And Amelie Theussen, Royal Danish Defence College Karsten @kafriis.bsky.social , Norwegian Institute of International Affairs

These are the indicative estimates of Russia’s combat losses as of Sept. 27, according to the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

Atlandi-ülesed sidemed ja USA heidutusvõime olid peamine põhjus, miks Põhjamaad ja Balti riigid liitusid NATO-ga. Karsten Friis arutleb, kuidas hakkama saada, kui USA peaks astuma sammu tagasi Euroopa julgeoleku tagamisest. @kafriis.bsky.social #LennartMeriConference

Jeg har gjestet @ukrainapodden.bsky.social NATO, Trump, Europa med mer. @nupinytt.bsky.social

It was great to sit down with @maxbergmann.bsky.social @csis.org and Neil Melvin @rusi.bsky.social to discuss transatlantic security after Trump's first 150 or so days.

Has military activity increased in the Arctic as a result of Russia's war against Ukraine? Read my latest and find out 😀

As President Donald Trump upends the U.S. foreign policy, negotiating closer relations with Russia, threatening NATO allies and pausing cooperation with Ukraine, Washington’s traditional partners — and best customers — are rethinking their dependence on American weapons systems.

Witkoff's repeating of Kremlin lies about "russian-speakers" wanting to "join Russia" is truly chilling. This is nothing less than carte blanche for Putin's genocidal imperialism. Hearing Americans talk like this should be an electric shock for Europe, not a wakeup call.

85 mrd til 🇺🇦 er jeg redd blir gårsdagens svar på dagens utfordringer. Norge bør lage et fond på 1000 mrd kr for 🇺🇦 og europeiske forsvarsinvesteringer. Inkludert kjøpe våpen fra 🇺🇲

The US is stopping military aid to Ukraine, prioritizing peace talks, said Trump administration spokesperson Karoline Leavitt. We are no longer going to write blank checks for a war in a very distant country without real lasting peace, she added.

"69% of Republican voters say Russia is the aggressor and 83% disapprove of Putin" www.wsj.com/opinion/most...

Nå må Norge handle! Det kan bli veldig dyrt å vente.

Nå er tiden inne for tydelige strategiske beslutninger. Mine refleksjoner fra München-konferansen

En dramatisk München-konferanse. Her er min analyse

NUPI is as always strongly represented at the Munich Security Conference @nupinytt.bsky.social

Kaja Kallas declared that Europe will back Ukraine if it rejects a U.S.-Russia deal. "Any agreement without Ukraine and Europe will fail... Ukraine will resist, and Europe will support it." - Head of the European External Action Service.

The best analysis thus far by Sven Biscob. Let's forget about peacekeepers. It would be deterrence forces.

Europe should agree to spend as much % of GDP on defence as the US does. Simple rule. Ca. 3.3 today.

1/2 The idea of European peacekeepers in 🇺🇦 in case of a cesefire is totally unrealistic. Europe simply doesn't have the troops. The idea is also very "20th Century", such as 🇧🇦 and 🇽🇰.

Ikke enig i overskriften. Kommenterer i artikkelen. I 2024 utgjorde sol og vind 28% av Europas energimiks, mens gass var 16%, og trenden er nedadgående. Av de 16% leverte Norge ca 30%. Så norsk gass er altså en beskjeden del av Europas totale energimix, men viktig for noen land, slik som 🇬🇧

In @nytopinion.nytimes.com How Americans and the world handle Donald Trump "will determine much about the next four years, and it will ask much from all of us," the New York Times editorial board writes. "We must meet the moment." Read more here: nyti.ms/4hrd4Kd

Tull og tøys fra en østerriksk general.

The Russian economy has been shrinking, not growing, since 2022. Inflation may be around 20%. www.dagsavisen.no/debatt/2025/...

Russlands økonomi er mer skakkjørt enn mange tror. @nupinytt.bsky.social

The global economy is growing more and more dependent on critical minerals. There are vast reserves of these minerals in Ukraine. Margus @tsahkna.bsky.social in @TheNatlInterest @CFTNI

USA har ikke basert i Norge. Det de har er en avtale hvor det amerikanske forsvaret kan gjøre investeringer inne på norske militære baser.

Trump-administrasjonens signaler mht Ukraina er bedre enn man kunne fryktet

Was it sabotage or an accident when critical infrastructure was destroyed in the Baltic Sea by ships dragging their anchor across the seabed? I have collected some thoughts in this Q&A style blog post.

Russland prøver seg på splitt og hersk. Det vil feile

Vil Trump igjen la seg manipulere av Putin? For st toppmøtet skal lede til noe positivt må de være godt forberedt og det må være vilje til bevegelse. @nupinytt.bsky.social

Serbia is facing a two-pronged squeeze on its energy supplies, with U.S. sanctions targeting its main gas and oil company over Russian ownership and Azerbaijan claiming to not be able to deliver on its supply — at the exact same time.

"The Baltics should belong to Russia", according to Russian MP and deputy head of the Defense Committee of the Duma, Aleksei Zhuravlev. In particular, he claimed that Vilnius, the capital of Lithuania was rightfully Russian, as it was part of the Russian Empire.

Når Eira kaster seg inn i norsk forsvarsdebatt bør vi lytte. Men NATO-medlemskapet stiller Norge i en litt annen posisjon en Ukraina

The 25th Ramstein meeting brought key pledges for Ukraine's defense: 🇬🇧 UK to provide 30k FPV drones; 🇳🇴 Norway allocates $61M for drone coalition; 🇩🇪 Germany pledges more air defense & armored vehicles; 🇵🇱 Poland to strengthen tank coalition; 🇪🇺 EU ready to lead if US steps back.

Jeg har delt noen refleksjoner om Trump og Grønland. Med @gunhildhg.bsky.social og Iver Neumann. Tror dog det er litt tidlig å konkludere hva dette betyr. Han sier jo mye rart hele tiden

My first contribution to this excellent podcast. About - of all things - Svalbard.

When asked about whether such a move caused any kind of emergency in Slovakia, she said that the Gas Coordination Group held talks last week and concluded that "there are no security supplies issues or concerns for the European Union following the end of the transit."

Trump må få Putin til å forhandle, og det er ikke enkelt. Hva han skal gjøre for å få det til, vet vi ikke.

SitRep - 05/01/25 - ❗️The AFU restarted offensive operations in the Kursk region. An overview of the daily events in Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Everything was focussed on one thing today: the AFU has restarted offensive operations in the Kursk region. REPOST=appreciated 1/X

"Salami tactics" and "gradualism" have been the (successful) strategy of the Biden administration, the authors argue. Perhaps they are fitting labels for the tactics, but I cannot see how it was a strategy. Because we still don't know the objective or desired end-state

Montenegro’s government began a three-day mourning period after a gunman opened fire on New Year’s Day — killing 12 people. Prime Minister Milojko Spajic said that an upcoming national security meeting will now consider a “complete ban on gun ownership.”

Ukraine hails a historic day, as it stops the transit of Russian gas via its territory. It means stopping the flow of funds back to Moscow - to pay for missiles and bombs For Moldova, though, the move is problematic - and it looks like Moscow is making the most of that www.bbc.com/news/article...

If you are looking for reliable news - here is a starter pack of #BBCNews journos and freelancers who make excellent #BBC content in London and globally, worth checking out go.bsky.app/8gWbLmD For Nations and Regions: go.bsky.app/KKH2HFp For ex-BBC colleagues: go.bsky.app/R4AXuoc

With 100,000 protesters, the student-led demonstration against corruption held on Sunday in downtown Belgrade was one the largest rallies in Serbian history. The future’s in the air!

Hele NUPI-debatten om norsk utenrikspolitikk her. @nupinytt.bsky.social

Very worth reading (and taking to heart) by my excellent colleague @asliaydintasbas 👇 www.politico.com/news/magazin...

🇺🇦 NATO will not only supply weapons to Ukraine but also purchase Ukrainian-made weapons, said NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte. He also noted that allies have provided Ukraine with 19 air defense systems to protect critical infrastructure.

Hard not to escape the conclusion that the Korean political system is more resilient than the US system

So, since Putin has launched his full-scale invasion of Ukraine, his actions have caused Sweden and Finland to join NATO and it looks like Russia to lose its base in Syria because it cant keep enough forces in the area--and yet the Russians have only conquered a relatively small part of Ukraine...