With delays and a razor-thin race for the second spot in the 7 June presidential runoff, Peru’s election looks set to deepen public discontent rather than calm political tensions, whatever the final outcome. www.crisisgroup.org/anb/latin-am...

As Colombia’s presidential vote approaches, prospects for continued dialogue with armed groups remain uncertain. In our latest Watch List 2026, @crisisgroup.org explains how the EU and its member states can help advance peace and tackle organised crime. www.crisisgroup.org/cmt/latin-am...

The U.S. military is still conducting lethal maritime strikes against alleged drug smugglers, and may have just begun strikes on land. @bcfinucane.bsky.social analyzes the #Trump administration’s most recent war powers report about a strike in #Ecuador: www.justsecurity.org/133744/did-u...

New: Strange war powers report to Congress for the recent partnered US military op in Ecuador. I interpret this as a hostilities report notwithstanding this disclaimer: "Although present for this partnered operation, United States ground forces did not come into contact with hostile forces." 1/n

MX Army killed El Mencho today. A win for Sheinbaum. USG is happy too. The Cartel was quick to react setting buses, trucks and businesses on fire, blockading streets and highways. Locals? Terrified. I’m in Guadalajara, a city that virtually emptied out. No public transport, people sheltered in place

Perú tendrá su 8° presidente/a en 10 años. Esto escribió mi colega @glaeldys.bsky.social hace dos años: "Medidas para moderar el conflicto político y garantizar que la ciudadanía se sienta adecuadamente representada por las instituciones estatales son vitales para lograr la estabilidad en Perú".

“Cuando empiezan a llevarse a los niños, ya es un sector muy difícil para recuperar el control”, dijo. “La comunidad ya está sometida, en silencio”. Nuestro último informe de @latam.crisisgroup.org explica cómo el reclutamiento de niños ha transformado el conflicto armado colombiano.

📑 NUEVO INFORME | Menores en el frente de batalla: detener el reclutamiento infantil en #Colombia Los grupos armados y criminales colombianos han reclutado a cientos de niños y niñas, causando un daño enorme a los menores, sus familias y sus comunidades 🔽

📌 Coming soon | New @crisisgroup.org briefing 🔽 Kids on the Front Lines: Stopping Child Recruitment in Colombia February 2026

📽️ NEW VIDEO | Living in Fear: How Gang Violence Is Reshaping Ecuador Crisis Group’s expert @glaeldys.bsky.social explains why Ecuadorian criminal groups have grown so precipitously since 2021, and the impact of the government’s strategy to deploy the military to combat insecurity.

NEW ANALYST’S NOTEBOOK | Ecuador Ignites Trade Spat with Colombia over Border Crime Glaeldys González Calanche explains an unexpected trade row between Ecuador and Colombia, allegedly over security along their shared frontier. www.crisisgroup.org/alr/latin-am...

After US operations in Venezuela, the ELN has taken steps to ensure its interests are safe, regardless what happens in Caracas. Today I write in @nytopinion.nytimes.com, the ELN stands emboldened to threaten communities, Colombia, and US ambition in Venezuela 👇 www.nytimes.com/2026/01/14/o...

En breve estaremos conversando sobre la crisis de seguridad en Ecuador👇

📅 ONLINE EVENT | Violence and Organised Crime in Ecuador 🕐 2 December | 10am Quito | 10am New York | 4pm Brussels w/ @glaeldys.bsky.social, Karol Norona, Guido Núñez and @renatasegura.bsky.social. Registration ⬇️ us06web.zoom.us/webinar/regi...

Ecuador votó hoy, entre otras cosas, para decidir si autoriza instalar bases militares extranjeras y la convocatoria a una Asamblea Constituyente. A espera de los resultados oficiales, no se pierdan esta columna de @glaeldys.bsky.social en el @nytimes.com sobre el contexto en el que se vota 👇🏽

Ecuador has turned to the military to rein in a wave of crime, but is still struggling to contain soaring violence. In my @nytimes.com piece, I explain why militarization has fallen short and argue it cannot succeed without tackling the drivers of org crime. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/16/o...

Ecuador's descent into violence offers lessons for the region about how quickly organized crime can spread, w devastating effects for civilians. My @crisisgroup.org colleague @glaeldys.bsky.social explains what happened, how gov has responded, what comes next. www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...

Nearly two years into Ecuador's self-declared “internal armed conflict”, the country still struggles to contain soaring levels of violence. Our latest report examines the drivers behind Ecuador’s homicide surge and evaluates the government’s militarized response to organized crime.

📸 Ensayo Fotográfico | Vidas al límite: realidades cotidianas en un mundo devastado por los conflictos Una exposición fotográfica conmemora el 30º aniversario de @crisisgroup.org y muestra imágenes capturadas por sus analistas durante investigaciones de campo.

Entering a polarizing election year, & 9yrs after the 2016 peace accord, Colombia’s transitional court laid down its long-awaited first sentences against leadership of the former FARC. 🧵 on what this means for a refreshed debate about balancing justice & peace www.jep.gov.co/Sala-de-Pren...

🚨 Today we’re launching eEARTH - @crisisgroup.org ’s new early warning system for resource-related conflict. Built on years of climate-security work, eEARTH combines data monitoring and field expertise to spot risks around the world before escalation. eearth.io?utm_source=b...

Today marks a year since the Sinaloa Cartel’s two largest factions, Chapitos and Mayos, fell into a deadly wave of infighting after the former kidnapped and rendered “El Mayo” Zambada to U.S. authorities. I visited the state recently for @crisisgroup.org and this is some of what I saw.

On his first visit to Ecuador, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio expressed full support on security. He announced the designation of Los Lobos and Los Choneros as terrorist groups, pledged $13.5M to fight org crime, and suggested a possible U.S. military presence to address shared threats.

Tensions between the US and Venezuela have sparked growing concern in #Colombia about the possible spillover of any destabilization in Caracas. As a taste of what may come, a short🧵on the changing armed group dynamics along the 2,200km border 👇 www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...

Historic elections in Bolivia. Surprise frontrunner Senator Rodrigo Paz, son of ex-president Jaime Paz Zamora, leads the vote and heads to a runoff with former president Jorge Quiroga. MAS loses nearly 20 years of dominance, and the left is out of the race.

🇧🇴 Bolivia will hold general elections this Sunday that could mark a turning point in the nation’s trajectory. Voters will elect a new President, Vice President, and all members of the legislature for the 2025–2030 term. 🧵

NUEVA PUBLICACIÓN | La maldición del oro: Minería y violencia en el sur de Venezuela La minería ilegal de oro está causando estragos en el sur de Venezuela. Aunque es difícil persuadir a Caracas, los gobiernos extranjeros deben presionar por medidas para frenar los daños que conlleva.

Esta semana, con @glaeldys.bsky.social, hemos tenido el privilegio de estar en Quito conversando con distintos sectores acerca de la situación de seguridad y cómo el país está enfrentando la rápida y alarmante erupción de la violencia del crimen organizado en Ecuador.

On the Horizon sounds the alarm about conflicts and crises that may emerge or escalate over the next three to six months. In our new edition we focus on #BurkinaFaso, #Iraq, the #KoreanPeninsula, and the #Taiwan Strait ⬇️ www.crisisgroup.org/burkina-faso...

Rising Pre-Election Tensions in Bolivia Bolivia faces escalating unrest as road blockades by organisations aligned with former president Evo Morales enter day 11. Protesters cite the economic crisis as their main grievance and are demanding President Arce’s resignation. 1/6

The brazen assassination attempt against Sen Miguel Uribe has raised fears in Colombia that the country could slip back into darker times. The attack was a show of audacity by as yet unknown interests, who feel confident striking at highest levels 👇 www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...

Following Sunday’s elections, Mexico’s ruling party gained control over the country’s high courts. But this happened with a low 13% turnout. My quick take for @crisisgroup.org on what this implies:

On Sunday, Mexico will be choosing close to 2,600 judges – a first in the country and the world. The election has been deeply dividing and turnout will be low. In this @crisisgroup.org Q&A we dive into the controversial move and the potential outcomes for the violence crisis and sky-high impunity.

I spoke with @thetimes.com for a video explainer on Ecuador's war on drugs, examining how the country became a hub for the cocaine trade, Noboa's approach to combating drug trafficking, and whether the crackdown has been effective.👇 www.youtube.com/watch?v=ULfJ...

Mientras Europa intensifica su lucha contra el crimen organizado, debe tener en cuenta que produce una doble problemática: La oferta de drogas a los consumidores y el recrudecimiento de la violencia contra la población civil Escribo para @latam.crisisgroup.org www.crisisgroup.org/es/latin-ame...

Si te interesa la conflictividad en Ecuador, "Llamas: Observatorio Ecuatoriano de Conflictos" es una herramienta útil. Monitorea enfrentamientos armados, violencia de género, xenofobia y más, ofreciendo análisis para entender mejor las dinámicas del país. www.llamasuce.com/ecuador-en-l...

El año pasado, empecé una investigación sobre reclutamiento de menores en Cauca. Meses después, mataron al líder protagonista en la prevención y recuperación de niños. Esa es la historia de Edgar Tumiña y su vocación: Sacar los niños de la guerra. www.foreignaffairs.com/guest-pass/r...

Armed groups in #Colombia rely so heavily on child recruitment that in many areas, the war is over the kids. Communities who stand in the way are targeted. Kids who resist or escape are killed. Our @crisisgroup.org story, through eyes of Cauca's children🧵 www.foreignaffairs.com/north-americ...

@crisisgroup.org examined Trump's foreign policy across multiple regions during the first 100 days of his second term, evaluating its impact on peace and conflict.👇 www.crisisgroup.org/global-unite...

#Ecuador Daniel Noboa secures the presidency for the 2025–2029 term with over 5 million votes. María José Pinto will serve as Vice President. 🧵

Latin America Struggles for a Single Voice @crisisgroup.org’s @elisabethmalkin.bsky.social on discontent with the Trump administration’s heavy hand as well as deep divisions at this week’s summit of regional leaders 🔽 www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...

In our latest @crisisgroup.org visual explainer, we map the journey of cocaine and fentanyl—from production to market—and reveal how drug trafficking fuels violence at every stage of the supply chain. www.crisisgroup.org/visual-expla...

Drug trafficking networks across Latin America are fragmented, fluid & resilient. We @crisisgroup.org set out to map the new ecosystem and understand why a criminal reconfiguration is generating waves of violence, particularly directed at communities 🧵👇 www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...

Between global backlash against women’s rights, rising conflict, dwindling aid & new tech creating both opportunities and risks, there’s much to grapple with this #InternationalWomensDay2025 Our CEO @comfortero.crisisgroup.org shows you where to start 📒⬇️ www.crisisgroup.org/global/comfo...

COMING SOON | Locked in Transition: Politics and Violence in Haiti Our new report is set to look at how Haiti’s transitional authorities should strive to overcome internal wrangling and chart a realistic path to safe elections and constitutional reform.

Las elecciones presidenciales de #Ecuador 🗳️ se dirigen a una segunda vuelta el 13 de abril de 2025, con Daniel Noboa y Luisa González enfrentándose una vez más. Un 🧵 de @glaeldys.bsky.social sobre los resultados de la primera vuelta y las claves para el balotaje.

#Ecuador's presidential election heads to a runoff on 13 April 2025, with Daniel Noboa and Luisa González facing off once again. 🧵

#Ecuador vota este domingo en medio de un nuevo repunte de la violencia. @glaeldys.bsky.social, analista de @latam.crisisgroup.org, examina las principales propuestas de los candidatos para enfrentar el crimen organizado 🔽 www.crisisgroup.org/es/latin-ame...

¿Cómo llegó #Ecuador a ser tan violento? @glaeldys.bsky.social, analista de @crisisgroup.org, explica la combinación de causas internas y externas que convirtieron a Ecuador en el país más violento de Sudámerica y qué proponen los candidatos a la presidencia para mejorar la seguridad 🔽

“The form of control is extortion. It is the groups’ lifeblood...in terms of $, it competes with drug trafficking. But it dismantles the whole community” Don't miss this critical primer on #Ecuador's security crisis & 9Feb elections by @glaeldys.bsky.social www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...