@ivelasq3.bsky.social The new book on survey weighting in R is amazing but you may want to reconsider the first section on weighting the ANES (summarized at this post www.r-bloggers.com/2025/08/anes...) I don't think many end users produce "population size" estimates, as the book describes. 1/

A glimpse into Trump's make-believe world of "giant water valves" in Northern California…

JD Vance is suddenly opposed to gerrymandering. Someone tell Greg Abbott.

📣 Mark your calendars: The first-ever EPSS Conference will be held in Belfast, 18–20 June 2026 Organized under our new not-for-profit model. ➡️ epssnet.org/belfast-2026/ More details soon, so watch this space. See you all in Belfast! 🇬🇧☘️

BREAKING: in unsigned order, U.S. Supreme Court allows President Donald Trump to open portal to Chaos Realm, invite the One Without Name, He Who Annhilates to devour the Universe, consign all sentient beings to endless suffering; liberals dissent.

The Supreme Court’s “shadow docket” has cast very different shadows depending on which party holds the White House. When lower courts blocked Trump admin policies, SCOTUS intervened on an emergency basis to lift those orders in 77% of cases. For the Biden administration, that number was 0%.

Today's @electionline.bsky.social Weekly features EVIC Director @pgronke.bsky.social's by-line: "Declining Job Satisfaction Among Local Election Administrators: Survey reveals trend in smallest jurisdictions, but identifying cause is a bigger challenge"w/ findings from EVIC LEO Survey Program.

NYC just used #RankedChoiceVoting in its city primaries. FairVote CEO Meredith Sumpter explains how RCV delivered more choice, more competition, and better campaigns for NYC voters. 👀

This decision to reverse an earlier decision that threw out a grants package is ultimately a good news story. Learning when to lead and when to defer isn't easy. Glad to see the 7 members were willing to admit their error. Now let's see if the lesson sticks. www.wweek.com/news/city/20...

NEW: NSF will be kicked out of their building. Announcement will be made tomorrow by HUD Sec. and Governor of VA. HUD will take over the NSF building over the next two years. NSF staffer: "There is no planning for NSF, no identified future location, appropriation for a new building or a move."

Every time I hear about the dangers of electing inexperienced people to be a NYC mayor, I think about how Vincent Impellitteri, an absolute nobody, became acting mayor, lost the primary and then won running as the “Experience Party” candidate: en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vincent...

POTUS and administration claims about the results of the bombing were nearly a complete fabrication / fantasy/ wishful thinking? I’m shocked!

We hope all #ElectionGeeks are enjoying the fabulous agenda of #ESRA2025. Our @electionsvoting.bsky.social Director @pgronke.bsky.social is with you in spirit, and our Research Director @paulonabike.bsky.social is onsite.

Life must be difficult as an upright biped with no spine.

You can see why MARINES are necessary.

Sad to be missing #esra2025 due to a series of flight delays that would get me there a day late. But there in spirit with the topsiders and pastel shirt I put aside to go to the reception, and the bagels I made for the early morning flight. #electionscience #aesra #esra2025

Midnight, June 7 is the deadline to comment on the revised Schedule F, Trump's plan to politicize the civil servants by converting them into at-will appointees that can be fired for the mildest pushback against illegal actions. It's easy - here is how: donmoynihan.substack.com/p/last-day-t...

Judge Richard L. Leon understands the appropriate use of exclamation points to signal his outrage. Starting right on page 1. Fundamental constitutional are no bullshit and can’t be taken away by executive order. storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...

We don’t need an officer corps of “careerists”? Does the POTUS have even a basic understanding of how we maintain our military?

Has anyone done a first look at the two party vote totals for President in the 2024 @electionstudies.bsky.social ? No matter what I do with the weights, or try different samples (web only, in person, pooled), I'm getting Harris percentage at 55%. Anything I'm missing?

How come no one is asking the important question: Cubs or Sox?

“She was elected specifically to be the safeguard and then became the threat.” Resharing our conversation from last year with the Republican DA who prosecuted Tina Peters: www.cpr.org/2024/09/11/i...

Paul Gronke and Paul Manson from the Elections & Voting Information Center discuss the takeaways of last year's Local Election Official Survey Project, looking at challenges, attitudes, and job satisfaction. Learn more: www.kbia.org/2025-04-02/s...

Senator Wyden has had a long and distinguished career. Senator Wyden can cement that legacy by passing the torch to a new generation of leadership.

I don't know what would actually count as a new low anymore but this is a contender.

Frustrating paragraph in a story on the attack on the DoJ. The Voting Rights Division protects the legal right to vote. Are they more often protecting minority communities? Whose right to vote do you think is most often violated by states and localities? www.nytimes.com/2025/04/28/u...

One guy shows up in a blue suit to the Pope’s funeral. You will never guess who.

Looking forward to the Fox News goons taking that 2-year old down a few pegs. “That infant is no angel, despite what the libs want you to believe. Did you know she cried a lot? I heard she’s not even potty trained. Disgusting.”

“You’re literally talking about harassing or threatening a friend or a neighbor," says @pgronke.bsky.social on rising threats to local clerks in #Michigan. The intimidation is making it harder to run #elections. Read more from @hayleyharding.bsky.social in @votebeat.org ⤵️

In a 4-2 Opinion that Will Disenfranchise Military and Other Voters and Likely Overturn the Results of a Valid Election in Violation of Due Process, North Carolina Supreme Court Allows Griffin Election Contest to Go Forward, in Part electionlawblog.org?p=149427

Always watch the bond markets

In today's @electionline.bsky.social Weekly-"From Scarcity to Safety: Mitigating Turnover Among Local Election Officials" by Yuguo Liao & @kimballdc.bsky.social of UMSL who collab-ed w/ EVIC's @pgronke.bsky.social & @paulonabike.bsky.social on the 2024 LEO Survey. electionline.org/electionline...

Thanks TJ & @theelectionsgroup.bsky.social for hosting and promoting this awesome discussion with The Pauls of EVIC! @electionsvoting.bsky.social @pgronke.bsky.social @paulonabike.bsky.social ICYMI, listen at the link below to "Survey Says: Insights from the 2024 Local Election Official Survey!

NEW by @hayleyharding.bsky.social at @votebeat.org featuring quotes fr @electionsvoting.bsky.social Dir @pgronke.bsky.social & results from 2024 EVIC Local Election Official Surve: "Michigan is short of clerks to oversee elections, but harassment & workload turn people away" @paulonabike.bsky.social

After getting no response to their initial letter, the top Democrats on Congress's election-related committees again wrote to CISA leaders about election security, this time saying that ending this work would be "irresponsible and shortsighted": bit.ly/41K0ctg

NEW REPORT: Today’s Election Administration Landscape: Findings from the 2024 Elections & Voting Information Center Local Election Official Survey evic.reed.edu/evic-news/ne...

📢We’re accepting entries for our 2025 Statistical Excellence in Journalism Awards, sponsored by the Economic & Social Research Council This year there are 4 categories to enter... Data vis Explaining the facts Investigative Best stats commentary by a non-journalist Submit your entry by 12 March

This @washingtonpost.com story is so important that I'm gifting it. These people appear to be operating totally illegally and outside the Constitution -- and they know it. wapo.st/40LVERn

A really essential piece on the impoundments that are still happening -- and the real consequences for people who rely on federal funding. @ddayen.bsky.social has been killing it on the impoundments beat.

Tomorrow would be a very good opportunity for DC news bureaus to send people from the public health, science policy, and defense beats to the White House press briefing instead of the usual White House correspondents.

Here's a longer post explaining all of this in a bit more detail: www.stevevladeck.com/p/120-the-im...

I couldn’t resist. Free article.

Here's all I know about the Senate's decision to forgo a designated election committee for the first time in almost two decades: www.votebeat.org/wisconsin/20...

If I was worth tens to hundreds of billions of dollars and ran a trillion dollar company, I’d be in favor of “free” speech, too. And no campaign finance limits. And a regressive tax system. And all those other annoying things that bother billionaires.

Good morning and welcome to the election administration science Conference in a Conference. Organized by @stephaniepuello.bsky.social and Kevin Morris, we have 2 days of great content.

Heading off to Icacos for a half day or snorkeling

Happy Three Kings day from San Juan #spsa2025

#spsa2025 in beautiful San Juan starts out with lunch at El Hamburger. Now there is a protected lane and electric scooters everywhere, no excuse not to venture!

The #spsa2025 conference app works ok. One caveat, searching is a bit klunky - it seems to always go back to the first term you used. Go all the way back to the main page and you can start a new search. Schedule and calendar look pretty good, at least working for me so far.

My God, it's even ugly in Hot Wheels form