Excellent, Dame Maggie - and good discussion on the statistical likelihood of other life out there toward the end … certainly looking forward to the next chapter tomorrow …

"..the first known human H5N5 infection has captured a good deal of attention, but the `other' flu story we've been following this week has been the rapid spread of a new seasonal H3N2 subcade (K) virus, which emerged in the Southern Hemisphere" afludiary.blogspot.com/2025/11/cdc-...

If you're a clinician or researcher in Ireland feeling a little overwhelmed by statistics, join myself & @cathalwalsh.bsky.social on 11th October in SJH for a 6-credit CPD Essential Medical Statistics, where we'll demystify things together. Tickets here! www.eventbrite.ie/e/essential-...

@bromptonbicycle.bsky.social ir todos los días incluso por el camino español

This is outrageous but not without precedent ‘Stick to your principles and to the rules at all times. Never compromise. If you compromise in anything, you will not feel well with yourself, and it will create a liability that will come back to haunt you.’ rss.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

Leader Schumer: "What does a bad leader do when they get bad news? Shoot the messenger. That's just what happened with the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics."

It is very unfortunate that the US will no longer have any reliable federal statistics until Trump is gone. Even the best private job statistics, ADP, tends to be far off from the more comprehensive Bureau of Labor Statistics numbers. These statistics cannot be privatized.

🚨 Trump is demanding the firing of the Commissioner of Labor Statistics, Erika McEntarfer, because the jobs report was bad. When you can’t rig the numbers, fire the messenger. Classic authoritarian move.

BREAKING: President Trump fires the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics hours after weak jobs report.

The head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics during Trump’s first admin.

How does the risk of death change as we age?

We often now hear the term “Bayesian borrowing” in trials. But what is Bayesian borrowing and what are the pros and cons around its use? 1/6 #MethodologyMonday #122

We’ve all been in meetings like this on.ft.com/3GS1Ykp

But, look, he is speaking publicly, and they are saying nothing to him. Do the authorities really know that this is the Christ?

Nice commentary @stephensenn.bsky.social - needs as much attention as the original article!

www.linkedin.com/pulse/twin-p...?

XKCD has a Tukey quote for Tukey's 110th birthday xkcd.com/3104/ Many of his specific inventions have been made obsolete over time, but he was a major contributor to data analysis and visualisation being serious and respectable parts of statistics research

Does anyone else have problems with CAPTCHAs? Is the back of a traffic light not a traffic light? We live in a world where Completely Automated Public Turing tests tell Computers and Humans Apart but don’t!

What’s the evidence base here anyone know? And what are the regulatory aspects? It’s a curious ad I’ve seen a few times in a number of places.

I cannot fucking cope with this world of bullshitters.

“Lots of good statistical methods make use of two models… Perhaps, rather than trying to systematize all statistical learning into a single inferential framework, we would be better off embracing our twoishness” statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2011/06/20/t... via @seabbs.bsky.social

It is not only ok for you to say when you don't understand something, it's critical. Experts know their limits, almost by definition. Novices get swept up in hype.

Great quote David - ‘No amount of computation can compensate for ignorance!’

Many moons again, @cathalwalsh.bsky.social, @philipnolanmu.bsky.social, myself and others worked with the Irish Health Protection Surveillance Centre to create a permanent modelling and biostatistics unit. They are now advertising jobs for that unit. 88-110k. Perm FT about.hse.ie/jobs/job-sea...

Easy to miss bit of good news tucked away today - Govt is working with @wellcometrust.bsky.social to create a national health data service to simplify research - as recommended in the Sudlow review (see previous linked posts) on.ft.com/4ljJcBN

Wow - was just discussing this now at home when pouring the tea! (Milk in first of course for me.)

[quietly flips safety and moves finger towards Modus Tollens]

Underrated post …

Finally, it's here. Thanks to everyone who has registered. We are really looking forward to seeing you all tomorrow.

A great day for the short game in the oldest pitch and putt course in the World …

If you're not doing alt-text on images, you're missing the huge amount of fun that you could be having with it.

Fascinating article about a cluster of ALS cases. If you think about it, this is a situation in which the researchers skimmed a large number of variables and identified a correlate which is then considered the potential cause.> H/t @scientificdiscovery.dev www.theatlantic.com/health/archi...

Dr Mary Walsh launches the HipFORESST Project- 'Hip Fracture Outcome Recording – Empowering, Supporting and Sustaining Teams’. Funded by HRB, the project delivered 2 new resources co-designed with patients & partners incl. Age & Opportunity, Sage Advocacy and NOCA. #HipFORGE @marywalsh14.bsky.social

Since @hankgreen.bsky.social is in Dublin and mentioned the "over my dead body" story in TCD, I though I would redo my thread on women in TCD. A lot of this is in the book "A Danger to Men?", and particularly Lucinda Thomson's excellent chapter.

Turns out there is first mover advantage if you are a university nearly going bust www.researchprofessionalnews.com/rr-news-uk-u...

A big part of the problem is stupid people have been convinced by rich people that AI is God, when AI is closer to an automatic dog food dispenser.

If you're interested in statistics and evidence appraisal, @cathalwalsh.bsky.social and I are running this course in @trinitycollegeuoft.bsky.social next Thursday on Essential biostatistics - 6 CPD RCPI points, all interested clinicians and researchers welcome! www.tcd.ie/medicine/edu...

Access to reliable data and statistics is important to inform - and to enable the public to hold governments and other bodies to account on climate change (and their responses to it). This guide is predominantly aimed at navigating the UK’s data landscape while also extending out globally.

🤞

Attempt one at adapting an idea I saw during the week to explain some different likelihood-based tests.

Relatable! That or a sudden pressure to change your password, while projected in front of a packed classroom!

2/11: I grew up in a small town in Southern Italy in the 80s. Even though the measles vaccine was available at the time (measles vaccine was recommended in Italy for children >15 months in 1979), this didn't trickle down to our local healthcare provider. I was not vaccinated.

The Royal Statistical Society isn’t just for statisticians – we also support data analysts and data scientists. Join today and get involved: rss.org.uk/membership/j...

Excellent example @adamjkucharski.bsky.social - and access to Epiverse makes this easier to understand and examine different scenarios. ‘Or parallel epiverses?’ even!

SPOTTED: Check and balances on the US constitution

Love this quote by Jacob Bronowski about the idealised view of the scholar. Then I think about Elon Musk, FRS