A key part of Lindsey Graham's legacy: when he called Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election. www.nytimes.com/2026/07/12/u...

Graham Platner finally files withdrawal paperwork. Dems can now officially pick a replacement. x.com/hollyotterbe...

So let me get this right: The GOP messaging of the day, somehow, is both "fuck yeah we killed their navy" and "Iran deserves to be able to defend itself"?

Wow, @mcimaps.bsky.social pointed this out on the other site, but the Republicans did NOT get a candidate in Florida's #HD47, a Trump+3 seat that they currently hold, meaning that the Democrats have automatically FLIPPED IT!

The most offensive thing about Spencer Pratt is that for a few brief moments I was somehow expected to know or care who he is.

This is a devastating interview. Scott Pelley tells the NYT that Bari Weiss directly put a “thumb on the scale” for Trump over the killing of Renee Good. Here’s his explanation of exactly what happened.

New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani has endorsed activist Darializa Avila Chevalier's campaign to defeat Rep. Adriano Espaillat in next month's Democratic primary. #NY13

Gov Jared Polis told a Colorado Sun event that his decision to give clemency to Tina Peters "will be remembered fondly." He was later interrupted by protesters carrying an enormous banner reading EAT SHIT POLIS coloradosun.com/2026/05/19/j...

Former state Sen. Ralph Alvarado (R) will face former federal prosecutor Zach Dembo (D) in general election for open GOP-held #KY06. Trump won it 57-42 in 2023, but Democratic Gov. Andy Beshear carried it 60-40 the previous year. National Democrats have reserved close to $700,000 in fall ad time.

The NYT's maps would hurt Black voters & are de facto GOP gerrymanders. The whole premise is flawed. It’s nonsensical that Dems would 𝘭𝘰𝘴𝘦 a seat with "colorblind" nonpartisan maps—the GOP gerrymandered every state here except for AL & LA. Here's how nonpartisan maps might actually look. [Thread]

this is the closest I've ever come to actually suggesting a "one neat trick" suggestion for anything, but I'm so serious here. the Virginia Constitution gives the legislature the power to set retirement ages for judges "REGARDLESS OF THE TERM TO WHICH ELECTED OR APPOINTED." make it 54 right now.

Florida Democrat Brian Nathan's victory is now the 30th red-to-blue flip of a legislative seat since Donald Trump returned to the White House. During that span, the GOP has flipped zero seats. docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

Oh yeah, in case you haven't bookmarked it yet, our special election Big Board is the original recipe. We've been tracking these races like a hawk for a decade—accept no substitutes! Dems outperforming 2024 presidential results by an average of 13 points.

The second Florida flip of the night! Democrat Brian Nathan, a Navy vet and union leader, just won a GOP-held seat in the state Senate. Our full writeup -->

BREAKING: Democrats just flipped the Florida House district that includes Mar-a-Lago. Yes, Donald Trump is going to be represented by a Democrat. Our complete recap -->

I thought this segment from Enten was bad use of polling www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-03-22...

We're delighted to see people pay so much attention to special elections and legislative elections these days! Tracking these races is one of our favorite things to do. It's also a lot of work! We'd be really grateful if folks citing that figure of 28 R→D flips would link back to our tracker:

Because you sickos love this, here's the updated flip count in legislative seats since the start of Trump's second term, following tonight's Dem win in New Hampshire: Democrats: 28 Republicans: 0 docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

JUST IN: Democrats have flipped a Trump+9 seat in the New Hampshire House, per reporter Kevin Landrigan. Republicans outspent Dems by a considerable margin. This is now the 10th special election flip for Ds in Trump's second term, versus zero for the GOP. sos.tn.gov/elections/20...

BIG lead for Alex Holladay in the early vote in the Arkansas #HD70 (Harris+2) special election. Very much on track for a flip for the Dems here tonight in suburban Little Rock

The GOP just had its best chance to finally flip a legislative seat in Trump 2.0. Democrats had other ideas. Chasity Martinez just won a rural Trump+13 in the Louisiana House in a 24-point landslide—an overperformance of 37 points. Our complete writeup on this remarkable outcome -->

BREAKING: Texas Democrat Taylor Rehmet just won a *massive* landslide to flip a deep-red Senate district. He's up by 14 points in a Trump+17 seat—an overperformance of more than 30 points. How did he do it? Here's our full writeup:

What would happen if Trump tried to send troops to disrupt the midterms? Undaunted voters in the Twin Cities just gave us an answer: It could backfire very, very badly. New from The Downballot: A wild overperformance in St. Paul shows Minnesotans will "crawl over broken glass" to vote—despite ICE.

LOL. Despite this being a Harris+71 seat, Democrat Meg Luger-Nikolai won tonight by a *91-point* margin. Easily one of the wildest overperformances we’ve ever seen, given the district’s deep, deep blue lean.

one takeaway from the grok noncon porn thing is that much of the media just isn't interested in an issue they can't pretend has two sides or that doesn't give them an opportunity to shit on the left. Also it would be uncomfortable to justify remaining on twitter after acknowledging it

It appears that vote-counting may be done in KY. If so, it's an astounding *42-point* overperformance for Democrat Gary Clemons, a union leader and Army vet. This district moved to the right last year, from Biden+10 to Harris+5, but the GOP never seriously contested it. Big Board updated -->

BREAKING: Indiana Republicans FAILED to pass a new 9-0 congressional gerrymander after enough GOP senators sided with Dems. The GOP's 7-2 map stays in place. Trump is trying to re-gerrymander maps nationwide. At least 11 Indiana Rs got death threats after he called for primaries—but it still failed

BREAKING: Democrats have flipped a conservative state House seat in Georgia in yet another upset. It's a 14-point overperformance *and* the 25th legislative flip of the year for Dems. Republicans? Zero. Read our complete writeup here -->

Some (more) very big Dem overperformances on the Big Board tonight so far: FL-SD-11: Republicans hold deep-red district, but Dems overperform by 22 pts FL-HD-90: Dems hold blue-leaning district, outperforming 2024 by 17 and, perhaps more importantly, beating 2020 by 6

It's good—very good, and very important—that district courts keep issuing these 100-page rulings upholding the law. It must be incredibly dispiriting to see them overturned in a two-page, lawless, unsigned order, but please, keep them coming. They expose SCOTUS' corruption like nothing else.

Guy who only remembers #OH02, watching a special election in 2025: "Getting some #OH02 vibes from this..."

Fascinating poll from @the-downballot.com! And I've gotta say, The Downballot has a best-in-class #Substack. Definitely worth a subscription, or at least a #BlueSky follow! They cover all elections, from Chuck Schumer primary challenges to Katie Wilson for Seattle mayor. They'll keep you informed!

After racking up decisive wins across the country last week, how can Democrats keep up the momentum at the ballot box next year, when Congress will be on the line? An exclusive poll for The Downballot offers an answer.

What I want from each and every one of you is a hard target search of every state house, senate, school board, county legislature, coroner's office, residence, farmhouse, henhouse, outhouse and doghouse in the United States including all of its territories. Your fugitive's name is Donald J. Trump.

They're cooked.

In Manchester, Democrats texted voters with a picture of Trump, a headline reporting his intent not to fund SNAP, and a simple all-caps message: “VOTE RIGHT NOW!”

GM, Nate Cohn at his best sports pundit last night, already making up reasons why this one doesn't count

Rs want it both ways. They want to mock Democrats and excuse whatever Trump says about them. Senators laugh if you ask about Trump's AI posts - he's just trolling, lol! They also want any crazy or offensive thing *Dems* say to be a horrifying violence-inspiring threat. Can't have both. (2/2)

City of Sickos

We obsessively track overlooked elections all year so that we can bring you special reports like this one—our guide to the top races of 2025. We go way beyond NJ/VA/CA/NYC to highlight races in PA, NH, GA, ME, TX, and more! Find our complete preview of 40 top races here -->

It's the most delicious time of the year: The Downballot's annual election prediction contest—aka the babka contest—is back! Enter to prove your prognostication prowess *and* for the chance to win amazing prizes from our sponsor, Green's Babka! Good luck, one and all!

Good news guys turns out we actually won in 2024

The big problem with trying to blame Dems for a shutdown is nobody believes Dems can do shit right now. That's, I guess, the silver lining to Schumer and Jeffries being so passive.

Accept no imitators! This is the one and only special elections Big Board from The Downballot! There are still a few votes left in #VA11 but the vast majority have been tallied. Dem James Walkinshaw is winning by 50 in a Harris+34 district, so a 16-point overperformance—right at the average.

HUGE FLIP: Democrat Catelin Drey wins deep-red state Senate seat in Iowa, breaking the GOP's supermajority. Drey won by 11 points in a district Donald Trump carried by 11 points last year. It's another massive overperformance. The Iowa GOP should be very worried for the midterms. Our full writeup:

Can I do some of these now? --> 🌊🌊🌊