Voters ages 65+ are likely to make up 47% of the Oregon primary electorate this year. This assumes a turnout of the average of the 2018/2022 primaries.

Working out this weekend? Spring break? Driving trip? Listen to the Election Science Office Hours podcast on Spotify and Apple! I've got @pgronke.bsky.social and @paulonabike.bsky.social on, talking about everything they've learned about local election officials. open.spotify.com/episode/1vwB...

Okay, #bsky folks. Election Science Office Hours is back. Had a wide-ranging conversation with @pgronke.bsky.social and @paulonabike.bsky.social from @electionsvoting.bsky.social. We talked about some of their intriguing results from their remarkable LEO survey. Watch! youtu.be/wl3mSDlJ6LU?...

This guy is literally trying to access your banking information via the IRS. www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...

Here's what the decision by America's favorite sports league tells us about "anticipatory obedience."

Our friends at @electionsvoting.bsky.social have officially launched the results of the 2024 Local Election Official Survey! Check it out for an unparalleled look at how election officials are doing, organizational challenges they face, and voter experiences:

2024 Local Election Official Survey results are available today. The link to the report is below. ● Job satisfaction is at 77% down from 91% in 2020. ● 41% are eligible to retire. ● 14% of LEOs have considered leaving their roles due to safety concerns. evic.reed.edu/2024-evic-le...

Today the @electionsvoting.bsky.social team has released our 2024 Findings from the Local Election Official Survey. The report details the profesisonal, organizational, and personal challenges officials faced in 2024. evic.reed.edu/2024-evic-le...

CalFire site shows all the L.A. fires are 97% or more contained right now. I'm in awe of the hard work it took to get to this and hoping it keeps going in the right direction weather-wise and in every way. www.fire.ca.gov

Famed concern of the American people: underwriting length. Public media is a threat to power because we don't operate inside the corporate levers and don't have billionaire owners who can kill coverage they don't like. Simple as that.

A NYTimes editor is fist pumping for this solid dad joke they printed.

My team at @electionsvoting.bsky.social will be releasing findings from our 2024 Local Election Official Survey next week. In advance some key findings are shared today in this Votebeat story. Despite a rapid and clear recent election, many stresses remain. www.votebeat.org/2025/01/30/e...

Audit data presentation at #SPSA2025 by @mitelectionlab.bsky.social team led by Sam Baltz and team. Amazing data collection challenges to explore impacts of audit.

For my election nerd friends. A live pod cast taping at the #SPSA2025 conference in Puerto Rico. @pgronke.bsky.social with Eric Fey, Brianna Lennon, and Jackie Wu.

Excited to join the SPSA meeting and share our research on elections. Bummed @alaskaair.bsky.social thinks Puerto Rico is not part of the US. Our colonial history has made a lasting impact on the island. But it is America.

Took some time to wander with family and try and unplug.

Amazing reporting — wild to see how this unfolds in the story.

Another election photo from the archive; this is also from the LA County "Got Dots?" voter information campaign in 2004.

The HBO Yacht Rock documentary is outstanding. Great series of stories about the era, the music business, mixing cultural forces, and connections to hip hop. youtu.be/a55pyQsI3GQ?...

New edited volume with @pgronke.bsky.social, @christiangrose.bsky.social, David Kimball, Mara Suttman-Lea, Thessalia Merivaki, and Bridgett King on election administration! Excited to contribute to this collaboration built on the Local Election Official Survey. link.springer.com/book/10.1007...

UPDATE: The tsunami threat has now passed, according to the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center.

Here's what we know. #Tsunami Warning in effect, first one in Contig. US in IEM's text database that goes back to the 1980s. Time Travel map issued by Tsunami.gov Warning on Calif. & Oregon Coasts One buoy is reporting an "event"

gtsummary is amazing.

Release day for the 2019-2023 5-year American Community Survey data is one week away! On release day, you'll be able to use the tidycensus #rstats package to get your hands on it right away. Want to learn how? My book Analyzing US Census Data is a great way to start: walker-data.com/cens...

I am just starting to explore our initial results from the @electionsvoting.bsky.social Local Election Official Survey. Job satisfaction remains high, though one question we ask if election admins would recommend their children go into election admin - that number has fallen from 41% in 2023.

Kicking off the BPC 2024 Election Summit with @paulonabike.bsky.social Great event and excited to see the repurposed Newseum.

Happy Thanksgiving!

Fun fact: DC has had a rough year and we deserve a Spirit win

An Alaska village sinking in ocean bc climate change still has residents. Officials forgot to set up voting there. This woman flew there on a small plane last minute to set up vote-by-fax. Here, she is radioing village to bring their ballots. (Great story—read to end: boltsmag.org/alaska-measu...)

"In addition to the Alaska House, just seven state legislative chambers are majority-female or at gender parity in the U.S., according to CAWP."

Chavez-DeRemer currently represents Oregon's 5th Congressional District, but was defeated in the Nov. 5 election by Democratic challenger Janelle Bynum.

Long Thanksgiving week for election officials in Colorado working the recount for this race with a 7 vote difference!

RCV and open primaries survive by 664 votes in Alaska.

This phenomenon is similar to the effect that Trump had on the ACA in 2017. The Trump/GOP attacks on the ACA helped raise awareness about the law and public support became much more favorable during and after repeal and replace (see figure of KFF)

So was this increase in youth turnout in GA fueled by the young men targeted by the Trump campaign? It doesn't seem that way. Young women increased their turnout by 2.2 pts, as compared to 1.5 pts among young men.

Okay, but here's our first surprise, perhaps... looking at turnout as a percent of registered Georgia voters, the under age 30 group was the ONLY age group to see turnout increase over 2020! By 1.9 pts, while every other group saw a decline.

Trying something new: A 🧵 on a topic I find many students struggle with: "why do their 📊 look more professional than my 📊?" It's *lots* of tiny decisions that aren't the defaults in many libraries, so let's break down 1 simple graph by @jburnmurdoch.bsky.social 🔗 www.ft.com/content/73a1...

One thing I think people talking about the threat of authoritarian creep have gotten, if not exactly wrong, not quite right either is to frame discussion in terms of various European precedents. Those are relevant to be sure, but we also have an American precedent - namely the South before 1965.

Thanks to @jayleetx.bsky.social my favorite reaction on Slack is still....

@maxr17.bsky.social 👋

Lights are flickering here in Portland.

I love Kodai Senga with all my being 💖💖💖

Winds gusting 50mph+ (85km/h+) nr #Enumclaw #WA as air rushes through the Cascade gaps toward the intense low offshore! Causing lots of downed trees & power outages — use extreme caution travelling & drive slow, you may not see downed trees/wires ahead of you! #WAwx

Wow! Repeal gained a bit back. Vote No’s lead has shrunk to 45 votes. This is Alaska’s ballot measure 2, whether to repeal ranked choice voting.

Bluesky really is the new #rstats twitter because we have the first base R vs tidyverse flame war 🤣

The November low pressure record for buoy 46005 has fallen. They still need a little over 11 hPa for their all-time low pressure record.

Woot! RCV LIVES!

Some time ago and spurred on by an email from @mullinmeg.bsky.social, I recreated a bunch of local government maps that the Census Bureau once created but no longer does. They live on my website. I hope they're helpful to someone (I regularly steal them for presentations).