Preprint and the website by @dingdingpeng.the100.ci and @vincentab.bsky.social are great, and I got inspired to illustrate Bayesian workflow for model checking and comparison *before* model interpretation following their friendship importance example users.aalto.fi/~ave/casestu...

The Book of Statistical Proofs @statproofbook.bsky.social #stats statproofbook.github.io

Ever stared at a table of regression coefficients & wondered what you're doing with your life? Very excited to share this gentle introduction to another way of making sense of statistical models (w @vincentab.bsky.social) Preprint: doi.org/10.31234/osf... Website: j-rohrer.github.io/marginal-psy...

possibly one of the most exciting theory papers in recent times, and just perfect that it's out there in the best sociology journal (imho). from @acastroaraujo.bsky.social & @nicolasrestrepo.bsky.social:

One more reason to be on CV.

New #rstats blog up! solomonkurz.netlify.app/blog/2025-07... This is the first in a brief series where we use {brms} to learn {Stan} code. Many thanks to @fusaroli.bsky.social and @stephenjwild.bsky.social for their helpful reviews.

{tinytable} is a dead simple, ultra-flexible, and dependency-free #Rstats 📦 to turn data frames into beautiful tables: html, word, pdf, latex, typst, markdown, etc. v0.10.0 has cool new features and important bug fixes. Check out the detailed tutorials at: vincentarelbundock.github.io/tinytable/

TBH, I don't think we are "few" acastroaraujo.github.io/blog/posts/2...

Oh, no: www.york.ac.uk/depts/maths/...

Every time I write "the literature is mixed" what I mean is "I don't want to talk about it"

New Substack post It's very personal: my story of a 20-year academic career, and the many challenges of theoretical and cross-disciplinary work As I put it in the subtitle: There is a lot of success and a lot of pain here, and no happy ending thomscottphillips.substack.com/p/happy-in-t...

This is discouraging (in a good way). I guess things will get very complicated very quickly.

The "Getting Started in R - Tinyverse Edition" eight-page pdf guide now has a 2nd edition using, appropriately, `tinyplot` as the plotting package. See github.com/eddelbuettel... for more. #rstats

Not aging well (btw authors did not claim that).

I think this part is quite helpful if you want to figure out why you would like to use variables argument with avg_predictions: marginaleffects.com/chapters/com...

Hey I know this, it’s my life (minus decent career) but

I spoke with @cathleenogrady.bsky.social for this story on the many analysts paper in ecology. To me the concerning thing is the interpretation, not the (expected) finding. www.science.org/content/arti...

FRESH WORK After 10 years of work on the sentence-based version of my History of Philosophy, I created an auxiliary interactive visualization, a force-directed graph with philosophers as nodes. Link: denizcemonduygu.com/philo/philos... Detailed post: www.denizcemonduygu.com/philo/new-fo...

There are many difficulties in studying multicausal events, but the one that interests me is the problem that these causes operate on different time scales. Are there any good resources on this topic?

Older books (and their covers) have their own charm.

Contrapositives are for cowards. Behold.

This sounds like the same error I blogged about a few years ago, the common error of trying to control for population (or body size or many etc) by dividing the outcome variable by it. Props to the authors for seeking review and taking the issue seriously. Role models for us all.

Sometimes you have to write “Truth and Probability” just because Margaret won’t fuck with you. open.substack.com/pub/rottenan...

That Perozzo figure

As expected, the APC talk for the sociologists was a lot of fun! In case you're curious, you can find the slides here: osf.io/mvqkx

Turning the knobs of an old radio in my grandparents’ guest room. I could still imagine the discrete movement and hear the full click sound after more than 30 years.

We're hiring: Fully funded 3-year PhD position in Sociology, here in wonderful Copenhagen, Denmark! Come work with us! employment.ku.dk/phd/?show=16...

Thinking about Elster's critique of Bourdieu, Foucault, etc., we should still ask cui bono.

The only paper that I knew we would accept when I read it on first submission was the Preferred Reporting Items for Complex Sample Survey Analysis (PRICSSA checklist) by Seidenberg, Moser, and @bradytwest.bsky.social. doi.org/10.1093/jssa...

Not the bluesky you want but the bluesky you get: www.blueskystatistics.com

From Stinchcombe (1984) "The Origins of Sociology as a Discipline"

We are delighted to announce a call for papers for a forthcoming special issue on ESR @europeansocreview.bsky.social Education and Social Mobility: Celebrating Richard Breen’s Contribution to Sociology Deadline for submission: 15 of June 2025 More details on the call 👇

I taught some probabilistic programming yesterday, specifically the eternal battle against the demons of floating point arithmetic. I have an old (2023) 15 minute bonus lecture online on the topic, for those who fancy battling monsters. Link to video (starts at 1h mark): youtu.be/mt9WKbQJrI4?...

For me, it’s always felt weird to use the ATT to find a treatment effect using only treated people. But this neat paper by @noahgreifer.bsky.social and @lizstuart.bsky.social explains why the ATT is actually useful (And shoutout to @lucystats.bsky.social for the mirrored histogram idea)

𝚝𝚒𝚗𝚢𝚝𝚊𝚋𝚕𝚎 0.6.1 for #Rstats is out! It's an ultra simple, super flexible, and 0-dependency package to draw beautiful tables in HTML, LaTeX, Typst, Word, PDF, and PNG. And for those who ❤️ documentation, 𝚝𝚒𝚗𝚢𝚝𝚊𝚋𝚕𝚎 ships with a billion pages of tutorials: vincentarelbundock.github.io/tinytable/

Anyone else teaching multiple OLS to sociology undergrads and putting the focus on causal inference with Angrist & Pischke's "Mastering Metrics"? Would love to chat and share ideas. Here's my material: merlin-ols.netlify.app

I am recruiting 1-2 PhD students for Fall 2025 at Princeton to work on Comp Social Science/Societal Impact of GenAI/GenAI for SocSci I wrote a bit on research flavor & interests here: manoelhortaribeiro.github.io/advising Deadline: December 15th www.cs.princeton.edu/grad#prospec... Please boost!

With #rstats re-gathering I’m reposting some of my past blog posts, including my most popular one: "Marginalia" Have you wondered what marginal and conditional effects are? Have you been confused how "marginal" can mean both an integral *and* a slope? Read on for the magic of {marginaleffects}!

Almost a decade ago, I shocked the class by saying "Acemoğlu" in the Democratization and Regime Transition course at UF. I remember some people fainted when they heard the correct pronunciation.

I am also curious about this. For example, does anyone use Agents.jl: juliadynamics.github.io/Agents.jl/st...