What I want from each and every one of you is a hard target search of every state house, senate, school board, county legislature, coroner's office, residence, farmhouse, henhouse, outhouse and doghouse in the United States including all of its territories. Your fugitive's name is Donald J. Trump.

They're cooked.

In Manchester, Democrats texted voters with a picture of Trump, a headline reporting his intent not to fund SNAP, and a simple all-caps message: “VOTE RIGHT NOW!”

GM, Nate Cohn at his best sports pundit last night, already making up reasons why this one doesn't count

Rs want it both ways. They want to mock Democrats and excuse whatever Trump says about them. Senators laugh if you ask about Trump's AI posts - he's just trolling, lol! They also want any crazy or offensive thing *Dems* say to be a horrifying violence-inspiring threat. Can't have both. (2/2)

City of Sickos

We obsessively track overlooked elections all year so that we can bring you special reports like this one—our guide to the top races of 2025. We go way beyond NJ/VA/CA/NYC to highlight races in PA, NH, GA, ME, TX, and more! Find our complete preview of 40 top races here -->

It's the most delicious time of the year: The Downballot's annual election prediction contest—aka the babka contest—is back! Enter to prove your prognostication prowess *and* for the chance to win amazing prizes from our sponsor, Green's Babka! Good luck, one and all!

Good news guys turns out we actually won in 2024

The big problem with trying to blame Dems for a shutdown is nobody believes Dems can do shit right now. That's, I guess, the silver lining to Schumer and Jeffries being so passive.

Accept no imitators! This is the one and only special elections Big Board from The Downballot! There are still a few votes left in #VA11 but the vast majority have been tallied. Dem James Walkinshaw is winning by 50 in a Harris+34 district, so a 16-point overperformance—right at the average.

HUGE FLIP: Democrat Catelin Drey wins deep-red state Senate seat in Iowa, breaking the GOP's supermajority. Drey won by 11 points in a district Donald Trump carried by 11 points last year. It's another massive overperformance. The Iowa GOP should be very worried for the midterms. Our full writeup:

Can I do some of these now? --> 🌊🌊🌊

Somehow, we're already celebrating The Downballot's first anniversary today! It's been *quite* the year, and our fiercely loyal readers have made it all possible. We're also marking the occasion with a special 25% off sale! If you haven't upgraded yet, check out all the perks you'll unlock →→

If this draft does reflect what CA Democrats are considering, one key change they'll want to consider before settling on a final version would be to make David Valadao's #CA22 bluer by adding the Salinas Valley. This would not jeopardize Zoe Lofgren's #CA18, which would remain solidly blue.

Tonight, our neighbors to the north will elect a new Parliament after a race dominated by Canada's relations with the U.S. It's our pleasure to present this overview by James Lambert (@hellofasandwich.bsky.social), a lifelong Edmontonian and keen observer of politics in both countries.

It's here! The Downballot is so stoked to share our calculations of the results of the 2024 presidential election for all 435 congressional districts! Bookmark this must-have data set, generously sponsored by Grassroots Analytics, right here: the-db.co/presbycd And much more in this 🧵 below!

Some very exciting news: We're releasing our detailed calculations of the 2024 presidential election for all 435 House districts next week! We know a lot of folks have been waiting for this, so if you're hungry for a sneak preview, become a paid subscriber of The Downballot for early access!

CANADIAN REPORTER: Trump's tone on Canada has shifted. He stopped talking about Canada becoming the 51st state. LEAVITT: I would reject that the president's position on Canada has shifted. Perhaps he just hasn't been asked about it. He believes Canadians would benefit from becoming the 51st state.

Yeah, and Democrats will win the other 375.

Want to catch up on all—yes, *all*—the #HandsOff protests this weekend? @donnermaps.bsky.social has collected Bluesky posts of photos from more than 1,100 cities great and small on this interactive map -->

Interactive map of bluesky links to #handsoff protests today - at about 350 so far, mostly via @aramsinn.bsky.social and @maddow.msnbc.com

If in 2025 you’re still doing sneering ‘heh, look at these cringe wine mom protestors’ type shtick I can’t think of any reason anyone should listen to you

Gonna be like buying black-market levi's in Soviet Russia

Like prescribing arsenic for a scraped knee!

every Republican TV hit today

A reminder to reporters: Because Trump tariff numbers are made-up nonsense, using the phrase “reciprocal tariffs” is lying to your audience. The phrase itself is propaganda. They are not reciprocal.

Remarkably, Democrats gained House seats in each of *four* straight elections: 1930: +52 1932: +97 1934: +9 <-- FDR's first midterm! 1936: +12

Me after last night, instructing @the-downballot.com readers to identify hyper-local offices that Democrats can flip this year: www.youtube.com/watch?v=rRuY...

DuPage Dems Chair here… we’re leading in 48 of 49 partisan races and only down in the one by 35 votes. Several of our townships have never had an elected Dem, and it’s sweep after sweep tonight.

Wisconsin Democrats have regained the county executive office in light red Winnebago County. Trump won it 52-47 last year. x.com/jrrosswrites...

The chair of the Wisconsin GOP should have spent more than one second worrying about what Democrats say about Elon Musk.

LOL come on. The article now says: "Mr. Trump won both districts by double-digit margins in November." He won #FL06 by 30 and #FL01 by 37!

in Escambia County, the mail ballots, early vote, and 63/80 precincts are fully reporting, and it looks likely that Democrat Gay Valimont will be the first Democratic House candidate to win the county since Earl Hutto in **1992**

IF YOU'RE IN LINE TO PISS ON STROM THURMOND'S GRAVE, STAY IN LINE

Identifying and finding the remains of murdered women feels like the most sorrowful of victories, the least a state can do. It almost didn't happen.

HOW IT HAPPENED: James Andrew Malone, the mayor of a town of 5,000, ran on education, abortion rights, and opposing Elon Musk—in a district that had *never* voted Democratic. Until tonight. Our complete write-through of his astonishing special election win in Lancaster County →

literally every day is going to provide more evidence that the "let's provide some votes for the least bad trump nominees out of respect for the presidency" was a boneheaded strategy. any idiot could have told senate democrats that any vote for any of these people was going to make them look bad.

Txt STOP to opt out of updates on war plans

Danielle Smith's interview with Breitbart — where she asks that Trump's aggression on Canada be put on "pause" to allow Poilievre to win the election — was published on March 8. Were the Liberals deliberately holding their fire on it until today? www.ctvnews.ca/calgary/arti...

Reminder that 'savvy' political fact checkers spent the entire campaign telling voters that Trump was not going to do the things he obviously was going to do.

These are the members of the Senate Democratic caucus who just voted to pass the GOP's Trump-backed budget bill, along with the year that they next go before voters—including primary voters.

> Thatcher's defection comes with a scathing indictment of his former party. “The public is being ignored. The public is being treated with…what else do you call it but contempt? I can’t be a part of that anymore,” Thatcher said. From @schotthappens.com

First in The Downballot: A new PPP poll shows former Gov. Roy Cooper with a 47-44 lead over Sen. Thom Tillis in a potential preview of one of next year's top Senate races. Tillis is also deeply unpopular while Cooper's favorables remain positive. More here: www.the-downballot.com/i/158477154/...

Trump's new plan for fighting inflation: Inflation is not inflation! www.cnbc.com/2025/03/05/t...