In a shocking upset, the New Jersey Democrats flipped a seat in #LD02 on Tuesday. This Harris+2 seat in Atlantic County featured two moderate Republican incumbents who were seen as favorites. That turned out to be wrong as Democratic attorney Maureen Rowan managed to win a seat!

In major upset, the New Jersey Democrats have flipped a seat in #LD25, a Trump+1 district in Morris County. Despite no major help from the state Democrats, Marisa Sweeney will become the first Democrat to represent this district in over 30 years.

The 2025 New Jersey Gubernatorial Election, a hotly contested contest thought to be close throughout the late stretch of the campaign saw Dem NJ-11 Rep. Mikie Sherrill best 2021 GOP Runner up Jack Ciattarelli to succeed term limited governor Phil Murphy — winning by 14.4% at present.

South Jersey Democrats had a great night on Tuesday and nowhere was that more evident than #AD03. This Trump+7 district saw Democratic incumbents Heather Simmons and Dave Bailey surprisingly win, probably because Jack Ciattarelli won here by 14% less than he did in 2021!

Local Dems in Virginia also had a great night last night. -In Prince William County, the Dems FLIPPED a Harris+4/GOP-held County Board seat -In Stafford County, the GOP majority on the County Board was ERASED, going from a 3-2-2 (2 Indys) GOP majority to a 4-2-1 Dem majority!

Cumberland County, PA has been a Republican stronghold for decades. It's been trending to the left recently, but still backed Trump by 9 in 2024. But the Democrats still flipped two county offices last night! Suburban/Exurban Harrisburg continues its leftward march.

Terminally online centrists make me want to punch a wall sometimes. Like, it's ok for candidates to have primary challenges! When a progressive gets a centrist challenge, that's ok! But when a centrist gets a challenge it's the end of the world for these idiots

Last night in the Presidential bellwether of Erie County, Pennsylvania, the Democrats flipped the County Executive position. Not only did they flip it, they unseated Republican incumbent Brenton Davis in a landslide, winning by 25 points in this Trump+1 county!

In a battle of Dearborn, Michigan’s two political sides, incumbent Mayor Abdullah Hammoud won re-election by 43 points over anti-LGBTQ+ activist Nagi Almudhegi Hammoud was a major player in the Uncommited movement last year, while Almudhegi was a huge Trump supporter

Very proud of how the SLEW’s first go-around predicting state legislative elections went: -Virginia: 97/100 correct -New Jersey: 75/80 correct First ratings for next year drop next week with Illinois!

Alright, I'm signing off for the night. Huge Democratic night, winning pretty much everywhere. Definitely does not bode well for the Republicans in 2026. I'll go over the state legislative results more in detail over the next few days, but yeah huge blue wave.

Final two race calls of the night... The Washington Democrats have HELD #SD05 and #SD26 in two high-profile special elections.

Ok, one last race call for the night from a bellwether county... The Democrats have FLIPPED the Erie County, PA (Trump+1) County Executive position by 24 POINTS!

Appears that Mississippi Democrats have flipped ANOTHER district that was redrawn by the courts. This time in #HD22, a Harris+1 seat in northeast Mississippi

Damn, Prop 50 in California got called at poll closing by NBC lol

Pennsylvania Democrats hold on and retain the open Northampton County (Trump+2) Executive seat by 18!

Interesting results so far in New Jersey's #AD02 (Harris+2): Maureen Rowan (D)- 25.5% Joanne Famularo (D)- 25.4% Don Guardian (R) (Inc)- 25% Claire Swift (R) (Inc)- 24.1% Pretty much nobody expected the incumbent Republicans to be losing with 80% in...

13TH (and final) DEMOCRATIC FLIP OF THE NIGHT IN VIRGINIA! Democrat Virgil Thornton has unseated Republican incumbent AC Cordoza in #HD86 (Harris+2)

Appears that the Democrats have flipped Mississippi's #SD02, a Harris+6 seat in the southern Memphis suburbs that was made way more Democratic thanks to court-ordered redistricting

12TH DEMOCRATIC FLIP OF THE NIGHT IN VIRGINIA! Democratic doctor Mark Downey has flipped #HD69 (Trump+2) from Republican incumbent Chad Green.

Couple of big New Jersey legislative calls: -Democrats have FLIPPED #AD21 (Harris+12), finally flipping the double-digit Clinton/Biden/Harris district -Democrats have HELD #AD03 (Trump+7), despite Ciattarelli winning here by 16 in 2021. Total Republican collapse in south Jersey

So, because the Allegheny County, PA (Pittsburgh) Council mandates seats for minority parties, the Democrats were never able to unseat at-large Republican Councilman Mike Embrescia. So, they ran a left-wing Independent and he's winning easily!

11TH DEMOCRATIC FLIP OF THE NIGHT IN VIRGINIA! Democrat Nicole Cole has unseated 30+ year Republican incumbent Bobby Orrock in #HD66 (Trump+2)

10TH DEMOCRATIC FLIP OF THE NIGHT IN VIRGINIA! Democrat Lily Franklin has flipped #HD41 (Trump+3) blue, unseating Republican incumbent Chris Obenshain

AP just called it for Sherrill btw

NINTH DEMOCRATIC FLIP OF THE NIGHT IN VIRGINIA! Kacey Carnegie has flipped #HD89 (Harris+3), a seat vacated by a retiring Republican incumbent

Do we have yet another upset brewing in Virginia? #HD34 backed Trump by 6, but Democrat Andrew Payton is winning right now. Mostly Republican areas out, but Payton's got a near 70% chance to win according to @statenavigate.org

EIGHTH DEMOCRATIC FLIP OF THE NIGHT IN VIRGINIA! Stacey Carroll has unseated Republican incumbent Paul Milde in #HD64, a Trump+2 district!

Andrew Cuomo running for office in the year 2025

This is hyper-local, but it looks like with half of the precincts reporting, Charlotte City Council District #6--a long time GOP-held district--finally flips to Democratic. If this hold, the nationalization of Charlotte politics has finally reached this district. #ncpol #cltpol

Buddy of mine on the other site flagged this for me, but are the Virginia Democrats about to flip a Trump+8 district in #HD49?

SEVENTH DEMOCRATIC FLIP OF THE NIGHT IN VIRGINIA! John McAuliff has flipped #HD30, a Trump+1 district in western Loudoun County!

SIXTH DEMOCRATIC FLIP OF THE NIGHT IN VIRGINIA! Leslie Mehta has unseated Republican incumbent Mark Earley in #HD73 (Harris+1), one of the country's fastest left-trending districts.

FIFTH DEMOCRATIC FLIP OF THE NIGHT IN VIRGINIA! School receptionist/TikToker Jessica Anderson has flipped #HD71 (Harris+5) blue!

Pennsylvania voters retain three state Supreme Court justices, preserving Democrats' 5-2 majority 👇 www.nbcnews.com/politics/ele...

FOURTH DEMOCRATIC FLIP OF THE NIGHT IN VIRGINIA! And it's a big one, Carrie Coyner in #HD75 (Harris+7) has lost re-election after leaking the Jay Jones texts

Another interesting race brewing in Virginia's #HD64 (Trump+2, 50% reporting): Paul Milde (R)- 50% Stacey Carroll (D)- 50% Good amount of Democratic-friendly vote left in this district, which has a good amount of federal workers

Btw, Carrie Coyner is still losing and faces some long odds of winning re-election right now after leaking the Jay Jones texts. I guess we know who won that exchange bsky.app/profile/eric...

THIRD DEMOCRATIC STATE HOUSE FLIP IN VIRGINIA! #HD57 (Harris+9) flips blue after the Republicans won it in 2023 thanks to "candidate issues."

Very interesting race brewing in Virginia's #HD66 (Trump+2): Bobby Orrock (R) (Inc)- 52% Nicole Cole (D)- 48% 40% reporting, but a decent amount of Democratic-friendly vote left. Can the Democrats unseat a 30+ year incumbent?

New race to watch now in Virginia is #HD69 (Trump+2): Chad Green (R) (Inc)- 48.2% Mark Downey (D)- 47.9% Valerie Beverley (Ind)/Write-Ins- 3.9% @statenavigate.org actually gives Downey a slightly better chance of winning than Green with 50% reporting!

2ND DEMOCRATIC FLIP OF THE NIGHT IN VIRGINIA! #HD22, a Harris+1 seat in Prince William County, has flipped blue per @statenavigate.org!

#HD82 (Harris+4) has been called by @statenavigate.org ! It's the first Democratic flip of the night in Virginia!

60% reporting in Virginia's #HD22 (Harris+1): Elizabeth Guzman (D)- 55.9% Ian Lovejoy (R) (Inc)- 44.1% Should shrink a little, but Guzman's on track to knock out the last Republican Delegate left in Prince William County!

About 60% reporting in Virginia's #HD82 (Harris+4): Kim Taylor (R) (Inc)- 50.3% Kimberly Pope Adams (D)- 49.7% Most of the vote remaining is from VERY Democratic-friendly areas, @statenavigate.org has Adams's victory odds at a whopping 98%!

And if you were wondering how Carrie Coyner was doing after she leaked the Jay Jones text messages to begin with... #HD75 (Harris+7, 50% reporting): Lindsey Dougherty (D)- 50.7% Carrie Coyner (R) (Inc)- 49.3% @statenavigate.org has Dougherty's odds of winning at 88%!

Not even 45 minutes into election night and the Democrats have already won two statewide elections in Georgia. This is a wave, no doubt about it bsky.app/profile/elec...

OH MY GOD, DDHQ CALLS IT AND DEMS FLIP BOTH STATEWIDE ELECTIONS IN GEORGIA

Ok, if NYT is to believed... Jay Jones just outperformed Kamala Harris in Loudoun County with all the votes reporting bsky.app/profile/did:...

Nearly 90% of the vote reporting in Virginia's #HD30 (Trump+1): John McAuliff (D)- 51.4% Geary Higgins (R) (Inc)- 48.6% We are about to see our first flip of the night potentially!