NEW ANALYST’S NOTEBOOK | UN Lifts Sanctions on Syria’s President as White House Visit Beckons @mayaungar.bsky.social analyses the U.S.-led diplomatic push ahead of a planned meeting between Ahmed al-Sharaa and Donald Trump. www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...

NEW Q&A | Why is Trump Threatening a Humanitarian Intervention in Nigeria? Relations between the countries have soured amid the Trump administration’s allegations that Nigerian Christians are being slaughtered en masse. We explain the implications. www.crisisgroup.org/africa/niger...

“Both sides in Sudan essentially now have their own governments. You can see the country moving and sinking deeper into what is a de facto partition.” Horn of Africa Director, Alan Boswell, discusses the fall of El Fasher in Darfur with @theguardian.com. www.theguardian.com/news/audio/2...

The boat strikes against alleged drug smugglers in the Caribbean highlights why Congress needs to push back against a Trump administration's further encroachment upon its constitutional prerogatives on the use of military force, writes @bcfinucane.bsky.social. www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...

I talked to @thenationalnews.com about why a UNSC mandate is necessary to backstop a stabilization force in Gaza. www.thenationalnews.com/news/2025/11...

Grim irony that the Trump administration’s argument for disregarding the War Powers Resolution to continue the lawless killing of civilians at sea echoes the Obama administration’s argument for disregarding the WPR to do humanitarian intervention in Libya. www.justsecurity.org/123844/war-p...

A changing landscape in the prevention and mediation of global conflicts - @comfortero.crisisgroup.org, President & CEO of @crisisgroup.org, on how shifting power dynamics, new actors, and rising instability are redefining the art of peacebuilding. www.youtube.com/live/azqt5RV...

HOY | Acompáñanos esta tarde en la UNAM para el conversatorio con la presidenta de @crisisgroup.org, @comfortero.crisisgroup.org, sobre el panorama cambiante de la mediación y la prevención de conflictos armados. 📅 5 de noviembre, 4:30 p.m. 📍Sala 1, Unidad de posgrado, Ciudad Universitaria.

🎧 NEW EPISODE | The Horn This week, we discuss how a shifting global order is reshaping the landscape for mediation and Ankara’s efforts to resolve conflicts in the Horn of Africa. In partnership with FES Online. www.crisisgroup.org/africa/horn-...

✍️ NEW OP-ED | Dissecting the Trump Administration’s Effort to Circumvent the War Powers Resolution for Boat Strikes The case is yet another legal abuse and arrogation of power by the executive, writes @bcfinucane.bsky.social in @justsecurity.org. www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...

I talked to @alarabiyanet.bsky.social about the history of @crisisgroup.org, the state of the UN, peace prospects in Gaza and other conflicts high on our radar. www.youtube.com/watch?v=fDvM...

China has dramatically expanded its presence and influence across the Pacific Islands with the intent to strategically align the region more closely with its own interests, I argue in a new essay for @foreignaffairs.com based on two years of research for @crisisgroup.org. Direct link is below.

🚨 New update from our global conflict tracker. 🔍 1 conflict in focus ⚡️ 10 risk alerts in November ↘️ 12 conflict deteriorations ↗️ 7 improved situations 🕊️ 3 resolution opportunities www.crisisgroup.org/crisiswatch?...

NEW ANALYST’S NOTEBOOK | El Fasher: A Bloody New Chapter in Sudan’s Ruinous War Shewit Woldemichael assesses the implications of the fall of North Darfur’s bitterly contested capital. www.crisisgroup.org/africa/sudan...

NEW UPDATE | On Our Radar 🇦🇫 🇵🇰 Ceasefire struck on the Afghan-Pakistani frontier extended. 🇮🇱 🇵🇸 Israeli strikes on Gaza leave over 200 Palestinians dead. 🇲🇦 Civil society groups face a crackdown in Morocco. www.crisisgroup.org/global/our-r...

Pleased that this @economist.com essay cites our @crisisgroup.org analysis of the Trump administration’s lethal maritime strikes.

Sudan now has two competing centres of power. El Fasher’s fall will have profound consequences for the country, deepening the country’s de facto partition. Our expert unpacks the city’s fall. www.crisisgroup.org/africa/sudan...

NEW ANALYST’S NOTEBOOK | Israeli Ground Incursion Raises Spectre of Israel-Lebanon Clash David Wood considers the rising risk of Israel and Lebanon’s armies entering into direct confrontation. www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...

🎧 NEW EPISODE | The Horn This week, Alan Boswell is joined by Edmund Yakani to discuss the trial of South Sudan’s first vice president and former rebel leader Riek Machar, as the country slips deeper into a political crisis. www.crisisgroup.org/africa/south...

These are not in fact "terrorists." But the administration's playbook here—repurposing the war on terror framing and toolkit—has been obvious for many months now. From April: www.crisisgroup.org/united-state...

Spoke to @telegraphnews.bsky.social about the Caribbean military buildup. “It is as a show of force, sabre rattling, gunboat policy intended to put pressure on Mr Maduro with the goal of forcing him to step down.” www.telegraph.co.uk/us/news/2025...

Pleased to speak with the BBC yesterday evening about the legal and policy issues implicated by the lethal US maritime strikes, including what distinguishes these strikes from targeted killings in the armed conflicts with al Qaeda and ISIS.

I wrote this essay for @justsecurity.org after the first lawless US maritime strike on September 2nd. Unfortunately, it is once again relevant—with the now 14th lawless strike. www.justsecurity.org/120568/carib...

NEW COMMENTARY | Making the Most of the Trump-Xi Meeting Donald Trump and Xi Jinping should use the opportunity to de-escalate the U.S.-China trade standoff, steady bilateral relations and discuss the establishment of a new equilibrium in Asia. www.crisisgroup.org/asia-pacific...

تُعيد حكومة اليمين المتطرف في إسرائيل هيكلة احتلال الضفة الغربية تدريجيًا بهدف ترسيخ سيطرة دائمة. على الجهات الفاعلة الخارجية اغتنام الفرصة الدبلوماسية بعد وقف إطلاق النار في غزة للتحرك. www.crisisgroup.org/ar/visual-ex...

🎧 SPECIAL EPISODE | Hold Your Fire! Our experts discuss what the RSF’s takeover of Darfur’s El Fasher means for the trajectory of Sudan’s war and hopes for peace. www.crisisgroup.org/africa/sudan...

In Cameroon: Efforts to defuse the standoff are sorely needed, but there are no easy fixes. As protests mount, Biya should quickly initiate a high-level forum mediated by faith leaders to discuss a way forward for the country. www.crisisgroup.org/africa/camer...

NEW STATEMENT | Defusing Cameroon’s Dangerous Electoral Standoff Authorities have proclaimed Paul Biya the winner of the presidential election, setting off a wave of demonstrations. Urgent talks are needed to stave off further unrest. www.crisisgroup.org/africa/camer...

✍️ NEW OP-ED | Why Somalia Is at a Crossroads Political disputes are causing paralysis and threatening to spill over into violence. At the same time, notorious Islamist groups are on the offensive, writes Omar Mahmood. www.crisisgroup.org/africa/somal...

"The United Nations is an institution that is having to take a crash diet." Read my diet tips for the UN. mondediplo.com/2025/10/14un

Consolidating Gaza’s truce amid allegations of breaches on both sides and flares of violence is an immediate need. Outside powers must pressure and incentivise Israel and Hamas to hold to the ceasefire. www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...

“People saw that they didn't have a future with politics, or they couldn’t imagine that politics would bring positive change to the country.” Our Deputy Program Director, Rinaldo Dipagne, unpacks the results of Côte d’Ivoire’s elections with @reuters.com. www.reuters.com/world/africa...

Glad to see the @economist.com cite our @crisisgroup.org analysis on Venezuela. www.economist.com/the-americas...

In case you want to read our @crisisgroup.org statement on Venezuela. www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...

🚨 NEW ANNOUNCEMENT | Julius Gaudio Appointed to Crisis Group’s Board of Directors @crisisgroup.org is delighted to announce the appointment of Julius Gaudio to its Board of Directors. www.crisisgroup.org/who-we-are/c...

“I have been covering these countries for a long time, and I have never been so worried about their futures.” @sahel.crisisgroup.org Deputy Director, Ibrahim Yahaya, in @washingtonpost.com about security in the Sahel, amid JNIM's pressure campaign in #Mali. www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/1...

“Paul Biya now has a notably shaky mandate given many of his own citizens don’t believe he won the election.” Our Africa Programme Director, Murithi Mutiga, speaks with @financialtimes.com about Cameroon’s unfolding and deepening political crisis. www.ft.com/content/ce09...

Good & detailed analysis of the US campaign in Venezuela, including the prospect of a war. "The risks of violence in any post-Maduro scenario should not be downplayed. Many senior military officers could resist regime change." www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...

Pleased to see our @crisisgroup.org analysis cited in the @economist.com. www.economist.com/united-state...

Glad @60minutes.bsky.social featured the keen insights of my @crisisgroup.org colleague Phil Gunson on the situation in Venezuela. www.cbsnews.com/news/nicolas...

NEW UPDATE | On Our Radar 🇨🇲 Police clash with demonstrators in Cameroon alleging fraud in the presidential election. 🇵🇪 Peru’s Interim President announces a 30-day state of emergency. 🇾🇪 Houthis crackdown on the UN and international NGOs in Yemen. www.crisisgroup.org/global/our-r...

NEW COMMENTARY | Retooling the Trump Administration’s Somalia Policy The U.S. has backstopped the Somali federal government’s campaign against Al-Shabaab, even as frustration has grown. Washington should consider how to resolve this longstanding dilemma. www.crisisgroup.org/africa/somal...

NEW from @crisisgroup.org: Using military force to attempt regime change in Caracas would be folly. www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...

The U.S. pressure campaign in the Caribbean risks destabilizing the broader Andes region, with potentially catastrophic spillover effects. Our latest statement from @CrisisGroup 🧵 on Colombia takeaways 👇 www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...

NEW STATEMENT | Beware the Slide Toward Regime Change in Venezuela Donald Trump’s deployment of military assets appears to be part of a plan to depose President Nicolás Maduro. The U.S. should be wary of the potential fallout should it succeed. www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...

Pleased to speak with Sky News today about the lethal U.S. strikes in the Caribbean, the bogus Trump administration narratives about fentanyl and armed conflict, and the potential for a U.S. regime change intervention in Venezuela. Fun times.

Pokrovsk is on the brink—one more reason Putin doesn't want a ceasefire now. "Pokrovsk faces its own final act in an environment of asphyxiating drone saturation at a level we have not seen in previous battles," warns Francis Farrell. kyivindependent.com/analysis-pok...

Donald Trump is interested in meeting Brazil’s Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and officials are discussing a possible meeting while the pair are in Malaysia for the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, according to a White House official. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

SecDef is justifying lawless strikes on suspected drug smugglers by claiming that unspecified "designated terrorist organizations" trafficking in drugs are the "'Al Qaeda' of our hemisphere." In April, I wrote about the repurposing of the war on terror framing. www.crisisgroup.org/united-state...

Ukraine wants security guarantees. What is it asking for exactly, why hasn't it gotten what it wants, and what's it likely to get in the future? New @crisisgroup.org explainer lays it out.