“HE WILL NEVER LET YOU DOWN” the president says about a congressman who hasn’t been seen publicly in nearly three months, hasn’t voted since March 5, and has yet to tell his constituents where he is.

Ahead of tomorrow's big round of primaries, here's my thoughts on the races for #CAGovernor and #LAMayor, for @gamblingcom.bsky.social www.gambling.com/uk/news/cali...

My latest for @gamblingcom.bsky.social analyses the numerous implications, both short and longer term, of the Makerfield by-election. www.gambling.com/uk/news/make...

My latest for @gamblingcom.bsky.social analyses the numerous implications, both short and longer term, of the Makerfield by-election. www.gambling.com/uk/news/make...

Seems like it would be really easy to figure out a way to pay influencers to attack candidates in a multi-candidate primary field without those influencers knowing on whose behalf the money was coming from. 2028 gonna be a shitshow. www.semafor.com/article/05/2...

This policy is evil. Genuinely evil. Yet it has received no serious media scrutiny.

If you like data, here is something interesting for you: Bridget Phillipson interview on LK: 9m 40" LK number of interruptions/talking over: 31 Richard Tice interview on LK: 8m 23" LK number of interruptions/talking over: 9

My latest on the local elections. The Green surge looks overestimated outside London. Via @gamblingcom.bsky.social www.gambling.com/uk/news/uk-l...

My latest on the local elections. The Green surge looks overestimated outside London. Via @gamblingcom.bsky.social www.gambling.com/uk/news/uk-l...

The big problem with using MRPs for councils is that even if the vote shares are broadly right: 1. Overall vote shares don't translate straightforwardly to seats 2. They can't pick up independent groups (e.g. in Newham and Redbridge)

Voters often don't work like pundits or activists think – the Green/Reform floating voter is very much real, even if not necessarily super common. (just like there were UKIP to Labour switchers in 2017, because some of them liked Jeremy Corbyn).

My thoughts on and best bet for this week's Scottish parliament elections, for @gamblingcom.bsky.social www.gambling.com/uk/news/scot...

My thoughts on and best bet for this week's Scottish parliament elections, for @gamblingcom.bsky.social www.gambling.com/uk/news/scot...

Any 'political commentator' who fails to draw the blatantly obvious link between transnational organised crime and the far-right bullshit machine that has wrecked our politics, societies and brainwashed millions...is simply not serious.

Putin’s pal does Putin’s bidding. This posturing, puffed-up, Putin-loving, puppet making enemies everywhere else because that’s what Putin wants. America.. Do you have no shame?

Yet another policy which serves Russia.

My thoughts on the betting for next week's round of mayoral elections in London, via @gamblingcom.bsky.social www.gambling.com/uk/news/lond...

My thoughts on the betting for next week's round of mayoral elections in London, via @gamblingcom.bsky.social www.gambling.com/uk/news/lond...

The only logical explanation behind Trump's (countless) inexplicable policies is self sabotage.

With Labour expected to have a catastrophic set of elections on May 7th, the Newham Mayoral election looks one of the best value opportunities to oppose them. My latest for @gamblingcom.bsky.social www.gambling.com/uk/news/newh...

The Ethicist | My mail order trad wife found my Grindr account and is threatening to tell my right-wing podcast’s sponsors about it. Should I ask ICE to deport her?

#UKSR latest. Captured media ☑️ Captured state❔️

Countless examples of this during Trump's 2nd term. Countless layers of evidence linking Trump to transnational organised crime and Russia over 50 years. Yet 99% of pundits continue to report Trump statements seriously, and actions via a conventional political lens. #WTFU

Kleptocracy Now I love the smell of blatant corruption in the morning. #corruption #markets #insidertrading

My latest on the #Labour leadership for @gamblingcom.bsky.social How Keir Starmer's short-term survival will boost Andy Burnham's prospects. www.gambling.com/uk/news/next...

In the 1930s, Oswald Mosley claimed to be a patriot, while his British Union of Fascists was secretly funded by the Italian government. We are just beginning to grasp how much of the far right in the UK today has been funded by Viktor Orbán and Russian oil money. Their "patriotism" is always a con.

Some people are saying, many people, that Kemi Badenoch is a really bad person. Awful. The worst. A total disaster! A total looser! Sad!

Look who was in Moscow attending the Russian Orthodox Easter service. Not just Putin ( apparently heavily made up) but Elon Musk’s father (looking decidedly raddled).

“This is a trans-national effort, funded by Russian oil, to replace Western liberalism with a pro-Russian ideology... Orbán is not just the puppet that gives this packaged ideology a European face... he oversees the money laundering vehicles to fund the larger network” emptywheel.net/2026/04/07/p...

‼️ Sex trafficking, kidnapping, domestic violence hand signal :: Get involved. 🙌🏼

@nickturse.bsky.social on how DOD is covering up casualties. theintercept.com/2026/04/01/i...

So Kemi would have stood shoulder to shoulder with Trump on Day One but a month later - having committed British service personnel and weapons to attack Iran - she would have realised she'd made a mistake. Well, that really does inspire immense confidence.

Every single friend or ally of Trump ends up betrayed, denied, under the bus. Except Putin.

With Trump's administration mired in crises and his approvals at an all-time low, expect the betting on who controls the Senate to shift in the Democrats favour. My latest for @gamblingcom.bsky.social www.gambling.com/uk/news/us-s...

Eight sanctioned Russian tankers are currently in the English Channel but the Royal Navy is not seizing them, despite new powers to do so. inews.co.uk/news/putin-e...

“Russia took satellite images of a U.S. air base in Saudi Arabia three times in the days before Iran attacked the site and wounded American troops.” www.nbcnews.com/world/ukrain...

This analysis draws heavily on polling by @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social for @news.sky.com - there is a clear difference between the 2024 Reform vote and those who have defected from the Conservatives since (not to mention with the Tory loyalists who are still sticking with the party).

Countries banning all teenagers from social media because "their brains aren't developed enough to handle it", meanwhile nobody's talking about the percentage of retirement-aged adults who have irreversibly cooked their fucking brains on Facebook since 2020.

Big shout out to all the idiots among the commentariat who have frequently described Trump's actions in Venezuela as 'successful'.

It was a tradition. Donate millions via opaque measures to the government party. Get 40 times that in government contracts. Now the Woke Mob want to take all that away. H/T @nytpitchbot.bsky.social

My thoughts on the forthcoming Hungarian election. Orban faces his toughest challenge yet and is odds-on to lose, but can we trust the polls or process. Via @gamblingcom.bsky.social www.gambling.com/uk/news/hung...

Not even 🇪🇺 children have escaped the disaster of disinformation and radicalization. The EU Counter-Terrorism Coordinator warns that children as young as 12 are being radicalized online within weeks. Beyond jihadist threats, violent right- and left-wing ideologies are targeting young people online.

I would like to remind everyone about what children’s lives were like before people literally died fighting for workers rights and child labor laws. The elite pedophile class absolutely has NO qualms about sending your children to work from the moment they can walk. History tells us as much.

Trump lying? Surely not? That politicians, media, markets hang on his words is probably the stupidest thing that has ever happened.

Another bumper pay out for Trump and his cronies #oilprices #iranwar

The boss of the International Energy Agency said the crisis caused by the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz is worse than the two oil shocks of the 1970s and the gas shortage connected to Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine put together

Iran Mmmm…who to believe. Meanwhile the markets: up / down someone’s making 💰

How bettors should navigate a wide, divided field in next year's race to succeed Macron as French president, for @gamblingcom.bsky.social www.gambling.com/uk/news/fren...

I laid out (w/ @thefarce.org's help) that the Mueller Report was an impeachment referral that Democrats failed to act on. www.youtube.com/watch?v=x9us...

How it started. How it's going.