Ever stared at a table of regression coefficients & wondered what you're doing with your life? Very excited to share this gentle introduction to another way of making sense of statistical models (w @vincentab.bsky.social) Preprint: doi.org/10.31234/osf... Website: j-rohrer.github.io/marginal-psy...

🚨New paper (preprint, accepted at @psychscience.bsky.social journal AMPPS, with @herzog.bsky.social): a tutorial on conformal prediction, a distribution-free method for quantifying the uncertainty of predictions from statistical methods. Short 🧵 below! osf.io/preprints/ps... #PsychSciSky

How Accurate & Consistent are Self-Report responses via Visual Analogue Scales (VAS) in Ecological Momentary Assessment & Digital Studies? Examined in a massive EMA study (N = 3,761), our new #OpenAccess piece on this is just out: online.ucpress.edu/collabra/art... #PsychSciSky #AcademicSky 🧵:

Cool perspective on depression recurrence >19,000 observations, n=37 discontinuing anti-depressants Recurrence in ~1/3rd preceded by early warning signals in affect journals.sagepub.com/doi/epub/10.... Smit et al. @mahelmich.bsky.social @bringmannlaura.bsky.social @eveliensnippe.bsky.social

📣New preprint 📣 @leonieschorrlepp.bsky.social, @domimaciejewski.bsky.social, @bringmannlaura.bsky.social, Mithra Hesselink and I wrote a paper illustrating the value of qualitative methods for checking the validity of your ESM data. doi.org/10.31219/osf...

Our new paper on self-reports vs clinician ratings of efficacies of psychotherapies for depression can be read open-access in Epidemiology and Psychiatric Sciences! Here is a short summary of our findings🧵 www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

New work in @clinpsychrev: "EMA in psychotherapy research" EMA: ✅ most used in clin *research* ✅ often to predict symptom changes ✅ rarely implemented to impact therapeutic processes ✅ research needed on actual EMA benefits in *practice* www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

If you do ESM research, please fill out this Short ESM Survey on open-ended items. 🤓 You can fill it out even if you do not use open-ended items in your own ESM research (will be even shorter 😊) rug.eu.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_... .

Fascinating study showing affective dynamics as predictors of depression relapse in those discontinuing anti-depressants @ CPS by Smit, @mahelmich.bsky.social @bringmannlaura.bsky.social Oldehinkel Wichers @eveliensnippe.bsky.social @psychscience.bsky.social journals.sagepub.com/doi/epub/10....

How Accurate & Consistent are Self-Report responses via Visual Analogue Scales (VAS) in Ecological Momentary Assessment & Digital Studies? Examined in a large EMA study (N = 3,761) w/L. Cloos @bsiepe.bsky.social @marilynpicciri1.bsky.social @eikofried.bsky.social @shirleybwang.bsky.social ... 🧵:

King's College London launches the Atlas of Longitudinal Datasets, in partnership with @wellcometrust.bsky.social / @mqmentalhealth.bsky.social, a free platform with over 1,600 datasets, to support mental health research worldwide. 🌍 Read more and learn how to access: www.kcl.ac.uk/news/kings-l...

Exciting news! 🎉 Registration for the 2025 SAA Conference is now OPENED!✨ Join us in the historic city of Leuven from May 26–28 for inspiring symposia, talks, workshops and networking! Don’t miss out—secure your Early Bird spot now! www.saa2025.com #SAA2025 #KULeuven @saa2025leuven.bsky.social

Our global study on the state of trust in scientists is now out in Nature Human Behaviour! 🥳 With a team of 241 researchers, we surveyed 71,922 people in 68 countries, providing the largest dataset on trust in scientists post-pandemic 👇🧵https://www.nature.com/articles/s41562-024-02090-5

Emotions are reactions to situations we encounter in daily life. In our new paper in Psych Review (psycnet.apa.org/fulltext/202...; with @oisinryan.bsky.social and @fdabl.bsky.social), we take a first step towards building a generative model for emotion dynamics based on this simple principle 1/4

Bookmark for all future grants: Use of Promotional Language in Grant Applications and Grant Success: "the percentage of promotional words was positively associated with the probability of receiving funding (NIH grants: odds ratio, 1.51 [95% CI, 1.10-2.11])." jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...

🍾New article out in @natrevpsych.bsky.social🍾: We review how social expectations form and change in individuals with depression and how they shape the onset, course, and severity of depression. Particular emphasis is on why social expectations persist despite pos info. www.nature.com/articles/s44...

📊 Key finding: Emotional improvements often precede behavioral changes, which may partly be due to smaller and less frequent behavioral changes. Cognitive shifts tend to align closely with mood changes. 📄 Link to the full paper: psycnet.apa.org/doiLanding?d...

I’m excited to share that @psypost.bsky.social featured our recent study on the timing of emotional, cognitive, and behavioral improvements during treatment for depression. Co-authored with: @mahelmich.bsky.social @timonelmer.bsky.social @arnoutcsmit.bsky.social Wolfgang Lutz & Eva Ceulemans

🚨New Preprint on Affective Stress Responses in Daily life (N=248) - w/ @vizecolin.bsky.social and @aidangcw.bsky.social! We used high-density sampling after stressful events to closely examine the dynamic affective response following daily hassles by estimating latent microtrajectories. 1/3

Now that I understand starter packs, I've (re)started one for people interested in all things psychotherapy personalization and optimizing treatments to the individual 😊 Anyone welcome! And consider joining our Person-Centered Treatment and Prevention Collaborative group! go.bsky.app/FXmURQf

Wowed by the fact that the cover of the new @natrevpsych.bsky.social issue was inspired by our Perspective paper 🤩 read it here: rdcu.be/dWyLO co-1st @schreudermj.bsky.social @bringmannlaura.bsky.social @harrietteriese.bsky.social @eveliensnippe.bsky.social @arnoutcsmit.bsky.social

I had a blast spending a whole week working on improving the measurement of intensive longitudinal data with so many smart and kind people. Like a nerdy school trip with friends. Thank you 🙏 @eikofried.bsky.social @bringmannlaura.bsky.social @miguelsilan.bsky.social Josip razum #LorMITNB

Hi #LorMITNB forks, this may be useful of you want to follow other participants ; ) go.bsky.app/42Nh8oA

Amazing to see so many early career folks who care deeply about improving measurement of intensive longitudinal data #LorMITNB

🚨New paper! 🚨 Very excited to see our Perspective article on the use of early warning signals in psychopathology is now published in @natrevpsych.bsky.social ! Link to the PDF here rdcu.be/dWyLO And 1/5 🧵below 👇 #MentalHealth #ClinPsychSky #PsychSciSky #Psychology #Psychiatry #ClinPsy 🧪

Starter pack for EMA, ESM, and Intensive Longitudinal Researchers. Feel free to share, follow, and nominate. Suggestions welcome! go.bsky.app/LzqJoUX #ESM #EMA #AA #IntensiveLongitudinalResearch

Not sure if I’m doing this right, but I’ve had a go at starting a ‘Reconceptualising psychopathology’ starter pack (e.g., HiTOP, RDoC, dynamic systems, clinical staging). Please do send me suggestions or requests to be added! go.bsky.app/Pek9ycQ

I made a clinical psychology/psychotherapy research starter pack thingy. If you are new here and interested in these topics, feel free to follow! go.bsky.app/Qk93DiE

🚨New paper! 🚨 Very excited to see our Perspective article on the use of early warning signals in psychopathology is now published in @natrevpsych.bsky.social ! Link to the PDF here rdcu.be/dWyLO And 1/5 🧵below 👇 #MentalHealth #ClinPsychSky #PsychSciSky #Psychology #Psychiatry #ClinPsy 🧪

Looking forward to this! Got lots of my favorite ESM all-stars Fritz @marilynpicciri1.bsky.social @depressionlab.bsky.social @maddyfrumkin.bsky.social Kirtley Moeller Neubauer @lesleynorris.bsky.social Schuurmann Snippe @bringmannlaura.bsky.social #PsychSciSky journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

Happy to share the result of our Delphi study with 40+ international ESM/EMA experts: ESM-Q: A Consensus-Based Quality Assessment Tool for Experience Sampling Method Items osf.io/preprints/ps... Part of the ESM item repository project (www.esmitemrepository.com) co-lead by Anu Hiekkaranta (1/4)

PSA: All #rstats package on #cran will get an official DOI! This will facilitate bibliometrics and giving credit to R package authors. Registering all 20,000+ packages will still take a few more days. But the first couple of thousand are already live. Example:

Should you use Likert or VAS for EMA research? In a new paper led by @jmbh.bsky.social & Alberto Jover, we assigned n~160 in a 2 week study to either 📏1-7 Likert or 🎚️1-100 Visual Analogue Scale and compared results using Bayesian multilevel models. Brief thread with results.🧵 🧪 #psychpsysky

Love me a fun paper on affective instability. Now out @ JoCaPS psycnet.apa.org/record/2024-...

A new look at networks! With these two new papers published in World Psychiatry (onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....) and Advances.in (advances.in/psychology/1...) I hope we can think about including context, changes in the means, and how the network may be moderated by contextual factors.

The ESM Item Repository now has 1000+ items! Help us celebrate by throwing some virtual confetti over at esmitemrepository.com 🎉 🥳. Thanks to our coding team (Yoram Kunkels, Milla Pihlajamäki, Ben Kunc, & Laura Van Heck) for the confetti! #OpenScience

VACANCY ALERT! We're looking for a project coordinator for the collaborative #ESM Mini Many Labs project! Do you want to help us to create an infrastructure to improve replicability of #ESM studies? #OpenScience Apply: tiu.nu/22193 (deadline April 4) More info⬇️ Meer weergeven

My first PhD paper on emotion regulation (ER) variability is published in Emotion! doi.org/10.1037/emo0001344 With this, we ask: Within adolescents, does emotion differentiation (ED) increase ER variability? Knowing what one feels informs ways to adjust ER, right?

❓Does anyone have any pointers towards literature on emotion detection based on audio recordings (e.g., anything that would allow to determine different emotions from speech data)? #ESM #EMA Retweet = greatly appreciated

Sharing my first solo author paper, now online (OA) in Assessment! 🥳 In the paper I present a more flexible way to calculate clinical change thresholds, esp. useful for weekly symptom data and finding sudden transitions. The Duration-Adjusted Reliable Change Index (DARCI) doi.org/10.1177/1073...