After 6 years of work, I am thrilled to introduce "Polarization and Exposure to Cross-Partisan Media in an Electoral Autocracy," with Jeremy Bowles @shelleyliu.bsky.social and Ahmet Akbiyik. We hope you enjoy it! tinyurl.com/TBLLA

After 10 years of doing research in Historical Political Economy, this fall I’ll finally get a chance to teach a survey course on the field & I’m really looking forward to it! 😊 I thought this would be an opportunity to create a syllabus with many essential contributions to this growing field.

Happy to see this paper finally out! :)

Hanson and Kopstein get it. The new right is neither libertarian nor populist: it is corporatist, statist, and it understands Weber's definition of the state as the compulsory organization with a monopoly on the legitimate use of violence within a given territory www.nytimes.com/2024/12/31/o...

What if they just periodically had to sit in their office closets while someone simulated being a shooter in the corridor, like my grade school children do?

Ugh this is so sad. Maybe not her most powerful, but to me, her most moving poem is this one

It is pretty crazy how bad US democracy looks right now in comparison with South Korea, or Brazil for that matter. Remember, folks: it’s not the coup attempt, it’s how you respond to it…

Now have two complete starter packs for "Africa News, Policy, Business, Econ & History". Starting a thread of all of my Africa starter packs, including more specific ones like, country/region, journalists, academics, media orgs, etc. Here's the first Africa starter pack: go.bsky.app/BNYnWSJ

Second Africa Starter Pack go.bsky.app/LgaSjF9

IMO one of the most significant findings in CP/IR over the last 15 years is that you can either have 1) a coercive apparatus that can repress but not be able to remove the leader or 2) win on the battlefield and be able to remove the leader But you can't have both

New paper in @apsrjournal.bsky.social with @andreasbeerli.bsky.social, Dominik Hangartner, and Dalston Ward about #immigration and voting for the #FarRight in #Switzerland

It's that time of year again... The call for our UCL Conflict & Change PhD Workshop is out! We invite ECRs working on IR, conflict and contentious politics to apply by 8 December. We look forward to having you in London 24-25 February, 2025. Apply here: conflictandchange.org/phdworkshop2025

Full paper now available here! doi.org/10.1086/729947

Re-upping this recent International Security piece about civil war stabilization in a world of much more restricted international peacekeeping for the many new people on here:

The Harry Frank Guggenheim Emerging Scholar Award, for graduate students in their final year, is now open. It's a $25,000 award to facilitate diss write-up. All projects that focus on the causes and/or control of violence welcome. Applications accepted from 1 Nov to 1 Feb 2025. Details: www.hfg.org

Started a working list of researchers, journalists, and practitioners working on humanitarian aid, peacebuilding/peacekeeping, and development in fragile and conflict-affected settings, please let me know if I missed you or anyone else who should be added! go.bsky.app/BWQc97A

Here is a public policy starter list. Mostly people who are studying the social safety net. go.bsky.app/6W6j6oS

That US debate focuses more on distant European precedents rather than institutionally and culturally closer forms of Latin American authoritarianism or state failure also indicates which aspects of global history are given more space in US education and which are not.

Two things can be true at the same time: 1. Many people will suffer much pain in the coming years. 2. The election results are not the end of democracy, and it's a political mistake to announce they are (since then, nothing matters). Dems should prepare for a fight to win back the House in 2026.

So excited to get a copy. Congrats @shelleyliu.bsky.social!

Coming soon...

My paper with @karinkitchens.bsky.social, “Explaining Variation in Political Leadership by Marginalized Groups: Black Officeholding and 'Contraband Camps'" is now forthcoming @thejop.bsky.social. Abstract is below, and you can read it in full here: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.... A brief summary:

📚🚨 My book, "Governing After War: Rebel Victories and Post-war Statebuilding", will be out on Feb 22 and avail for pre-order! bit.ly/govafterwar ❓: how does rebel governance & social control shape rebel victors' post-war strategies for consolidating power?

I've always liked this by @pstaniland.bsky.social. It's about lessons from S. Asia for US in Afghanistan. But it is helpful for thinking about the Gaza war and the deep political contradictions of a democracy engaging in state/nation building in the 21st century. foreignpolicy.com/2009/11/24/c...

New issue of Perspectives on Politics out, including my (open access) article w/Asfandyar Mir and Tamar Mitts on using social media to identify murky patterns of elite competition and alignment, with evidence from around the 2018 Pakistani general election: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

NEW WP! What happens when wartime misinfo is corrected? To find out, @thomasjwood.bsky.social, Raushan Zhandayeva, Bailey Scott and I evaluate corrections in Russia, Ukraine, BLR, EST and KAZ. Overall: Corrections improve accuracy but don't affect which side people support: osf.io/efvsd/

🥳🚨 Excited to share my paper, "Coercive Legacies: From Rebel Governance to Authoritarian Control," cond. accepted at @thejop.bsky.social (paper: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....) I ask:❓How does rebel governance affect political development when rebel parties win power? #polisky 🧵 1/4

Anti-Muslim and anti-Jewish hate online stems from the same fringe, white supremacist communities who target both groups interchangeably, finds Hobbs, @nazita.bsky.social, Li & Lucas, suggesting we need to consider hate against both groups in tandem doi.org/10.1007/s111...

Excited to get the book cover in hand!! Thanks so much to Robert Vargas, Tracey Meares, & Jonathan Simon for reading and blurbing And continued thanks to all at UChicago Press for making this process extra special press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/bo...

New paper: Yuri Zhukov & I examine how fratricidal coercion (that is, shooting your own soldiers) affects battlefield performance. We draw on millions of Red Army soldier records, case studies, and 526 battles from 1939-2011 to show how violence restores discipline, but a steep cost osf.io/yg6c9/

How do Ukrainians think about self-defense against Russia? In a new paper out in the AJPS, @janinadill.bsky.social, Marnie Howlett and I find through a conjoint experiment that they are categorically against major concessions, even at very high costs of self-defense doi.org/10.1111/ajps... (1/6)

New by @kellyzvobgo.bsky.social today: "The ICC will likely investigate, and later prosecute, Hamas’s killings and hostage taking as war crimes. The ICC may also investigate, and later prosecute, Israel’s blockade and bombing campaign as war crimes." goodauthority.org/news/the-icc...

🚨New paper alert🚨 #polisky #intsec My paper, "Domestic Distributional Roots of National Interest", has been cond. accepted at APSR! I ask: Why are some international issues perceived as national interests worth fighting for while others are not? While we may think the answer is obvious..1/4

Excited that this project (JMP!) is now FirstView @APSR! doi.org/10.1017/S000... I show that segregation encourages the privatization of urban services. Conversely, integrated cities produce intergroup externalities that align the middle class w/ the poor in coalitions for public goods 🧵

“Hamas is simply too entrenched, in too many places, to be rooted out with bombs and raids alone.” Daniel Byman and Seth Jones discuss what an Israeli invasion of Gaza will look like—and why the battle will not end when Israel has reoccupied the territory.

"the truths in the Geneva Conventions are self-evident. They should ring true, and appear vital, to any human being with enough empathy and compassion to believe that all members of our species deserve the same rights and dignities." @jscros.bsky.social www.discourseblog.com/p/the-rules-...

Population displacement is a major cause of non-combatant deaths in wartime.

An Open Access, un-gated article by Asfandyar Mir, Tamar Mitts, and me in Perspectives on Politics polisky: "Political Coalitions and Social Media: Evidence from Pakistan" www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

Six questions with Ted Miguel: I interview @tedmiguel.bsky.social about his views on whether first-year undergrads are useful, on having his worm work overcritiqued, on whether to do a long-term follow up, why more people work in Kenya than DRC, and more. blogs.worldbank.org/impactevalua...

We are searching for an Associate or Full Professor of Computational Social Science (broadly defined) to join our department at LSE If you'd like any more information, please feel free to reach out to me. Polisky

The African Politics Conference Group (APCG) Online Colloquium is calling for applications for workshop papers in Oct., Nov., Dec. 2023. Apply by October 5, 2023, here: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F... // from @gofosu at twitter // polisky

Duke Sanford School of Public Policy is hiring 3(!!) TT junior faculty and we are looking for a broad range of specialties/research areas. Please apply! polisky academicjobsonline.org/ajo/jobs/25832

New data collection opportunity! The Civic Health and Institutions Project, a 50 State Survey, has opportunities available to collect free state-level or large national sample public opinion data. More information is available here: chip50.org

Every word of this from @economeager.bsky.social is gold. A brilliant piece of advice that also touches on the difficulty of actually taking advice. rachaelmeager.substack.com/p/finish-you...

In this piece I look at whether the US withdrawal from Afghanistan hurt US credibility, and try to draw on recent and established political science research in thinking about that question. goodauthority.org/news/did-wit...