See if Duckett had taken that, Smith wouldn't have got out a few balls later 😊🏏😊 #ashes25 #cricketcounterfactuals

If you don't like cricket, you're not a real centrist dad

Who's up?!? 🏏🤪🏏

GB News now broadcasting calls to remove the ethnic minority MPs from parliament

youtube version of my debate with @prossertj.bsky.social youtu.be/i3krFOmfeY8?...

UCU national ballot fails to meet the threshold by quite a margin. In current circumstances, it might be better to concentrate on local disputes? www.ucu.org.uk/article/1427...

And there are all sorts of other issues with laser focus on this sort of causal inference, such as limited external validity and the desk drawer problem.

"The Credibility Revolution in Political Science" osf.io/preprints/so...

IN NEW ISSUE: Are more women elected in proportional elections than in majoritarian ones? @gulczynski.bsky.social, @monikaturyna.bsky.social & @jkantorowicz.bsky.social examine local Polish elections and find little evidence of that. Read OPEN ACCESS: buff.ly/UH5PdOR @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social

Personal news! 📣 I'm very happy to share that today I've joined @dec-gr.bsky.social as a postdoc to work on the @tact-forsed.bsky.social project, studying conspiracy beliefs and democratic backsliding across Europe. Grateful to @galais.bsky.social and @mguinjoan.bsky.social for the opportunity!

The next ECPR is in Kraków and I'm very tempted! Kraków is Poland's most beautiful city... ecpr.eu/GeneralConfe...

theorymatters.substack.com/p/why-phds-a... My latest responding to the latest discourse on why PhDs are not in fact 'easy' as some are claiming... Please read, share, and respond :)

I published this a number of years ago on the subject. archive.philosophersmag.com/the-good-old...

Notwithstanding the chaos around Your Party, centrist mockery rings increasingly hollow. In theoretical terms, the ability of liberalism to decontest competing ideologies is waning as liberalism itself suffers from diminishing returns.

The heart and soul of Trumpism in one tweet

Any journalists out there who want a review copy of my book on the Blair years - just DM or email me and I'll put you in touch with the publisher! It's out in early Feb...

Today, insistence on academic rigour is right-coded yet liberal political values are strongly associated with education. This combination is very curious.

Then again, all Labour governments have had bitter left-wing critics; it is par for the course.

Really excited to share my new article published in @electoralstudies.bsky.social! 1/7

1/ My new article in European Sociological Review (@europeansocreview.bsky.social) examines how class-based network segregation and national-level inequality shape support for redistribution, using data from 32,717 individuals across 31 countries. DOI: doi.org/10.1093/esr/... 👇

Sociotropic economic sentiment, rather than egotropic, drives support for the Labour government... Kpop Demon Hunters!

I seem to have discovered that mention of Kpop Demon Hunters drives engagement exponentially! Let's experiment...

Those who stand for expertise and the defence of established political systems should watch for an excessive tendency to dismiss mainstream politicians as stupid.

My Bluesky chat inbox has been showing a new message for the last 24 hours but there's nothing new in it?!?

Well my post about KPop Demon Hunters has proved much more popular than any of my recent posts about Labour 🤣🤣🤣

Think I'm a bit late to this party, but I watched KPop Demon Hunters last night. And like everyone says, it's ace 😊😊😊

NEW! How should Labour respond to the two key issues to voters of the economy and immigration and what are the electoral stakes this week of the budget? Read on for our answer... @nprcoxford.bsky.social @jrf-uk.bsky.social

Left-wing vs right-wing populism in one picture. This couldn't have been more perfect. Ignoring tradeoffs and blaming the main outgroup as the solution to every societal problem.

One aspect of academic and progressive culture I dislike is the assumption in some circles that ethical questions are easy, that it’s obvious who is good or bad in any situation, and that the only challenge is having the will to do the right thing.

The more I think about this, the more serious it appears. The rise of Reform in Wales should greatly concern friends of liberal democracy. www.theguardian.com/politics/202...

Very important information prior to the Senedd elections

So who's up?!? 🤪🏏🤪 #Ashes

I have a new preprint: 'Predictive Modelling Shows Demographics Do Not Predict Vote Choice at the Individual Level' DOI: doi.org/10.31235/osf... Thread below

Anyone know which dataset on employment in the UK has the most granular i) occupation and ii) locality variables? Any help greatly appreciated ☺️🙏😊

I echo ‘do your thing’. My line is: go with your own grain, like the grain in a piece of wood. Those are your strengths, they will lead to your strongest and unique contribution and we need diversity of contribution.

Posting this again, as it's relevant to discussion today. Using BES data, it shows the difference between Labour 2024 voters' own position on immigration and their perception of Labour's position. Overall, evidence that Labour should take a more liberal position on immigration might be stronger...

Fascinating how often political commentary in the UK still refers to the median voter. In a multi-dimensional space with salience endogenous to positions, it‘s unclear to me who that should be. In a multi-party system, winning the median voter is of course not necessarily a vote-maximizing strategy.

there are some defenders of the starmer gov in the uk (see my debate with @prossertj.bsky.social ) i'm curious if there's any of the compromise crowd in the US have taken up this point www.politicalphilosophypodcast.com/ukdebate

Given the way its policy record has turned out, the Starmer government might as well have adopted an explicitly Blue Labour philosophy; this would have provided the roadmap which critics (correctly) argue the government lacks.

I appear to be posting only about immigration in the UK today, but this is a good debate between academics Thomas Prosser and @polphilpod.bsky.social (Toby Buckle) on whether Labour’s immoral and destructive reactionary centrism is a good idea or not. overcast.fm/+AAMi3kkH3BE

And we test lots of these hypotheses, using 10 US and UK datasets, in our forthcoming book. They tend not to come through.

The principled defense of academic freedom is hard and more important than ever.

Reform may be leading the polls comfortably, but they're comparatively poorly rated among the 17.3% of the British electorate who 'don't know' how they'll vote in a general election...

Hmmmm - you can get 20/1 on this!

Curious how evolutionary explanations of human behaviour are mainstream in many of the social sciences, but rather taboo in the humanities?!?

I'm still looking for work :( If anyone knows of any research, writing, or editing gigs going I'd be very appreciative :) If there are any magazine editors looking for a theorist to write about politics, please hit me up! :)

Why do British pro-Europeans tend to be so sweary?!?

After many delays (nothing to do with the publisher, Routledge, which has been fantastic), my book Selling Pharmaka, Buying Health in Greek and Roman Antiquity: Retail Therapy, is going into production. It is dedicated to my students in gratitude for all that they have taught me.

Using BES data, this chart shows the difference between Labour 2024 voters' own position on immigration and their perception of Labour's position. With the exception of Labour to Reform switchers, the differences aren't huge. More evidence Labour is getting this about right?

Using BES data, this chart shows the difference between Labour 2024 voters' own position on immigration and their perception of Labour's position. With the exception of Labour to Reform switchers, the differences aren't huge. More evidence Labour is getting this about right?