Nicholas Danforth
@nicholasdanfort.bsky.social
đ€ 2086
đ„ 42
đ 352
10 Conflicts to Watch in 2026 Major wars, simmering hostilities, and accelerating instability from Washington
foreignpolicy.com/2025/12/31/1...
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10 Conflicts to Watch in 2026
Major wars, simmering hostilities, and accelerating instability from Washington.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/12/31/10-conflicts-2026-gaza-ukraine-venezuela/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=MTAtY29uZmxpY3RzLTIwMjYtZ2F6YS11a3JhaW5lLXZlbmV6dWVsYQ==&pid=PNIYhDtljsxa8z0
1 day ago
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Clément Plaisant
2 days ago
Last July, I wondered in this blog post whether the PKK's disarmament had really begun. I answered that no, the process had not started. A few months later, the situation has not changed much, with mistrust remaining high between the PKK and Ankara.
clmentplaisant.substack.com/p/is-this-re...
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Is this really the start of PKK disarmament?
On Friday 11 July, thirty fighters from the Kurdistan Workersâ Party (Partiya KarkĂȘren Kurdistan, PKK) threw their weapons into a bonfire at a meeting in Sulaimaniyah, a city in the east of the Kurdis...
https://clmentplaisant.substack.com/p/is-this-really-the-start-of-pkk-disarmament
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True must-read essay on bringing the Cold War back into Turkish history. I'm probably going to keep reposting this at random throughout the year
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
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Is the Cold War finally getting hot in Turkey? The âCold War turnâ in Turkish Studies
Turkey has been largely missing in the new global histories of the Cold War. This review essay will argue that Turkish Studies failed to make a proper contribution to Cold War history because of a ...
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/14682745.2025.2529260#inline_frontnotes
3 days ago
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A look back at 5 of
@foreignpolicy.com
's best pieces on Trump, America and the World from the past year. Featuring
@nateschenkkan.bsky.social
and
@bretdevereaux.bsky.social
among others:
foreignpolicy.com/2025/12/30/t...
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America and the World in 2025
Nearly one year into Trumpâs second term, our authors assess the damage he has caused to the global order.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/12/30/trump-us-foreign-policy-top-reads-2025/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=dHJ1bXAtdXMtZm9yZWlnbi1wb2xpY3ktdG9wLXJlYWRzLTIwMjU=&pid=PNIYhDtljsxa8z0
2 days ago
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A look back at 5 of
@foreignpolicy.com
's best pieces on Trump, America and the World from the past year. Featuring
@nateschenkkan.bsky.social
and
@bretdevereaux.bsky.social
among others:
foreignpolicy.com/2025/12/30/t...
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America and the World in 2025
Nearly one year into Trumpâs second term, our authors assess the damage he has caused to the global order.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/12/30/trump-us-foreign-policy-top-reads-2025/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=dHJ1bXAtdXMtZm9yZWlnbi1wb2xpY3ktdG9wLXJlYWRzLTIwMjU=&pid=PNIYhDtljsxa8z0
2 days ago
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True must-read essay on bringing the Cold War back into Turkish history. I'm probably going to keep reposting this at random throughout the year
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
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Is the Cold War finally getting hot in Turkey? The âCold War turnâ in Turkish Studies
Turkey has been largely missing in the new global histories of the Cold War. This review essay will argue that Turkish Studies failed to make a proper contribution to Cold War history because of a ...
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/14682745.2025.2529260#inline_frontnotes
3 days ago
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Howard Eissenstat
3 days ago
The good folks at Turkey recap did a great job gathering insights from scholars and analysts on the direction Turkey is likely to go in 2026. I was proud to be among such fine company.
www.turkeyrecap.com/p/2026-predi...
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2026 Predictions
aka "Turkey precap"
https://www.turkeyrecap.com/p/2026-predictions
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Joe Stieb
5 days ago
No evidence this is what got trump elected. The data donât back it up.
add a skeleton here at some point
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Secretary of Defense Rock
5 days ago
The problem with this premise is a hypothetical president AOC or (insert progressive here) would almost certainly be filled with a bunch of overconfident, uninformed ninnies albeit for reasons entirely different from those animating Sullivan and co.
add a skeleton here at some point
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War on the Rocks
7 days ago
The Hessians werenât drunk fools. Washington still outmaneuvered them.
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The First U.S. Army Christmas: Washington and the Hessians
Editor's Note: This article was originally published in 2023. It is a story so well known it has become a meme. âAmericans: Willing to cross a frozen
https://warontherocks.com/2025/12/the-first-u-s-army-christmas-washington-and-the-hessians-3/
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RAND's 157 page Spatial Vision for Palestine is a truly remarkable document
www.rand.org/pubs/researc...
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A Spatial Vision for Palestine
Experts have created a spatial vision for Gaza and the West Bankâpart of a roadmap for achieving a modern, successful, independent Palestinian state living in peace and security with its Israeli neigh...
https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA3444-1.html
13 days ago
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Alan Allport
14 days ago
âThe United States, according to the New York Times, has a Maginot Line problem. The problem is that Monsieur Maginotâs infamous namesake fortification has little to do with what really happened in 1940.â Me in Foreign Policy (gift link)
foreignpolicy.com/2025/12/18/f...
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U.S. Strategists Keep Getting Franceâs Defeat Wrong
Myths about the Maginot Line are strangely persistent.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/12/18/france-united-states-military-1940-world-war-ii/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=ZnJhbmNlLXVuaXRlZC1zdGF0ZXMtbWlsaXRhcnktMTk0MC13b3JsZC13YXItaWk=&pid=PNI6oXabXq1ydw6
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James Ryan
14 days ago
âMaybe, one day, Israel should hint that itâs open to the concept of a Palestinian state, but you know, or not really a state, a state minus.â This is what passes for realism these daysâŠ
add a skeleton here at some point
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A lot of Quincy aligned folks have - rightly - argued there should be accountability for pundits who supported the Iraq war. Would be fun to see them apply that principle to everyone who insisted we should give Trump's foreign policy the benefit of the doubt
14 days ago
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This whole paragraph is a master class in shameless euphemism
14 days ago
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One Year on, U.S. Sanctions Are Killing Syriaâs Recovery
foreignpolicy.com/2025/12/16/s...
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One Year on, U.S. Sanctions Are Killing Syriaâs Recovery
Short-term waivers are a start, but Congress must act on the full repeal Syria needs to rebuild.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/12/16/syria-caesar-sanctions-assad-sharaa-iran-russia/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=c3lyaWEtY2Flc2FyLXNhbmN0aW9ucy1hc3NhZC1zaGFyYWEtaXJhbi1ydXNzaWE=&pid=PNIYhDtljsxa8z0
15 days ago
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It would be nice to see a less whiny, less reactionary piece looking at the generational dynamic here:
www.compactmag.com/article/the-...
16 days ago
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Well put by Christian Caryl
foreignpolicy.com/2025/12/15/t...
17 days ago
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Joel S.
18 days ago
It is such a low bar that we ought to be able to condemn the horrific antisemitic terror attack in Australia without either: A. Implying that Israel somehow justifies or at least relativizes it, OR: B. Implying we need to blame all Muslims and/or immigrants. And yet...
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A delightful essay from Graham Cornwell looking back at How Soccer Explains the World two decades on:
foreignpolicy.com/2025/12/12/f...
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Soccer Still Has Some Explaining to Do
Re-read today, Franklin Foerâs 2004 classic inadvertently suggests where globalization went wrong.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/12/12/franklin-foer-how-soccer-explains-the-world-globalization-capitalism-fifa-world-cup/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=ZnJhbmtsaW4tZm9lci1ob3ctc29jY2VyLWV4cGxhaW5zLXRoZS13b3JsZC1nbG9iYWxpemF0aW9uLWNhcGl0YWxpc20tZmlmYS13b3JsZC1jdXA=&pid=PNIYhDtljsxa8z0
20 days ago
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A delightful essay from Graham Cornwell looking back at How Soccer Explains the World two decades on:
foreignpolicy.com/2025/12/12/f...
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Soccer Still Has Some Explaining to Do
Re-read today, Franklin Foerâs 2004 classic inadvertently suggests where globalization went wrong.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/12/12/franklin-foer-how-soccer-explains-the-world-globalization-capitalism-fifa-world-cup/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=ZnJhbmtsaW4tZm9lci1ob3ctc29jY2VyLWV4cGxhaW5zLXRoZS13b3JsZC1nbG9iYWxpemF0aW9uLWNhcGl0YWxpc20tZmlmYS13b3JsZC1jdXA=&pid=PNIYhDtljsxa8z0
20 days ago
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Nicholas Danforth
20 days ago
Ever worry that the algorithm knows you too well?
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Selim Koru
21 days ago
I wrote about the Muslims
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On Cultural Muslims
How Muslim identity in the West is becoming more like Judaism
https://kulturkampftr.substack.com/p/on-cultural-muslims
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A thoughtful piece by my
@centuryintl.bsky.social
colleague Dahlia Scheindlin
www.haaretz.com/israel-news/...
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Is it important to call Israel's carnage in Gaza 'genocide'?
There's One Common Cause Between Those Who Believe That Israel's Devastation in Gaza Justifies the Term 'Genocide', and Those Who Insist It's an Exaggeration: They Both Hope Their Arguments Will Influ...
https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/2025-07-24/ty-article/.premium/is-it-important-to-call-the-carnage-in-gaza-genocide/00000198-3cc8-dce9-abfd-7feede590000
21 days ago
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Abu Aardvark
21 days ago
Designating MB as terrorist is âcomparable to what RFK Jr is doing to vaccines âa manifestly harmful policy driven by crackpot ideologues using state power to impose their fringe views based on no evidence to win applause from the worst right wing radicals.â
abuaardvarkghost.ghost.io/the-muslim-b...
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The Muslim Brotherhood still isn't a terrorist organization
I have a new piece out in Foreign Policy (gift link) arguing against the Trump administration's executive order designating branches of the Muslim Brotherhood as terrorist organizations. It was a stra...
https://abuaardvarkghost.ghost.io/the-muslim-brotherhood-still-isnt-a-terrorist-organization/
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Nils Gilman
22 days ago
This is a true story
add a skeleton here at some point
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Another spot-on essay from
@joestieb.bsky.social
add a skeleton here at some point
23 days ago
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Turkey Book Talk
23 days ago
New episode đąđą Reuben Silverman (
@reubensilverman.bsky.social
) on the rise and fall of Turkeyâs Democrat Party đđ
turkeybooktalk.com/2025/12/09/r...
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Reuben Silverman on the rise and fall of Turkeyâs Democrat Party
Turkey Book Talk #259 â Reuben Silverman on âThe Rise and Fall of Turkeyâs Democrat Party: The Cold War and Illiberalism, 1945â60â (Cambridge University Press). It is an excellent book âŠ
https://turkeybooktalk.com/2025/12/09/reuben-silverman-on-the-rise-and-fall-of-turkeys-democrat-party/
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Kori Schake
24 days ago
My assessment of the Trump national security strategy: "it sees the United Statesâ adversaries as partners in that war, but it does not see how much U.S. power relies on the voluntary assistance of other countries."
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The Only War the White House Is Ready for Is Culture War
The new U.S. National Security Strategy is a moral and strategic disaster.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/12/08/trump-national-security-strategy-culture-war/
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A great piece by Jay Sexton on Trump and the Monroe Doctrine
foreignpolicy.com/2025/12/08/m...
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Trumpâs New Corollary
The Presidentâs invocation of the Monroe Doctrine is rhetorically satisfying but carries real risks.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/12/08/monroe-doctrine-trump-corollary-national-security-strategy-venezuala/
24 days ago
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Howard Eissenstat
24 days ago
Silverman's going to be a huge name in Turkish Studies... and his monograph directly addresses a large gap in the English-language scholarship.
add a skeleton here at some point
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Howard Eissenstat
28 days ago
Israel is talking itself into a rivalry with Turkey that both aggrandizes Turkey's actual role in the region and compounds the isolation that Israel has suffered because of overstretch during the Gaza War.
46028222.hs-sites.com/press-releas...
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Press Release | Israeli Knesset Debates Turkish Threat in Historic Cross-Party Session
https://46028222.hs-sites.com/press-release-israeli-knesset-debates-turkish-threat-in-historic-cross-party-session?ecid=ACsprvsv0dhscYPP2_40MFAXhIAQ7_B0e3NI0OsBr8fbRQvjZ1fZ_ueIQfvybbzJooCkHXWMk9Lf&utm_campaign=6710194-Press%20Releases&utm_medium=email&_hsenc=p2ANqtz--wkqEugngTIQ2ALo2_PnTqRAa5v9sZfGrJnZnOF8AiKgPDlB5CLtBHF_vP_ebgVE-mES6JSSdRHiJhHCzZpoctAfZzAg&_hsmi=392984488&utm_content=392984488&utm_source=hs_email
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A lot of countries have started murdering drug dealers without ever electing Obama president.
add a skeleton here at some point
28 days ago
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Nicholas Danforth
"In eschewing justice and accountability and neglecting the root causes of these conflicts, these Potemkin peace plans risk returning us to a model of conflict resolution where might makes right and to the genocidaire go the spoils.
foreignpolicy.com/2025/11/26/t...
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A Perpetratorâs Peace
From Nagorno-Karabakh to Gaza, Trumpâs approach to conflict resolution has rewarded aggression and perpetuated ethnic cleansing.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/11/26/trump-nobel-prize-peace-gaza-israel-palestine-armenia-azerbaijan/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=dHJ1bXAtbm9iZWwtcHJpemUtcGVhY2UtZ2F6YS1pc3JhZWwtcGFsZXN0aW5lLWFybWVuaWEtYXplcmJhaWphbg==&pid=PNIYhDtljsxa8z0
about 1 month ago
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From the outset, the whole critique of "disinformation" contained some condescending assumptions about who could accurately define the truth
add a skeleton here at some point
29 days ago
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a true must read:
newlinesmag.com/reportage/in...
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In Homs, Revenge Is the Only Law Left Standing
A political economy built on predation and vendettas is taking root in post-Assad Syria
https://newlinesmag.com/reportage/in-homs-revenge-is-the-only-law-left-standing/
about 1 month ago
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Some great stuff from this year's
@foreignpolicy.com
Holiday Gift guide
foreignpolicy.com/2025/11/26/h...
about 1 month ago
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Having survived Assad and the Islamic State, Yazidis remain suspicious of Sharaaâs government.
foreignpolicy.com/2025/11/28/s...
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Syriaâs Yazidi Community Faces the Future With Concern
Having survived Assad and the Islamic State, Yazidis remain suspicious of Sharaaâs government.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/11/28/syria-yazidi-sdf-sharaa-islamic-state-assad/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=c3lyaWEteWF6aWRpLXNkZi1zaGFyYWEtaXNsYW1pYy1zdGF0ZS1hc3NhZA==&pid=PNIYhDtljsxa8z0
about 1 month ago
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Some great stuff from this year's
@foreignpolicy.com
Holiday Gift guide
foreignpolicy.com/2025/11/26/h...
about 1 month ago
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"In eschewing justice and accountability and neglecting the root causes of these conflicts, these Potemkin peace plans risk returning us to a model of conflict resolution where might makes right and to the genocidaire go the spoils.
foreignpolicy.com/2025/11/26/t...
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A Perpetratorâs Peace
From Nagorno-Karabakh to Gaza, Trumpâs approach to conflict resolution has rewarded aggression and perpetuated ethnic cleansing.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/11/26/trump-nobel-prize-peace-gaza-israel-palestine-armenia-azerbaijan/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=dHJ1bXAtbm9iZWwtcHJpemUtcGVhY2UtZ2F6YS1pc3JhZWwtcGFsZXN0aW5lLWFybWVuaWEtYXplcmJhaWphbg==&pid=PNIYhDtljsxa8z0
about 1 month ago
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Joe Stieb
about 1 month ago
David Brooks really sucks.
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Nicholas Danforth
"By the second course, I was out of small talk, so I plunged in: 'How did this war start, anyway?
foreignpolicy.com/2025/11/20/m...
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âMake Them Talk to Each Otherâ
Lessons in peacemaking from 21 days at Dayton.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/11/20/make-them-talk-to-each-other/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=bWFrZS10aGVtLXRhbGstdG8tZWFjaC1vdGhlcg==&pid=PNIYhDtljsxa8z0
about 1 month ago
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Starfish Who Canât Think Something Witty
about 1 month ago
I hate this sort of meme. âThe only difference between the parties is whether the power to destroy human civilization rests in the hands of leaders who think gays, women, and black people should have their rights acknowledged.â Even if true, how is Rainbow B-52 not infinitely preferable?
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"By the second course, I was out of small talk, so I plunged in: 'How did this war start, anyway?
foreignpolicy.com/2025/11/20/m...
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âMake Them Talk to Each Otherâ
Lessons in peacemaking from 21 days at Dayton.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/11/20/make-them-talk-to-each-other/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=bWFrZS10aGVtLXRhbGstdG8tZWFjaC1vdGhlcg==&pid=PNIYhDtljsxa8z0
about 1 month ago
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The Atlantic, explaining why you shouldn't let AI have your conversations for you:
about 1 month ago
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Selim Koru
about 1 month ago
I wrote about writing about Turkey
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What we talk about when we talk about Turkey
How English-language commentary shifted from 'Is ErdoÄan democratic?' to 'Is ErdoÄan necessary?'
https://kulturkampftr.substack.com/p/what-we-talk-about-when-we-talk-about
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Nicholas Danforth
@ghoshworld
about 1 month ago
My latest, for
@foreignpolicy.com
: "Twenty-two years after the fall of Saddam Hussein, itâs worth acknowledging: Iraq is still standing, still voting, and still trying." Gift Link here:
foreignpolicy.com/2025/11/17/i...
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An Unusual Election in Iraq Offers the U.S. an Unusual Opportunity
Baghdad is turning away from Tehran. Can Washington capitalize on it?
https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/11/17/iraq-elections-iran-washington-trump-democracy/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=aXJhcS1lbGVjdGlvbnMtaXJhbi13YXNoaW5ndG9uLXRydW1wLWRlbW9jcmFjeQ==&pid=PNIVtrNwPstfvwi
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Nate Schenkkan
about 2 months ago
I wrote something last month about how this and the similar Russian case were USG cooperation in transnational repression:
foreignpolicy.com/2025/10/08/t...
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Trump Is Supporting Transnational Repression
Instead of sheltering pro-democracy dissidents, America is now returning them for arrest.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/10/08/trump-russia-iran-dissidents-democracy-repression/
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Elmira Bayrasli
about 2 months ago
Trump, at the urging of Rod Blagojevich, lifted sanctions on former Bosnian Serb leader Milorad Dodik. That, I argue in
@foreignpolicy.com
, is a win for Putin and instability at Europeâs expense.
foreignpolicy.com/2025/11/10/t...
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Trump Deals a Blow to Bosnia
Lifting sanctions on Milorad Dodik is a win for Putin and instability at Europeâs expense.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/11/10/trump-serbia-bosnia-dodik-putin-russia/
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Sinem Adar
about 2 months ago
I find Ankara's eagerness to send troops to Gaza as part of the international stabilization force as bold of a move as its positioning in the aftermath of the Arab uprisings.
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