👀Eyes on the gameday forecast here in #Aggieland Cold front punching in dry, mild air will also bring a chance for line of scattered rain/storm/lightning potential. A lot to work out between now & Saturday's 11am kick. Something to monitor for now... #txwx

Friday (11/7) #bcstx topped off at 87° -- the THIRD WARMEST in 143 years of record keeping. 🔴 Unusual, near-record warmth made at least TWICE as likely due to human-caused climate change. This trend? Already playing out in real-time • 2023 & 2024 — tied #1 • 2022, 2018 — tied #3

Seen some images or claims over the past week about #Melissa that seem...just...off? Check out @fullfact.org for fact checks & de-bunks of the misinformation swirling social media fullfact.org/environment/

Hurricane #Melissa explosively intensified into a Category 5 storm over exceptionally warm Caribbean waters. Here's how climate change amplified this dangerous hurricane—from its rapid strengthening to the catastrophic rainfall ahead ⤵️ youtube.com/shorts/VtbZZ...

Latest eye dropsonde just measured 903 mb pressure with 5 kt of wind on splash

Hurricane Melissa's central minimum pressure of 903 mb now ranks #9 on the list of lowest known pressure readings in an Atlantic hurricane.

Just when you think Hurricane Melissa is done intensifying, it says, “Are you sure?” Drop in central pressure measured by both NOAA and AF between center fixes suggests Melissa may incredibly be intensifying further.

Yes, hurricanes have rapidly intensified in October before. Yes, the Caribbean has been untouched this hurricane season. But we understand the human influence on the excessive warmth in the basin, boosting #Melissa's intensity. Real-time data & the human-caused impacts 🧵👇

Round #1 of storms was overnight. Round #2 is expected to come together by mid-late afternoon & rattle through most of the evening. Early morning version for what the radar could look like as we await this second batch of active weather across the Brazos Valley

Forecast radar for rounds of rain & storms (perhaps a few severe w/ strong wind gusts as the main concern overnight) Line of storm timing✅ Expect sunrise rain with a morning lull. Personally, think the 2nd round timing is too slow. Suspect afternoon rain could be possible #bcsx #txwx

So far this month, #bcstx has only managed to scrape in 0.04" of rain. October is typically our WETTEST month w/ an average of 4.93" expected. Tonight's/Saturday's expected rain could try to make up at least half of that RAINFALL FORECASTS🔽 ◀️HRRR ▶️ @nws.noaa.gov's WPC

Let's. Go. 🌧️🌧️🌧️ Weekend (much, much needed) rain loading...

#Melissa is stewing over Caribbean waters 2°F+ above average — made 600x more likely by oceans storing ~90% of the extra heat from *our* carbon pollution. Thread below on why that matters for this late-season storm👇

It's Back! @climatecentral.org is now the home for the Billion Dollar Disasters dataset. ➡️Update on 2025s BDD: www.climatecentral.org/climate-matt... ➡️Interactive data page to bookmark: www.climatecentral.org/climate-serv...

#Melissa will be officially named this AM by the National Hurricane Center Questions remain about its path, but one thing is certain: the storm will drift over unusually warm late-October waters—warmth made 600-700x more likely by climate change. This directly influences intensity & rainfall.

📍Greensburg, KS: "100% of its electricity comes from wind energy. Many of the roofs are lined with solar panels." 🗣️"Sustainable futures in buildings & communities don't just provide environmental benefits, but long-term economic benefits" www.youtube.com/watch?v=1_Cf...

...and there it is!

Heads up, Ags. Going to be reaaaaaaaaal hard to get this Arkansas vs TAMU game kicked off at 2:30pm. We'll see how this post ages: 🌧️best guess: 4-5pm is the earliest lightning threat clears the 8mi radius around Razorback Stadium. 🌧️Might have to deal with sporadic lightning concerns through 6pm

Global heat extremes are testing our limits. A new Climate Central & @wwattribution.bsky.social study shows how even small temperature increases have made deadly heatwaves more intense and frequent. The Paris Agreement has helped hold back the worst—but there’s still work to do. 🧵

This ain't your grandparent's October... Halfway through the month, #bcstx has walked out to the: • 6th warmest Oct 1-15 of record • 2nd most 90° days (14 out of 15 days -- #1 - 2024, 1938, 1931) • Average month-to-date temp: 79.6° (+8.5° ABOVE the expected October average)

Water is vital, but unevenly distributed. Our changing climate is amplifying both extremes of the water cycle. A warmer atmosphere is a thirstier atmosphere. Flash droughts set in faster...and they are increasingly harder to get out of. www.climatecentral.org/climate-matt...

#Lorenzo formed ~1k mi from Cabo Verde. Wind shear & dry air should keep it in check, but NHC notes a few models show it taking advantage of unusually warm waters It will encounter SSTs ~2° warmer than average, made 100x-200x more likely due to human-caused climate change.

🐦1,311,000+ birds flew over Brazos County Friday night ➡️ Saturday morning. We'll get our fair share of traffic over the next few days as our feathered friends make their fall trip south. Non-essential lights? Be sure to turn them off to make sure their journey is a safe one. birdcast.info

That long-range, late October GFS outlook 👀 🤞🤞🤞 #bcstx

A still-sheared (for now) #Jerry at sunrise Thursday.

Back from a 105mi bike race through the TX Hill Country where the July floods caused unspeakable devastation (race fees went to flood relief). It's hard to directly attribute specific rain events to climate change, but we know that storms like these become more likely as CC worsens. #ShowYourStripes

Another sweaty, hot, above-average October day for #bcstx. 🌡️ Easterwood reached 92° this afternoon. A high 6° HOTTER than average for this time of the year 🔴 Human-caused climate change makes this type of late summer heat now 3x MORE likely to occur here in the Brazos Valley

Showers & storms are swirling in the northern Gulf around a low, sliding northwest into waters running 1–2°F warmer than normal for early October. ✅ Good news: hostile upper winds = no tropical development. ❌ Bad news: close enough to crank up humidity in the Brazos Valley—but not bring us rain.

Summer-like, record heat made at least TWICE more likely to occur on October 4th due to climate change. Not to say every Gameday in early October will be this hot -- but we know 'summer creep' into the start of football season is becoming more common. More info + data ➡️ impactsus.org/cfb/

"God will ask us if we have cultivated and cared for the world that he created for the benefit of all and for future generations, and if we have taken care of our brothers and sisters - what will be our answer, my dear friends?" Story from BBC ⤵️ share.google/VCtmobYtPktK...

Remember when October used to feel like October?

With just 0.04" of rain, #bcstx just experienced the 4th DRIEST September of record in 136 years of record keeping. For perspective, 2024's just-shy-of-0.75" tied as the 12th DRIEST of record #txwx

"The situation in Texas highlights a growing problem in drought-prone parts of the country — and the world — as climate change alters precipitation patterns, intensifies drought and saps the availability of safe drinking water" share.google/B0YjFBlBuGh0...

#Humberto strengthened 85mph in 24hrs. The 3rd hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic season...& 3rd to undergo Extreme Rapid Intensification (+58 mph in 24 hrs) This. is. climate. change. Unusually warm waters boosted Humberto’s strength, made 50x more likely by carbon pollution.

#Humberto is officially a hurricane. #Imelda is expected to form -- potentially as early as late Friday How can warmer-than-average Atlantic temperatures impact the intensity of storms? What about the rain they bring? Let's talk tropics ⤵️ youtube.com/shorts/qG5Jd...

📱 Come make meaningful content with us! This gives a creative, climate-motivated creator the chance to bring science & data to life through digital storytelling. Grow your video & editing skills while communicating climate change impacts. (Probably work in a little fun along the way, too!)

Anticrepuscular rays making for an A+ sunrise on this Thursday morning.

Tropical Storm #Humberto officially formed per NHC in "favorable environment w/ warm sea surface temperatures." Currently, over waters ~1°F warmer than avg (50x more likely from climate change) Next week: expected to interact with 2.5°F above avg waters (100x-300x more likely by human activities)

The U.S. generated a record 756,621 gigawatt-hours (GWh) of electricity from 🔅solar and 🍃wind in 2024... 🏡...enough to power the equivalent of more than 70 million average American homes. This is more than 3x what was generated just a decade ago. 🤠Texas led the way in wind generation in 2024

🗣️"Conversation & communication are a solution to climate change." Big thanks to "Hurricane" Hal for letting me come chat on the GeoTrek podcast to communicate the importance of communication & the way we are putting it to work at @climatecentral.org Check it out ⤵️ www.youtube.com/watch?v=OQAJ...

The leaves are trying to tell us something.

Over the last 24hrs, #Gabrielle capitalized on record ocean warmth to undergo Extreme Rapid Intensification, becoming a powerful 140mph Category 4. 🌡️Sea temps 2°-3°F ABOVE the late September average 🔴Ocean heat made at least 50x-100x MORE likely by human-caused climate change

Is it the first signs of fall? Or is it the first signs of drought? *Whispers "it's drought..."*

Happy Fall, Y'all! Climate change is putting the spice in our PSL as the season gets hotter across the entire U.S. Let's not leaf you hanging ⤵️ youtube.com/shorts/-2SqO...

Heat-trapping, carbon pollution drove excessive heat (aka more heat than even the "but it is summer" heat) across the globe over the past 3 months. Utilizing attribution science, we can understand the fingerprint of climate change on this heat. Let's dive into Texas 🧵

The doldrums of September... #bcstx

🌡️ Today marks the 108th 90°+ day this year in #bcstx. A new @climatecentral.org analysis shows climate change delays the start of fall. On average, we now endure 2–4 weeks more heat than our parents & grandparents did, with summer now stretching well into mid-October. 🧊 Iced PSL, anyone?

🌊The Gulf of Mexico is running hot(ter than it ever has) for early September. Waters that have been nearly untouched this summer/hurricane season are currently holding more heat than has ever been experienced in the era of modern record keeping. 🧵/1

🧓👶🧵

9:45am Sunday: tut, tut #bcstx