1988: www.linkedin.com/posts/hans-t...

As pointed out by many significant naval capacity is required for convoy/escort operations through the Strait of Hormuz in the current threat level Since 1988 the number of Western warships with escort/convoy capability has been reduced with up to 75% 1/4

#OTD 14 March 1808 the 🇩🇰🇳🇴 brig LOUGEN under command of First Lieutenant Wulff fought the 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 brig HMS CHILDERS under Commander Dillon at the island of Hitterø in southern Norway

We can finally announce that we were awarded the contract for the Nordic Military Mobility project, which is headed by my good colleague and Senior Advisor @corporalfrisk.com investor.riskintelligence.eu/press-releas...

Med 50 luftværnskompagnier i lokalforsvaret får 🇸🇪Sverige en kapacitet som 🇩🇰Danmark slet ikke har på dagsordenen endnu. Det ser ud til at Sverige har lært af Ukraines lagdelte luftforsvar… www.forsvarsmakten.se/aktuellt/nyh...

Deploying sea mines in The Strait Hormuz is likely a sign of desperate measures and/or breakdown of C2. The advantage of sea mines is that they are easily deployed, low cost, and create a high level of anticipated risk & uncertainty disproportionate to their kinetic value. 1/3

The toughest out there. 🇩🇰Sirius Dog Sledge Patrol on 🇬🇱 (Photo: Arctic Command)

The Danish Air Force has conducted long range patrol training for F-35 with support of NATO MRTT tankers. The fighters flew from Skrydstrup Air Base to Iceland & back, or about 5,000 km. Denmark has funded two new Airbus MRTT, which will be operating from Denmark when delivered.

I did not have a submarine torpedo a frigate on my 2026 Bingo Card. The last time it happened was 2 May 1982 when HMS Conqueror sunk the ARA General Belgrano

#OTD The combat of West Key at the Danish West Indies 3 March 1801 between the 🇩🇰🇳🇴 20-gun brig Lougen, under Lt Commander Jessen, and the 22-gun post ship HMS Arab under Capt Perkins & the 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 18-gun privateer Experiment, which both had to withdraw after one hour’s engagement

Please get real. No convoys are possible until a sufficient degredation of Iranian capability has been reached. One thing is destroying the primary capabilities, but for Hormuz it is also secondary and tertiary capabilites down to UAVs and USVs. www.lloydslist.com/LL1156505/US...

Statement by 🇩🇰Danish Prime Minister Frederiksen and 🇸🇪Swedish Prime Minister Kristersson on the 🇫🇷French nuclear deterrence proposal.

The Danish Government press brifing underlines Denmark’s willingness to contribute to nuclear deterrence with France but also, at the same time, to participate in NATO’s nuclear deterrence. Nuclear weapons on Danish soil in peacetime is not yet on the agenda. Let’s see about that….

Denmark joins French "extended nuclear deterrence" along Sweden, Germany, UK, Poland, Belgium, The Netherlands and Greece. The Danish government considers stationing of nuclear weapons. The Cold War opposition to nuclear weapons on Danish soil in peacetime was a policy and not by law.

What an irony that many people have waited for confirmation of the death of the Ayatollah - when it is Trump confirming it is actually hard to trust it is true…. 🤞🏻that he is actually right www.bbc.com/news/live/cn...

Her kan man tale om en bolig for helte

The main contenders for the 🇩🇰Danish air defence frigate programme are quite uneven in terms of offering, capability & availability 🇩🇪TKMS & NVL Meko-400 🇫🇷Naval Group FDI 🇬🇧Babcock Arrowhead 140/160 We may hope that the final selection will be based on military requirements

According to the daily Berlingske the Danish Government is about to close the selection of long-range strike capability announced in September 2025. The capability package may likely include JSM (500km) and TLAM (1,600+km) as well as JASSM-ER (900km) & long range drones (800km+)

Her kan man tale om dårlig timing af en historie - eller måske god? - hvis man tager i betragtning af at Danmark i dag præsenterede en stigning i forsvarsbudgettet frem til 2033 på 255 mia DKK (385 mia NOK)…. ;-) www.forsvaretsforum.no/danmark-fors...

Slava Ukraini!🇺🇦 At this anniversary of the Russian full-scale attack many are forgetting that Ukraine without any warships actually has succeeded in defeating the Russian Navy. It has the capability to attack vessels, ports & facilities. No one saw this coming in 2022 #Seapower

The Danish Government announced it will increase the Defence budget with 21.6bn DKK (2.9bn EUR) in 2027 or a total of 255.4bn DKK (34.2bn EUR) to 2033. This will raise the budget permanently to 3.5% of GDP by 2030. It also aims to increase other related budgets to 1.5% by 2030

4 years…. European & Ukrainian intelligence/ decisionmakers didn’t believe Russia would attack Ukraine partly due to the shadow of 2003 Iraq “intelligence” and due to an expectation of Putin being rational. Putin was rational - in a Russian perspective www.theguardian.com/world/ng-int...

Today, an additional 3.8bn DKK has been added by the 🇩🇰Danish government to the fund for donations to 🇺🇦Ukraine. In addition, the proceeds from the sale of 24 F-16 to Argentina will be donationed to Ukraine with 0.6bn DKK in 2026 following 0.5bn in 2025. Link below👇🏻

A sick crew member from a 🇺🇸US submarine was evacuated today by the 🇩🇰Danish warship HDMS Vædderen off 🇬🇱Greenland. This underlines Denmark’s dedication to assist any seafarer in distress regardless of his nation’s intent (Arctic Command) Photo not from today’s incident.

🇩🇰Denmark has ordered five new mobile field hospitals for the 1st Brigade from Rheinmetall in 🇩🇪Germany with two being the Role 2 Enhanced and three being the Role 2 Basic. The hospitals are containerised and much more mobile than the older generations of field hospitals. www.fmi.dk/da/nyheder/2...

The 🇸🇪Swedish Air Force Rangers are participating in the Arctic Endurance 26 exercise in 🇬🇱Greenland with a platoon at Kangerlussuaq. A short video has been shared on Facebook where the task and difficult climate is explained: www.facebook.com/share/r/1Jx7... www.forsvarsmakten.se/aktuellt/nyh...

The US is 100% right in Europe has to defend itself and it is long overdue However, I have no illusions about the US and its strategic objectives against its allies. That Rubio presents niceties makes no difference & the optimistic commentaries are naive Hope is not a strategy!

Arctic Sentry is a strategic win for NATO, a significant political win for 🇩🇰Denmark and 🇬🇱Greenland, and a military win for the Nordic region in general and 🇳🇴Norway in particular. To rephrase Lord Ismay it may even: “keep the Russians out, the Americans in, and Trump down”