James Lambert
@hellofasandwich.bsky.social
đ€ 350
đ„ 250
đ 76
Area Man. Meme Specialist. Contributor,
@the-downballot.com
add a skeleton here at some point
2 days ago
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James Lambert
The Downballot
6 days ago
The GOP just had its best chance to finally flip a legislative seat in Trump 2.0. Democrats had other ideas. Chasity Martinez just won a rural Trump+13 in the Louisiana House in a 24-point landslideâan overperformance of 37 points. Our complete writeup on this remarkable outcome -->
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Breaking: Democrats resoundingly defend red district in Louisiana, denying GOP its first pickup
Republicans have yet to flip a single legislative seat since Trump's return
https://www.the-downballot.com/p/breaking-democrats-resoundingly-defend
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12 days ago
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The Downballot
13 days ago
BREAKING: Texas Democrat Taylor Rehmet just won a *massive* landslide to flip a deep-red Senate district. He's up by 14 points in a Trump+17 seatâan overperformance of more than 30 points. How did he do it? Here's our full writeup:
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Breaking: Texas Democrats score landslide upset in race Trump badly wanted to win
Taylor Rehmet just flipped a deep-red seatâand gave his party a shot in the arm
https://www.the-downballot.com/p/breaking-texas-democrats-score-landslide
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The Downballot
14 days ago
What would happen if Trump tried to send troops to disrupt the midterms? Undaunted voters in the Twin Cities just gave us an answer: It could backfire very, very badly. New from The Downballot: A wild overperformance in St. Paul shows Minnesotans will "crawl over broken glass" to voteâdespite ICE.
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Minnesotans just showed theyâll âcrawl over broken glassâ to vote, despite ICE terror
If Trump sends troops to disrupt voting, he could face a massive backlash
https://www.the-downballot.com/p/minnesotans-just-showed-theyll-crawl
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The Downballot
17 days ago
LOL. Despite this being a Harris+71 seat, Democrat Meg Luger-Nikolai won tonight by a *91-point* margin. Easily one of the wildest overperformances weâve ever seen, given the districtâs deep, deep blue lean.
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Adam Serwer
about 1 month ago
one takeaway from the grok noncon porn thing is that much of the media just isn't interested in an issue they can't pretend has two sides or that doesn't give them an opportunity to shit on the left. Also it would be uncomfortable to justify remaining on twitter after acknowledging it
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The Downballot
about 2 months ago
It appears that vote-counting may be done in KY. If so, it's an astounding *42-point* overperformance for Democrat Gary Clemons, a union leader and Army vet. This district moved to the right last year, from Biden+10 to Harris+5, but the GOP never seriously contested it. Big Board updated -->
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The Downballot's special elections Big Board for the 2025-26 cycle
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1JGk1r1VXnxBrAIVHz1C5HTB5jxCO6Zw4QNPivdhyWHw/edit?gid=415249345#gid=415249345
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Stephen Wolf
2 months ago
BREAKING: Indiana Republicans FAILED to pass a new 9-0 congressional gerrymander after enough GOP senators sided with Dems. The GOP's 7-2 map stays in place. Trump is trying to re-gerrymander maps nationwide. At least 11 Indiana Rs got death threats after he called for primariesâbut it still failed
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The Downballot
2 months ago
BREAKING: Democrats have flipped a conservative state House seat in Georgia in yet another upset. It's a 14-point overperformance *and* the 25th legislative flip of the year for Dems. Republicans? Zero. Read our complete writeup here -->
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Breaking: Georgia Democrats flip conservative seat in yet another upset
That's 25 pickups for Democrats nationwide this yearâand zero for Republicans
https://www.the-downballot.com/p/breaking-georgia-democrats-flip-conservative
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James Lambert
The Downballot
2 months ago
Some (more) very big Dem overperformances on the Big Board tonight so far: FL-SD-11: Republicans hold deep-red district, but Dems overperform by 22 pts FL-HD-90: Dems hold blue-leaning district, outperforming 2024 by 17 and, perhaps more importantly, beating 2020 by 6
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The Downballot's special elections Big Board for the 2025-26 cycle
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1JGk1r1VXnxBrAIVHz1C5HTB5jxCO6Zw4QNPivdhyWHw/edit?gid=415249345#gid=415249345
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David Nir
2 months ago
It's goodâvery good, and very importantâthat district courts keep issuing these 100-page rulings upholding the law. It must be incredibly dispiriting to see them overturned in a two-page, lawless, unsigned order, but please, keep them coming. They expose SCOTUS' corruption like nothing else.
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Guy who only remembers
#OH02
, watching a special election in 2025: "Getting some
#OH02
vibes from this..."
2 months ago
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James Lambert
A Wild Lib Appeared
3 months ago
Fascinating poll from
@the-downballot.com
! And I've gotta say, The Downballot has a best-in-class
#Substack
. Definitely worth a subscription, or at least a
#BlueSky
follow! They cover all elections, from Chuck Schumer primary challenges to Katie Wilson for Seattle mayor. They'll keep you informed!
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The Downballot
3 months ago
After racking up decisive wins across the country last week, how can Democrats keep up the momentum at the ballot box next year, when Congress will be on the line? An exclusive poll for The Downballot offers an answer.
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New poll shows Democratsâ best path in 2026: Remind voters the GOPâs in charge
What do independents want next year? It all depends on how you ask the question.
https://www.the-downballot.com/p/new-poll-shows-democrats-best-path
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What I want from each and every one of you is a hard target search of every state house, senate, school board, county legislature, coroner's office, residence, farmhouse, henhouse, outhouse and doghouse in the United States including all of its territories. Your fugitive's name is Donald J. Trump.
3 months ago
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They're cooked.
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3 months ago
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In Manchester, Democrats texted voters with a picture of Trump, a headline reporting his intent not to fund SNAP, and a simple all-caps message: âVOTE RIGHT NOW!â
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Democrats score big in CT municipal races, flipping GOP seats
Democrats made broad gains in Connecticutâs first general election since Donald Trumpâs return to the White House, flipping open top-of-ballot seats that had been controlled by Republicans in the Demo...
https://www.ctpublic.org/news/2025-11-05/ct-election-results-democrats-republicans-mayors
3 months ago
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3 months ago
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Mason Klopp
3 months ago
GM, Nate Cohn at his best sports pundit last night, already making up reasons why this one doesn't count
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Dave Weigel
3 months ago
Rs want it both ways. They want to mock Democrats and excuse whatever Trump says about them. Senators laugh if you ask about Trump's AI posts - he's just trolling, lol! They also want any crazy or offensive thing *Dems* say to be a horrifying violence-inspiring threat. Can't have both. (2/2)
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Stan Kelly
3 months ago
City of Sickos
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The Downballot
3 months ago
We obsessively track overlooked elections all year so that we can bring you special reports like this oneâour guide to the top races of 2025. We go way beyond NJ/VA/CA/NYC to highlight races in PA, NH, GA, ME, TX, and more! Find our complete preview of 40 top races here -->
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The Downballot's 2025 election preview
We go way beyond Virginia and New Jersey to spotlight dozens of races nationwide
https://www.the-downballot.com/p/the-downballots-2025-election-preview
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The Downballot
4 months ago
It's the most delicious time of the year: The Downballot's annual election prediction contestâaka the babka contestâis back! Enter to prove your prognostication prowess *and* for the chance to win amazing prizes from our sponsor, Green's Babka! Good luck, one and all!
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Enter The Downballot's 2025 prediction contest, sponsored by GreensBabka.com!
To the victors go the spoils!
https://www.the-downballot.com/p/enter-the-downballots-2025-prediction
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Unsanctioned Buffoonery (Dan)
4 months ago
Good news guys turns out we actually won in 2024
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James Lambert
5 months ago
The big problem with trying to blame Dems for a shutdown is nobody believes Dems can do shit right now. That's, I guess, the silver lining to Schumer and Jeffries being so passive.
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The Downballot
5 months ago
Accept no imitators! This is the one and only special elections Big Board from The Downballot! There are still a few votes left in
#VA11
but the vast majority have been tallied. Dem James Walkinshaw is winning by 50 in a Harris+34 district, so a 16-point overperformanceâright at the average.
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The Downballot's special elections Big Board for the 2025-26 cycle
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1JGk1r1VXnxBrAIVHz1C5HTB5jxCO6Zw4QNPivdhyWHw/edit?gid=415249345#gid=415249345
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James Lambert
The Downballot
6 months ago
HUGE FLIP: Democrat Catelin Drey wins deep-red state Senate seat in Iowa, breaking the GOP's supermajority. Drey won by 11 points in a district Donald Trump carried by 11 points last year. It's another massive overperformance. The Iowa GOP should be very worried for the midterms. Our full writeup:
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Iowa Democrats win massive upset to break GOP supermajority
Catelin Drey's victory may portend more good news for Democrats next year
https://www.the-downballot.com/p/iowa-democrats-win-massive-upset
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Can I do some of these now? --> đđđ
add a skeleton here at some point
6 months ago
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James Lambert
The Downballot
6 months ago
Somehow, we're already celebrating The Downballot's first anniversary today! It's been *quite* the year, and our fiercely loyal readers have made it all possible. We're also marking the occasion with a special 25% off sale! If you haven't upgraded yet, check out all the perks you'll unlock ââ
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Morning Digest: The Downballot rings in its first anniversary today!
We're celebrating with a special 25% off sale for our readers
https://www.the-downballot.com/p/morning-digest-the-downballot-rings
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James Lambert
The Downballot
6 months ago
If this draft does reflect what CA Democrats are considering, one key change they'll want to consider before settling on a final version would be to make David Valadao's
#CA22
bluer by adding the Salinas Valley. This would not jeopardize Zoe Lofgren's
#CA18
, which would remain solidly blue.
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10 months ago
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James Lambert
The Downballot
10 months ago
Tonight, our neighbors to the north will elect a new Parliament after a race dominated by Canada's relations with the U.S. It's our pleasure to present this overview by James Lambert (
@hellofasandwich.bsky.social
), a lifelong Edmontonian and keen observer of politics in both countries.
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Canada's ruling Liberals are on the verge of a stunning comeback
How Trump's imperialist bombast threw the Conservatives into disarray and upended the race
https://www.the-downballot.com/p/canadas-ruling-liberals-are-on-the
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The Downballot
10 months ago
It's here! The Downballot is so stoked to share our calculations of the results of the 2024 presidential election for all 435 congressional districts! Bookmark this must-have data set, generously sponsored by Grassroots Analytics, right here:
the-db.co/presbycd
And much more in this đ§” below!
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The Downballot's calculations of presidential election results by congressional district, sponsored by Grassroots Analytics
Our one-of-a-kind collection spans from 2008 to the present
https://the-db.co/presbycd
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The Downballot
10 months ago
Some very exciting news: We're releasing our detailed calculations of the 2024 presidential election for all 435 House districts next week! We know a lot of folks have been waiting for this, so if you're hungry for a sneak preview, become a paid subscriber of The Downballot for early access!
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Subscribe to The Downballot
Covering every election, from kickoff to call. Click to read The Downballot, a Substack publication with tens of thousands of subscribers.
https://www.the-downballot.com/subscribe
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Aaron Rupar
10 months ago
CANADIAN REPORTER: Trump's tone on Canada has shifted. He stopped talking about Canada becoming the 51st state. LEAVITT: I would reject that the president's position on Canada has shifted. Perhaps he just hasn't been asked about it. He believes Canadians would benefit from becoming the 51st state.
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J@c0b
10 months ago
Yeah, and Democrats will win the other 375.
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The Downballot
10 months ago
Want to catch up on allâyes, *all*âthe
#HandsOff
protests this weekend?
@donnermaps.bsky.social
has collected Bluesky posts of photos from more than 1,100 cities great and small on this interactive map -->
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April 5, 2025 Protests: Bluesky Links | Created with Datawrapper
See pictures and videos from protests around the country! Click on a dot to anchor the pop-up, then click on link. Adding more constantly! Started with threads of 450 cities by Aram Sinnreich and Rac...
https://www.datawrapper.de/_/0eNuE/
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Daniel Donner
10 months ago
Interactive map of bluesky links to
#handsoff
protests today - at about 350 so far, mostly via
@aramsinn.bsky.social
and
@maddow.msnbc.com
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April 5, 2025 Protests: Bluesky Links | Created with Datawrapper
See pictures and videos from protests around the country! Click on a dot to anchor the pop-up. Adding more constantly! Sources: Aram Sinnreich, Rachel Maddow, others.
https://www.datawrapper.de/_/0eNuE/?v=13
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William B. Fuckley
10 months ago
If in 2025 youâre still doing sneering âheh, look at these cringe wine mom protestorsâ type shtick I canât think of any reason anyone should listen to you
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James Lambert
-indy âš (he/him)
11 months ago
Gonna be like buying black-market levi's in Soviet Russia
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Like prescribing arsenic for a scraped knee!
11 months ago
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James Lambert
Aaron Rupar
11 months ago
every Republican TV hit today
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Julian Sanchez
11 months ago
A reminder to reporters: Because Trump tariff numbers are made-up nonsense, using the phrase âreciprocal tariffsâ is lying to your audience. The phrase itself is propaganda. They are not reciprocal.
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David Nir
11 months ago
Remarkably, Democrats gained House seats in each of *four* straight elections: 1930: +52 1932: +97 1934: +9 <-- FDR's first midterm! 1936: +12
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Me after last night, instructing
@the-downballot.com
readers to identify hyper-local offices that Democrats can flip this year:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=rRuY...
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The Fugitive - Hard Target Search
YouTube video by Samuel Helgabond
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rRuYrOKYf3c
11 months ago
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James Lambert
Reid McCollum
11 months ago
DuPage Dems Chair here⊠weâre leading in 48 of 49 partisan races and only down in the one by 35 votes. Several of our townships have never had an elected Dem, and itâs sweep after sweep tonight.
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The Downballot
11 months ago
Wisconsin Democrats have regained the county executive office in light red Winnebago County. Trump won it 52-47 last year.
x.com/jrrosswrites...
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11 months ago
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Jeff Singer
11 months ago
The chair of the Wisconsin GOP should have spent more than one second worrying about what Democrats say about Elon Musk.
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