Daniele Girardi
@dgirardi.bsky.social
đ€ 869
đ„ 1041
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Economist at King's College London.
https://danielegirardi.github.io/
pinned post!
Our Local Projections Difference-in-Differences (LP-DiD) paper is out in the Journal of Applied Econometrics. LP-DiD is a convenient, flexible and computationally fast framework for estimating DiD using simple well-specified regressions.... [1/4]
7 months ago
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Paul Krugman
11 days ago
About Kevin Warsh
paulkrugman.substack.com/p/a-bad-heir...
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A Bad Heir Day at the Fed
No, Kevin Warsh isnât qualified
https://paulkrugman.substack.com/p/a-bad-heir-day-at-the-fed
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Jo Michell
11 days ago
A quick take on Warsh. In terms of ideology and theory, at first glance he looks like a fairly standard pre-2008 'hawk' but he's perhaps closer to 80s monetarism: he thinks inflation is caused by government spending and money printing. 1/n
www.wsj.com/opinion/the-...
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Filipe Campante
16 days ago
Whatâs so misguided about the formulation âauthoritarianism is here, itâs just unevenly distributed,â which I have heard from Ezra Klein and others, itâs that it misses the point: thatâs true of authoritarianism *everywhere*.
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gelbach
16 days ago
This is good, addressing people directly, including those who have supported Trump
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Liam Thorp
16 days ago
Worth remembering when looking at the horrific scenes in the US right now that both Reform and the Tories have pledged to bring in ICE-style organisations to the UK if they win power
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Scott Shapiro
16 days ago
The ICE Seven
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FinTwitter
22 days ago
NORWAY PM: I HAVE REPEATEDLY CLEARLY EXPLAINED TO TRUMP THAT IT IS AN INDEPENDENT COMMITTEE THAT AWARDS THE NOBEL PEACE PRIZE
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G Elliott Morris
23 days ago
Losing my mind at the Dems with their billionaire backers and powerful friends who have come up with the brilliant strategy that the party should adopt the policy positions of the avg MAGA voter â apparently ignoring that independents and swing voters even exist. Is this what $40 million gets you??
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G Elliott Morris
23 days ago
Gallego ("moderate" Dem) is going with "ICE needs to be totally torn down" (not "reform and retrain"). This is a pivot point for the country on immigration. You have been seeing this in the data for a while, and now officials are snapping to the public opinion
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/ice-is-a-7...
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Dean Baker
24 days ago
Israel continues its war on healthcare for Palestinians
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/17/w...
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Inside the Doctors Without Borders Clinics That Israel Is Closing in Gaza
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/17/world/middleeast/gaza-doctors-without-borders-c.html
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Vincent Pons
28 days ago
Until recently, much of the evidence on these effects was at the subnational level and within country. I discuss three papers using novel cross-country evidence on the effects of national election outcomes (presidential and parliamentary elections), which are likely more consequential (14/n).
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Vincent Pons
28 days ago
In the second part of the talk, I discuss recent work on the economic effects of elections through two main forces, representation and agency (13/n).
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Vincent Pons
28 days ago
The first is âPartisan Shocks and Financial Markets: Evidence from Close National Electionsâ (AEJ: Applied) by
@dgirardi.bsky.social
. Using a cross-country RDD, Girardi finds that left-wing electoral victories cause large short-term decreases in stock market valuation (15/n).
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Vincent Pons
28 days ago
A week ago, I gave the âRecent Developments in the Political Economy of Elections and Democracyâ lecture at the 2026 AEA
@assameeting.bsky.social
! Video:
www.aeaweb.org/webcasts/202...
Slides:
www.vincentpons.org/recent-devel...
Thread with the TL;DR of my talk below.
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Jonathan Portes
about 1 month ago
The immigration doom loop in full swing. Chasing the xenophobes is a doomed strategy both economically *and* politically. (1/3)
archive.ph/pyVLg
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Michael Clemens
about 1 month ago
A new paper by George Borjasâwho served this past year in the Trump White House designing some of its anti-immigration policiesâclaims to display evidence of ideological bias among researchers who study immigration.
doi.org/10.1126/scia...
đ§” Threadâ>
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Anand Menon
about 1 month ago
A headline for the ages
www.politico.eu/article/fran...
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France delays G7 to avoid clash with White House cage fighting on Trumpâs birthday
French President Emmanuel Macronâs office said the new schedule is âthe result of our consultations with G7 partners.â
https://www.politico.eu/article/france-delay-g7-white-house-donald-trump-birthday/?utm_source=email&utm_medium=alert&utm_campaign=France%20delays%20G7%20to%20avoid%20clash%20with%20White%20House%20cage%20fighting%20on%20Trumpâs%20birthday
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Jeet Heer
about 2 months ago
The smear campaign against Mustapha Kharbouch -- falsely accused of the Brown shooting and MIT murder by powerful politicians, pundits and plutocrats -- is a prime example of how pervasive racism has become. It's also a story largely ignored by the mainstream media
www.thenation.com/article/poli...
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Islamophobic Elites Lied to Destroy the Life of a Palestinian Brown Student
Plutocrats, pundits, and government officials joined together in a racist smear campaign against a queer Palestinian student at Brown University.
https://www.thenation.com/article/politics/islamophobia-brown-school-shooting/
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Jonathan Hopkin
about 2 months ago
Ashamed of this government
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Jo Michell
about 2 months ago
Remarkable how little coverage this is getting.
www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/12...
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Palestine Action hunger strikers are âdyingâ in prison, UK doctor warns
Hundreds of doctors, dozens of MPs and thousands of everyday Britons call on the justice secretary to intervene.
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/12/18/palestine-action-hunger-strikers-are-dying-in-prison-uk-doctor-warns
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Naomi O'Leary
about 2 months ago
A brave survivor speaks on the record. Sami al-Saei, 46, used to be a freelance journalist in the occupied West Bank. He was arrested after working with reporters to arrange interviews with armed groups and was detained without being charged for 16 months.
bbc.com/news/article...
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Palestinians tell BBC they were sexually abused in Israeli prisons
Two men say they experienced the kind of abuse highlighted in recent reports on Israel's treatment of prisoners, which Israel denies.
https://bbc.com/news/articles/c8dy8r7lq0go?at_format=link&at_campaign_type=owned&xtor=AL-71-%5Bpartner%5D-%5Bbbc.news.twitter%5D-%5Bheadline%5D-%5Bnews%5D-%5Bbizdev%5D-%5Bisapi%5D&at_campaign=Social_Flow&at_medium=social&utm_social_post_id=628661901&at_bbc_team=editorial&at_ptr_name=twitter&utm_social_handle_id=742143&at_link_origin=BBCWorld&at_link_id=A3E6E04E-DD26-11F0-838A-EC19DA4F5A75&at_link_type=web_link
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For more information:
github.com/danielegirar...
The -lpdid- command implements the Local Projections Difference-in-Differences estimators presented in
@arindube.bsky.social
, Girardi, Jordaâ & Taylor (2025)
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...
Coauthored with
@alexanderbusch.bsky.social
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GitHub - danielegirardi/lpdid: Implementing Local Projections Difference-in-Differences (LP-DiD) estimators
Implementing Local Projections Difference-in-Differences (LP-DiD) estimators - danielegirardi/lpdid
https://github.com/danielegirardi/lpdid/
about 2 months ago
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Key new features of LPDID: * New [oneoff] suboption to deal with 'shock' treatments lasting 1 period by construction (eg, hurricanes) * Reweighted estimator w/ covariates (or additional FEs) now *much* faster * Reweighted estimator w/ covariates now compatible with wild bootstrap standard errors
about 2 months ago
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Public Service Announcement: đšNew updated version (1.0.2) of -lpdid- STATA command now availableđš Update the command by typing ssc install lpdid, replace directly in STATA Then look at the updated help file help lpdid See below for the key new features...
about 2 months ago
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Michael Clemens
about 2 months ago
The International Monetary Fund asked me to review the literature on migration economics to draw lessons for low-income countries. In a new
@iza.org
paper, I argue that policy for the 21st century must discard four outdated ideas.
www.iza.org/publications...
đ§” threadâ>
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Public Service Announcement: đšNew updated version (1.0.2) of -lpdid- STATA command now availableđš Update the command by typing ssc install lpdid, replace directly in STATA Then look at the updated help file help lpdid See below for the key new features...
about 2 months ago
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G Elliott Morris
about 2 months ago
What the Democrats can learn from the UK Labour Party's complete implosion after moving right on immigration
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/the-cost-o...
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Aaron Reichlin-Melnick
about 2 months ago
Short version: chasing the hardline partyâs voters without any real principles of your own makes you lose your own base and convince fence-sitters to support the hardline party, not you.
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Masha Gessen - "The Movie I Was Afraid to See" (gift link below)
www.nytimes.com/2025/12/17/o...
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Opinion | The Movie I Was Afraid to See
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/17/opinion/voice-of-hind-rajab-movie-gaza.html?unlocked_article_code=1.9U8.rcrX.AH02wxoo5gr6&smid=url-share
about 2 months ago
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Scott Horton
2 months ago
25 years ago today, SCOTUS elected George W Bush president of the United States by blocking completion of a voting canvass in Florida. A subsequent canvass by the Associated Press showed that Bush's rival, Al Gore, had won the race in Floridaâand thus the contest for the presidencyâby 700 votes.
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Gabriel Zucman
about 2 months ago
It has become received wisdom in Brussels and Washington that there is a new âeuro-sclerosisâ: that the EU economy is lagging the US This view is wrong A little primer on the measurement of productivity â and why reports of the economic death of Europe are greatly exaggeratedđ§”
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Jonathan Portes
2 months ago
"Migrants who came to the UK on skilled work visas in 2022-23 will make a net contribution of ÂŁ47bn to the public finances over their lifetime, according to new estimates from the governmentâs Migration Advisory Committee." Not surprising, but some observations (1/n)
www.ft.com/content/10da...
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Colin Yeo
2 months ago
Tighter visa rules will cost UK up to ÂŁ10.8bn
giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
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Tim Bale
2 months ago
"And tonight in 'Cutting off your nose to spite your face'...."
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Tighter visa rules will cost UK up to ÂŁ10.8bn
Home Office assessment shows impact of latest changes to immigration regime over next five years
https://www.ft.com/content/2b6077ab-8b95-4957-92e9-45f5cf705fb5
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Adam Bienkov
2 months ago
New Home Office impact assessment finds that cutting skilled and social care visas will cost the UK up to ÂŁ10 billion with a central estimate of -ÂŁ5.4 billion. It would be good if this got even a fraction of the coverage devoted to the endless debate about boats, flags and Turkish barber shops
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Jonathan Portes
2 months ago
Government has now - belatedly -published the impact assessment for the changes to skilled worker and care worker visas announced in May. Impact is estimated between -ÂŁ2 billion and ÂŁ-10 billion (central - ÂŁ10 billion).
assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/6937e6...
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https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/6937e67eb612700b2cb73679/Spring_2025_Immigration_Rules_Impact_Assessment__Skilled_Worker_and_Care_Worker___003_.pdf
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Stephen Bush
2 months ago
But the good news is, by doing this, we defeated racism in the UK.
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Victor Ray
2 months ago
The first school to market itself as AI free is going to corner the market on people interested in actually learning. And I would not be surprised if rich families and the children of people creating this tech were the first movers.
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Simon Wren-Lewis
2 months ago
Y'days post: The Budget suggests the Chancellor is thinking too much about short term management and too little about long term legacy
mainlymacro.blogspot.com/2025/12/the-...
What is doubly annoying about this government's focus on how its actions play with voters is that they are terrible at it
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The Budget suggests the Chancellor is thinking too much about short term management and too little about long term legacy
My posts come out on a Tuesday and Budgets are on a Wednesday. Not great timing, which is why in the past Iâve often done special posts on...
https://mainlymacro.blogspot.com/2025/12/the-budget-suggests-chancellor-is.html
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Yair Wallach
2 months ago
200 leading global artists, writers and actors are calling for the release of Marwan Barghouti. An impressive list here.
freemarwan.org/public-figur...
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Global voices call for Marwan's Release - Free Marwan
âWe express our grave concern at the continuing imprisonment of Marwan Barghouti, his violent mistreatment and denial of legal rights whilst imprisoned. We call upon the United Nations and the Governm...
https://freemarwan.org/public-figures/
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Chris Osieck
2 months ago
Marwan Barghouti should be released now. As his relatives say, he ârepresents hope to Palestinians at a time when there are efforts to silence him and make him forgotten.â
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Global âFree Marwanâ campaign calls for Palestinian political leaderâs release
Locked away in prison for decades, Marwan Barghouti is a longstanding advocate for a two-state solution
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/nov/29/free-marwan-barghouti-global-campaign-palestinian-leader
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George Monbiot
2 months ago
1. The European Parliamentâs attempt to ban plant-based foods from being sold as âsausagesâ, âburgersâ etc is a direct response to livestock industry lobbying. This is a short thread on how utterly bleeding ridiculous it is. đ§”1/6
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Matt Novak
2 months ago
They were 8 and 11 years old
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Rob Ford
2 months ago
Kinnock voice - "Iâll tell you what happens with impossible promises. You start with far-fetched resolutions....and you end up in the grotesque chaos of a Labour government, a *Labour* government, rejecting visas for homeless 8 yr olds trying to joing their parents"
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Ashwin Kumar
3 months ago
Delighted to see the Chancellor has taken forward the recommendation from Gordon Brown,
@smfthinktank.bsky.social
and
@ippr.org
to increase taxes on gambling. We called for this hugely profitable industry to contribute to ending the two child limit for benefits
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Owen Jones
3 months ago
Where are the headlines about this? The US has turned the life of this French judge into a nightmare - because he applied justice to Israel. This is gangsterism.
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
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This French judge approved Netanyahuâs arrest warrant. Now Trump is targeting him | Owen Jones
Three ICC judges have been put on a sanctions list with terrorists after approving an arrest warrant for Israelâs prime minister. This is the charade of the ârules-based orderâ, says Guardian columnis...
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2025/nov/26/israel-international-law-donald-trump-us-sanction-judge
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The inaugural article of Reviews of Economic Literature is fittingly titled "It Is Time to Bring Scholarly Publishing Back to the Academic Community" It argues that open access crucially needs to be coupled with a new non-profit publishing model
rel.journals.sup.org/index.php/re...
add a skeleton here at some point
3 months ago
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Santiago Sanchez-Pages
3 months ago
Come work with us in London!
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Rob Ford
3 months ago
From
@philipjcowley.bsky.social
- thanks to a happy coincidence we have a much more rigorous than usual understanding of the impact of Keir Starmer's "Island of Strangers" speech. As Cowley puts it "It is not obvious this was the intended outcome"
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