It's ironic to see a discipline care **so much** about unbiasedness (causal inference!) at the level of a single test but then have a research production system and culture that is basically a ferocious bias generation machine. This is not good.

I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.

The Iowa Gambling Task is an extreme example of Jingle Fallacy and schmeasurement. In 100 articles we found 244 different ways of scoring it, 177 were never reused. Correlations between them range -.99 to .99. At the same time, we show meta-analyses combine these results as if they’re equivalent.

Across 8 countries, large majorities back the #30x30 goal. Support grows when all nations share protection duties, richer nations pay more, more countries join in and “buying protection abroad” is barred. At home, people prefer nature-first siting and polluter-pays funding. https://bit.ly/4jALfRy

After a provocation from Todd Kashdan I wrote up some frustrations I have with "wellbeing science", specifically the idea that it was born with life satisfaction scales. I think this belief is untrue and unhelpful. profmarkfabian.substack.com/p/airing-my-...

We have reached a situation where (1) the time/resources spent by people applying for grant X often outweighs (2) the time/resources awarded. For these grants, society loses net time/resources. www.nature.com/articles/d41...

Martin Peterson's creative response to being banned from teaching Plato (shared with his permission).

Environmental social science post doc position in Gothenburg with highly recommended colleagues

Achieving the global 30by30 #biodiversity conservation targets requires political compromises & navigating conflicts. @michaelsen.bsky.social et al. found strong public support for the targets in 8 countries, which suggests expansion of protected areas is politically feasible doi.org/10.1073/pnas...

New: Strong global support for the 30x30 conservation target *Data from 5 continents (N=12k) show 82% in support of 30x30 *2 experiments find highly consistent expansion policy preferences, incl. prioritization of nature and rich countries bearing higher costs Out now OA in @pnas.org. Viz. below.

Hey! If social psychology could read they’d be very upset

🚨New paper!🚨 Meta-analysis on 4M p-values across 240k psych articles: How has psychology changed since the replication crisis began? How is replicability linked to citations, impact factor, and university prestige? 🧵 Paper: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... Interactive: pbogdan.com/meganal

Haven't read this yet, but this seems very important for #ExpEcon folks. 22–27% failed comprehension in the DG & UG; in the Trust Game and Public Goods Game, that number hit 70% and 52%. doi.org/10.1016/j.je... (Note saw posted on other site but author doesn't seem to be here, so making a new post)

🚨 New paper out in @pnas.org 🚨 Together with Armin Granulo and Christoph Fuchs, we explore how people respond to system-level policies—like bans or mandates— 𝘣𝘦𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘦 vs. 𝘢𝘧𝘵𝘦𝘳 they are implemented. Paper 🔗 doi.org/10.1073/pnas... Preprint 🔗 osf.io/preprints/ps... Open materials 🔗 osf.io/6qajn/

A new blog post by Lauren Yehle, @michaelsen.bsky.social, Niklas Harring, and Sverker C. Jagers - t.ly/cw_CR ! The article “Conservation for nature and wildlife’s sake: the effects of (non-)anthropocentric ethical justifications on policy acceptability” is available here: t.ly/HWHfQ

I knew publication bias in political science was bad; I didn't know it was this bad. "98.8% of abstracts report non-null results compared to only 16.9% reporting null findings." This is bad.

A new interesting article by Lauren Yehle, @michaelsen.bsky.social, Niklas Harring, and Sverker C. Jagers is now available. It is entitled “Conservation for nature and wildlife’s sake: the effects of (non-)anthropocentric ethical justifications on policy acceptability”. Enjoy it here: t.ly/HWHfQ

the fallout from the Francesca Gino research misconduct scandal isn't over. @engber.bsky.social writes about how an effort by some of her colleagues to self-audit their work with her ended up raising even more questions — for them personally and their whole field www.theatlantic.com/magazine/arc...

Abstracts deadline for the 4th annual International Behavioural Public Policy Conference is January 31st, 2025. Next year's conference will be in the UK, 10-12 September Full details on abstract submission: www.ibppa.org/conference-s...