Got bored tonight, so I downloaded 3 hours worth of Earthcam replay / archive footage from their Skydeck camera atop of the Willis Tower (Sears Tower) in Chicago and made a time lapse of the fog rolling in off Lake Michigan. Good illustration of how our atmosphere behaves like any other fluid. #ilwx

How confident should we be in a prediction of El Niño? By Tim Stockdale (ECMWF) www.ecmwf.int/en/about/med...

We now have 13 different models with 637 different ensemble members with El Niño forecasts out through at least September 2026. They suggest a best estimate of 2.2C for September; interestingly ECMWF (which was seen as particularly hot when it came out) is right around the middle of the pack:

How much bother Iran war costing US consumers? I ran some numbers at THB Bottom line = $410 per month per household rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/the-econom...

JFM 2026 RONI weighs in at -0.72 as cool ENSO conditions continue

Registration now open for the 11th UK National Climate Dynamics Workshop. 22-24 June at University of Reading. Abstract deadline is 30 April. www.rmets.org/event/11th-n...

📣 Workshop on software strategies for sustainable physical modelling, 23–27 Nov 2026. Focus on sustainable and adaptable modelling approaches for weather and climate systems, from agile coding practices to integrating machine learning into forecasting tools. Details ➡️ events.ecmwf.int/event/529/

»Die Katastrophe fängt damit an, dass man aus dem Bett steigt.« Thomas Bernhard geboren am 9. Februar 1931

Considering Oxford Physics? Join our online Year 12 Masterclass for admissions guidance and interactive workshops. Register: https://www.physics.ox.ac.uk/events/year-12-physics-masterclass-march-2026

Record harvest sparks mass giveaway of free potatoes across Berlin www.theguardian.com/world/2026/j... via @theguardian.com @kateconnolly.bsky.social

I wrote this song on Saturday, recorded it yesterday and released it to you today in response to the state terror being visited on the city of Minneapolis. It’s dedicated to the people of Minneapolis, our innocent immigrant neighbors and in memory of Alex Pretti and Renee Good. Stay free

Does anyone know how to access the 10 hPa ECMWF forecast data? With ecmwf-opendata, it seems I can only get up to 50 hPa. Thanks!

Lukas Beckmann ist eine herausragende Persönlichkeit, ein wichtiger Wegbereiter der bundesdeutsche Geschichte, ein nachdenklicher und besonders kluger Mann. Dieses Gespäch beim DLF ist wirklich sehr zu empfehlen, danke lieber Lukas, mein Freund, für so vieles! www.deutschlandfunk.de/frueherer-gr...

What a storm! #StormGoretti

Professors: we must start teaching creativity to PhD students and postdocs! If you're interested in learning how to teach a course about the creative scientific process at your university, join us for our train-the-trainer event in New York on April 24th! night-science.org/train-the-tr...

„Die vielen christmas Kneipereien verbunden mit der darauf folgenden general unfitness for business haben mich total unfähig gemacht, Dir früher zu antworten. Die Sache ist indes jetzt glücklich vorüber.“ Friedrich Engels an Karl Marx, 3. Januar 1864.

🌍 Postdoc research opportunity: Predictability and Climate Dynamics - University of Oxford, UK 📚 The position sits within the Predictability of Weather and Climate and Climate Dynamics research groups in Oxford’s Department of Physics. @timwoollings.bsky.social @oxfordphysics.bsky.social 🧵

📢 Postdoc Opportunity to study large-scale dynamic and thermodynamic conditions influencing the risk of cyclones of tropical origin 🌀 reaching Western Europe 📍 Joint post: Universities of Oxford & Edinburgh ⏰ Apply by 15 Jan 2026 (noon GMT) Details & apply 👉 my.corehr.com/pls/uoxrecru...

Our colleagues in Oxford are looking for a Postdoctoral Research Assistant to join their research groups “Predictability of Weather and Climate” and “Climate Dynamics”. The post is available from 1 March 2026 for 21 months. Apply by 5 January: www.physics.ox.ac.uk/research/gro...

Atmospheric, Oceanic and Planetary Physics (AOPP) Open Day 2025 Online, 2 Dec, 1:30-4pm Meet academics plus drop-in sessions with ample opportunity for you to ask questions. Fill in the form via https://www.physics.ox.ac.uk/study/postgraduates/dphil-atmospheric-oceanic-and-planetary-physics

🌍 Postdoc research opportunity: Predictability and Climate Dynamics - University of Oxford, UK 📚 The position sits within the Predictability of Weather and Climate and Climate Dynamics research groups in Oxford’s Department of Physics. @timwoollings.bsky.social @oxfordphysics.bsky.social 🧵

Bangladesh has become much more resilient to cyclones, saving many lives

The German company that makes the mechanical ladder used in the Louvre heist has used the image to advertise, with the text 'When you need to move fast' 10/10 response, no notes

Over 15 EXPECT researchers will showcase their research through presentations and posters at the upcoming #OpenWorkshop 🧑‍💻, co-organised with @impetus4change.bsky.social, @aspect-project.bsky.social, @wcrpclimate.bsky.social! Check out the programme 👉 expect-project.eu/events/open-... #HorizonEU

GERMANY - 2 NIGHTS ANNOUNCED FOR JULY 2026 AT BERLIN WUHLHEIDE PRE-SALE BEGINS 13.10.2025 REGISTER NOW AT uk-umg.com/um-forms/cur...

Join us 16 Oct - The 2025 Halley Public Lecture 'Cloud Mesoscale Organisation and Climate: New Insights from Models and Observations' by Sandrine Bony (Sorbonne University) Register now: https://www.physics.ox.ac.uk/events/cloud-mesoscale-organisation-and-climate-new-insights-models-and-observations

Are you interested in seasonal forecasts and how they have advanced over the past two decades? Chris O’Reilly (Univ. of Reading) led a new paper on exactly this: rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...

Good communication of weather forecast uncertainty.

My latest cartoon for @newscientist.com p.s. this week I am on a USA/Canada tour with my new book. Details and preorder links at tomgauld.com

Predicting extreme rainfall: What caused Pakistan’s record 2022 rainfall?🌧️ Our project partner @ecmwf.int has recently released a study examining the event and the role of human-induced #ClimateChange 📖 Read more: www.nature.com/articles/s41... @antjeweisheimer.bsky.social @cdroberts.bsky.social

What is forecast-based attribution? And did climate change influence the devastating monsoon rainfall in Pakistan, summer 2022? Find out from NCAS climate scientists @antjeweisheimer.bsky.social & @nickleach.bsky.social: ncas.ac.uk/climate-chan...

Great to see the new #ECMWF building going up on the beautiful University of Reading campus, very near the Meteorology Department - looking forward to moving in in 2027!

Two postdoc jobs available on our Arctic Butterflies project! (Not actual butterflies - basically Arctic dynamics and predictability - the butterfly effect in the Arctic...) Oxford job: tinyurl.com/yc6h4b35 Reading job: tinyurl.com/ypn75jh2 Please help spread the word!

New paper in ASL on assessing temperature trends in Seasonal Forecasting systems by me, @antjeweisheimer.bsky.social Daniel Befort, Julia Lockwood and John Slattery. We find that 7 out of 8 systems overestimated global temperature trends rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/... 🧵

Our paper showing the differences between European and African weather forecast accuracy has appeared online. The results will not surprise meteorologists, but the international development community needs to hear this. Weather forecasting in Africa needs to be done differently.

With another exceptional heatwave in Europe, I have updated my post on temperature-related mortality during the early summer heatwave. diagrammonkey.wordpress.com/2025/07/09/i...

🌍 | To face the challenges of climate change, society will need to adapt and become more resilient. @oxfordphysics.bsky.social ‪Dr Antje Weisheimer and and @oxengsci.bsky.social‬ Prof Felix Leach explain why this is important. ⬇️ www.ox.ac.uk/climate-and-... #OxfordClimate

Less than one month to apply: Allianz Climate Risk Award 2025! Up to €7,000 in awards 📅 Apply by August 31, 2025 More info: https://loom.ly/gaP_nDA #ClimateResearch #AllianzClimateAward #WCRP

Storm Floris has now cleared the UK, and is tracking across Norway today Here’s a 24 hour satellite view showing Floris crossing the UK on Monday 🛰️

Job alert: we are looking for a postdoc to join the Atmospheric Dynamics group in Oxford to study Arctic atmospheric dynamics. The focus is on energy transfers between scales and implications for predictability. More details here: tinyurl.com/yc6h4b35

Three years ago, Pakistan faced a summer of deadly torrential rains that led to widespread flooding, impacting over 30 million people, thousands lost their lives. News reports quickly linked the disaster to climate change, highlighting the clear human impact and seemingly straightforward science.

The HuracanPy JOSS paper is officially out! 🌀 If you ever find yourself working with cyclone track data, we hope you'll find it useful! Feel free to contribute suggestions and code! doi.org/10.21105/jos...

🌍 | Dr Antje Weisheimer, NCAS Research Fellow @oxfordphysics.bsky.social and senior scientist @ecmwf.int, has dedicated her career to unravelling the intricate relationship between weather and climate. Learn more about her work ⬇️ www.ox.ac.uk/climate-and-... #OxfordClimate

Common denominator across parens and children generations.

My latest cartoon for @theguardian.com books

What a concert! #BethGibbons #Portishead

One week from now!!! The craziest scientific conference ever www.the-scientist.com/a-scientific... @svobodalab.bsky.social @paveltomancak.bsky.social @zernickagoetz.bsky.social @itaiyanai.bsky.social @natanellae.bsky.social see more here woodstock.img.cas.cz

I love a semi-colon myself: it adds elegance and precision. But punctuation is as subject to evolution as the rest of language. www.theguardian.com/science/2025...