3 weeks to go until Election Day 2025 and wanted to share a really cool Election Night chart that my pal @admcrlsn.bsky.social worked on. He did one of these last fall & I suggested he do one again. So here you go! Almost to the finish line folks! ✊

Early voting is underway for Prop 50 in California. I urge anyone in the state to vote yes. This isn’t a race to the bottom. It’s a means of avoiding the bottom. https://robertreich.substack.com/p/what-blue-states-should-do-when-red

The most vulnerable Republican in the Pennsylvania State Senate next year is probably Tracy Pennycuick in #SD24. This district in northern Montco backed Trump by two last year and elected Pennycuick in 2022 by four points, but both Fetterman & Shapiro won here in 2022.

since there is talk about Trump putting troops in Portland I think it is notable that the county seat actually shifted more democratic in 2024 compared with 2020 PRES

Hey dipshit, nice try. You Republicans control the House, the Senate, & the White House. Why are you whining about the Democrats? You control the entire federal government. Any shutdown is on you.

No, they are demanding healthcare access for all Americans which you all cut.

You're a fucking liar and disgrace to your office. #ReleaseTheEpsteinFiles #TheTrumpEpsteinCoverUp #EpsteinDidn'tKillHimself #GOPedophiles

No. Thats not what it's about. Republicans hold the majority and can't even f'en govern. Your shit, your mess! #MAGA

You control all branches of government. Every other administration has gotten this done. You have majorities in Congress. What makes this administration historically ineffective? Is it the inept leadership at the top?

I thought you controlled all branches of the government.

Why did senate Republicans block release of the Epstein files 2 weeks ago…!?

As usual, that is a bullshit lie.

Actually, Republicans are about to shut down the government to avoid having to give over the Epstein Files now that the House has 218 votes for the discharge petition.

You are a disgrace to your office.

How do we say "The GOP controls both chambers" in russian?

Nice talking point but not remotely true. The government might shut down because your convicted felon of a boss wants it to shut down. He’d rather spend his time on escalator conspiracy theories and culture wars.

My biggest concern about a shutdown has been that Dems might take the blame and hurt their chances in Virginia. But the GOP has been taking steps (House recess, Trump canceling the Dem meeting, and now this DOGE 2.0 threat) that could place the blame at their own feet and hurt the VA GOP instead.

Whoops looks like Kari Lake didn’t get her picture in the AZ Capitol buildings.

I mentioned on threads before(that i am no longer on) that @mcbride.house.gov outran Harris in 2024. but I did not mention the fact the Harris did quite well in Delaware(she only did 4.27% worse than Biden even though it was Biden's home state so on paper there should have been more slippage.)

Democrats want a government funding bill that won't raise your health care costs by 75%. Trump won't even meet with them. He’s shutting the government down and making health care even more expensive for families. What a bad deal for America.

people said that the NC state house was going to vote to override Stein's veto of a bill that would eliminate DEI yesterday. But according to what I found they still have not held that vote yet. I wonder if republicans do not have the votes.

Missouri Republicans made an error in the gerrymander they passed last week, assigning roughly 900 voters to two congressional districts. The ACLU is citing this in its lawsuit: www.kcur.org/politics-ele...

The election for the 8th Congressional District seat in northeastern Pennsylvania is still over 13 months away but the contestants are getting a running start. #PoliticsPA #PA08 www.politicspa.com/cognetti-bre...

The President of the United States threatens to withhold federal funding from an American city if that city elects a mayor he doesn’t like. Utterly wrong. Utterly anti-democratic. An abuse of his powers of office. And not one Republican will say a thing. Do not normalize this.

No one in this country should have to fear gun violence, whether they're in class in high school or attending an event on a college campus. I strongly condemn the shooting that killed Charlie Kirk today at Utah Valley University. May his memory be a blessing.

I'm horrified by the shooting of Charlie Kirk at a college event in Utah. Political violence has no place in our country.

Charlie Kirk called me a ‘lunatic’ and a ‘prostitute’ and demanded I be deported. Nothing, *nothing*, justifies killing him, or robbing his kids of their dad. We don’t know the identity or motive of the shooter but murder can *never* be the response to political disagreements.

The attack on Charlie Kirk is horrifying. Gun violence has no place in our democracy. Connie and I pray for his recovery.

There is no place for violence in our democracy — against anyone.

Whether it was the assassinations in Minnesota earlier this summer or the shooting today, I'm disgusted by the escalation of political violence across our country. This cannot be the new norm. We must come together to reform the broken political system that has brought us here.

The news out of Utah about the attack on Charlie Kirk is horrifying. Political violence against anyone is wrong and must never be tolerated. I’m praying for Charlie Kirk and his family.

🚨 BREAKING: Charlie Kirk has been shot in the neck while speaking at Utah Valley University. This heinous and vile attack is a stain on our democracy. Violence must NEVER be the answer to political disagreements—our strength is in ideas, not bloodshed.

When it’s a slow Sunday afternoon, Lila knows how to bring the energy. #LilaZoomies

Trump wants to replace doctors with AI to determine whether Medicare patients get the care they need. A machine will have the ability to override a licensed doctor to deny care in order to increase profits. Make no mistake, this is a direct attack on Medicare.

Happy Labor Day! Today we celebrate the dignity of work and the workers who built this nation. My father believed labor rights are civil rights and that justice means fair wages, safe conditions, and respect for all.

I'm incredibly proud of candidates like Alexandria. No one ran in this seat in 2022. She knew she likely wouldn't win but ran anyway and gave the Democrats in that area someone to vote for. Big respect!

The Trump-Mackenzie “Big Ugly Bill” adds $3.3T to the debt and kicks 11.8M off their health insurance. It guts Medicaid and SNAP, for PA-07 families, just to give billionaires a break. I’m running for Congress to fight for working people—not Trump’s agenda.

I think Ethan said something like this before "Ann Selzer was technically right just off by a few months"

since Trump claims he won by a lot and has a mandate. I am going to bring up someone who has sued Trump a lot who won in a bigger mandate than Trump. www.wcnc.com/article/news...

The democrats have a very strong candidate running there in Northampton county executive Lamont McClure who won by 12% in the county in the red wave year of 2021. with Susan Wild out it seems like he is the field clearer. the county is only about 1.5% bluer than the district @uncrewed.bsky.social

all of the results tonight seem like A good sign for democrats in PA HD 160 for 2026.

I am calling it. Susan Crawford(D) has won the Wisconsin Supreme court race

Tomorrow there are two congressional special elections for Florida's 1st and 6th districts I rate the 1st district Safe R and the 6th Very Likely R. more importantly there is the WI court election. I rate that one Tilt D

With all but one precinct reporting in Pennsylvania's #HD35 (Harris+16) special election: Dan Goughnour (D)- 63.4% Charles Davis (R)- 35% Adam Kitta (Lib)- 1.6% Solid 12 point overperformance from 2024!

As Totally expect the democrats have won HD 35 and therefore win state house control.

tomorrow there or two special elections in PA one is HD 35. I rate that one Safe D. the other is PA SD 36. that one is A Trump+15 district but democrats seem to have the momentum in that district. I rate it only Tilt R, but I would not be shocked if republicans win it by 20%.