Had the opportunity to watch and coach some amazing competitors yesterday. Awesome performances by some awesome humans! And a really fun day. #bjj #jiujitsu

Mood in minneapolis right now

I’m back on Threads again. Want to give it another try? I’ve found Bluesky on the quiet side, I won’t support Twitter/X, and supposedly last month Threads had more activity than Twitter/X. Academic Threads seems pretty quiet still, but … if you join maybe we can change that?

Harsh but… Qual researchers: qualitative research isn’t meant to be generalizable, and concepts like reliability and replication are positivist (or something) Me confidently: you want me to put stock in unreliable measurement of non-generalizable information that will never be replicated?

I often think about the immigrants ICE is rounding up and how 99% of them have worked harder at their jobs than any of these operator cosplayers ever have or ever will.

👏Footage from London shows the moment activists removed the Islamic Republic’s flag from the Iranian embassy balcony and raised the Lion and Sun flag instead.

Ilia Hashemi has shared many disturbing videos about the massacre occurring in Iran on his Twitter account. I am sharing only one of them, reluctantly, here. If you have any audience with the press, please take a look at them. x.com/iliahashemic...

A lot not going well in the world, but should the Iranian people take back control of their country from religious extremists, that would be a good thing.

I told my daughter to hide her Star of David in public. I hate myself for it. But I did it anyway. A letter to my non-Jewish friends. open.substack.com/pub/michaeli...

1000 times yes.

The world is watching Iran. Dozens killed. Thousands detained. And yet people keep marching — for dignity, for economic survival, for a future they can recognize. Their courage deserves more than silence.

Expect to see a lot of this classic Onion headline, from 23 years ago, over the coming weeks.

Hello friends! I am partnering with the Zur Institute to offer a 3-hour training on January 16 (CE credits available) titled: "Understanding Suicide to Prevent Suicide: A Deeper Dive". Please consider joining or spreading the word. Would love to see you there! www.zurinstitute.com/webinars/und...

Dean Martin, born Dino Paul Crocetti, son of Italian immigrant Gaetano Crocetti Frank Sinatra, son of Italian immigrants Antonino Sinatra and Natalina Garavanta Merry Christmas to everyone except Stephen Miller and his enablers and handlers

Hard agree. In both academics and politics it often feels like folks disagree with their projection of what you’re saying. Often the disagreement with their projection is vehement.

So much of complicated statistics (latent class/profile stuff, SEM, network analysis) seems optimized for publishing in ‘top’ journals without meaningfully improving knowledge.

Sometimes, it is very hard to find the words—but Jewish tradition already has. We sing Maoz Tzur when we light the menorah, but if you listen to the lyrics, it is not a celebratory song, but rather one about pain and perseverance. This is my version, which attempts to bring out those resonances.

Oh Philip Rivers. He’s awesome, and I’m rooting for him, but that looked like an old man who fell and needed a moment or two to get back up.

“She has marks on her neck and wrist from where agents restrained her. Agents cut off her wedding ring and held her in leg shackles at Whipple Federal Building for about five hours.” Her crime: witnessing ICE, from a distance.

Read this NYT piece by Sam Kriss about AI's distinctive writing style - especially "It's not X - it's Y" - and then look at this horror of an AI-generated article, which uses all the tropes he identifies, over and over again. www.nytimes.com/2025/12/03/m...

Two key trends in this small & exciting study: 1) Replicability may be improving, 2) Replicability of a study was unrelated to use of transparency indicators. This pattern echoes Klonsky (2025), which suggests the most critical reform is knowing “if we publish fragile findings, we will be found out”

I named my fists Social and Psychology because they’ll give you a beating that won’t ever be replicated. (Too soon?)

Congratulations Dr. Mikayla Pachkowski!! 🎉 🎈

A gunman tried to silence my wife in an extreme act of political violence. Now, Trump has called for my execution because he didn’t like what I had to say. Gabby and I know, when others try to silence you, you must keep speaking out — and that’s exactly what we’re going to do.

I've had a missile blow up next to my airplane, been shot at dozens of times by anti-aircraft fire, and launched into orbit — all for my country. I never thought I'd see a President call for my execution. Trump doesn’t understand the Constitution, and we're all less safe for it.

Yeah...what René said!

Once more, with feeling: Jew hatred antedates modern constructions of wh*teness by literally thousands of years. It's cannot be understood or effectively countered solely in terms of contemporary racial politics.

Not sure where this is from, but assuming it’s right, there are clear implications for countering the replication crisis and “false positive” psychology: Insufficient sample sizes are a primary culprit, and should be a primary target of reforms.

I really didn’t like the decision to sacrifice bunt Guerrero to 3rd. And it’s still bothering me. When you’re 3 outs from losing the Series, I don’t think you can give an out away.

1/2 Really appreciate this issue being centered. I prefer a reframe. NOT: Initial studies need replication. RATHER: Confidence in a conclusion increases to the extent it is supported by converging findings from multiple studies by multiple investigators across multiple samples and measures/methods.

Apropos of nothing, here's a brief paper of mine about how to make Psychological Science a robust and cumulative science. How to: 1) Produce findings likely to be robust, 2) Distinguish robust vs fragile findings, and 3) Motivate the field to use this knowledge. pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC...

From this new post by OpenAI: 0.15% of users (something like 9M people given public numbers) show signs of suicidal intent in their ChatGPT chats each week But there seems to be progress in making ChatGPT respond appropriately to mental health issues. openai.com/index/streng...

Very cool issue on intensive longitudinal data, including a piece by @aidangcw.bsky.social and others on minimum sample size for estimating various parameters. Sometimes when we move beyond traditional self-report we neglect psychometrics and publish lots of noise. This work can help prevent that.

I think robustness checks should be a standard part of every Results section. I also agree they should be 'thoughtful', not 'brute force' multiverse. But it shouldn't only be authors who choose the robustness checks -- also the reviewers pre-publication, and the field post-publication.

Things are scary.

I think it’s underappreciated in psychology that we establish generalizability of an effect not through some near-perfect ‘representative’ sample — but to the extent it consistently occurs across many different unrepresentative samples that vary demographically/culturally/etc.

There really are a ton of fascinating pieces in this issue! Topics include metascience, constructs & measurement, and LLMs. Particularly intrigued by the one on using LLMs for psych assessment — for curiosity I periodically have an LLM assess me in various psych domains, and it’s surprisingly good 😳

This is what democracy looks like. #NoKings

As Trump et al. try to destroy democracy, this is one of the most important movements in American history. 🙏❤️ #NoKings

In 2018, Charles Murray challenged me to a bet: "We will understand IQ genetically—I think most of the picture will have been filled in by 2025—there will still be blanks—but we’ll know basically what’s going on." It's now 2025, and I claim a win. I write about it in The Atlantic.

Portland is so good at trolling these fascists. I ❤️ Portland

Pritzker: "He wants to militarize major cities because he wants us to get used to the idea of troops on the streets. I believe he's gonna post people outside of polling places and if he needs to in order to control those elections, he'll assume control of the ballot boxes & count the votes himself"

My blog has moved! It’s now at sometimesimwrongblog.wordpress.com If you have links to posts in your syllabus, let me know if you have any trouble finding the corresponding post!

In lighter news, the game between the 49ers and Rams was incredible. Mac Jones is physically and mentally tough as nails. And Kyle Shanahan is a special kind of quarterback whisperer.

Donald Trump's militarization of our city streets isn't about fighting crime or public safety — it's about consolidating power in his hands. What he plans to do with that, now or during the 2026 elections, should worry all of us.

Sarah is a great person in addition to a superb scholar. Apply to her lab!

Agree. Odds ratios are a great effect size when you want to: make a small effect look meaningful, report a metric that defies intuitive understanding, or use a metric that will be hard to integrate with other effect sizes in a metanalysis. In short, they are stupid.

I thought I had built in plenty of time to submit my finalized grant application to @sshrc-crsh.canada.ca, but now it's my third consecutive day trying to upload my documents and the site still won't let me. When do we panic?

It’s actually very sad to see that risk prediction has never gone away, despite so much evidence demonstrating how awful we are at predicting suicide and its related outcomes. This is an incredibly important piece of work that we should all read.