"teacher-induced learning inequalities are mainly driven by unequal exposure to highly qualified teachers, rather than unequal returns to qualifications." Just out in our journal, @sociologicalsci.bsky.social sociologicalscience.com/articles-v13...

🧵 New PubPeer comment. @cskay.bsky.social & Vlasceanu (2026) propose ECLAIR, an item battery to catch AI-driven bots. We read the preprint in our journal club & found it very interesting, but our read raised several concerns that we posted to PubPeer. pubpeer.com/publications...

a new working paper with Chris Johnston & @stephenvaisey.com! we study issue opinions among a novel sample of 10-12-year-olds, showing that children, contrary to received wisdom, express reasonably structured preferences. a working paper here: tkeskinturk.github.io/poldevelopment.pdf

Our review on #speciesism is now out in Nature Reviews Psychology. rdcu.be/foTDx We synthesise research on how people think about animals, morally rank species, and justify animal exploitation and consumption. A pleasure to work on this with @gordonhodsonphd.bsky.social @springernature.com

Why do arguments often change people’s beliefs without changing their attitudes? In a new APSR with @scottclifford.bsky.social and @patrickpliu.bsky.social, we point to belief relevance: arguments are more persuasive when they grapple with the idiosyncratic reasons people hold their political views.

I like this @thejop.bsky.social : "We are now implementing a system in which the editorial team has the right to not consider submissions from authors who have failed to review for the journal three or more times, when invited to do so by the editorial team."

Anyone has experience with Prolific asking questions 2 or 3 weeks apart? how's the attrition?

NEW DANISH GOVERNMENT IS (FINALLY) FORMED - Who are they? - What's the agenda? - What does this mean for European politics?

Very interesting talk for anyone interested in belief formation, persuasion or information provision experiments more generally!

“Writing is hard.” Thrilled to share that this simple idea led to a new paper in Political Analysis! Where most text methods focus on content, I test if expression is also effortful action. I find simple measures like character counts reveal attitudes and predict voting. cup.org/4cUmoXi 1/

From our FirstView: Partisan Expressive Responding: Lessons from Two Decades of Research by @mattgraham.bsky.social doi.org/10.1017/S000...

New Issue Highlight: Could better teaching be as simple as giving teachers the right information—no rewards, no pressure, no oversight?

1/ "Silicon samples" are becoming more and more common in research and polling. One problem: depending on the analytic decisions made, you can basically get these samples to show any effect you want. The updated version of this preprint is now online! THREAD🧵 arxiv.org/abs/2509.13397

👇Staggering results of expansion of early public children on female employment in Germany

📰 Do the effects of partisan media fade quickly or accumulate over time? ➡️ Using multiwave experiments, M Baum et al. show a single exposure can have effects lasting up to a week, while cumulative effects are hard to detect www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

A fascinating data-driven look at what blocked shipping routes mean for global trade. @economist.com

📄Published Today in Nature: 500 researchers reproduced 100 studies across the social & behavioral sciences to assess their analytical robustness (led by @balazsaczel.bsky.social & @szaszibarnabas.bsky.social). Article: www.nature.com/articles/s41... Preprint: osf.io/preprints/me... TLDR: 1/11

How costly is apprenticeship dropout—and for whom? Using an IV approach, our new @europeansocreview.bsky.social article finds strong income penalties, but only for students from disadvantaged backgrounds. My great coauthors patzinaalex.bsky.social & @katymorris.bsky.social 💖 tinyurl.com/tk4nkdb3

Pleased to see this one out in its JOP-formatted version @thejop.bsky.social www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

Looking for insights on Open Peer Review - in particular, a person wanting to be open though the journal is not? For ex: If I publish in a double blind journal, but decide to post the peer review & editorial docs in a space like OSF. Is this unethical, illegal, best practice?

My personal rule for IVs is that, if there's really only one reason why Z and Y are correlated, then you should be able to tell me Z and Y, and I'd be able to figure out what X is without you telling me. (1/n)

We got a paper in @pspolisci.bsky.social l on public administration beyond public administration journals A substantial share of quantitatively oriented PA research is being produced in top economics journals! www.cambridge.org/core/journal... @karlemilbendtsen.bsky.social Five stylized facts:

You and whose economy? Group-based retrospection in economic voting by Christoffer Hentzer Dausgaard is now available in Early View. @chdausgaard.bsky.social ajps.org/2026/03/20/y...

Psychology has a whole cottage industry in which people come up with some construct that is essentially "attitudes/beliefs/expectations/feelings about X", and then the central claim is that this construct is a super important determinant of future X outcomes.>

New paper with Don Green and @ethanvporter.bsky.social in the QJPS. After much deliberation, we went with a title that just states the result. 📝 journal: www.emerald.com/qjps/article...

Do conjoint/factorial/vignette experiments reflect choices in the real world? Are hypothetical scenarios in the artificial survey context externally valid? Do hypothetical bias, intention-behavior gap and social desirability biases undermine validity? Two cautionary studies on this question:

out now in Science: @loganjames.bsky.social collected pairs of sounds in 16 species where we *know* which sound is more attractive (to that species) he played them to ppl on themusiclab.org, asking, in each pair, which was nicer. humans agreed w other animals doi.org/10.1126/science.aea1202

Fascinating paper on supply-side factors of negativity bias, misinformation and misperceptions. Also interesting measurements of accuracy of reporting and negativity bias of specific media orgs (e.g. CNN, Fox News).

Conditionally accepted at the APSR (w/ @scottclifford.bsky.social & @patrickpliu.bsky.social): Why does political information so often change beliefs but NOT attitudes? We highlight the role of belief relevance, or the extent to which beliefs bear on attitudes.

When you collect data online, are the results from humans or AI? In a project led by Booth PhD student Grace Zhang, we estimate the prevalence of AI agents on commonly used survey platforms: osf.io/preprints/ps... 🧵

I'm also curious about this!

Writing simulations in DeclareDesign just went from "I should do that, but it's kind of a lot of work" to extremely easy

#rstats Here's a useful guide to creating publication-ready #ggplot figures to journal specifications, which is often quite fiddly. jaquent.github.io/2026/02/crea...

interesting paper on effect of paternity leave reform on gender beliefs and norms. #WinningHeartsAndMinds www.nber.org/papers/w34862

Russia, Venezuela, Iran, China, the Sahel region, the United States ... Want to know why state agents carry out brutal repression — or participate in illegal coups? Our new book "Making a Career in Dictatorship" provides answers — it just got published by @academic.oup.com: tinyurl.com/ystwm3tf

Paper on statistical power necessary for interaction effects doi.org/10.1177/2515...

"Acceptable or Not? Understanding Attitudes Toward Citizens' Discrimination Against Frontline Workers" by @halling.bsky.social, @mathildececchini.bsky.social, & Benedicte Gronhoj shows that language-based requests are viewed as more acceptable than religious ones. doi.org/10.1111%2Fpa...

dplyr 1.2.0 is out now and we are SO excited! - `filter_out()` for dropping rows - `recode_values()`, `replace_values()`, and `replace_when()` that join `case_when()` as a complete family of recoding/replacing tools These are huge quality of life wins for #rstats! tidyverse.org/blog/2026/02...

Is meat consumption becoming political? @willemboterman.bsky.social & @eelcoharteveld.bsky.social examine Dutch surveys showing meat eating aligns with right-wing ideology & climate scepticism. Read OPEN ACCESS: buff.ly/HU5Mdec @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social #polsky #polsci #FoodPolitics

We’re organizing a workshop at Aarhus University. Please share and consider submitting! 🗓️ 13–14 April 2026 | 📝 Deadline: Mon, 16 Feb 2026 (extended abstract) — junior scholars prioritized 🎤 Keynotes: @stefwalter.bsky.social (Univ. of Zurich) & @hhuang.bsky.social (Ohio State)

Survey experiments have become a popular methodology among social scientists. Has it been effective? In POQ, Rauf et al. study the efficacy of 100 survey experiments. Their results show that a majority of hypotheses were not supported. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

Here comes another aviation analogy. I sincerely hope that these types of tools will be used to help us do _better_ research first and foremost. I fear instead it will be used to help us do _more_ research _faster_. The magic of autopilot is that it helps pilots fly better, not more.

Some closing thoughts for my students this semester on LLMs and learning #rstats datavizf25.classes.andrewheiss.com/news/2025-12...

I was going to just share an excerpt of this great @donmoyn.bsky.social piece, but there are too many excerpts worth sharing. Just read the whole thing. If you care about governance, democracy, and the rule of law, these issues are crucial. open.substack.com/pub/donmoyni...

Today I published a replication outlining concerns with "Instrumentally Inclusive" by Turnbull-Dugarte and López Ortega (2024, APSR). I document seemingly idiosyncratic and ad hoc choices made by the authors that create a pattern of statistically significant results consistent with their theory.

🚨 SynthNet is out 🚨 Researchers propose new constructs and measures faster than anyone can track. We (@anniria.bsky.social @ruben.the100.ci) built a search engine to check what already exists and help identify redundancies; indexing 74,000 scales from ~31,500 instruments in APA PsycTests. 🧵1/3

📄 New WP version out - full overhaul! The Politics of Evidence Selection (w/ @jesperasring.bsky.social ) Comments welcome! 🔗 osf.io/preprints/so...

Interesting new study on the elusive connection between organizational performance and user satisfaction