@crisisgroup.org’s @dmoravera.bsky.social is in Guadalajara and tells of today’s events

Our most recent @crisisgroup.org report on #Haiti in creole

📅 ONLINE EVENT | Violence and Organised Crime in Ecuador 🕐 2 December | 10am Quito | 10am New York | 4pm Brussels w/ @glaeldys.bsky.social, Karol Norona, Guido Núñez and @renatasegura.bsky.social. Registration ⬇️ us06web.zoom.us/webinar/regi...

Glad to speak with @yvonnemurray.bsky.social of @news.rte.ie about the lethal US maritime strikes and be quoted along with @jwrchappell.bsky.social and my @crisisgroup.org colleague @renatasegura.bsky.social. www.rte.ie/news/analysi...

More than 1800 detainees are missing after the closure of Alligator Alcatraz. Their families and lawyers can’t find them and they’ve vanished from the ICE database. Feels like this should be a much bigger story www.miamiherald.com/news/local/i...

Today marks a year since the Sinaloa Cartel’s two largest factions, Chapitos and Mayos, fell into a deadly wave of infighting after the former kidnapped and rendered “El Mayo” Zambada to U.S. authorities. I visited the state recently for @crisisgroup.org and this is some of what I saw.

NUEVA PUBLICACIÓN | La maldición del oro: Minería y violencia en el sur de Venezuela La minería ilegal de oro está causando estragos en el sur de Venezuela. Aunque es difícil persuadir a Caracas, los gobiernos extranjeros deben presionar por medidas para frenar los daños que conlleva.

Yesterday’s municipal elections consolidate Maduro’s firm grasp on the a Venezuelan state, a year after the presidential election fraud. Phil Gunson, my International Crisis Group colleague, comments here: www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...

“It depends if you look Hispanic.” From Forbes: www.forbes.com/sites/stuart...

¿Fueron las elecciones del 25 de marzo el fin de una ruta electoral para salir del conflicto en Venezuela? @philgunson, mi colega en @ICGlatam, explica ⬇️ www.crisisgroup.org/es/latin-ame...

How is the Venezuelan opposition standing after the 25 March parliamentary elections, boycotted by most parties? @philgunson.bsky.social explains in this brief commentary ⬇️

On Sunday, Mexico will be choosing close to 2,600 judges – a first in the country and the world. The election has been deeply dividing and turnout will be low. In this @crisisgroup.org Q&A we dive into the controversial move and the potential outcomes for the violence crisis and sky-high impunity.

This Sunday, #Mexico starts popular elections to replace ALL its judges. What is the origin of this reform and why has it been so controversial? @crisisgroup.org’s @dmoravera.bsky.social explains here ⬇️ www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...

In her recent field work, @dickinsonbeth.bsky.social learnt that child recruitment is central to #Colombian armed and criminal groups’ viability. She zooms in Cauca, but this piece should be a 🚩 for the entire country. Don’t miss this⬇️

Do read @dmoravera.bsky.social’s first piece for @latam.crisisgroup.org examining how Mexico has been shaping its security policy under Trump’s pressure ⬇️

A Mexican once said about their country, “so far from God, so close to the US”, an apt metaphor for the turn in relations since Trump returned to power 100 days ago. Read @dmoravera.bsky.social analysis on what has happened and what the future will bring ⬇️ www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...

Venezuela will hold polls to elect leaders of a newly created state that includes large portions of neighboring Guyana, as they up their claims over the Essequibo. @philgunson.bsky.social explains in @crisisgroup.org most recent Q&A www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...

New @crisisgroup.org War & Peace pod features Elissa Jobson & me in conversation with @dickinsonbeth.bsky.social & @renatasegura.bsky.social about what shifts in Latin American drug trade mean for Europe and EU policy, including approaches to reduce the resulting violence.

In case you missed the awful news out of Jalisco, #Mexico, our new @latam.crisisgroup.org member @dmoravera.bsky.social explains here for The World theworld.org/segments/202...

It’s rare that so many of us from @CrisisGroup LATAM program are in the same city, and it’s such a joy! And happy to introduce @dmoravera.bsky.social, our new Mexico senior analyst- do follow him.

Muy agradecidos con la Consejería Comisionada de Paz por recibirnos en #Bogotá y por la oportunidad de conversar sobre nuestro nuevo informe "Mitigar la violencia en los centros de narcotráfico en América Latina" @renatasegura.bsky.social, @ibriscoe.bsky.social, @dickinsonbeth.bsky.social.

Hoy lanzamos en Bogotá, Colombia, el informe "Mitigar la violencia en los centros de narcotráfico en América Latina", en un panel con @renatasegura.bsky.social, @ibriscoe.bsky.social, @dickinsonbeth.bsky.social, Angélica Ospina y @rodrigouprimny.bsky.social.

Drug trafficking networks across Latin America are fragmented, fluid & resilient. We @crisisgroup.org set out to map the new ecosystem and understand why a criminal reconfiguration is generating waves of violence, particularly directed at communities 🧵👇 www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...

UPDATE—Mahmoud's attorney says they do NOT know where he is. They were first told he was sent to an ICE facility in Elizabeth, NJ. But when his 8-month-pregnant wife tried to visit him, she was told he's not there. They've received reports he may be sent as far away as Louisiana.

Today, @renatasegura.bsky.social spoke with Emmanuela Douyon, Frantz Duval, @diegodarin.bsky.social, and @fortid.crisisgroup.org about our new report “Locked in Transition: Politics and Violence in #Haiti”. 📹 Watch the full event here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=S0pz...

ONLINE EVENT | Violence and Politics in Haiti’s Transitional Government 26 February | 10am Port-Au-Prince | 4pm Brussels | 10am New York @emmadouyon.bsky.social, Frantz Duval, @fortid.crisisgroup.org, @diegodarin.bsky.social, @renatasegura.bsky.social Registration: us06web.zoom.us/webinar/regi...

“"Bad elections are better than no elections” Hmmmm. No.

Join us next week for what promises to be a fascinating conversation!

Read @crisisgroup.org's new report on Haiti. Based in @diegodarin.bsky.social's extensive fieldwork, it examines how political infighting in the transitional gvt has gotten on the way of reducing violence, safe elections and an inclusive constitutional reform. www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...

“The longstanding practice” 😳

Aboard the 2 flights that deported 190 people back to Caracas last week were 2 people who'd deserted #Venezuela’s military. The Trump administration delivered them right back to the dictatorship. The feared Interior Minister says, “They are being given the appropriate treatment.” Well done, folks.

Journalists: @crisisgroup.org will publish the report ‘Locked in Transition: Politics and Violence in #Haiti’ on 19 February 2025. Contact [email protected] or send a DM for an embargoed copy and/or interview requests.

The specifics of this absurd proposal matter less than the further normalization of the notion of U.S. armed action (public or private) in Mexico.

Ecuador is going to the polls on Sunday, after going from being one of the most peaceful countries in the region to having the highest rate of murders in South America. @glaeldys.bsky.social explains in this Q&A what is at stake Do read! www.crisisgroup.org/es/latin-ame...

The Trump administration has ordered a 90-day pause in virtually all foreign aid. This decision has major implications for Latin America, affecting everything from security operations in Colombia and Haiti to protecting civic space in Venezuela. A 🧵 on its most worrisome effects

I want to spell out the basic reason it’s so dangerous for Elon to have control of the U.S. payments system. It may seem like a technical matter, but the dynamics are simple. 1/x

It is no exaggeration to say that there is deep panic in the defense sector. Already, I am hearing conversations contemplating a shift - for Colombia's own security - to diversify defense cooperation away from just relying on the West. www.eltiempo.com/unidad-inves...

Roughly 75% of #Colombia's police helicopters rely on US support for refueling. Today, as a result of INL freeze, they are grounded. This comes just as the country is facing a deep security crisis and needs air support to resupply, conduct operations. www.elespectador.com/judicial/ee-...

With the collapse of the talk with the ELN, #Colombia's gvt is reassesing the future of it's flagship "Total Peace" policy. We examine the lessons learnt and how to move forward in @CrisisGroup's Watch List www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...

Todos los años, Crisis Group destaca los 10 conflictos que necesitan la atención mundial. Esta es nuestra lista para 2025. En nuestra region, destacamos la crisis de Haití y las posibles tensiones entre Estados Unidos y México. La lista entera t.co/REXOaEcDwt

To promote stability in Haiti, the country’s foreign allies must step up their financial contributions to the Multinational Security Support mission—an international peacekeeping force working to reduce gang violence, write @renatasegura.bsky.social and Diego Da Rin.

"It is worth recognizing that the mood in the Security Council over Syria is more constructive than at any point for most of the past decade." @mayaungar.bsky.social and I end 2024 on an unexpectedly positive note about the UNSC and Syria. www.worldpoliticsreview.com/un-syria-ass...

Mi colega de @ICGlatam @philgunson explica por qué un regreso a la máxima presión no es el camino para resolver los problemas en #Venezuela elpais.com/america/2024...

I've been coming to Kramers bookstore ever since I started my pilgrimages to Washington a couple of decades ago. A bit surreal to see my own book displayed on the shelf now. Hurry—only one more copy signed by the author!

#Bolivia celebra hoy sus elecciones judiciales. Es uno de los pocos países donde los jueces 👩‍⚖️👨‍⚖️ son elegidos por votación popular, un sistema vigente desde 2009. Un 🧵 de @glaeldys.bsky.social con las claves para entender cómo funciona y qué podemos esperar de la jornada electoral.

📽️ VIDEO | Hace dos años se desencadenaron en #Perú masivas protestas que fueron reprimidas y dejaron decenas de personas muertas. ¿Cuáles son las raíces de la desconfianza en las instituciones y la inestabilidad política que atraviesa el país? 🔽 youtu.be/w7Z9RLATvIY

At least 184 people killed in Port-au-Prince’s Cite de Soleil neighborhood. The MSS said to the NYT they were not aware of the killings. www.nytimes.com/2024/12/08/w...

I realized that the estimated number of gang members/affiliates in #Haiti (12000) is almost the same as the total of #Colombia's FARC members that demovilized (13k+), and they are all in one city and its surrounding areas. The challenge to help #Haiti is extraordinary.

For months, the fight between Bolivia’s president Arce and Evo Morales has brought the Andean country to the brink of a dramatic crisis. @crisisgroup.org’s @glaeldys.bsky.social explains in this Q&A what is happening and the risks of electoral violence in 2025 ⬇️ www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...